ADAUSD If history repeats Ada could realistically go back to the lower 70 cent level and still reach $1.80 by the end of August. My upper target is ~$8 by October 20th. This seems crazy but if crypto enters a mania phase which typically happens in the last 3 months of the cycle then it is possible. My target date which I've labeled "Finish Line" comes from taking the average time from when Bitcoin bottoms to it's top. 1064 days. Give or take a few weeks. This lines up with other top indicators such as the pie cycle top. I've said before that I would like to see ADA hit $1.50 by mid August. If this does not happen then I will have less confidence of ADA hitting the upper target of $8 unless the crypto cycle is showing signs of an extended cycle which would be marked by a lack of an overextension on momentum indicators. In other words, if the slow grind up continues we may have an extended cycle but that is not the base case yet.
ADAUSD my opinion with now, if sustained break above 0.77–0.80 could lead toward 1.00 in the short term, followed by 1.50–1.90 if momentum remains . Bull scenario for ADA could soar to $1.90–$2.40 if broader alt-season intensifies and pattern extensions play out. Here’s risk scenario if failure to hold 0.75–0.77 with a drop under 0.70 may lead to retest at 0.65 support. BUT, Cardano is showing textbook bullish behavior on breakout patterns, strong institutional inflows, alt-season tailwinds, and healthy on-chain metrics. Overbought RSI signals short-term caution, and there’s room to run toward 1+ with a confirmed hold above 0.75–0.77. Alt-season and ETF developments are key catalysts to monitor.