5-Step BTC Masterplan: High-Conviction Swing Trades Until Jan 26Hey Traders! 👋
I’ve built a multi-phase #Bitcoin trading strategy based on historical highs/lows and key confluence levels (trend + Fibonacci). If you're looking to ride #BTC’s volatility with clear direction and logic — this plan is for you!
💡 No overtrading. No leverage needed. Just strategic entries and patience.
👇 Check out the roadmap:
✅ 1st Move: Long #BTC — Starting NOW!
📅 Date: 9-May-25
📈 Entry: Current Market Price (CMP)
🎯 TP: 113,800
❌ SL: None (spot only)
🧠 Logic: Early breakout zone targeting resistance.
🚨 2nd Move: Short Setup
📅 Date: 15-Jul-25
📈 Entry: 113,000
🎯 TP: 80,800
🛑 SL: 121,000
🧠 Logic: Major resistance + likely correction.
✅ 3rd Move: Buy the Dip
📅 Date: 15-Oct-25
📈 Entry: 81,800
🎯 TP: 92,500
🛑 SL: 73,000
🧠 Logic: Retest of long-term support.
🚨 4th Move: Short Again
📅 Date: 2-Dec-25
📈 Entry: 91,800
🎯 TP: 61,850
🛑 SL: 101,000
🧠 Logic: Lower high, macro pullback likely.
✅ 5th Move: The Final Long!
📅 Date: 1-Jan-26
📈 Entry: 62,100
🎯 TP: 119,500
❌ SL: None (spot only)
🧠 Logic: Long-term support & trend reversal.
📊 This is not financial advice — just one trader’s structured roadmap.
🧠 Let the chart tell the story — emotions off, plan on.
💬 What do YOU think? Which move are you most aligned with? Drop your thoughts below!
👍 Like if this helped. 🔔 Follow for real-time trade updates & deeper analysis!
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #SwingTrade #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingPlan #Fibonacci #TrendReversal #HODL #BearTrap #BullTrap #Altcoins #CryptoStrategy #LongShort #SpotTrading
BTCETH.P trade ideas
Bitcoin forming a possible deep crabLast week I published a thesis that #Bitcoin might be in a #Wyckoff re-accumulation pattern and we had an ugly ass inverse head and shoulders forming as a part of it.
Well know that test on the creek formed a BC leg of a possible Deep crab. 1.618 is ~117k. Lots of confluence
Price: ~$107,900 Trend: Consolidating after a breakout from a dCurrent Setup Analysis
BTC broke out of a falling wedge pattern (red trendline) and is holding above support near $100K.
Higher lows since June indicate bullish accumulation.
The price is riding above the ascending orange trendline.
Bollinger Bands suggest potential continuation; RSI isn’t overbought.
▶️ Buy Setup (Long Bias)
Entry (Buy): Between 107,500–108,000
Stop Loss: Below 104,000 (just under trendline and BB midline)
Target 1: 110,259 (key horizontal + BB upper area)
Target 2: 112,000 (psychological resistance)
Target 3: 114,266–116,000 (Fibo 2.618 + extension zone)
Sell Setup (Short Bias) – only if rejection
Entry (Sell): If there's a clear rejection candle near 110,000–112,000
Stop Loss: Above 114,500
Target 1: 100,716
Target 2: 93,304
This is a low-probability setup unless rejection is clear.
Final Recommendation
High probability of bullish continuation (above 60%)
Prefer a buy-the-dip strategy with stop under $104K
Watch 110K area — could act as a breakout or rejection point
BTCUSD · 3D — Bearish Divergence + Volume Drop Suggest Pullback
🧠 Setup Overview
Bitcoin is showing signs of exhaustion after a parabolic rally:
Bearish divergence is visible on the 3D RSI — price made higher highs while RSI made lower highs.
Volume is shrinking with each push up, suggesting buyer momentum is fading.
Price is pressing into all-time highs without conviction, signaling potential for a pullback.
🔻 Downside Targets
Target 🎯 Level Why It Matters
Target 1 $93,300 (50% Fib) Midpoint of last impulse + first strong demand area.
Target 2 $82,500 (61.8% Fib) Volume-profile support + key confluence zone.
🔎 What Confirms the Setup?
Breakdown below $108K structure
Daily close below $105K with increasing volume
RSI losing midline support = momentum shift confirmed
❌ Invalidation
Daily close > $112K with strong volume = idea invalid
Would suggest continuation toward blue-sky breakout
✅ Summary
Bearish divergence + volume drop = classic topping signals
Risk is well-defined, with Fib-backed targets offering clean R:R
Trade cautiously — momentum is fading, not gone yet
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Do your own research and manage risk according to your plan.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoAnalysis #BearishDivergence #RSI #VolumeProfile #Fibonacci #TradingView
Bitcoin Strategic Breakout at the Threshold of Silence!⊣
⟁ BTC/USD - BINANCE - (CHART: 1D) - (Jul 09, 2025).
◇ Analysis Price: $110,767.80.
⊣
⨀ I. Temporal Axis - Strategic Interval - (1D):
▦ EMA9 - ($108,767.55):
∴ Price remains above the 9-day EMA, maintaining a short-term bullish posture;
∴ The moving average acts as dynamic support with positive slope.
✴️ Conclusion: Immediate trend remains intact, with momentum supported at $108,767.55.
⊢
▦ EMA21 - ($107,663.85):
∴ EMA21 acts as the structural support of the medium-term trend;
∴ Price maintains a healthy gap above it, confirming bullish continuity.
✴️ Conclusion: Structural integrity remains bullish - no threat of reversal below $107,663.85.
⊢
▦ Ichimoku Cloud - (Senkou A: $106,870.32 / Senkou B: $105,173.14):
∴ Price is clearly above the Kumo, with bullish Tenkan/Kijun alignment;
∴ Lagging Span (Chikou) is above both price and cloud - clean trend confirmation.
✴️ Conclusion: Primary trend remains bullish; cloud structure provides layered support between $106,800 and $105,100.
⊢
▦ RSI - ($61.33):
∴ RSI is rising, currently at 61.33, still below the overbought threshold;
∴ No divergence or bearish signal present; EMA9 of RSI is supportive at 56.94.
✴️ Conclusion: Momentum is healthy and climbing - room to extend toward the 70 level.
⊢
▦ MACD - (MACD Line: 251.71 / Signal Line: 836.26):
∴ Recent bullish crossover confirmed; histogram turning increasingly positive;
∴ MACD shows early-stage trend resumption with growing momentum.
✴️ Conclusion: Renewed bullish phase underway - MACD structure confirms sustained strength.
⊢
▦ Volume + EMA21 - (Current: 352.24 / MA: 244):
∴ Current daily volume significantly exceeds 21-day average;
∴ The breakout candle is technically validated by volume strength.
✴️ Conclusion: Real buying presence behind the move - not a hollow breakout.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight - Technical Oracle:
∴ All technical indicators are in alignment;
∴ Price is supported by volume, short-term EMA's, bullish Ichimoku structure, and clean RSI/MACD momentum;
∴ The price is approaching the (ATH - $111,317.37) and any confirmed close above it, backed by volume, could trigger a Fibonacci-based extension toward - ($115,000 / $117,300).
⊢
∫ II. On-Chain Intelligence - (Source: CryptoQuant):
▦ Exchange Inflow Total - (All Exchanges) - (13.4K Bitcoin):
∴ No abnormal spikes - inflows remain historically low.
✴️ Conclusion: Selling pressure is absent - no signs of miner or whale unloading.
⊢
▦ Exchange Reserve - (Binance) - (537.4K Bitcoin):
∴ Continuous outflow trend - reserves have declined sharply in recent weeks.
✴️ Conclusion: Structural supply contraction - classic hallmark of accumulation.
⊢
▦ Funding Rates - (All Exchanges)- (+0.006%):
∴ Slightly positive, well within neutral zone - no euphoria.
✴️ Conclusion: Leverage is present but controlled - not overheating.
⊢
▦ Open Interest - (All Exchanges) - (gradually increasing):
∴ OI rising gradually without abrupt spikes.
✴️ Conclusion: Positions are being built systematically - not impulsively.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight - On-Chain Oracle:
∴ The breakout is not driven by leverage, but rather by spot accumulation and institutional withdrawal;
∴ This environment mirrors previous (pre-expansion) phases (notably late 2020), when reserves declined and funding stayed flat;
∴ All vectors are aligned - a structurally sound rally is underway.
⊢
⧈ Codicillus Silentii - Strategic Note:
∴ The market exhibits complete silence beneath price - no inflows, no speculative buildup;
∴ Only those attuned to the deeper rhythm perceive the pressure building within this compressed structure;
∴ The Codex observes no disruptive anomalies; the energy is latent, not explosive - yet.
⊢
▦ Tactical Range Caution:
∴ Immediate Support: $108,767.55 - (EMA9);
∴ Structural Support: $107,663.85 - (EMA21);
∴ Previous ATH: $111,317.37;
∴ Breakout Extension Target: $115,000 - $117,300.
⊢
𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation:
▦ Structurally Bullish - Tactically Confirming.
⊢
⧉
Cryptorvm Dominvs · ⚜️ MAGISTER ARCANVM ⚜️ · Vox Primordialis
⌬ - Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy - ⌬
⧉
⊢
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar 4-Hour Chart - CRYPTO4-hour candlestick chart displays the price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) from late June to mid-July 2025. The current price is $110,838.12, reflecting a 1.75% increase (+$1,908.56). The chart highlights a recent significant upward movement, with a notable green candlestick indicating a strong buying trend. Key price levels include a support zone around $109,336.26 and resistance near $112,117.13. The chart also shows buy and sell options at the current price level of $110,838.11.
Fake pumpWe had a good run.
BTC is due a correction.
Weekly RSI is Overbought.
Trendlines match fibonacci zones.
Overall fundamentals seem good longterm, but market needs a reset.
Many shorts to be liquidated in 115-117k , more than a billion dollars.
A billion dollars worth of longs to be liquidated at 97k.
Betting on fake pump,majorly overbought daily RSI, liquidate shorts, dump bitcoin, liquidate longs, load and reset.
95k seems reasonable, but theres a Fair Value Gap at 91k, and these get filled almost every time.With a spike through to the 0.61 fibonacci at 88k.
Possibility of 80k if theres a black swan mass panic event, this will touch the 0.78 fib and touch an unbroken bullish trendline from 2023. But very unlikely right now, just a healthy correction and reset before the true bull starts.
Alts will probably bleed hard, since faith is so shaken in them. Stack when theres mass fear.
After the next real pump rotation most probabably begins.
Good idea is to DCA at 95k, 90k is a solid zone, 80k would be absolutely perfect. Good levels for alts are corresponding to these prices.
Btcusd techinical analysis.This BTC/USD 1-hour chart suggests a bullish breakout scenario. Here's a breakdown of key technical signals:
Key Observations:
1. Price Level: Current price is $109,582.1, with a recent rise of +0.59%.
2. Resistance Zones (Purple Boxes):
First resistance near $109,800 – $109,900.
Second (minor) resistance around $109,300 – $109,400.
Price is testing the upper resistance zone now.
3. Bullish W Pattern:
A sharp drop and recovery formed a “W” pattern—common before breakouts.
The neckline of this W is being challenged.
4. Trendline Breakout Projection (Blue Arrows):
The chart suggests a breakout projection towards $110,300 – $110,400.
This is based on the upward trajectory from the recent swing low.
5. Support Zone (Lower Purple Box):
Support established at $109,150 – $109,250.
If price
Bitcoin Update – Bullish Falling Wedge in Play?BTC/USD is currently trading near $108.8K, compressing within a falling wedge formation — historically a bullish continuation pattern, especially after a strong uptrend.
Why the Bias Remains Bullish:
Bullish MA Cross: Short-term MAs (9/21) are aligned for upside momentum.
Falling Wedge: Price compressing with lower highs and lows, coiling for a breakout.
RSI Strength: RSI (purple) remains elevated, supporting continued upside pressure.
Fundamental Catalysts:
Trump delays trade war announcements, reducing global uncertainty.
FOMC meeting in late July: Trump pushes for rate cuts, potentially bullish for risk assets like BTC.
If BTC breaks out above the wedge resistance with convincing volume:
Retest likely at ~$110K
Targets : $115K → $120K+
BTCUSD – Range High Retest at 110KBitcoin is consolidating below the 110,736.11 resistance after reclaiming support from the 102,558.1 zone. Price is holding a tight range, building pressure just under key resistance — a breakout above this could spark a move to new highs.
Support at: 102,558.1 🔽 | 91,357.7 🔽
Resistance at: 110,736.1 🔼 (range high)
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Break and hold above 110,736.1 opens room for bullish continuation.
🔽 Bearish: A break back below 102,558.1 would suggest a potential shift toward 91,357.7 support.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Bitcoin is ready for the breakout ?🤏 On #Bitcoin’s 3D chart, the Bollinger Bands have tightened to record levels — a signal that historically precedes massive moves. 🚀
📉 Volatility has also dropped to levels not seen since late 2024, right before #BTC launched from $26k to $70k.
✖️ Even John Bollinger himself, the creator of the indicator, hinted in his X post that a powerful impulse might be on the way.
Something’s brewing... 👀
BTCUSD Breakout Confirmed – Targeting Next Reversal ZoneBitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently trading around $108,700, showing strong bullish momentum after breaking out of a consolidation structure. Price action has shifted significantly, with clear structural developments pointing toward continued upside — but not without caution around the next reversal zone.
🔍 Key Technical Insights:
🔹 1. Volume Contraction Triangle (Bullish Breakout)
The chart initially shows a volume contraction pattern forming a symmetrical triangle.
This pattern is often associated with market compression — a setup where smart money accumulates before a breakout.
BTC broke out of the triangle with strong bullish candles, confirming buyers have stepped in with conviction.
🔄 2. Structure Shift & Break of Structure (BOS)
A major BOS (Break of Structure) occurred as price broke previous swing highs, confirming a bullish market structure.
This BOS zone now acts as a potential support area if BTC pulls back.
A short-term SR interchange zone (Support becomes Resistance) was also respected and flipped again to support during the breakout — a clear sign of structural strength.
🧭 3. Next Reversal Zone – Supply in Sight
Price is approaching a major supply/reversal zone between $109,750 and $110,250.
This zone has previously shown strong selling interest.
Traders should watch for rejection or continuation patterns within this zone — such as bearish divergence, exhaustion candles, or confirmation of resistance.
🛡 4. Major Support Level
Below current price, a major support zone around $107,500–$107,800 remains intact.
This zone has provided a solid base during past consolidations and would be the first area of interest for buyers if a retracement occurs.
📌 Strategy Plan:
🔼 For Bullish Traders:
Those already in the breakout can hold with targets toward $110,000–$110,250.
If not in yet, wait for a retest of BOS/SR zone (~$109,000) for a safer re-entry.
Consider partial take-profits within the green reversal zone.
🔽 For Bearish Traders:
Watch for price exhaustion or a fake breakout in the reversal zone.
Potential short setups could form only if price fails to hold above the BOS zone and prints a lower high.
🔧 Technical Summary:
✅ Structure: Bullish Break of Structure confirmed
🔺 Momentum: Strong upside following volume contraction
📍 Next Key Resistance: $110,000–$110,250
📉 Major Support: $107,500–$107,800
⚠️ Caution Zone: Reversal area ahead – watch price action closely
Conclusion :
Bitcoin looks set to challenge the $110K psychological level as buyers remain in control. However, the reversal zone above is critical. A clean break and hold above it could open doors to further highs, while rejection here may trigger short-term pullbacks or range-bound conditions.