AUD/USD - Breakout (25.07.2025)The AUD/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.6551
2nd Support – 0.6513
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AUDUSD trade ideas
AUDUSD: Sell The Rip!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of July 21-25th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX market:
AUDUSD
AUDUSD has been difficult to trade, as it chops its slow grind upwards. Last week it gave a bearish close. With the USD expected to continue to gain strength, look for sells directed to the liquidity lows in AUDUSD.
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AUDUSD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.64200 zone, AUDUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.64200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUD/USD Bearish Reversal Setup (1H Chart) Analysis:The pair has recently broken down from the ascending channel (highlighted in blue), indicating a potential trend reversal.
A lower high has formed after the peak near 0.66200, followed by a sharp drop, confirming bearish momentum.
Current price is hovering around 0.6573, and the structure shows a bearish flag/pullback, hinting at another drop.
Bearish Target Zones:
1. First Support/TP1: 0.6550 – 0.6549 (short-term support zone)
2. Second Support/TP2: 0.6510 – 0.6515 (major support level and key target)
Confirmation:
Watch for price to reject any bullish pullbacks below the broken channel and drop past 0.6550 for stronger confirmation of the move toward 0.6510.
Bias: Bearish
Timeframe: 1H
Invalidation Level: Break back above 0.6620 resistance zone.
AUDUSD could fall again despite bullish momentumAUDUSD could fall again despite bullish momentum
AUDUSD found strong support near 0.6460.
Overnight the price rose despite the lack of any news on the economic calendar.
This could be related to the low volume of the current month and perhaps small currency injections or profit taking create such moves.
The price is not yet clear, but there is a high possibility of further decline in the coming days. It may show signs of reversal soon and could fall to 0.6460 and 0.6400.
You may find more details in the chart!
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AUDUSD Engineered to Drop?🧠MJTrading:
📸 Viewing Tip:
🛠️ Some layout elements may shift depending on your screen size.
🔗 View the fixed high-resolution chart here:
🔻 OANDA:AUDUSD – Tagged the Top | Smart Money Eyes Lower Levels??
📍 Perfect Respect of Channel Structure
AUDUSD has just kissed the upper boundary of a long-standing ascending channel, showing sharp rejection — a sign that premium pricing might now shift toward discount levels.
📈 The aggressive push into the highs likely aimed to clear buy stops — fulfilling smart money objectives before a potential reversal.
📉 And here’s the subtle clue:
Just below the last bullish candle lies a thin slide — a structural weakness.
If price breaks and closes below that full body bearish candle (Below 0.66000), the market could slip fast, unleashing a momentum-driven drop into the first liquidity zone (0.6520s).
🧠 For smart money lovers, this is the classic:
Sweep → Trap → Slide
📏 And for fans of parallelism, the chart’s geometry offers a rare beauty — lines in harmony, structure in rhythm, and opportunity in alignment.
🔍 What to Watch For:
Break below 0.66000 (last candle body) = entry signal
0.6520–0.6540: first liquidity zone
0.6400–0.6300: deeper cleanout, if bearish pressure sustains
Inset: DXY bouncing from long-term demand supports bearish thesis
Manage your risk wisely...
For Lower time frame traders:
Psychology Always Matters:
(Click on the pictures for caption and concepts)
#AUDUSD #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #ChannelTrading #ChartDesigner #MJTrading #PriceAction #Forex
AUDUSD: Bearish Flag Retest Within Macro HeadwindsAUDUSD is developing a clean bearish technical setup just as macro fundamentals increasingly weigh on the Australian dollar. The pair recently completed a rising wedge breakout and is now retesting broken structure within a larger downtrend. With risk sentiment shaky due to U.S. tariff threats and dovish repricing of the RBA’s outlook, Aussie bulls may struggle to sustain momentum. A confirmed breakdown below 0.6458 could open the door toward June’s swing low near 0.6390.
🧠 Technical Breakdown:
✅ Bearish Flag Structure:
The chart shows a sequence of bearish flags and rising wedges, all of which have historically broken lower. The latest breakout to the downside was sharp, and the current rally appears corrective.
✅ Fib Levels & Confluence:
Price is hovering near the 38.2% retracement (0.6510) from the last leg down. The invalidation zone around 0.6565 aligns with a supply zone, making it an ideal SL area.
✅ Target Zones:
First support: 0.6458
Measured move: 0.6390 - 0.6370
These coincide with Fib 61.8% & 100%, adding technical confluence.
📉 Fundamental Drivers:
Dovish RBA Signals: Labour data missed expectations, and June inflation slowed (4.8% vs. 4.9% expected), softening the RBA’s hawkish stance.
Stronger USD Outlook: Powell’s reappointment risk and rate-cut delay pricing have supported the dollar. U.S. data (Retail Sales, CPI) still signal sticky inflation and strong labor.
Tariff Risk from Trump: With the U.S. floating global 10% tariffs, risk assets like AUD (a high-beta currency) face downside pressure.
⚠️ Risks to Bearish Bias:
Stronger-than-expected China stimulus could support AUD as a proxy.
A dovish Fed pivot or soft U.S. data might undercut USD strength.
AUD/USD Bulls Eye BreakoutThe Australian Dollar surged more than 1.8% this week with AUD/USD now testing multi-month uptrend resistance at fresh yearly highs. A four-day rally takes price into confluent resistance at the September low / upper parallel at 6622- The focus is on today’s close with the immediate advance vulnerable while below this key slope. Subsequent resistance objectives eyed at the 2019 low at 6671 and the 78.6% retracement of the broader 2024 decline at 6723.
Initial support rests with the July open at 6581 and is backed by the May high-day close (HDC) / weekly open at 6486-6506. Losses would need to be limited to this region for the late-June advance to remain viable (near-term bullish invalidation). Subsequent support seen at the June low-day close (LDC) at 6458 with a break below 6350 ultimately needed to suggest a more significant high is in place / larger reversal is underway.
Bottom line: A breakout of the July opening-range takes AUD/USD into confluent uptrend resistance- risk for topside exhaustion / price inflection here. From a trading standpoint, a good zone to reduce portions of long-exposure / raise protective stops – losses shudl be limited to 6486 IF price is heading higher on this stretch with a close above this slope needed to fuel the next leg of the advance.
Keep in mind the FOMC interest rate decision is on tap next week with Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) and Non-Farm Payrolls (NFPs) slated into the monthly cross. Stay nimble into the releases and watch the weekly closes here.
-MB
AUDUSD • Premium Supply Zone (Resistance):
• Price is projected to revisit the supply zone between 0.65650–0.65800, which previously led to strong bearish displacement.
• This zone is likely to attract institutional sell orders.
• Current Price Structure:
• Market is retracing upward within a bearish internal structure.
• Expectation: A “lower high” formation before a continuation to the downside.
• Sell Setup Projection:
• Price likely to induce buyers near the mid-range before sweeping them and shifting bearish.
• Anticipated move: Price into premium zone → rejection → continuation toward 0.64700 demand area (gray box).
• Liquidity Engineering:
• Potential internal liquidity being built up to fuel a deeper drop.
• Smart money may use this retracement to trap breakout traders before driving price down.
⸻
🧠 Smart Money Narrative:
1. Retracement into premium for better risk-to-reward shorts.
2. Inducement of breakout buyers before reversal.
3. Short continuation toward demand zone and potential liquidity pockets below.
4. Strategic zone to watch: 0.65700 area for high-probability shorts
LOOKING FOR SHORTS ON AUD/USDWith Weekly time frame showing a strong downtrend then it is expected that lower timeframe aligns with it andso the Daily and 4HR are showing exactly that .
Double top formed and price trading in the area of our fib GOLDEN ZONE, We are expecting a decline in AUD potentially this upcoming week
AUD/USD Sell SetupOANDA:AUDUSD
Timeframe: m30
Entry: 0.66151
SL: 0.66266
TP1: 0.66033
TP2: 0.65914
TP4: 0.65681
📊 Setup Rationale
🔺 Channel Top Rejection (8H Overlay) Price has touched the upper boundary of a descending channel visible on the 8-hour chart. This zone has historically acted as a strong resistance, increasing the probability of a reversal.
🧱 Local Structure (30min) Entry aligns with a minor double top (in lower TFs) and bearish momentum. The tight SL allows for a high R:R profile.
🔄 Momentum Shift Watch for bearish engulfing or rejection wick on lower timeframes to confirm entry.
#MJTrading #Forex #AUDUSD #Sell
Psychology always matters:
AUDUSD: Bearish Continuation is Highly Probable! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the AUDUSD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
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AUDUSD: Consolidation ContinuesThe AUDUSD is currently consolidating within a broad horizontal channel.
A notable bearish response to resistance has occurred, with the formation of a cup and handle pattern leading to a decline.
There is a strong likelihood that the price will soon hit the 0.6500 level.
Could the Aussie drop from here?The price is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6526
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6587
Why we like it:
There is a multi swing high resistance.
Take profit: 0.6389
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
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AUDUSD Here is our signal for AUDUSD
Occasionally we give a free signal, so here's AUDUSD long.
Rules:
1- Wait for the 15 minute to close with momentum above the entry, ideally we want a re-test of the entry.
2- at TP1 move your SL to entry.
3- If you want to close at TP2 then do so.
📊Entry: 0.65223
⚠️SL: 0.65057
✔️TP1: 0.65407
✔️TP2: 0.65643
✔️TP3: 0.65940
Happy Trading,
Sarah
AUD_USD BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅AUD_USD is going up
Now and the pair made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 0.6590 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
audusd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
AUDUSD 4Hour TF - July 20th, 2025AUDUSD 7/20/2025
AUDUSD 4hour Neutral idea
Monthly - Bearish
Weekly - Bearish
Dailly - Bullish
4hour - Ranging
We’re looking at a fairly large range here on AU and although the higher timeframe suggests a potential bearish move, I am unsure until we have some clarity around 0.65000. Here are two scenarios that break down what could happen this week and how 0.65000 plays into it:
Range Continuation - Since late June we have seen price action establish this large range and stick to it (0.65800 Resistance & 0.65000 Support).
Currently, we can see price action attempting to break 0.65000 support but it has not done so yet. If we don’t break below 0.65000 early this week it is very likely we will see a rally into the top of the range.
Bearish Breakout - This is the setup we want to see play out this week as it presents a beauty of a trade.
For us to see AU as bearish on the 4hour we need to see a clear break below 0.65000 with a confirmed lower high below. If this happens look to target toward major support levels like 0.63500 area.
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Climbs as Dollar WeakensMarket Analysis: AUD/USD Climbs as Dollar Weakens
AUD/USD started a decent increase above the 0.6520 level.
Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar rebounded after forming a base above the 0.6450 level against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6540 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.6450 support. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear the 0.6500 resistance to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.
There was a close above the 0.6550 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 0.6565 zone. A high was formed near 0.6564 and the pair recently started a consolidation phase.
On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6540 level. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6540. It is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6454 swing low to the 0.6564 high.
The next major support is near the 0.6495 zone. If there is a downside break below it, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6480 level. It is close to the 76.4% Fib retracement level.
Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6450. On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near 0.6565. The first major resistance might be 0.6575. An upside break above the 0.6575 resistance might send the pair further higher.
The next major resistance is near the 0.6600 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6650 resistance zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.