Bitcoin Dominance Update – Key Levels in Play!Hey Traders!
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BTC Dominance is testing a major resistance zone after a sustained rally from late 2024. The structure is showing signs of exhaustion near the 64-65% zone.
🔶 Pattern: Rising wedge breakdown
🔶 Current Action: Retesting broken support zone as resistance
🔶 Key Resistance: 64.5% - 65%
🔶 Rejection zone: Strong supply sitting overhead
Why this matters for Altcoins:
A rejection from this zone could open the door for capital rotation into altcoins.
BTC dominance stalling = potential for ETH, SOL, and midcaps to gain momentum.
If dominance goes down, it may keep altcoin rallies capped for now.
Monitor closely — dominance breakdowns often align with altseason rotations.
💡 Stay patient, stay prepared.
BTC.D trade ideas
BTC Dominance – Rising Wedge Breakdown UnfoldingCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is showing clear signs of weakness as it slips from the rising wedge pattern on the 4-hour timeframe 📉.
The real drama, however, lies on the weekly timeframe, where the same pattern is stretching its limits. A weekly breakdown here could flip the entire script in favor of altcoins 🚀.
Keep an eye on these levels — the market could be hinting at a turning point for the altcoin season! 🌟
Altseason might be closer than you think...Hello Traders 🐺
I know this chart might look familiar to some of you—but honestly, I have to say this is one of the cleanest and most textbook-perfect setups I've ever seen in my professional career. Everything is lining up so beautifully that it almost feels like it’s straight out of a technical analysis course 📘
Let’s start with the RSI:
As you can see, there's a well-defined descending channel on the RSI. What’s interesting is that this channel is in bearish divergence with the BTC.D chart—and it’s been playing out for 742 days (yes, almost 2 years). That aligns perfectly with the fact that Altcoins, even ETH, have been in a prolonged bear market with no serious breakout yet.
📊
But what does that really mean?
Typically, a bearish divergence like this signals that the dominant trend is losing momentum.
And now, BTC.D is testing a major weekly downtrend resistance (the blue line). Once BTC.D loses its first support, we might see a domino effect, where other key support levels break one after another... leading us right into Altcoin Season 🔥
🔍 Let’s talk levels:
📉
On the daily chart, BTC Dominance is potentially forming a Head & Shoulders pattern.
If it breaks down from the channel, we can expect a strong reaction—especially in large-cap Altcoins.
🧠 When does Altseason end?
Good question—and a tough one.
But here’s my take: It's smart to set profit-taking levels before the euphoria kicks in. When everything is pumping, it gets emotionally hard to hit that sell button 💸
If you want my honest opinion:
When BTC.D reaches around 48%, that’s a solid level to take profits on at least 50% of your alt positions.
Why? Because from that zone, there’s a high chance BTC.D will bounce hard, and that could trigger a brutal Altcoin correction 🩸
I hope you found this idea useful!
And as always, never forget our golden rule:
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable, but almost always profitable. 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN
BTC dominance : In decline CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D COINBASE:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTC dominance did a first big down move , followed by a correction upward.
This correction cames in bearich ascending triangle.
Today , this triangle has been broken.
I expect the dominance to break the 61.9%.
The same pattern is spotted on CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
As well as the liquidity doen't go back to bank accounts, the altcoins may benefit from this liquidity shift. The final bullish wave on altcoins will continue.
Happy profit taking !
BTC.D forecast until Autust 2025This is an update of previously made forecast.
Now is a reversal week. Some alts may start running this week. But the main alts bullrun will start next week. Altseason will come in waves as usually with main events happening in July-August 2025.
Some lagging altcoins in the outskirts of crypto markets may show incredible profits in the end of August and will mark the end of 2025 summer altseason.
Don't get driven away, don't use leverage. In September we may see DXY reversal and bear market start. This will be epic for leverage and making fortunes.
For 1D charts look my Profile 'Also on'
BTC Dominance looking real heavy up hereWouldn't be surprised in the least if we see a freefall on BTC Dominance over the next few months.
Of course there is no guarantee, and things may look different in a month, however as it stands, I think there is a potential ALT cycle on the cards for 2025.
RSI needs a reset, amongst other things.
Chart Pattern Analysis Of BTC.D
After a three years bull market,
The recent candles verified a continuous strong supply pressure.
I am expecting a doji candle of K5 or K6 to terminate the bull market here.
If K5 and K6 couldn’t close upon K4,
It is likely that the resistance will push the market to test the support.
Perhaps a bear market will start here.
At the same time,
Other crypto coins may do better than Bitcoin.
BTC Dominance still bullishIf you see , the bitcoin dominance still in uptrend , based open the fib on long term maybe can reach 1.68 on 66% and 2. 618 on around 73-74% . and in 4h (swing) can approach 65% let's see. This is crazy season where alt don't have a room to breath also so many tokens launches everyday. This season is not the same anymore
BTC Dominance Breaks Rising Wedge – Resistance in FocusCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D has powerfully broken out from the rising wedge on the 4-hour chart 🚀, now testing key resistance levels with confidence 🔥.
This move signals a potential shift in market control, often meaning money flows back into BTC even when altcoin hype runs wild 😎.
Altcoins, watch closely—will you rally or fade into the background? The next chapters in this dominance battle are unfolding 👀.
Stay tuned for what’s next in the crypto arena!
BTC.D (Dominance at Critical Fibonacci Confluence) 2025 Weekly
**Summary:**
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) is testing a major Fibonacci confluence near the 66% level. This zone historically acts as a major pivot and may signal either a continued dominance rally or a potential reversal setting the stage for altseason. We use three layered Fibonacci retracements to outline dominant trend zones, key resistances, and projected targets.
**Chart Context:**
This chart uses **three distinct Fibonacci retracements** to map the historical and projected behavior of BTC dominance:
1. **Primary Fib** (100% to 0%): Captures the macro move from BTC.D \~100% down to its 0% level at \~0%, which aligns with the first altseason (2018–2019).
2. **Secondary Fib** (100% to 38.88%): Maps the first bearish wave to identify potential recovery levels. BTC.D retraced up to the 61.8% (\~73.68%) but failed to break further.
3. **Third or the Current Fib** (73.68% to 38.88%): Maps the latest bearish fall in BTC.D. As of now, BTC.D is hovering at the 78.6% retracement level of this move, indicating heavy resistance.
**Key Technical Observations:**
* **1st TP (Resistance):** 66% — Strong Fibonacci confluence zone:
* Fib2 48.6% ≈ Fib3 78.6%
* Major reversal zone historically
* **2nd TP (Support):** 52.25% — Multi-Fib confluence:
* Fib1 48.6%, Fib2 61.8%, Fib3 38.2%
* **3rd TP (Ultimate Support):** 38.88% — Historical BTC.D bottom, aligned with the first altseason.
* Intermediate Fibonacci confluences between 48%–60% serve as layered support during decline phases.
**Indicators:**
* No external indicators used; pure multi-frame Fibonacci confluence.
* Price action structure and historical patterns highlight potential market rotation zones.
**Fundamental Context:**
The current phase of the market reflects increasing speculative activity in altcoins while Bitcoin consolidates. Historically, high BTC.D correlates with Bitcoin-led rallies, while a sharp drop often triggers altseason.
* Growing inflows into ETH, SOL, and possible now XRP, and mid-cap alts suggest capital rotation.
* If BTC.D faces rejection from 66%, the market could enter a new altseason phase.
* Macro tailwinds (e.g., easing monetary policy, risk-on sentiment) support altcoin performance in the medium term.
**Philosophical or Narrative View:**
BTC.D acts as a barometer of market risk preference. As confidence expands beyond Bitcoin, money flows into altcoins—like tributaries branching off the main river. The rejection from major confluences signals this psychological shift, marking phases of creative decentralization.
**Related Reference Charts:**
* TOTAL3 Fibonacci Setup (Altcoin market excluding BTC & ETH):
* TOTAL2 Correction Probabilities:
**Bias & Strategy Implication:**
* **Primary Bias:** Bearish rejection from 66% followed by correction to 52% and potentially 38.88%.
* **Alternative Scenario:** Brief breach above 66% before reversal.
* Traders may consider rotating into altcoin exposure if BTC.D confirms reversal at the confluence zone.
**Time Horizon:**
* Mid to Long Term (1–6 months outlook)
* Weekly timeframe tracking
**Notes & Disclaimers:**
* This analysis is for educational purposes. Market conditions may evolve rapidly.
* Use proper risk management when acting on dominance signals.
Biggest Altcoin Season of this Bull Cycle is Coming! As you can see, there is a Massive Ascending Broadening Wedge forming on the #Bitcoin Dominance!
Currently dominance is located almost near the top of the wedge. More likely we will see its ascend up to 67% which will be marked as top before the dump.
The breakdown of this wedge will signal a beginning of a HUGE Altcoin Season (comparable to Autumn of 2021 or Autumn of 2023) when not only small cap, but major altcoins will be sent to new highs. With high probability it will begin in August and will last till December this year.
Mark my words & be prepared for the last opportunity of this bull cycle!
BTC.D can it go up for ever?BTC.D: A Long-Term Weekly Analysis of Bitcoin Dominance
This post is about the overall long-term trend of BTC.D, not the day-to-day action. All analysis is based on the weekly timeframe.
Fundamental Catalysts for a Trend Change
A significant downturn in Bitcoin Dominance would likely be preceded by a combination of these factors:
US Rate Cuts: An increase in market liquidity from easier monetary policy could fuel a
broader crypto rally, benefiting altcoins.
Shift in Retail Interest: A rotation of attention towards altcoins, which can be tracked by
crypto-related content views. (Note: The rise of AI Search may alter how we track this
compared to traditional Google search metrics).
"Bitcoin is Expensive" Sentiment: As BTC's price becomes psychologically high for retail
investors, they often look for higher potential returns in lower-priced altcoins.
Technical Readout (Weekly Chart)
1. Price Action & 50 SMA
So far, I'm not seeing any signs of a trend change in the price action itself. A decisive break and hold below the 50-week SMA would be a strong indicator of a major trend change. However, other indications will likely appear before that happens.
2. MACD Indicator
Currently, even a bearish MACD crossover on this timeframe would not be enough to confidently signal a larger trend reversal. It could easily just be part of a short-term pullback or consolidation.
3. Diagonal Trendline On RSI
A failure to move above the yellow diagonal trendline could be an early sign of weakness. However, on its own, this is not a strong indicator and requires other signals for confirmation.
4. Stochastic RSI
There is nothing worth mentioning on the Stochastic RSI at this time; it is not providing a clear signal.
Disclaimer:
The information provided in this post is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or a solicitation to buy or sell any financial instruments. All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, market, or trading strategy does not guarantee future results. I am not a financial advisor. Please conduct your own thorough research and consult with a qualified financial professional before making any investment decisions. You are solely responsible for any investment decisions you make.
Diamond on the Daily
Diamond on the Daily after an extended uptrend could signal a potential reversal in the very near future. Resistance on the Daily (blue line) would make this Diamond Pattern complete. Anything can happen, and usually does lol, but we could see a significant pullback. Time will tell!
Why disappointed? Btc Dominance update here Just Trust the process
BTC DOMINANCE last leg
You can see here BTC Dominance already broked it's uptrend and started it's downtrend it is just taking a move up to retest.
Soon you will see if after touching the black box area it breaks the structure on lower time frame get ready for huge Altseason 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀 🚀
Don't worry it's just a pull back
Only the strongest will survive
This is the beauty of the Market
Hold your horses good days are waiting for you
They just want you to sell and get disappointed.
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BTC Dominance New Update (12H)We are truly at a critical point for Bitcoin dominance.
It’s possible that the main drop in Bitcoin dominance has already begun. If the green zone is lost, dominance could experience a deep decline, especially since the final wave of this diametric pattern | wave G | has touched the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
That said, there’s still a chance that the green zone might once again push the price near the previous high before we witness the drop in dominance. However, there are also signs suggesting that the main drop may have already started. Follow the chart closely and monitor it with precision.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You