Bitcoin wave BTC.DBTC dominance appears to have hit a cycle peak at 66%!
We might be nearing a turning point, with the yellow circle highlighting the potential top.
BTC.D trade ideas
BTC Dominance Maintains UptrendBTC dominance continues its climb toward the 73% region, with no significant signs of altcoin capital rotation at this stage. Market structure remains intact in favor of Bitcoin leadership.
Bitcoin Dominance Long-Term · 1,000 Days Long Uptrend BreaksBitcoin Dominance Index (BTC.D) has been on an uptrend since September 2022, an uptrend more than 1,000 days long.
This uptrend produced a rising wedge pattern and this pattern is as bearish as it gets. During the entire time, from September 2022 until June 2025, BTC.D never ever produced more than 3 consecutive weeks red. Now, in July 2025, we are witnessing the fourth consecutive red week, a major bearish signal. The start of a new downtrend.
The last time BTC.D went bearish was December 2020. The index, as Bitcoin grew to new all-time highs, produced a drop from a high of 74% to a low of 39%. Reflecting strong demand for the altcoins and a very strong rising altcoins market. We are about to witness something similar, better or the same.
As Bitcoin Dominance moves down, the entire altcoins market will move up. Bitcoin will grow together with the altcoins. Everything—Crypto—will grow.
Namaste.
Bitcoin Dominance about to flip BIG TIMEWe are about to see a kind of altseason only investor from 2017 can remember !
here is a possible ranking for the bull run peak !
and Yes, I believe XRP will flip ETH and retrieve it's historical 2nd spot !
Altcoin market cap forecasts of $5T to $8T
Forecast Ranking
Rank Coin Target Price Estimated Market Cap
1 BTC $200,000 $3.96 Trillion
2 XRP $30 $1.71 Trillion
3 ETH $12,000 $1.45 Trillion
4 SOL $2,500 $1.18 Trillion
5 DOGE $5 $733 Billion
6 BNB $4,000 $584 Billion
7 ADA $7 $250 Billion
8 LTC $2,000 $150 Billion
When will Altseason start?So with ETH.D sweeping its all time low I feel very confident that eth has made the low for this cycle as well as BTC.D retracing providing further confluence that this is the case and we will see eth start to outperform bitcoin but I begun to question where altcoins stand currently stand and when we will start to see them outperform both BTC and ETH as they currently bleed to them as Both ETH and BTC make higher lows while altcoin pairs are making lower lows. I feel like until we see a run above this trend line above the .82 lvl we will see altcoins bleed against ETH and BTC.
Rising Wedge on Bitcoin Dominance - [BROKEN DOWNWARDS] The MASSIVE Rising Wedge on Bitcoin Dominance was broken downwards during the past week, most likely the 1W candle will also close below the support of the wedge.
What does it mean? The dominance will dump from 64% to at least 59%. This move can already provide us with the huge Altcoin Season! After this there more likely be a small correction towards 60%, and then we can freely dump further towards 54% zone.
I expect not only small cap, but major altcoins to be sent to new highs as well. Mark my words & be prepared for the last opportunity of this bull cycle!
Dominance & Altcoins- This graph is purely based on fibonacci law.
- 61.8% is the core of the system ( check rectangles in graph to get it )
- Most of long term traders not even look at the price.
- they just wait the good time to buy using Fibo.
- in 2016 BTC was almost 100%. Altcoins were inexistant. (less than 2% of the market with ETH)
- in 2021 BTC Dominance pushed to 75% (altseason followed the push)
- in 2024 we could see BTC dominance knocks 60% ish ( Altseason will follow )
- BTC is maturing.
- Cryptos are growing.
- Don't look too much at your altcoin wallets.
- Most of the time the story repeats itself.
- Respect the cycle, be patient and eat noodles!
Happy Tr4Ding !
BTC.D: Almost Time...Large rising wedge on the daily chart since December 2024.
If we get this breakdown + retest, BTC dominance will tank.
Market Structure & Dominance Analysis – July 15
💸 Where’s the Money Flowing?
Market Structure & Dominance Analysis – July 15
Hey everyone!
Today, we’re analyzing key market indexes to understand where the money is moving.
We also had inflation news recently — but it didn’t make any major impact on the market.
---
📌 BTC/USDT
🔹 In the short term, BTC needs to break above 118,200 to continue the uptrend.
🔹 A correction toward 110,000 is possible.
❗️If price falls below 110,000, we should start considering a trend change and short setups.
🟢 115,000 remains a key support for now.
---
💧 USDT Dominance (USDT.D)
📊 These levels are crucial to watch: 4.44, 4.36, and 4.22
⬆️ Break above 4.44 ➤ Bearish for the market. Sign of more selling pressure.
⬇️ Break below 4.36 ➤ First sign that Bitcoin and altcoins may be finishing their correction or sideways range.
⬇️ Break below 4.22 ➤ Strong confirmation of bullish continuation across the market.
---
🟠 BTC Dominance (BTC.D)
🔻 Levels 63.31 and 63.91 were broken to the downside.
This suggests capital is rotating out of BTC — and possibly into altcoins or stablecoins (like USDT).
⚠️ Next levels to watch: 63.7 and 63.5
✅ If BTC.D continues to drop and at the same time:
TOTAL2,
TOTAL3,
and OTHERS.D are rising...
Then we can start looking for entry triggers in:
ETH
Top 10 alts
or even coins ranked 10–100, especially those bullish vs BTC pair.
These can become great entry points during market rotation.
---
📈 TOTAL Market Cap
Still bullish. Currently testing 3.58T and 3.78T levels.
🔹 Break above 3.78T = Entry trigger.
✅ As long as we hold above 3.58T, it's a sign to keep long positions open.
---
📈 TOTAL2 (Altcoin Market Cap w/o BTC)
Also bullish, facing resistance at 1.26T and 1.34T
🔹 Break above 1.34T = Strong entry signal.
✅ Holding above 1.26T confirms bullish structure and supports long positions.
---
🟢 OTHERS Dominance (OTHERS.D)
Yesterday, we saw a break above 7.60%, which explains the stronger performance in some coins ranked 10–100.
---
✅ Conclusion
If BTC.D continues to drop, look for BTC-paired coins that are showing strength.
💡 If those coins also break key USDT levels, they could be solid long setups.
📌 Bitcoin’s HWC (Daily) and MWC (4H) structures remain bullish as long as we stay above 110,000.
However, LWC (1H) is still ranging with a slight bearish bias.
---
🙏 If this analysis helped, don’t forget to hit the 🚀 icon and follow for more updates!
BTC.D dominance is close to its peakBTC.D dominance is close to its peak.
Around 70% is expected to peak
falls below 62%, end of Bitcoin BULL trend,
below 45% ALT season dominates.
Blue vertical line for 4-year cycles (halving)
Bitcoin Dominance Rebounds – Bad News for Altcoins??📊⚠️ Bitcoin Dominance Rebounds – Bad News for Altcoins? 🧨💣
Today’s chart says it clearly: Bitcoin Dominance is bouncing off support at the edge of its ascending channel. This rebound zone around 64.58–64.64% has been critical — and the move up confirms it’s holding… for now.
❗ With Bitcoin itself facing heavy resistance, this dominance bounce is not good news for altcoins. In fact, it's a classic setup for capital rotating into BTC and out of alts — not the other way around.
📌 Chart Breakdown:
Biggest alt bull runs have started when BTC.D failed here — not when it rebounded
Breakout above 71.3% = serious risk of altcoin extinction
Breakdown below 62.3% = green light for altseason
🧠 As I’ve written on the chart: the END of alts comes not just from price — but from meme culture, utility decay, and market maker manipulation. That zone? 97% BTC.D. We’re not there, but we’re not heading toward freedom yet either.
🎥 Want to see how this fits into the full market picture? Watch the July 10th macro update:
👉 July 10th Market Outlook – Uncharted Waters, Uncertain Momentum
The market’s pressure is rising.
No good news from BTC.D today.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Can an alt-season occur?Hello friends..
The area marked in Bitcoin dominance is an important area for market rotation, now what does market rotation mean?
That is, if Bitcoin dominance is corrected, we can see altcoins grow more than Bitcoin.
That is, in this period, the profit of altcoins will be greater than Bitcoin.
Bullish Altcoins · BTC.D Highest Bearish Volume Since Feb 2021The altcoins market is about to have its strongest and biggest bullish cycle since 2021, or possible ever. We are entering the strongest altcoins season in the history of the Cryptocurrency market.
Good morning my fellow Cryptocurrency trader, I hope you are having a wonderful day.
Bitcoin will continue growing, that's old news but let's start by getting this out of the way.
The altcoins are already waking up from major lows and all-time lows and what follows is something hard to comprehend. The hottest bull market ever for the altcoins. Bitcoin is already far ahead.
On the 14th of July BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance Index) produced the highest volume bar in more than three years, since February 2021. This happened after a double-top and only after a drop was already confirmed. In this way this signal carries extra-strength. The 14th of July session ended up closing red.
We all know that Bitcoin Dominance Index goes down only when the altcoins move up. The fact that we have the highest volume in years on a daily basis signals the start of the altcoins market major bull-run. Sustained growth for months and months and months.
Get ready and be prepared. The confirmation is already in place.
The altcoins market is heating up. Crypto is going up.
The wait is over.
Namaste.
BTC DOMINANCE Looks Bearish (1D)Bitcoin Dominance seems to have completed its bullish structure.
An order block is forming and has been broken to the downside, a trigger line has been lost, and wave g has come to an end.
If Tether dominance also declines, altcoins may remain in the green.
The 62 level is the target drop zone for this index.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Dominance breaking down signals Altseason is here !!There is no doubt in my mind that an Altseason is now in progress !
The May2025 low has been taken out.
Now things will start accelerating.
We could have a backtest of the resistance at 63.13 % (dotted fuxia line).
But we also could not !!
BTC Dominance at Critical Breakdown Point: Alts Could Shine NextBTC Dominance is now testing a major support zone for few days. A confirmed breakdown here could unlock significant strength for altcoins in the near term.
Chart Overview:
• Price has consistently made lower highs (LH) and recently printed a lower low (LL).
• After a failed bullish retest at 64.80%, it's back at the critical 64.46% support, which:
→ Aligns with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement
→ Sits on top of a long-standing demand zone (marked in blue)
Bearish Continuation Bias:
• If this 64.46% zone breaks, the next downside targets lie at:
• 63.99% (0.5 Fib)
• 63.51% - 63.38% (0.618–0.65 golden zone)
• The yellow arrow path shows expected continuation in case of a confirmed breakdown.
What This Means for Traders: 📌
• A drop in BTC Dominance often coincides with altcoin rallies.
• A clean breakdown below 64.4% may fuel rotation from BTC into ALTs, especially in mid caps and L1 ecosystems.
BTC DOMINANCE? Just wait few days guys It seems that Bitcoin dominance , after a long and exhausting uptrend, is finally showing signs of fatigue. The momentum appears to be fading, and a new downtrend has already begun. As you can observe, both the long-term and short-term trendlines have been broken on the daily timeframe, clearly indicating that Bitcoin dominance is shifting into a downtrend.
So, after waiting patiently for so long, hold on just a little bit more. A few more days of patience could change everything. Once dominance starts to fall, the altcoin index will rise, and your favorite altcoins will begin to pump rapidly.
Don’t lose hope. Stay alert. The tides are about to turn in your favor.
Yes, I agree—this time Bitcoin dominance tested everyone’s patience far more than usual. But that’s the nature of the market. It will always push you to your limits, make you sell at a loss, and then move exactly where you expected it to go.
Bitcoin DOMINANCE dropssssBTC dominance has been within a rising channel since October 2023, showing a significant bearish divergence on the weekly RSI. After the seventh rejection from the channel's top, it may drop to the major support at 48%.
BTC.D UPDATEShould finally be about time. Wow. Cliff edge just waiting to happen.
Not financial advice
BTC DOMINANCE DOWNTREND STARTEDBitcoin dominance has officially broken its uptrend, signaling a potential shift in market dynamics. Altcoins may be gearing up for a stronger move as capital starts to flow out of BTC. Stay tuned for what this could mean for the broader crypto market.
Bitcoin Dominance Found The Top; ALTcoin Dominance Stepping InHello Crypto traders! BTC.Dominance is falling in an impulsive fashion after we spotted the top within the wedge pattern. Now that is trading in wave (v) of a five-wave impulse from the highs, it just confirms a bearish reversal, which indicates that ALTcoin dominance is stepping in. And with still bullish Crypto market, we might be in the ALTseason.
BTC.D – Distribution Confirmed. Is the Final Altseason Next?Over the past couple of months, I’ve been tracking the development of a potential high time frame (HTF) Wyckoff distribution range forming on BTC Dominance (BTC.D), and it’s now looking like that structure is starting to break down.
Back on June 14th, I noted that while we hadn’t confirmed a trend shift yet, BTC.D was showing strength and likely to push into the 65% region, with altcoin weakness to follow. The very next day, I shared my idea of a potential Wyckoff distribution forming — and since then, it’s followed that path almost perfectly.
🧠 What’s Happened Since?
✅ Sweep of the HTF range high at ~65%
✅ Second deviation of the highs
✅ Volume divergence into supply — declining volume + strong rejection candles
✅ Formation of a UTAD (Upthrust After Distribution)
✅ 1D bearish market structure break after the sweep
✅ Price now back inside the range
This is textbook distribution behaviour — even if it doesn’t follow the Wyckoff schematic to the letter, the key elements are present: deviation, volume drop-off, and structural breakdown.
🔮 What Comes Next?
BTC.D is currently holding inside a prior unmitigated daily demand, but given the structural shift, I’m expecting:
A pullback to 65–65.5% (daily supply + range high retest)
Then a continuation bearish, targeting:
🔸 49% (prior accumulation range high)
🔻 46% (FVG fill + range breakout retest)
These lower targets align with where I expect altcoins to top out — so as BTC.D breaks down, I expect capital to rotate hard into ETH and alts, triggering the final phase of altseason before the macro cycle top.
⚠️ Why This Matters
This distribution range has been developing since late 2024, and with BTC.D now showing bearish market structure, combined with:
- ETH.D flipping bullish
- OTHERS.D pushing higher
- Stablecoin dominance pairs breaking down
…we’re seeing confluence across the board for a risk-on altcoin environment.
I believe this is the setup that leads to the final euphoric altcoin rotation before the 4-year cycle top prints later this year.
📌 Watch for the retest. Watch for the rejection. The breakdown will be fast.
This is the window — time to stay sharp.
Let me know in the comments if you’ve been tracking this too, or drop your altcoin rotation picks.
— Marshy 🔥
1D:
3D:
1W:
1M:
