BTCUSD – Bullish Breakout (TCB Strategy A+ Setup)📈 BTCUSD – Bullish Breakout from Falling Wedge (TCB Strategy A+ Setup)
Timeframe: 1H
Strategy Phase: ✅ Countertrend Phase (bullish breakout)
🔍 Analysis:
BTCUSD formed a well-defined falling wedge (countertrend structure) during a bullish market environment. After a clean liquidity sweep of the wedge lows and several failed breakdowns, price broke out with strong bullish momentum.
A successful retest of the broken wedge + horizontal support zone (~108,926) provided a perfect entry opportunity, aligning with the TCB Countertrend Strategy rules.
📌 Entry: 108,926
📉 Stop Loss: ~108,200 (below wedge low)
📈 Take Profit: 111,554 (next major resistance zone)
💡 Risk-to-Reward: ~1:3+
🎯 Checklist Score: ✅ 100% (A+ Setup)
📋 TCB Confluences:
Countertrend Falling Wedge ✅
Breakout with Momentum ✅
Retest of Structure + Demand ✅
Liquidity Sweep Below Lows ✅
Clean Market Structure to TP ✅
🧠 Trade Management:
SL to BE at 1:1 RR (~110,100)
Optional partial TP around 110,400–110,800
Re-entry only on new continuation flag or structure retest
📚 Strategy: TCB Strategy (Trend – Countertrend – Breakout)
Focus: Identifying high-probability setups by combining structure, momentum, and confluence for precision
BTCETH.P trade ideas
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar 4-Hour Chart - CRYPTO4-hour candlestick chart displays the Bitcoin (BTC) to U.S. Dollar (USD) price movement, currently at $108,252.17 with a 0.21% increase (+$230.82). The chart highlights a recent upward trend with key price levels marked, including a buy price of $108,252.17 and a sell price at the same level. Support and resistance zones are indicated with a pink shaded area around $106,840.43 to $108,252.17 and a green shaded area near $110,084.10. The chart spans from late June to July 7, 2025, with the latest data point at 06:27 PM PKT on July 5, 2025.
Is BTC getting ready for a new ATH?🔍 1. Key Support and Resistance Levels (Horizontal Lines):
🟢 Resistances (Green Lines):
114,295.54 — strong resistance resulting from previous highs.
112,767.65
111,009.00
110,685.35 — current key level that price may try to retest after a potential breakout.
🔴 Supports (Red Lines):
108,496.55 — current level being tested, also coinciding with local resistance from the past.
107,687.57
105,888.74
102,909.85
100,848.07
98,208.22 — strong long-term support; in the past, this level was reacted with a strong bounce.
🔶 2. Downtrend channel marked with orange lines:
The upper downtrend line acted as resistance.
The lower uptrend line acted as support.
The price recently broke above the upper line, but is now testing it again - this could be a retrospective retest.
➡️ If the close of the H4 candle is above this line - a possible confirmation of the breakout.
📊 3. Stochastic RSI indicator (at the bottom of the chart):
Currently in the uptrend phase after a bounce from the oversold level (<20).
The %K line (blue) is crossed upwards by the %D line (orange) - a bullish signal.
Still below the overbought zone, which suggests that the potential uptrend still has room to develop.
🧠 4. Market structure and price action:
Price broke above the 108.496 level, but is currently struggling to stay above this zone.
A retest of the broken triangle could be a healthy move, provided that support is maintained in the 108k–107.6k area.
A break below and a close below 107.6k could mean a false breakout and a possible decline towards 105.8k or even 102.9k.
🧭 5. Possible scenarios:
✅ Bullish scenario:
Maintaining the 108.496 level and closing the candle above the upper orange line → continued growth.
The nearest targets are:
110.685 (first resistance),
111.009 and 112.767 next.
❌ Bearish scenario:
The price will not stay above 108k and will fall below 107.687.
Possible return to the previous consolidation range with the target:
105.888,
and then 102.909 or 100.848.
🧮 Summary:
Currently, the decisive moment is underway: a test of support after breaking out of the convergent triangle.
The Stoch RSI indicator gives a bullish signal, but the price must confirm the movement by behaving above 108k.
Retest and bounce - this is a bullish scenario.
A breakdown and return under the trend line - means that the breakout was false.
BTC waiting for channel breakBTC is compressing in a falling channel: in my view in the short term it could retrace at least to the channel mid line (around 104k) maybe to the channel lower trendline (around 97,5 - 97,8k).
Once the channel will be broken BTC will reach final bullish cycle target in the range
(132,109k - 132.700k) , then bearish cycle will start in autumn
$BTC Elliot Wave Analysis - Weekend Update 7/9Hello fellow degenerates,
As we get ready for this new trading week, I am presenting to yall the 3 scenarios that I am looking for on Bitcoin.
- For scenario 1, we need a break above 110.4k to target the 126k-122k range.
- For scenario 2, we still need to complete our Wave 2, by retracing towards 103k. After that, we should see a reversal targeting 128k -123k
- The last scenario is based on the idea that we're failing to breakout from the parallel channel we currently have. We could see price traveling towards 98k - 90k range if we have a strong rejection of 110k and a break of our support levels.
- Levels to watch: 110.4k, 106.6k, 103.4k
Bitcoin can rebound from resistance level and start to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Recently, the price broke above a local resistance and quickly approached the key resistance level at 110000, which also aligns with the upper boundary of the seller zone (110000 - 110700 points). This area has already proven its strength multiple times, causing sharp rejections in the past. Moreover, the price has tested it again recently and failed to break through. In addition, we can see a triangle structure, which fits the logic of a pennant pattern after a bullish wave. However, the latest move upward has already lost momentum near the apex, and the price is now trading just under the upper edge of this formation. That makes this zone technically overloaded and vulnerable to a downside reversal. Based on this, I expect Bitcoin to test the resistance level one more time and then roll back down toward TP 1 at 106000 points, a zone near previous liquidity accumulation and a local consolidation range. If selling pressure increases, the price might aim for the buyer zone (103800 - 103100). Given the current rejection at resistance, the structure of the triangle, and the reaction inside the seller zone, I remain bearish and expect further decline toward the support. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Btc / UsdtBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
1. **Current Price Zone (\~108,000):**
* Price is consolidating just under a supply zone (red rectangle), showing potential rejection from the upside.
* The price briefly pushed above the rising trendline but failed to hold it.
2. **Bearish Structure Forming:**
* Price action suggests a **lower high** and potential **head-and-shoulders** pattern.
* Red squiggle indicates a likely **short-term bearish movement** — a drop to the **demand zone** around **105,700–106,900**.
3. **Demand Zone/Order Block:**
* Marked below near **105,741** with label **"Order"**, showing where potential buy orders may sit.
* This is the first major area where price might find support.
4. **Downside Levels:**
* **106,933** and **105,741**: Potential short-term supports.
* **98,332 (Weekly level)**: If the structure breaks fully, price could revisit this major demand zone.
5. **Upside Resistance:**
* **Red supply zone above 109,000** acts as strong resistance — if BTC breaks that with volume, bullish bias resumes.
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### 📉 **Short-Term Bias:**
* **Bearish** unless BTC breaks and holds above **109,000**.
* Expecting a pullback toward **106.9k** or **105.7k**, which may offer **buy-the-dip** opportunities.
Disclaimer : Not Financial Advice
$BTCUSD Trade Idea Currently, BTCUSD is operating within a defined dealing range between $105,000 (low) and $110,600 (high). Price is consolidating near the equilibrium (0.5 level) of this range and forming a sideways structure just above visible sell-side liquidity.
We are seeing confluence with a 4H SIBI (Sell-side Imbalance, Buy-side Inefficiency) overhead, which is currently capping price and adding to short-term bearish pressure. At the same time, price is hovering above a clear liquidity pool marked by sell stops, creating a potential for a liquidity sweep scenario.
Below current price action lies a well-defined 4H BISI (Buy-side Imbalance, Sell-side Inefficiency) zone, which serves as a strong demand area and an ideal draw on liquidity before any potential bullish continuation.
BEARISH ELLIOTT WAVE PATTERN ON BITCOINIn this short video, I explain the complex Triple Three Elliott wave pattern identified on the hourly chart on Bitcoin.
Based on the identification of the second wave X at $110,600 my most probably expectation is the completion of wave Z which will take the corrective form of an A-B-C pattern to an intended target below $98,225.
The alternative scenario is that the corrective wave ended at wave Y and the depicted Y-X wave is an impulse wave 1 and were likely on wave 2 to continue to a wave 3 which will break into a new all time high above $125,000.
Currently, I am personally in favor of the completion of wave Z as wave Y-X could not break above the MAJOR Resistance at $112,000.
Bitcoin: higher for longer?The investors optimism supported by better than expected US jobs data was reflected mostly in the US equity market, but the crypto market was not left behind on this occasion. Although the week for crypto was quite volatile, it showed that investors are still strongly considering investments in crypto coins for diversification of portfolios, especially BTC. The BTC spent a week struggling around the level of $107K, while making its final breakthrough toward the upside, reaching the highest weekly level at $110K. It is ending the week around the level of $108K, with an equal level of buying and selling order during the weekend.
Although the price was pushed toward the $110K, the RSI did not reach the overbought market side. Actually, the indicator continued to move between levels of 50 and 60, indicating that the market is still not ready to finish the cycle and revert it toward the oversold market side. Although slowed down, the MA50 is still oriented toward the upside, same as MA200, without an indication that the cross might occur anytime soon.
Current charts are indicating the probability that the support line at $106K might be tested again in the coming period. This short reversal is necessary for BTC in order to collect enough interest for a further push toward the upside. Whether the BTC will have strength to try to reach old ATH, remains unclear from current charts, but some indication holds. However, there is some probability that the $110K might be tested for one more time.
Bitcoin May See Short-Term Pullback After Hitting $108,000📊 Market Overview:
Bitcoin surged to $108,000 amid renewed risk-on sentiment, a softer US dollar, and slightly declining bond yields. However, weekend trading sees lower liquidity, and some profit-taking has emerged. Traders are also cautious ahead of next week’s Fed-related news.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $108,500 – $110,000
• Nearest Support: $106,200 – $105,500
• EMA 09 (1H): Price is above EMA 09, indicating bullish momentum remains.
• Candlesticks & Volume: Doji candle and falling volume in 1H → suggests weakening upside momentum and possible retracement.
📌 Outlook:
Bitcoin may face a short-term pullback if it fails to break above $108,500 and no fresh catalysts emerge. Holding above $106,200 would keep the broader bullish structure intact.
💡 Suggested Trade Setup:
🔻 SELL BTC/USD at: 108,200 – 108,500
🎯 TP: 106,800
❌ SL: 109,300
🔺 BUY BTC/USD at: 106,200 – 105,500
🎯 TP: 107,800
❌ SL: 104,800
BTCUSD: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse BTCUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 108,067 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 108,140. Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
BITCOIN ANALYSIS - What's Next for for BTC?🎯 KEY LEVELS DECODED
🛡️ FORTRESS SUPPORT: $102,800 - $103,200
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NEUTRAL STRATEGY:
Buy Zone: $102,800 - $102,600
Sell Zone: $110,000 - $112,000
Stop Loss: $100,500 (range breakdown)
Target: Opposite end of range
Position Size: 3-5% of portfolio
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🎢 SCENARIO : (Probability: 35%)
If BTC consolidates between $102K-$108K :
Range-bound trading for 2-3 weeks
Accumulation phase before next major move
Key levels: Buy $102K, Sell $110K
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🛡️ RISK MANAGEMENT 🚨 DISCLAIMER 🛡️ DYOR