BTCETH.P trade ideas
BTC/USD: Rejection from 123,000 Triggers Correction Market Overview:
Bitcoin surged to the 123,000 resistance zone, completing a potential ABC bullish pattern. The price has since pulled back sharply, indicating the start of a correction. Current price action suggests consolidation within the 116,600 – 123,000 range, as traders lock in profits and reassess direction.
Technical Signals & Formations:
— ABC bullish pattern completed at the top
— Strong weekly resistance at 123,000
— Horizontal support at 116,600 acting as key pivot
— EMA(144) far below, suggesting room for deeper correction if weakness persists
Key Levels:
Resistance: 123,000, 126,000
Support: 116,600, 113,800, 113,000, 110,580
Scenario:
Primary: continued pullback toward 116,600. A breakdown below this level may lead to further downside targeting 113,800–113,000.
Alternative: stabilization within the range, followed by a rebound and potential retest of 123,000.
Bitcoin Ascends into the Clear Sky: Structural Break Confirmed.⊣
⟁ BTC/USD - BINANCE - (CHART: 1D) - (Jul 14, 2025).
◇ Analysis Price: $121,662.29.
⊣
⨀ I. Temporal Axis - Strategic Interval - (1D):
▦ EMA9 - ($115,313.08):
∴ The EMA9 is aggressively sloped upward, serving as dynamic support during the latest expansion phase.
✴️ Conclusion: Bullish control confirmed; momentum is guided tightly by the EMA9 anchor.
⊣
▦ EMA21 - ($111,636.30):
∴ EMA21 remains positively inclined, acting as a structural trend base beneath price and volume clusters.
✴️ Conclusion: Market remains structurally sound as long as price stays above the 21-day mean.
⊣
▦ Volume + EMA21 - (Volume: 497.79 BTC - EMA21: 262 BTC):
∴ Volume surge surpasses the rolling average, confirming institutional participation and breakout legitimacy.
✴️ Conclusion: Volume expansion validates price movement - no signs of divergence or exhaustion detected.
⊣
▦ RSI + EMA9 - (RSI: 77.99 - EMA9: 68.49):
∴ RSI has entered overbought territory, yet its trajectory remains upward and wide above its smoothing band.
✴️ Conclusion: Bullish momentum sustained; overbought conditions not yet reversing.
⊣
▦ MACD - (9, 21, 9) + EMA's smoothing:
∴ MACD: 3,271.60 | Signal: 2,013.81 | Divergence: +1,257.79;
∴ The MACD line is expanding positively over its signal, confirming momentum acceleration.
✴️ Conclusion: Technical conviction favors bullish continuation; signal remains clean and unsaturated.
⊣
▦ Ichimoku Cloud - (9, 26, 52, 26):
∴ Price is decisively above the Kumo cloud - “Clear Sky” territory;
∴ Senkou Span A = 121,653.30 | Senkou Span B = 112,486.54;
∴ Tenkan and Kijun lines are sharply elevated, confirming trend authority.
✴️ Conclusion: Zero resistance above; cloud projection supports further upward development.
⊣
🜎 Strategic Insight - Technical Oracle:
∴ All indicators are aligned in a rare harmonic convergence, signaling trend expansion with no current topping structure;
∴ Market shows the behavior of an advanced impulse wave entering Phase II expansion;
∴ Strategic play remains bullish - pullbacks, if any, should be shallow and fast.
⊣
𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation:
∴ Structurally Bullish – Tactically Advancing
⊢
⧉
Cryptorvm Dominvs · ⚜️ MAGISTER ARCANVM ⚜️ · Vox Primordialis
⌬ - Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy - ⌬
⧉
⊢
BTC TOP AND BEARISH AND CONTUNITY PREDICTION This chart is purely based on technical analysis. The RSI is still not oversold on the monthly chart, which means there might be a little more upside to this. But from the trendline, a serious reversal appears due. I could be wrong, but we'll all see. Profit taking may commence bit by bit.
$BTC - Bitcoin Elliot Wave Analysis UpdateHello fellow gamblers,
Bitcoin hit my target zone and we could now see a retracement for Wave 4 or a bullish continuation into ATH.
I am also bringing a new update on Bitcoin and showing you all an alternative count that could take us way above our current targets.
- If we do have a Wave 4 retracement, I'm expecting price to find support at that 116.7k level.
- Levels to watch: 116.7k, 112k-110.4k
Balla is still Bullish on BITCOIN. Cup & Handle pattern. The trend is still our friend.
I still see bullish developments in the price action.
We must have patience.
Dips still must be bought.
The plan hasn't changed.
We still aiming for that time period of 9 -15 months post #BTC Halving.
We are only one month down :)
Bitcoin - Bitcoin, Unrivaled in the Market!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its ascending channel. Bitcoin’s current upward momentum has the potential to reach the target of $130,000. If it corrects, Bitcoin buying opportunities can be sought from the specified demand zones.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand area.
In recent days, Bitcoin has managed to set a new historical high by crossing the $118,000 level; a jump that followed the strong accumulation of institutional capital, the upward trend of spot ETFs and the remarkable consolidation of such indices. This growth is not only the result of technical conditions or short-term market excitement, but is a clear reflection of the structural maturity of the Bitcoin ecosystem in the second half of 2025. A careful and comprehensive examination of the fundamental parameters shows that Bitcoin is moving differently than in the past: slower, but with much stronger support. On the other hand, more than $205 million in Bitcoin short selling positions have been liquidated following the jump in the price of Bitcoin and its crossing the $122,000 level.
First, the flow of investment from Bitcoin spot ETFs has broken records over the past week. In one day, more than $1.18 billion entered these funds, and the total annual inflow of these financial instruments has reached more than $51 billion. This is while ETFs such as IBIT (managed by BlackRock) and FBTC (managed by Fidelity) are attracting hundreds of Bitcoins daily, without causing any negative divergence in price indices. This phenomenon clearly shows that the participation of institutional investors through regulated channels is not only stable, but also accelerating. Along with this flow of capital, the parameters of the chain also paint a picture of a market with a balance of supply and demand. The MVRV ratio, an indicator for measuring market profitability, fluctuates between 2.2 and 2.34, meaning that the market is in a reasonably profitable state, but is still some way from the warning zone of profit saturation. Meanwhile, long-term holders (LTHs) are also continuing to accumulate. Long-term wallet holdings have reached a record high of 14.7 million BTC, representing nearly 70% of the total supply. In the last quarter alone, more than 13,000 BTC have been added to this group’s reserves.
On the other hand, the SOPR indicator, which measures realized profit ratio, shows that profit-taking is taking place at a gentle slope in the market, away from heavy selling pressure. This logical trend of profit-taking is a testament to mature investor behavior. Bitcoin flows to exchanges are also at very low levels; Bitcoin held on exchanges now account for just 1.25% of the total supply—the lowest level in over a decade. This significant reduction in potential selling pressure has kept Bitcoin’s price stable in the face of short-term volatility.
Behaviorally, the market is also showing signs of maturation. The number of daily active addresses has remained stable, but unlike during the buying frenzy, we are no longer seeing retail traders rushing into exchanges or mass wallet outflows. In other words, on-chain activity has stabilized, similar to the behavior of traditional mature markets—markets driven by data and structure, not emotion. From a macro perspective, the outlook for Bitcoin in the medium term is also positive. Many analysts and institutions, including Global X ETFs, see Bitcoin’s growth to $200,000 within the next 12 months as achievable. Technical analysis from some sources has also outlined the $140,000 range as the next price target in the next 100 days, provided that the VIX volatility index remains low and macroeconomic data maintains its current trajectory. However, a more conservative scenario sees a price consolidation in the $95,000-$100,000 range if geopolitical pressures increase or ETF inflows weaken.
Overall, Bitcoin is moving ahead in the summer of 2025 not only on the back of crypto market excitement, but also on the back of strong fundamentals and structured institutional capital inflows. Accumulation by long-term holders, a steady decline in supply on exchanges, a reasonable profit-taking balance, and a formal investment structure via ETFs have all combined to bring the market to a stable state and ready for further increases. If this trend holds, levels of $125,000-$140,000 in the short term, and a range of $180,000-$200,000 by the end of the year, are not far off!
On the other hand, BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) managed to record the fastest growth in history among all ETFs, surpassing $80 billion in assets in just 374 days! For comparison, it should be noted that the S&P500 Index ETF needed about 5 times this time! BlackRock now holds about 706,000 Bitcoins (equivalent to 56% of the total ETF share).
BTC PRICE PROJECTION ANALYSIS. HOW MUCH FURTHER UPSIDE???In this video, I'm just excited to see the cup and handle analysis done on October 19th, 2024 reach it's target. It's amazing!
I decided to do some predictive analysis using Elliott wave concept and Fibonacci extensions to see how far Bitcoin will go.
I am convinced that on the timeframe analyzed, this is onto a wave 5 and so pullbacks are going to be a great opportunity to grab some while a lot people will think this is madness.
My cup and handle analysis and targets getting hit has taught me a great lesson to always look at the bigger picture while taking advantage of the micro view.
Cheer to all the longs and Bitcoin believers. With only 1.11 Million Bitcoin available for grabs and Institutional confidence behind the asset, I am confident the projected price targets are highly likely and in sight soon.
BTC: Next price Halving 📊Analysis by AhmadArz: #BTCUSD
By calculating the price growth in the 4-year halving time frame, we came to the conclusion that with the growth of the Bitcoin market cap, its growth will be halved and we can expect $120,000 from Bitcoin, and it is expected to grow up to 270,000 dollars in halvings.
🔗"Uncover new opportunities in the world of cryptocurrencies with AhmadArz.
💡Join us on TradingView and expand your investment knowledge with our five years of experience in financial markets."
🚀Please boost and💬 comment to share your thoughts with us!
Bitcoin May Continue Rising After Breakout📊 Market Overview:
• Bitcoin recently broke above $118,000, reaching a weekly high of $118,740, fueled by expectations of a Fed rate cut in September and strong ETF inflows into the market
• Katie Stockton from Fairlead Strategies highlights a bullish cup-and-handle pattern, supporting a potential 14% upside toward $134,500
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $120,000 – $128,500 (based on Fibonacci projection).
• Nearest Support: ~$108,300 – previous resistance turned support, along with ~$107,000 near the 50-day EMA.
• EMA 09: Price is trading above the 9-day EMA, indicating a short-term bullish trend.
• Patterns & Volume:
o A cup-and-handle breakout suggests continued upside potential.
o Rising volume on breakouts reflects strong buying interest.
o MACD is bullish, and RSI is not yet overbought — allowing further room to rise.
📌 Outlook:
Bitcoin may continue to rise in the short term if it holds above the 9-day EMA and avoids a sharp drop below the $108k–110k support zone. A break below this area could trigger a deeper correction toward $100k.
Bitcoin Still in Up-Trend Channel, Bubble Still AheadAs of July 2025 Bitcoin trades near $120 000 and every weekly close since the November 2022 low has stayed inside the same rising log-channel. The channel’s upper rail is ≈ $170 000 today and should reach ≈ $230 000 by December. A decisive breakout requires a weekly close above that rail. In previous cycles the breakout came almost exactly at the prior all-time high, but this time the 2021 ATH of $69 000 was reclaimed while price was still inside the channel. The trigger is therefore less obvious; yet if price finally closes beyond the rail, a new exponential leg is expected to begin.
Two structural shifts explain the delay. First, the channel’s slope keeps flattening: early cycles rose about 0.6 % per day on a log scale, now it is roughly 0.15 %. Second, each order-of-magnitude move demands vastly more capital, so the supply squeeze after the April 2024 halving is taking longer to translate into price.
At past tops growth multiples fell from 36× (2013) to 16× (2017) to 3.5× (2021). Extending that trend points to roughly 1.5–2× from the future breakout price. If the breakout happens near $170 000–230 000 the projected new ATH lands around $250 000–360 000, a range that lines up with the red-orange band on the updated Bitcoin Rainbow Chart.
Historically peaks follow a breakout by 9–13 months and the halving by 16–20 months, placing the most probable time window in Q4 2025. Until the weekly candle settles above the channel roof Bitcoin remains in accumulation mode and the classic blow-off phase is still ahead.