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ISP1! trade ideas

End of Month and QuarterAs we wrapped up the end of the month and the end of the quarter, it can be helpful for traders to take time and look back on how markets have performed. The second quarter of 2025 showed extreme volatility in many markets, starting off with the strong broad selloff with the tariff announcement in early April, and as that was walked back the markets have rallied and equity markets are trading near all time high prices, specifically the S&P and Nasdaq. Traders also saw the Fed keep rates unchanged at the June meeting, stating that rate cuts are available if needed depending on the data. As of now, the CME Fed Watch Tool is pricing in another pause for rates at the July meeting in a few weeks, and the first cut coming at the September meeting at a near 75% probability by 25 basis points. Powell has mentioned that the Fed does not want to be early with rate cuts, and wants to only use the cuts if necessary and as a tool. There will be imperative data looking at GDP, inflation, and jobs that may give traders an idea of the direction the Fed will go on rates for the second half of the year.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by CME_Group
TiqGPT buy setup ESJul 2, 2025 8:43 AM MARKET NARRATIVE: 1D Timeframe: The daily chart shows a strong bullish momentum with a series of green candles indicating a sustained upward move. This suggests institutional buying pressure and a lack of significant sell-side resistance. 4H Timeframe: The 4-hour chart confirms the bullish sentiment seen on the daily chart, with recent candles forming higher highs and higher lows. This is indicative of continued institutional interest in driving prices higher. 1H Timeframe: On the hourly chart, the bullish trend continues with price action showing smaller pullbacks followed by aggressive bullish candles. This pattern suggests that any dips are being used as buying opportunities by institutions. 15M Timeframe: The 15-minute chart shows more granularity in the price action, with recent bullish candles breaking past previous minor highs. This indicates that short-term liquidity is being taken on the buy-side, likely trapping late retail sellers. 5M Timeframe: The 5-minute chart shows a consolidation pattern forming at higher levels, suggesting a pause in the immediate bullish momentum. This could be a setup for another push higher as the market digests the gains. 1M Timeframe: The 1-minute chart shows choppy but generally upward-trending price action, indicating ongoing micro battles between buyers and sellers with buyers maintaining a slight edge. INSTITUTIONAL THESIS: Institutions appear to be in a phase of accumulation and upward price pressure across multiple timeframes. The consistent formation of higher highs and higher lows across these timeframes suggests a coordinated effort to drive prices higher, likely targeting overhead liquidity pools where institutional sell orders may be placed. LEARNING POINT: "Multi-timeframe confluence of bullish order flow and mitigation of lower timeframe liquidity pools." SIGNAL: BUY SYMBOL: S&P 500 E-mini Futures (ES1) ENTRY PRICE: $6,266.25 STOP LOSS: $6,250.00 (Below the recent minor low on the 15M chart) TARGET PRICE: $6,285.00 (Next potential liquidity pool on the 1D and 4H charts) CONDITION: Buy limit order at current market price with confirmation of continued bullish momentum on lower timeframes. RATIONALE: Strong bullish momentum across all timeframes, consistent institutional buying, and potential for reaching higher liquidity pools. STRATEGIES USED: Multi-timeframe bullish momentum, liquidity pool targeting. URGENCY: HIGH TIMEFRAME: Short-term to medium-term CONFIDENCE SCORE: 90% based on institutional confluence RISK/REWARD RATIO: Calculated as 1:3.8 Risk: $16.25 (Entry Price - Stop Loss = $6,266.25 - $6,250.00) Reward: $18.75 (Target Price - Entry Price = $6,285.00 - $6,266.25) Ratio: 1:3.8 (Reward ÷ Risk = $18.75 ÷ $16.25)
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by Mistermoriarty
DIYWallSt Trade Journal: Why Traders Are Rotating from Nasdaq to**07/01/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis ** EOD accountability report: +1160 Sleep: 5 hours Overall health: Need to catch up on sleep again ** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 4/4 success** 9:39 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check: 11:00 AM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3 :check: 11:24 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal :check: 12:00 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check: **What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? ** RTY and YM leading the way today NQ lagging Why is this? The answer is, Simple Supply and Demand theory. Money has to come from somewhere. If Money is going to YM and RTY, Money has to leave from NQ or ES or both. There is not an infinite amount of money, So if one index is outperforming like crazy over the other. It must be draining from it Why would it drain from NQ? Easy Because NQ and ES already hit ATH, YM and RTY has not hit ATH yet. So people are selling NQ and buying YM because it is on Discount News N/A **What are the critical support levels to watch?** --> Above 6235= Bullish, Under 6210= Bearish Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.website/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007
06/30/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis EOD accountability report: +212 Sleep: 7 hours Overall health: Good, caught up on workout and sleep over the weekend. ** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 2/4 success** — 12:20 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Sell Signal :x: — 12:30 PM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3!:check: — 1:55 PM VXAlgo NQ X1 Buy Signal :x: — 2:00 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! :check: **What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? ** The X1 Signals today has been happening after market structure signals and usally that means MM is going to change the direction to the opposite way to scam us. Based on that, I decided to lock out my account after making $200 today so i don't get caught in the scam. News EU TO ACCEPT TRUMP’S UNIVERSAL TARIFF BUT SEEKS KEY EXEMPTIONS — 2:07 PM What are the critical support levels to watch? --> Above 6240= Bullish, Under 6210= Bearish Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.website/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007
S&P 500 ABOUT TO TEST CRITCAL RESISTANCE LEVEL!Hey Traders so today watching S&P500 and looks like strong resistance at 6300. Market can do 1 of 3 things like before. Pause, Reverse, or Breakthrough so if your long watch for reversals. If not watch for pullback to new support level around 6135. Can be a nice area to enter new long positions in the buy zone. Place stops under trendline around 6040. Remember trend is your friend so if bullish wait for pullback. However if bearish wait for break below trendline to confirm market wants to break lower. Also watch Nasdaq 100 because it normally leads the market higher. If S&P rises but Nasdaq is holding back it's not a good sign for breakout. Always use Risk Management! (Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.) Good Luck & Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃 Clifford
CME_MINI:ESU2025Long
by TradeTheIndex
Stock Index Futures - ES, NQ, YM - Weekly AnalysisS&P 500 / ESU2025 Key drivers: Rebounding from April’s tariff-induced lows, boosted by optimism around U.S.–China trade, easing geopolitical tensions, and Fed rate‑cut expectations Market breadth strengthened as sectors beyond mega-cap tech—especially financials and industrials—joined the rally Nasdaq / NQU2025 Catalysts: Continued leadership from AI/digital giants like Nvidia (which rose ~4% on Friday and regained its title as the world’s most valuable company) alongside broader tech momentum Dow Jones / YMU2025 Highlights: Strongest weekly performance since early April. Corporate earnings (e.g., Nike’s better-than-expected report) provided sector-specific tailwinds. Cross‑asset momentum: Equities rebounded strongly from April’s slump, logging back-to-back months of double-digit gains—fuelled by tariff ease, geopolitical calm, and dovish Fed signals. Vigilance required: While sentiment is strong, potential catalysts include the July 9 deadline on tariff pauses, upcoming jobs data, Fed commentary, and the tax/spending package. ------------------------------------ I will be approaching the markets differently from now on. Based on the feedback from past analysis, I will be compiling all related pairs into one video, giving you guys the ability to see how one asset affects the other. This is called inter-market relationship and it's something i've been doing for years. It gives you confidence on what pairs are 'Hot Picks' and the ones that have a high chance of not delivering the way you want.
CME_MINI:ESU2025Long
by LegendSince
SP500 - Cycle Analysis; New V-Bottom24 Dec 2018 - V-Bottom Trough: This marks a clean V-bottom. Both the 227-ROC and 114-ROC showed simultaneous positive acceleration after price reacing its low. Shortly after, both crossed their 57-SMA almost in sync — increasing the probability of a sustained bullish move. Price confirmed this by breaking resistance and forming a V pattern. This was further validated by the centered moving average crossover (114-CMA crossing above 227-CMA). 25 Mar 2020 - Deep COVID Crash Trough: During this phase the priced broke below the support, creating a deep trough. Altough both ROC lines initially showed strong negative acceleration due to the COVID-19 crash, they soon reversed above their 57-SMAs, signaling a major shift in momentum. This coincided with the price breaking above the key resistance which was also crossed in 2019 when confirming the old V-pattern. After this breakout, a brief pullback followed before the uptrend resumed with increasing strength. 22 Jun 2021 to 19 Dec 2023 - Pattern During the initial period a bearish divergence was visible in the ROC, nevertheless price and rate of change both declined making a low in early October 2022. A technical pattern began to form, which appears to align more closely with a symmetrical triangle; So when measuring its height and projecting it from the breakout point aligns with the new all-time highs that were reached on 27 June 2025. 21 Mar 2025 - New Cycle Trough A new V-bottom formed shortly after the current cycle began. Both ROC indicators had already crossed their SMAs to the upside, showing early signs of positive acceleration, days before of price broke through the resistance and reached the new record high. The 227-SMA is likely to cross from below the fast SMA while a possibility of a pullback increase. Following that, the 114-CMA will probably has the chance to cross back the 227-CMA, with the price potentially confirming a new support level and resuming its uptrend - in line with the broader cycle timeline.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by AFCapital21
Risk On! Buy Stock Indices, Sell Gold, Silver.In this Weekly Market Forecast, we will analyze the S&P 500, NASDAQ, DOW JONES, Gold and Silver futures, for the week of June 29 - July 4th.. Stock Indices are pointed to the all time highs. Take advantage of the "risk on" environment while it lasts! Gold and Silver have seen the outflows and profit taking... so look for lower prices this week. Oil ... be patient. After a huge dump in prices when the tensions eased up between Israel/US and Iran, price is moving sideways in consolidation. I suspect lower prices to come, but I urge patience! Wait for the signature of price to show it intends to move lower. A sweep of the range highs and a run of the range lows right after... is the signal to sell. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by RT_Money
S&P 500 BULLISH GRAB: Steal These Gains Before the Trap Closes!🚨 E-MINI S&P 500 HEIST: Bullish Loot Before the Market Turns (Thief Trading Blueprint) 🚨 🌟 Hola! Oi! Bonjour! Ciao! Guten Tag! 🌟 Attention all Market Bandits & Index Raiders! 🏴‍☠️📊💰 🔥 Thief Trading Intel: We're targeting ES1! (E-Mini S&P500) for a potential bullish breakout! Long entry only—approaching high-risk Red Zone: overbought, consolidating, and ready for a move. Don't let the bears steal your profits! "Grab your gains and disappear into the night—you've earned this steal!" 💰🌙 🚪 ENTRY: The Vault is Cracked! 📈 "Swipe bullish positions at any price—the heist is ON!" Buy Limit orders near swing lows/highs (15-30 min TF) 📌 Pro Tip: SET PRICE ALERTS! Don't miss the move 🛑 STOP LOSS: Escape Route 📍 Smart Thief SL: Nearest swing low (4H timeframe) 📍 Adjust based on your risk tolerance & position size 🎯 TARGET: Take the Money & Run! 🎯 6260.00 (or exit early if the market turns) ⚡ SCALPERS' QUICK GRAB 👀 Long positions ONLY! Big accounts? Strike now Small accounts? Ride with swing traders Trailing SL = Your Getaway Car!💨 📢 WHY THIS HEIST? (S&P 500 Setup) Neutral trend with bullish potential! Watch for: Fundamentals (COT, Macro Data, Geopolitics) Market Sentiment & Sector Rotation Index-Specific Patterns 🔗 Full analysis? Check our bio0 linnks! 👉🏻👉🏻👉🏻 ⚠️ WARNING: News = Danger Zone! 📰🚨 Economic reports move markets! Protect your loot: ❌ Avoid new trades during news 🔒 Trailing stops lock in profits 💖 SUPPORT THE HEIST CREW! 💥 SMASH THAT BOOST BUTTON! 💥 More boosts = bigger future scores! Stronger crew = more profits for all! Trade like a thief, profit like a king! 👑💰 Next heist coming soon—stay sharp! 🎯🤫
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by The-Thief
"Pricing Perfection: The Thin Ice Beneath Record Highs"As markets push to all-time highs, the rally feels less like euphoria and more like walking a tightrope. What happens when the market prices in perfection The S&P 500 is sitting at all-time highs, not because the world is perfect — but because the market is betting that it will be. This rally is no longer driven by surprises or revisions — it’s driven by expectations that everything will go right: inflation will cool, rates will drop, earnings will beat, AI will deliver, and geopolitical tensions will stay neatly compartmentalized. In reality, we are walking on thin ice. Beneath the surface lies fragile market breadth, decelerating economic data, and a Fed that continues to speak hawkishly even as liquidity props things up. Any minor deviation from this “Goldilocks” scenario — a hot CPI, a guidance miss from a mega-cap, or a geopolitical headline — has the power to trigger sharp repricing. When the market prices in perfection, it doesn’t need a bear to show up. It just needs something less than ideal. At these levels, risk becomes asymmetric — all reward is front-loaded, but the pain, if it comes, is unpriced and sudden. The current equity landscape isn’t just optimistic — it’s priced for flawless execution across earnings, rates, geopolitics, and liquidity. That leaves asymmetric downside risk if even a minor narrative breaks. Trump has become know for creating larger than minor narratives... ;)
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by nsearra
S&P500: Target Zone DeactivatedThe S&P 500 extended its bullish trend yesterday, moving beyond our now-deactivated (formerly magenta) Target Zone. Existing positions remain intact, as the stop set 1% above the upper boundary has not been triggered. In our updated primary scenario, we anticipate continued upward movement within magenta wave (B), potentially reaching the resistance at 6675 points. Once this peak is established, we expect a corrective decline to begin in the form of wave (C), which should guide the index into the green Long Target Zone between 4988 and 4763 points. There, the larger green wave is expected to complete. A sustained breakout above the 6675-point level would shift the outlook in favor of the alternative scenario. In that case, green wave alt. would be considered complete—a trajectory we currently assign a probability of 40%. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by MarketIntel
1
How to Trade When Buy/Sell Alerts Conflict with Market StructureQuestion: If we have a buy/sell alert and an opposing Market Structure, how can we tell which will prevail or is heavier? Answer (VX Algo System perspective): In the VX Algo system, both the alert signals (buy/sell) and the market structure are crucial, but they serve different roles: Alerts are dynamic triggers based on price action, momentum, or specific algorithmic conditions. They indicate potential entry or exit points. Market Structure reflects the broader trend and underlying order flow, indicating the prevailing direction of the market (e.g., higher highs and higher lows for bullish structure, or lower highs and lower lows for bearish structure). When an alert contradicts the prevailing market structure, the heavier factor is usually the Market Structure because it represents the dominant order flow and sentiment. In other words, alerts give you tactical timing, but market structure provides strategic context. How to tell which prevails: Confirm with Market Structure: If the market structure is bullish (uptrend), a buy alert aligns with it and is more likely to succeed. A sell alert against that structure is a warning sign that the alert may be weaker or a potential false signal. Volume and Momentum: Use volume or momentum indicators (built into VX Algo or complementary tools) to see if the alert has strength behind it. A strong sell alert with high volume during an uptrend may indicate an imminent structure shift. Multiple Timeframe Analysis: Check if the opposing alert is supported or rejected on higher timeframes. A buy alert on a lower timeframe against a bearish higher timeframe structure is less likely to prevail. Risk Management: If you trade against structure alerts, reduce position size and tighten stops until the structure confirms the shift. Summary: Market structure is heavier and more reliable for directional bias. Alerts provide tactical entry timing. When they conflict, lean on structure for bias but watch for alert strength as early signals of possible structure changes.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by WallSt007
06/27/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis 06/27/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis EOD accountability report: +915 Sleep: 6 hours Overall health: edgy from sleep ** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 3/4 success** 9:37 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Buy signal :check: 9:55 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! :check: 10:31 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal (double sell) iffy 1:43 PM Market Structure flipped bearish on VX Algo X3! :check: **What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? ** Early on in the market, I noticed that there was heavy manipulate by the MM with violent buy and sell. This somewhat warns that today's market could be tough to trade and you have to be very patient. News PRES TRUMP: ENDING ALL TRADE TALKS WITH CANADA; WILL TELL CANADA ITS TARIFF LEVEL IN COMING DAYS - around 1 :40pm est What are the critical support levels to watch? --> Above 6200= Bullish, Under 6185= Bearish Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.website/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007
S&P 500 VS ATH, how to break through?Technical objective achieved! The S&P 500 index has reached its all-time high, offering a bullish V-shaped recovery since the bearish shock of early April against the backdrop of the trade war between the USA and its main trading partners. In our previous TradingView analysis, we highlighted numerous favorable technical signals since mid-April in favor of this rally towards the all-time record, including an analysis of the chart battlefield for the S&P 500 index at the beginning of June, which you can reread by clicking on the image below. In general, don't hesitate to follow our Swissquote account for regular updates on stock market indices and all other asset classes (bitcoin, forex, commodities, etc.). The short-term question is whether the S&P 500 index is in a position to break through its all-time high (ATH) in the immediate future, or whether it needs to enter a consolidation phase first. The answer to this question is both technical and fundamental. 1) From a technical point of view, here are the conditions that would enable the S&P 500 to surpass its all-time record (even if it were to enter a short-term bearish consolidation first)  The market may need to take a breather in the short term after the strong upward rally of the last two months. But for the medium/long term, the underlying trend remains bullish above support at 5800 points and above the 200-day moving average. On the long time horizon, the theoretical target for wave 5 (Elliott waves) lies at 6500 points.  In order for the S&P 500 to be in a position to break through its all-time record, it is imperative that stocks in the most important sectors in terms of weighting are bullish. The S&P 500 can only go higher if the technology, financials and consumer discretionary sectors contribute.  The study of US retail trader sentiment provides a contrarian approach to the financial markets, and it bodes well that doubt and pessimism remain dominant among retail investors. Bear in mind that market tops are built on euphoria, not pessimism.  Finally, in terms of quantitative analysis, the overbought zone is still a long way from the current price level, so it's conceivable that the S&P 500 index could be in a position to surpass its all-time record in the course of July, even if a consolidation phase were to develop in the short term. 2) In terms of fundamentals, two factors seem to me to be essential for the S&P 500 index to be in a position to make further progress  Firstly, the US equity market will not move higher until there is confirmation that the Fed will resume cutting the federal funds rate. On this subject, this week we offered you a full fundamental analysis, which you can read below. The market needs the FED's pivot on either July 30 or September 17. In terms of valuation, the S&P 500 is expensive again, so rate cuts are needed to justify further upside. With the rebound in share prices over the past 2 months, S&P 500 valuation is indeed back in the high zone, so we'll need sharply higher prospective earnings to justify a possible new all-time high in the coming months. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. 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CME_MINI:ES1!
by Swissquote
06/26/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis 06/26/25 Trade Journal, and ES_F Stock Market analysis EOD accountability report: +731.25 Sleep: 5 hours Overall health: meh ** VX Algo System Signals from (9:30am to 2pm) 3/3 success** — 9:38 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3 — 10:30 AM Market Structure flipped bullish on VX Algo X3! — 11:27 AM VXAlgo ES X1 Sell Signal What’s are some news or takeaway from today? and What major news or event impacted the market today? today was another interesting day, i am noticing that when market structure changes 2x in the same direction, it is usally pretty effective and scammy at the same time News *NVIDIA NASDAQ:NVDA SHARES HIT A NEW HIGH TO RECLAIM WORLD'S LARGEST STOCK TITLE - market is being carried by the momentum of mag 7 What are the critical support levels to watch? --> Above 6175 = Bullish, Under 6155= Bearish Video Recaps -->https://www.tradingview.website/u/WallSt007/#published-charts
CME_MINI:ES1!
by WallSt007