If confirmed, this could be a strong trigger to enter shortIf the euro is indeed set to weaken — as we anticipate based on the current signs of trend exhaustion — this could be a solid trigger for a short position.
However, if the breakout fails to confirm, it may turn out to be a fakeout, potentially leading to a bullish reversal instead
AUDEUR trade ideas
EURAUD – Incoming Upthrust? Accumulation or Distribution? Chart Context:
EURAUD recently completed a sharp markdown after a textbook rising channel break. What’s interesting now is that price has entered what looks like a potential box range between 1.7768 and 1.7885.
I'm anticipating a possible upthrust move into the 1.788x zone — and what follows will reveal the true intent.
Here’s the internal debate:
Are we looking at reaccumulation — smart money trapping shorts before driving higher in line with broader money flow?
Or is this a distribution — where the market builds a false sense of support before deeper downside?
🔍 What tips the scale for now is this:
>The overall money flow direction (via volume patterns + structure) has leaned bullish, so I’m favoring accumulation with a shakeout scenario.
Signs I’m watching:
✅ Absorption volume near the bottom of the range
✅ Higher lows inside the zone
✅ Fake breakout / upthrust into prior structure
❌ Failure to hold above 1.7855 could flip the bias short-term
📉 Expecting one more dip to test demand, followed by range tightening, and if buyers show up strong — the breakout can get explosive.
What’s your take?
Are we prepping for a markup or will this fakeout and roll over?
"I go long or short as close as I can to the danger point, and if the danger becomes real, I close out and take a small loss"
Idea on a charthe June consumer price inflation report shows a 0.3% month-on-month reading for headline inflation (0.287% to three decimal places) and a 0.2% MoM outcome for core (0.228%) versus the consensus forecast of 0.3% for both. The details show that there was some scattered evidence of early tariff impacts on some goods components – mainly fresh fruit & vegetables, household appliance, toys, clothing and sporting goods, but this was offset to a large extent by softness in the all-important shelter component, which has an approximately 40% weighting within the core CPI basket. It rose only 0.2% MoM while new vehicle
7.15 EUR/AUD LIVE TRADEHere is another Eur market that looks to be heading down. We have a 123 leg down with pullbacks creating swing highs and lows. The 4th leg has made a pullback with a strong engulfing candle rejection at support and resistance. Price action is at the 50 EMA and not above it. Volume is good, not great. Momentum is great. Price will have to take out the recent swing high for us to be wrong but watch out for those equity grabs...I hate that. We use the top/bottom of the recent swing high/low and add/deduct the current ATR to help reduce the stop loss hunters. I would have liked price action to be a bit higher into the S/R but determining S/R level is very subjective...i might see one area and you might see something different. I think it is important to use support and resistance zones, this trade might be a Head and Shoulder pattern? What do you guys think?
EURAUD Bullish support at 1.7720The EURAUD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 1.7720 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 1.7720 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
1.7920 – initial resistance
1.7970 – psychological and structural level
1.8000 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 1.7720 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
1.7680 – minor support
1.7630 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the EURAUD holds above 1.7720. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURAUDLet’s focus on the EURAUD forex pair with a more tight and cautious approach compared to other setups. ⚠️📉
If price breaks our stop-loss, I won’t be interested in looking for buy entries at lower levels anymore. It’s important to respect the trade plan and avoid chasing the market. 🚫🔄
The week ended on a bullish note and the momentum has continued upward, but I will only consider entering if I see a proper price correction that offers a better risk-to-reward opportunity. 📈⏳
Patience is key here — waiting for the right pullback to optimize the entry and manage risk effectively will increase the chances of a successful trade. 🎯💡
Remember, disciplined trading always wins in the long run! 💪📊
EURAUD – Bearish Flag Breakdown OpportunityThe EURAUD pair is showing signs of trend continuation via a classic bearish flag pattern formation. After a sharp decline, the market has entered into a tight consolidation channel, climbing steadily inside a sloped flag structure. Price is now testing a critical resistance area near 1.7830–1.7840 while hovering just below the 200 EMA.
This setup offers a high-probability sell opportunity — but only after confirmation.
1. Structure Overview
The initial sharp downtrend is followed by a consolidation channel — a textbook bearish flag.
Price is approaching major resistance (1.7830–1.7840) and 200 EMA, acting as a ceiling.
A breakdown from the rising support of the flag is expected to trigger a continuation toward the downside.
2. Trade Plan – Bearish Flag Breakdown
✅ Entry Plan:
Wait for a breakdown of the green support trendline (flag support).
Then, wait for a re-test of the broken support (now resistance).
Enter short only after a bearish candlestick confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing or rejection wick) on the 15-min or 1-hour chart.
🛡️ Stop Loss:
Place the stop loss just above the major resistance zone, around 1.7835–1.7840.
🎯 Target Zones:
Target 1 (TG1): 1.7755
Target 2 (TG2): 1.7718
Final Target: 1.7632
Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2, 1:4, 1:9.4+
3. Why This Trade Makes Sense
Bearish Flag is a reliable continuation pattern in strong downtrends.
Price is failing to break above key resistance and 200 EMA.
The flag offers a tight SL and large downside potential — ideal conditions for R:R setups.
Confluence of structure, pattern, and trend all align for short bias.
4. Trade Management Tips
Scale out partial profits at TG1 and TG2, and trail stop for final target.
If breakdown fails, avoid chasing price — re-evaluate bias if price breaks above 1.7840.
5. Final Thoughts
This EURAUD chart is a textbook case of pattern + price action + resistance confluence. The flag structure is well-defined, and the reward-to-risk ratio is significantly favorable if the breakdown confirms.
📌 Watch for:
Breakdown of rising support
Retest and bearish candle
Entry only on confirmation
High-probability setups don’t require prediction — they require preparation.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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euraud trendline longsSeeing as euraud has well respected the trendlines recently I decided to long eur back into the upper end of previously broken trendline. I am european living in australia, I know first hand how weak aud is agains eur as my salary in australia took a massive hit against euro...
I decided to go all in on this trade with a 2% risk. RR is 1:4 for the final TP, but I do see how trade management is the key for longevity, so I still plan on taking partial profits and moving my stop back to BE as soon as price is hitting 1:1 for BE and 1:2 RR for 50% profit taking.
Let's goo
EURAUD Rebound From 1.77200 is High ProbabilityEURAUD has reached a key support zone near 1.77200, aligning with the ongoing bullish global trend. The current price action appears to be a correction phase, particularly influenced by short-term weakness in the Euro.
According to technical chart conditions, this correction is likely nearing completion. If the 1.77200 support holds, it could serve as a strong buy entry point, then upside target will be 1.79000 and 1.80020
You can see more details in the chart.
if you like this idea if you have on Opinion about this analysis share in comments
EUR/AUD BULLISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| LONG
EUR/AUD SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 1.778
Target Level: 1.804
Stop Loss: 1.760
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 8h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURUAD is in the Buy direction from the Third TouchHello Traders
In This Chart EUR/AUD 4 HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EUR/AUD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (EUR/AUD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EUR/AUD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
EUR_AUD WILL GO UP|LONG|
✅EUR_AUD is trading in an uptrend
And the bullish bias is confirmed
By the rebound we are seeing
After the pair retested the support
So I think the growth will continue
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURAUD MARKET OVERVIEW - WEEKLY CHART Price’s direction from the weekly perspective looks quite bullish. Technically, we saw how price broke out of the symmetrical triangle pattern and also above the upper resistance of the channel. Therefore, we’re likely to see more bullish growth developments as the upper resistance is currently being retested.
EURAUD Weekly Trade Setup(14 to 18th July 2025) - Head&ShoulderThis week, EURAUD (Euro/Australian Dollar) has entered a critical price zone, providing a textbook technical opportunity for traders. A clear Head & Shoulders pattern has formed on the 4-hour chart, pointing toward a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish.
Let’s explore how to trade this intelligently from both bullish and bearish perspectives.
1. Bearish Setup – Head & Shoulders Pattern Breakdown
This is the primary trade idea for the week.
✅ Trade Logic:
Price has completed a classic Left Shoulder → Head → Right Shoulder formation.
The neckline (support) will be tested.
The current price is will pulling back to retest the right shoulder resistance zone, offering an ideal short opportunity.
🔻 Entry Plan:
Wait for bearish reversal confirmation (candlestick rejection or bearish engulfing) on the 1H or 4H timeframe.
Enter short once confirmation appears near 1.7850–1.7900.
📉 Stop Loss:
Place SL above the right shoulder high, adjusting for volatility and swing high (around 1.7950).
🎯 Targets:
Target zone: 1.7450–1.7500 (profit booking zone marked on the chart)
Potential Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2, 1:3, or even 1:4+
2. Alternative Bullish Setup – Reversal at Neckline (High Risk)
This setup is for experienced or aggressive traders who spot early reversals.
✅ Trade Logic:
Price may bounce from the neckline and 200 EMA support area.
If this happens, a temporary bullish reversal may push price back toward the right shoulder zone.
🔺 Entry Plan:
Wait for bullish confirmation (reversal candle) near the neckline and EMA support (around 1.7700).
🚨 Stop Loss:
SL must be below the neckline swing low (around 1.7650).
🎯 Targets:
Resistance zone (right shoulder): 1.7850–1.7900
R:R setups of 1:2 or 1:3 possible
⚠️ This is considered a counter-trend trade and should be traded with caution.
3. Technical Confluence and Indicators
Pattern: Head & Shoulders (bearish reversal)
EMA 200: Price reacting around the long-term trend line
Support/Resistance: Cleanly defined horizontal zones
Reversal zones: Highlighted in red (supply) and green (demand)
4. Final Thoughts
This week’s EURAUD setup is a strong example of structure-based trading. With a well-formed head and shoulders pattern and a clean neckline break, the market signals a shift in momentum.
Safe Approach: Trade the short side after resistance rejection.
Risky Approach: Try a long on neckline bounce with tight SL.
Always confirm with your system and maintain strict risk management. Trade what you see, not what you feel.
Ready to trade? Save this setup, monitor price action, and execute only with confirmation.
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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