BTC Dominance โ Critical Breakdown ConfirmedBitcoin Dominance has officially broken below the long-standing rising wedge structure, signaling a significant shift in market momentum. This pattern, which had held strong since December 2024, has now failed โ and thatโs a big deal.
After the breakdown, BTC.D temporarily bounced but was rejected on the retest of the wedgeโs lower boundary, confirming the breakdown as valid. This retest-then-drop scenario is a textbook bearish continuation signal.
Not only did BTC.D lose the rising trendline, but it also failed to hold the horizontal support zone near 63%โ62%, which acted as a key floor for months. Now, with price heading lower, Bitcoin's dominance is clearly weakening, and thatโs bullish for altcoins.
What this means:
Bitcoin is losing control of market share.
Altcoins may start gaining serious traction, especially mid and low caps.
If BTC.D drops below 60%, we could see an acceleration of capital rotation into altcoins โ a classic start to an altseason.
BTC.D trade ideas
BTC.DBTC.D
The chart is in an uptrend and had a correction.. ERC bearish candles which indicate a head and shoulders
Ahead targets 64.21 or 64.51 or 65
If the correction starts from this area it is a sign of alt season and can be up to the support area of โโ57.75
If it does not correct from this area it can be from the resistance area of โโhead and shoulders 75.35 which is a sign of alt season and can be up to the support area of โโ57.75
Bitcoin Dominance Pullback Explained,Beginner Friendly AnalysisLetโs talk about whatโs happening with Bitcoin Dominance, or BTC.D โ and what it could mean for altcoins right now.
So, Bitcoin Dominance recently made a strong move upward. That means Bitcoin gained more market control compared to other cryptocurrencies. But now, itโs starting to slow down a bit and retrace โ which simply means it's pulling back after a strong move.
When this happens, many altcoin trades hit their targets โ or what we call take-profit levels โ and now, a lot of them are getting ready for new buy entries. This is an important phase, especially if you're someone who trades altcoins.
Right now, I see three possible scenarios for Bitcoin Dominance:
๐น First Scenario: BTC Dominance pulls back just a little more, touches a key level โ marked as Arrow #2 on the chart โ and then bounces back up from there.
๐น Second Scenario: The retracement goes a bit deeper, touching the lower level โ Arrow #1 โ before possibly reversing.
๐น Third Scenario: BTC Dominance breaks below Arrow #1. That would mean the earlier breakdown was fake, and we might see a quick recovery upward.
Now, in my personal opinion, the first two scenarios are more likely. We may either see a bounce soon or a slightly deeper retracement before Bitcoin Dominance heads back up again.
โ
For altcoin traders, this is a great time to watch the market closely. Many altcoins are resetting and could give fresh buy opportunities soon. But don't rush in โ wait for solid confirmation signals.
As a beginner, just remember:
Markets move in cycles. Itโs not just about buying or selling quickly. It's about timing and understanding the bigger picture.
๐ง The best traders are not the fastest โ theyโre the most prepared.
๐ข Quick disclaimer before we finish:
This is not financial advice. Iโm sharing my personal thoughts for educational purposes only. Always do your own research before trading or investing. Crypto can be risky โ so take your time, learn, and grow step by step.
Thanks so much for listening โ and Iโll catch you in the next update!
Is Bitcoin dominance finally starting to crack?Is #Bitcoin dominance finally starting to crack?
I think weโre getting the first real signal.
๐ After a strong run, BTC CRYPTOCAP:BTC dominance has rejected from major resistance and started to pull back. Even when adjusted for stablecoins, weโre seeing the same early signs of weakness.
๐ Historically, this kind of shift has been a precursor to capital rotation into altcoins. We might still be far from full-blown altcoin euphoria, but this could be the beginning of a transition from a BTC-led market to a broader risk-on phase, especially when the market starts pricing in a rate cut.
๐ก Keep in mind: the biggest alt runs tend to come when BTC consolidates near highs while dominance fades. If this move confirms, it might be time to prepare.
Bitcoin Dominance $BTC.D just bounced off the 62.0%Bitcoin Dominance just bounced off the 62.0% zone and held the 100 EMA.
Altcoins had a moment โ but the tide may be turning.
๐ Pullback held above key demand (61.0%โ61.5%)
๐ Now reclaiming 62.7% with EMAs curling up
๐ฅ Break above 63.5% = renewed pressure on alts
Bitcoin Dominance Double Resistance โ Altcoin Breakout Ahead?Bitcoin Dominance Double Resistance โ Altcoin Breakout Ahead?
Post with Emojis:
๐๐ Bitcoin Dominance Double Resistance โ Altcoin Breakout Ahead? ๐๐
Hey Traders!
BTC Dominance just hit a critical confluence of resistance at the top of the ascending channel (62.82% to 63.53%) and is already showing early signs of rejection. History tells us this zone doesnโt hold for longโcheck the left side of the chart for past failures!
๐ What This Means:
If dominance rolls over here, expect altcoins to finally break free and start outperforming. ๐ฑ
Watch for a key breakdown below 62.32% to officially kick off the next wave of altcoin dominance.
Targets for dominance on the downside: 59%, 56.9%, and possibly even 54% over the coming weeks.
๐ Probability Outlook:
โ
70% chance BTC dominance gets rejectedโaltcoin rally ahead! ๐
โ 30% chance dominance breaks higherโremain cautious on alts.
This is the moment weโve been waiting for. Altseason isnโt declared yetโbut the gates might just be opening!
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR ๐
Altseason Has Been Started (But I Am Not Sure...)Hello, Skyrexans!
Let's carefully make update on CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D because previous analysis where I bet for local top slightly above 65% is playing out even stronger than I supposed. Today I will show you why altseason could be already started, why I am not sure and where is the critical level.
Earlier I told that daily time frame does not suit for this Elliott waves cycle measurement, but we have 155 bars there, slightly above 140 bars, so we can count it as a valid. Moreover we can see zero line cross on Awesome Oscillator, but again only slightly. That's why I am not sure if uptrend on dominance is over or we shall wait for earlier predicted wave to 67%. But anyway I am sure that 60-61% will be reached before, so it was not a mistake to be in altcoins from 65.3%. When price will reach Fibonacci level we will see how it will approach it and make a decision about our altcoin's holdings.
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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Start of the Altcoin Rally - (not Altcoin Season)My analysis approach involves applying the Fibonacci function. I use the trend-based Fib extension to determine the target level, and the Fib retracement to determine the correction level. I also utilize the Elliott wave principle. Both produce the result shown. For clarity, I'm representing the A-C wave in turquoise, drawn from the (0) point to the (A) point to the (B) point to the (C) point. Beforehand, I drew the trend-based Fib from the (0) point to the (A) point to the (B) point, which then represents the area (target level) in green, yellow, and red. When the price reaches the target level (ZL), the Fib retracement is drawn from the (0) point to the (C) point, which then represents the potential correction level. The result shows that the price reached the 1.618 Fibonacci level (green line) at 65.30%, followed immediately by a countermovement to the south, which likely caused the altcoins to pump. However, I believe that the altcoin season only started when the (0) point was broken. Before that, I expect a reaction to the north when the (0) point is reached, eventually reaching the 0.783 Fibonacci level (purple line). After that, it's off to the south. I would describe the end of the altcoin season in a separate idea.
Bitcoin Dominance is testing the monthly 100 EMA โ and stalling.Bitcoin Dominance is testing the monthly 100 EMA โ and stalling.
Price action shows clear hesitation at a key macro level.
If this holds, alts could catch a bid for the first time in months.
Break it? Altcoins stay sidelined.
Critical moment for market rotation.
4 X Crypto Dominance charts showing Where the money goingCRYPTO MARKET DOMINANCE CHARTS
These are 4 hour charts, showing PA from Mid April to now.
BTC.D - ETH.D
OTHERS.D - USDT.D
RED line = 50 SMA
BTC.D - Dips, Showing money flow into other Assets. PA has fallen below the 50 SMA and yet the price has remained static above 100K. The fact that the Dominance chart is dropping is more a sign of the increase in Selling, Profit taking and the increase in Dominance of other Assets and the fact that the price is unchanged, slightly higher, also shows the demand for BTC remains strong.
ETH.D - Climb showing some ETH recovery though no where near the climb that Bitcoin has made. The ETH Dominace can also be reflecting the increased Dominance of ALTS on the ETH network. In the last 24 hours, The ETH dominance has Fallen slightly
OTHERS.D - Rapid climb - Top 125 coins minus the Top 10 ny market dominance.
MID to LOW Cap ALTS taking most of the Money. This will include all ALTS on any Vlockchain, including the TH network. Some Massive gains here signaling ALT Season though I am uncertain how long this will ast.
BE CAUTIOUS
USDT.D Drops showing money leaving Stable coins and moving to Assets. When stable coins get sold off, it is a sign of confidence in the market, Foe me, MOST of the money flowing into ALTS right now are coming from the Stable coin sell off
As I mentioned just now, I remain cautious about this right now,
Watch that BTC.D like a Hawk because THAT is the signal of change in this.
The Table below explains ( sorry for the formatting )
BTC.D- BTC - ALTS
increase- increase- Decrease
increase- Decrease- Decrease Rapid
increase- Stable- Stable
Decrease- Increase- Increase Rapid
Decrease -Decrease- Decrease / Stable
Decrease -Stable- Increase
Welcome to ALT SEASON (Real) | BTC.D & ETH/BTCCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is rejecting off 2021 POI and deviating this cycle's high having just closed the weekly under 64%. Coupled with CRYPTOCAP:ETH strength showing signs of a trend reversal after downtrending for 4-year against $BTC. Likely see CRYPTOCAP:ETH trade upwards of US$5000 this year as ETH outperforms BTC.
BTC DOMINANCE MAY 11 2025 may 11 2025.Sunday
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photos notes
BTC Dominance New Update (12H)This analysis is an update of the analysis you see in the "Related publications" section
We had a bullish diametric for Bitcoin, and it seems that the price has reached the highest point of this diametric. Wave E of this diametric, which is a bullish wave, is nearing its end.
We refer to this as the highest point because Wave G might not reach the peak of Wave E.
We expect a rejection from the red box, and this rejection could be very strong. Smaller altcoins could experience a significant pump.
A daily candle closing above the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin Dominance Important UpdateHello, Skyrexians!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D showed rapid decrease and as a result we have some changes in the analysis. Hope you remember the yellow Elliott waves cycle which according to my previous analysis was not finished. But now looking at the Awesome Oscillator I changed my mind and now we in the higher degree wave 4.
We will switch from 12h time frame to the daily and can see that wave 4 is already in progress. This wave is going to be ABC shaped and in my opinion reach 0.5 Fibonacci level at 61% or even lower to 60%. Then the final wave 5 will reach 67%. Wait for the update I will tell you when wave 4 is finished.
Best regards,
Ivan Skyrexio
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