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US Dollar index

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DX.F trade ideas

We can expect such a move if the event I mentioned in the captioHello friends.. In the analysis we had previously told you about the dollar index on this page, it started a downward trend right from the specified area (you can visit the page) Now, after a long time has passed since that analysis, we are now in a suitable range in the dollar index. See, on the weekly time frame, the index number has hit a strong support area, but we should not make a trading decision by seeing this support unit. As you can see in the image, if the index number suffers in this range, we can expect a turn in the index. You can change the trading decisions you have had so far in the event of a turn in the index. This is just a view from our team, do not attach it to your trades. . . Follow our page to see more analyses.
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by Mahdi_norozi
DXY July 6 AnalysisDXY July 6 Parent Bias Bear WEEKLY ANALYSIS *Good example to witness price trend for the second week-the pull back I was anticipating did occur just not to the level I had suggested in last Sundays journal *Note Price wicked to the .70 level on the monthly *Price took key equal lows and rebalanced a FVG from Feb 22 *Monday/Tuesday Price seek lower prices *Mid week consolidation-expected *Thursday price took equal highs I was anticipating *Friday Asia *PM session of NY price retraced to close in consolidation *Thursday expansion to buy side then on Friday reversal WEEK AHEAD IDEAS *Price closes in a consolidation on the previous days range 50% *I suspect that price could seek the minor equal highs/FVG potentially reach for the gap from Thursday possible target should it really expand - this could be Sundays delivery *could price expand for higher prices beginning of the week *No news until Wednesday *Sundays delivery can affect my ideas stay open
TVC:DXY
by LeanLena
DXY Indecisive DXY remains locked in its previous week's range, especially locked in Wednesday's range. The Thursday rally above Wednesday's high appears to be a fake breakout aimed at trapping traders long. With stops seemingly below Wednesday (Previous Week Low), how we trade past the previous week high or/and low should inform the unfolding direction. With a run to the previous week's low and high possible, caution is recommended. Await expansion avoid the surge of new's release in the coming week and the choppiness that could unfold.
TVC:DXY
by CashMereFx
DXY area to watch.Approaching the extreme of the recent bearish leg. If it holds, then expect most major pairs (EURUSD, GBPUSD etc) to continue their upside momentum. If it fails, then we can expect to see further downside moves on the majors. As per my strategy. That extreme POI swept a previous high, created the BOS, and sits beautifully on the 71% retracement level. The majority of my confluences are ticked, just missing that clear 'Imbalance'. So now we wait, and monitor the reaction on the 4H. If we see a nice clean liquidity sweep, BOS + Imbalance then I'm in for sells. Let me know your thoughts, anything can happen!
TVC:DXYShort
by jakrmo
### **Bearish Analysis of DXY (U.S. Dollar Index)**### **Bearish Analysis of DXY (U.S. Dollar Index)** The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has recently shown a weak trend, with a prevailing bearish sentiment in the market. The primary factors driving this outlook include: ### **1. Rising Expectations of Fed Rate Cuts** - Recent weak U.S. inflation data (such as May's PPI and CPI) have reinforced market expectations that the Fed may cut rates as early as September. - Morgan Stanley predicts the Fed could implement a cumulative 175 basis points in rate cuts by 2025, further reducing the dollar's appeal. ### **2. Trade Policy Uncertainty** - The Trump administration has recently threatened new tariffs (e.g., 30% on imports) against the EU, Mexico, and other nations, escalating global trade tensions. - Wall Street institutions warn that Trump’s tariff policies could trigger capital outflows, putting additional pressure on the dollar. ### **3. Growing Recession Concerns** - Fears of a U.S. economic "hard landing" are intensifying, particularly due to deteriorating corporate orders, earnings forecasts, and capital expenditure plans, which could weaken the dollar’s safe-haven status. - The expanding U.S. fiscal deficit (reaching $1.36 trillion this fiscal year) is further eroding confidence in the dollar. ### **4. Technical Weakness** - Since the beginning of 2025, DXY has fallen by approximately **8.4%**, marking its worst annual start on record. - The index currently faces key resistance at the **97.80-98.00** range. A failure to break above this level could lead to further declines toward **96.50** or lower. - RSI and MACD indicators suggest weak short-term rebound momentum, maintaining a bearish bias. ### **5. Risk of Capital Outflows** - The U.S. "**899 Asset Tax**" proposal could increase costs for foreign investors holding dollar-denominated assets, potentially accelerating global divestment from the dollar. - Goldman Sachs estimates that the dollar remains **overvalued by ~15%**, leaving room for further depreciation. ### **Outlook** In the near term, DXY’s movement will depend on: - **June CPI Data** (A lower-than-expected reading could reinforce rate cut expectations, further weakening the dollar). - **Trade Negotiation Developments** (Escalating tensions may trigger risk-off sentiment, while easing could relieve dollar pressure). - **Fed Policy Signals** (More explicit dovish guidance could extend the dollar’s downtrend). **Conclusion:** Given multiple bearish factors, the U.S. Dollar Index is likely to remain weak in the short term. Traders should closely monitor key economic data and policy shifts.
TICKMILL:DXYShort
by trade1638
DXY Weekly Update — July 14, 2025⌛ Timeframe: . 📆 Analysis Date: July 14, 2025 . 🎯 Weekly Bias: Bearish-to-Neutral (Potential for retracement or reversal) 🔎 Market Overview: ⬇️ Persistent USD Weakness: DXY has dropped nearly 10% YTD, marking the steepest half-year decline since 1986. 📉 Rate Cut Expectations: Markets are pricing in a potential 75bps rate cut by the Fed in H2 2025, pushing yields and the dollar lower. 📦 Trade War Fears: Renewed tariff risks (targeting EU, Japan, Mexico, South Korea) aren't boosting demand for USD — a signal of lost safe-haven appeal. ⚖️ Central Bank Diversification: Global reserve managers are rotating into gold and away from USD, weakening long-term structural demand. 🌀 Sentiment & Risk Appetite: 💸 Liquidity Demand is Soft: DXY is retesting a 4H fair value gap (97.10–97.30), suggesting potential short-term consolidation or correction. 🌍 Risk-On Mood Returns: According to Goldman Sachs, the USD is trading more like a "risk asset" than a haven, aligning with rising equity appetite. 📉 Technical Landscape: 🟠 4H Structure: If DXY breaks below 97.00, next support lies at 96.37, followed by 95.50–96.00. Consolidation expected if price remains within the FVG. 🔻 Key Resistance: 97.70–98.20 zone. A break above this area could change the tone to bullish. 📌 Summary: 🔷 Fundamentals show long-term dollar weakening (rates, trade tension, reserve shifts) 🔷 Sentiment aligns with risk-on appetite and reduced USD demand 🔷 Technicals at critical level; break below 97.00 opens room for correction, break above 97.70 shifts bias bullish . . . . 🟠 Bias: Bearish to Neutral Watch Levels: 97.00 support, 97.70–98.20 resistance ⚠️ Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always apply risk management. ✅ If you like this analysis, don't forget to like 👍, follow 🧠, and share your thoughts below 💬!
TVC:DXYShort
by Apollo_Capital
DXY Bearish Setup Entry: 97.50 (current price) Target (TP): 96.500 or below Stop Loss (SL): ~97.80 (above recent swing high or resistance) Risk Management: Essential — position size based on SL distance and account size 🔍 Trade Rationale: Technical View: Price may be forming a lower high, suggesting possible downside continuation. Fundamental Pressure: Market cautious on Fed rate path Tariff uncertainty could weaken USD Upcoming FOMC minutes may add pressure if dovish signals emerge
CAPITALCOM:DXYShort
by Harry_Megat
DXY LOCAL SHORT| ✅DXY is about to retest a key structure level of 98.000 Which implies a high likelihood of a move down As some market participants will be taking profit from long positions While others will find this price level to be good for selling So as usual we will have a chance to ride the wave of a bearish correction SHORT🔥 ✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅ 

 Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TVC:DXYShort
by ProSignalsFx
1
3 key reasons why the U.S. dollar is losing value📉 According to J.P. Morgan, here are 3 key reasons why the U.S. dollar is losing value: 1️⃣ Oil and energy deals are now being done in other currencies 2️⃣ U.S. banks are excluded from new global payment systems 3️⃣ Countries are reducing their USD reserves The world is slowly shifting away from dollar dependence... #USD #DollarDecline #JPMorgan #ForexNews #DeDollarization #OilTrade #CurrencyShift #GlobalEconomy #SmartMoney #FXForever #MarketUpdate #ForexTraders #USDBreakdown #EconomicTrends #GlobalFinance
TVC:DXYShort
by FXFOREVER_87