BTCETH.P trade ideas
July 18 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoin Guide.
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Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There is no Nasdaq indicator announcement today.
The mid-term pattern was broken in the morning wave,
but I proceeded as safely as possible.
At the bottom left, I connected the final long position switching section in the analysis article on the 15th with a purple finger.
*When the blue finger moves,
Bidirectional neutral
Short->Long or long waiting strategy
1. Short position entry section of $120,338 / Stop loss price when orange resistance line is broken
2. Long position switching of $118,886.8 / Stop loss price when blue support line is broken
3. Long position 1st target of $121,756.2 -> Target price in the order of Good and Great
If it falls immediately from the current position or
touches the top once and falls, it is a vertical decline condition.
If it falls immediately, it is the final long waiting in section 2.
(When the sky blue support line breaks, the stop loss price is the same)
From the sky blue support line break, the 6+12 section is where the mid-term pattern is restored,
and it is roughly the bottom section.
If the strategy is successful, I have left a simulation with a pink finger on the right,
so please check the switching and profit-taking section,
and operate safely in each position, long, short, and no position, based on whether the purple support line breaks from the current position.
From the green support line break, the low point of today's daily candle is broken,
so it would not be good for a long position, right?
Up to this point, please use my analysis article only for reference and use,
and operate safely with principle trading and stop loss price.
Thank you.
BTCUSD - GOOD SUPPORT ESTABLISHED?BTCUSD - GOOD SUPPORT ESTABLISHED?📈
Yesterday, after a record-breaking nine-hour House session, U.S. lawmakers passed three major crypto bills: CLARITY Act (294-134), which establishes a market structure for cryptocurrencies, GENIUS Act (308-122) that supports U.S. stablecoin innovation and an Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act (219-210) that opposes central bank digital currencies. All of this supports crypto and especially Bitcoin.
Technically, BTCUSD looks bullish also, establishing a new bullish trend. I expect the ATH at 123,190.30 will be rewritten soon. Where will be the next stop, I've got no idea. To my mind, the best strategy here will be to buy on trend support, then transfer the stop loss at your entry point and sell o local hikes.
Stay tuned for the next report! 🔔
BTCUSDBTCUSD also fell from a high level, reaching a high of around 119700, only 300 points away from the target of 120k. The price after the decline is now around 118600. Buying at a low level is the main focus. The reference buying point is 118500-118000. The target is above 120k. Stop loss 117300
Risk 116. Target 123-125KMorning folks,
Prior 1H H&S was done, we were watching on 120K resistance area, as we said last time. Now, on 1H chart H&S is showing signs of failure - too extended right arm, no downside breakout. Price is taking the shape of triangle . All these signs are bullish. Because butterflies very often appear on a ruins of H&S, we suggest that this one could be formed here...
The risk level for this scenario is 116K lows - BTC has to stay above it to keep butterfly (and triangle) valid, otherwise, deeper retracement to 112K area could start.
Upside target starts from 123K top and up to 125K butterfly target.
BTC CONSOLIDATESBitcoin is consolidating just below \$120,000 after Tuesday’s sharp pullback – which came on the highest daily volume since the \$74,000 bottom in March – mostly driven by selling. Despite the pressure, price held support cleanly at \$117,582 and continues to range tightly, suggesting healthy consolidation after a strong breakout above \$112,000. As long as \$117,582 holds, the structure remains bullish. A close above \$120,000 could ignite the next leg higher.
BTCUSD – Potential Head & Shoulders Forming⚠️If and only if the price break below $115,000
⚠️ BTCUSD – Potential Head & Shoulders Forming
Pair: BTC/USD
Timeframe: 4H
Pattern in Focus: Head and Shoulders
Key Neckline: ~$115,000
Confirmation Trigger: Only valid if price breaks below the neckline zone with strong volume
🧠 Idea Summary:
Bitcoin has formed what appears to be a classic head and shoulders pattern. The right shoulder is completing, and the neckline is clearly respected. A break below $115K could confirm this bearish setup, with a measured move pointing toward the demand zone between $108K–$109K.
📌 Watch for:
Volume spike on breakdown
Retest of neckline turning into resistance
Potential long setups only if price reclaims $119K+
Bias: Bearish if $115K breaks. Neutral until then.
BTCUSD | 1W Time Frame | BITSTAMP ExchangeI have been using curve analysis for Bitcoin on the weekly time frame for a long time, employing two indicators: My BTC Log Curve and Bitcoin Logarithmic Growth Curves, of course, with my own custom settings to achieve maximum harmony with price movements. I recommend that to gain a precise understanding of Bitcoin curve analysis, you search for and study it, and make use of the two free indicators mentioned above.
Bitcoin finally managed to break free from the curve floor in the second week of September 2023, initiating a logical and gradual upward trend. Currently, it is supported by a significant level around $84,000 (keeping in mind that this rate will gradually increase due to the market's floating nature). However, the most critical price ceiling for Bitcoin in the current bullish market trend is approximately $154,000. Given the acceptable momentum of the current upward trend, reaching this price target seems reasonable. Nevertheless, we should anticipate a corrective reaction from the market, considering the historical behavior in this price range.
In summary, it can be stated that for mid-term holders, the price target of $154,000 appears to be a realistic and attainable goal, while the price floor of $84,000 serves as a very suitable level for buying and re-accumulating.
BTC - HYPERBOLIC FINISH This box here where we right shit in, what it really worth? You will never understand technical analysis if you think reading words in a little box mean something. BTC , next top mid frame with a throw over of center to $164,000. Then consolidation around the core to $138,000, then the hyperbolic finish to $187,500+. Nuf said. Good luck. Volatility will be high, but mainly move in one direction. Murrey Math, ( Which trading view wont let me display because its an unpublished indicator , Elliott Wave, Kumar Wave being used for this forecast.
BTC Hits Predicted 1.618 Fibonacci Target at $122K — What’s Next🎯 BTC Hits Predicted 1.618 Fibonacci Target at $122K — What’s Next?
📅 Posted on: July 16, 2025
📍 Ticker: BTCUSD (BINANCE)
✍️ Author: @darwas121
⸻
🔹 Summary
In October 2023, I shared a long-term bullish projection for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) targeting the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level — projected around $122,000. As of today, BTC has successfully hit this target, validating the Fibonacci-based wave structure and bull market thesis. Now the key question is — what’s next?
⸻
🧠 Prediction Recap (Oct 2023)
• ✅ Projected rally continuation based on wave structure + Fibonacci expansion
• ✅ Long-term target: $122,056 (1.618 Fib level)
• ✅ Based on swing low near $15,550 and prior ATH structure
• ✅ Conditions: Confirmed breakout above $81,500
⸻
🔍 Current Technical Analysis (1D Chart)
💰 Price Action
• Current Price: $118,701
• Recent High: $122,056 (exact 1.618 Fib hit)
• Structure: Parabolic breakout from previous consolidation range
🔺 Fibonacci Levels
Level Price (USD)
0.236 31,237
0.382 40,849
0.5 48,618
0.618 56,386
0.786 67,092
1.0 (ATH Zone) 81,536
1.618 ✅ 122,056 (Hit)
📉 RSI & Momentum
• RSI is hovering in the overbought zone (>70), signaling potential cooling-off
• Stochastic RSI also indicates overextension — a pause or retracement could follow
• No bearish divergence yet, but watch closely
📊 Volume Trends
• Volume has tapered during this leg up — possible early sign of buyer exhaustion
• Previous volume clusters between $56k–$67k now act as strong support
⸻
⚠️ What to Watch Next
Risk Factors Notes
Overbought RSI Suggests short-term pullback risk
Weakening Volume Caution: Less conviction in highs
Parabolic Structure Vulnerability Break could mean fast correction
⸻
🧭 My View & Strategy
🔹 Short-Term: ⚠️ Cautious
• Book partial profits if holding from lower levels
• Watch for reversal candles near $122k zone
• RSI divergence or low-volume rally = yellow flag
🔹 Mid-Term: 🔼 Bullish
• Buy-the-dip zones: $67k (0.786) and $56k (0.618)
• Any correction into these zones may offer re-entry
🔹 Long-Term: 🔼 Strong Bullish
• BTC is in confirmed macro uptrend
• Sustained close above $122k opens price discovery zone
• Next logical Fib projection zones: $135k–$150k
⸻
📌 Key Levels
• Support: $81,536 / $67,092 / $56,386
• Resistance: $122,056 → Break = price discovery
• Invalidation Zone: Breakdown below $81,000 on volume
⸻
📣 Conclusion
The technical roadmap laid out in 2023 has now played out — Bitcoin has achieved its 1.618 Fibonacci extension target. We are now at a critical inflection point. If BTC consolidates well here and maintains volume, the next leg could launch us into new all-time highs beyond $135,000.
🛑 But caution is warranted — overbought signals + weak volume could bring a healthy correction first. Stick to your risk plan. Let the market come to you.
⸻
💬 Feel free to share your views or ask for updates in the comments.
🔔 Follow me for more swing-to-position analysis using volume, fibs & structure.
📊 Chart shared below for reference.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #Crypto #TechnicalAnalysis #Fibonacci #PriceTargets #CryptoForecast #ParabolicMove #BTC
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar 4-Hour Chart (July 2025)4-hour price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD). The price has risen from 118,714.64 to 118,714.64 (+937.9 or +0.80%) over the period. Key levels include a support zone around 115,451.45 to 117,451.45 and a resistance zone near 120,000.00 to 122,188.85,
Key Insights: Financial Markets Transformation by 2030For years, this page has been my space to share in-depth market research and personal insights into key financial trends. This post reflects my perspective — a strategic outlook on where I believe the digital finance industry is heading.
The financial world is evolving at an unprecedented pace, and it's easy to overlook subtle shifts. But the undeniable fact is that we are now standing at the intersection of three powerful industries — financial markets, blockchain, and artificial intelligence. We are positioned at the cutting edge of technology, where innovation is not a future concept but a present reality.
This post serves as a reference point for future trends and a guide to understanding the transformative forces shaping financial markets by 2030. These are not just facts, but my vision of the opportunities and challenges ahead in this rapidly converging digital ecosystem. Staying ahead today means more than following the market — it means recognizing that we are part of a technological shift redefining the core of global finance.
📈 1. Electronic Trading Evolution
Full transition from traditional trading floors to AI-driven digital platforms.
Integration of blockchain and smart contracts ensures transparency, automation, and risk reduction.
Real-time data analytics democratizes market access and enhances strategic decision-making.
🤖 2. Algorithmic Trading Growth
Accelerated by AI, machine learning, and big data analytics.
High-frequency trading (HFT) boosts efficiency but introduces new volatility factors.
Adaptive algorithms dynamically adjust strategies in real time.
Strong focus on regulatory compliance and ethical standards.
🔗 3. Tokenization of Real World Assets (RWA)
Transforming asset management with projected growth to $18.9 trillion by 2033. (now 18.85B)
Enhances liquidity, accessibility, and transparency via blockchain.
Institutional adoption is driving mainstream acceptance.
Evolving regulations (DLT Act, MiCA) support secure tokenized ecosystems.
🏦 4. Institutional Adoption & Regulatory Frameworks
Digitalization of fixed income markets and exponential growth in institutional DeFi participation.
Key drivers: compliance, custody solutions, and advanced infrastructure.
Global regulatory harmonization and smart contract-based compliance automation are reshaping governance.
💳 5. Embedded Finance & Smart Connectivity
Embedded finance market to hit $7.2 trillion by 2030.
Seamless integration of financial services into everyday platforms (e-commerce, mobility, etc.).
AI, blockchain, and IoT power real-time, personalized financial ecosystems.
Smart contracts reduce operational friction and enhance user experience.
🛡 6. Financial Crime Risk Management
Market expected to reach $30.28 billion by 2030.
AI-driven threat detection and anomaly monitoring strengthen AML compliance.
Blockchain ensures data integrity and automates cross-border regulatory adherence.
Global collaboration (FATF, EU AML) fortifies defenses against evolving financial crimes.
🌍 7. Consumer Behavior & Financial Inclusion
Digital banking bridges the gap for underbanked populations, especially in emerging markets.
Mobile solutions like M-Pesa revolutionize access to financial services.
Biometrics, microfinance, and AI-powered engagement tools foster inclusive economic participation.
🚀 Conclusion
By 2030, financial markets will be defined by technology-driven efficiency, regulatory adaptability, and inclusive growth.
Success will favor those who embrace innovation, leverage automation, and engage in cross-sector collaboration.
The future belongs to agile stakeholders navigating a landscape shaped by AI, blockchain, tokenization, and smart finance connectivity.
Best regards, EXCAVO
_____________________
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTCUSD: “Breakout Bounce” – Buy the Retest, Ride the WaveBTC has broken out above $118K–$120K after a strong uptrend. Now it’s pausing, and a short-term pullback looks likely. Instead of buying the top, we wait for the price to retest previous resistance (around $112K–$114K), which could turn into support.
MY PLAN:
Wait for pullback to $112K–$114K zone.
Look for a bullish candle (daily or 4H) to confirm entry.
Target: $122K short-term or trail stop if trend continues.
Stop loss: Below $108K to manage risk.
Tip: Don’t chase. Be patient, follow the setup, and use proper risk management.
Weekly Close Watch: Bitcoin’s Key Level Could Shift the ChartsGood morning, Guys
There's only 1 day and 13 hours left until the weekly Bitcoin candle closes.
It's crucial that this candle closes above the 112,331 level with strong volume. Anyone experienced in economics and technical analysis knows just how significant this is.
If we get that close above the level, I’ll share a powerful analysis with a clear target.
I want to sincerely thank everyone who’s been supporting my analyses with likes—your support is
my biggest source of motivation when it comes to sharing content.
Much love to you all—we’re more than just a community, we’re a family. 💛
[UPD] BTC / ETH / XRP / SOL / HYPE and other alt and mem-coins A new video update with insights on the intermediate trend structure with key support and resistance zones to keep on radar in the coming sessions
Coins discussed in the video: CRYPTOCAP:BTC / CRYPTOCAP:ETH / CRYPTOCAP:XRP / GETTEX:HYPE / CRYPTOCAP:SOL / CRYPTOCAP:LINK / CRYPTOCAP:SUI / $BRETT / SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:FLOKI and others
Hope this is helpful in guiding you through the crypto market. Thank you for your attention and I wish you successful trading decisions!
If you’d like to hear my take on any other coin you’re tracking - feel free to ask in the comments (just don’t forget to boost the idea first 😉).
BTCUSD Technical Analysis | Smart Money Concept (SMC) BreakdownBTCUSD Technical Analysis | Smart Money Concept (SMC) Breakdown
🧠 Smart Money Market Structure Insight
📌 Key Elements Identified:
BOS (Break of Structure): Multiple BOS points indicate bullish intent early on. However, the latest BOS on July 14 followed by a significant drop signals a shift in momentum—possibly a distribution phase.
Liquidity Sweep: Price swept prior equal lows/liquidity before reversing, a typical Smart Money trap setup.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) / Imbalance: Identified around the mid-section of the chart—price filled partially but failed to hold, suggesting internal weakness.
Strong Support Zone (Demand Area): Marked between 115,000 - 114,640; this zone is anticipated to act as a springboard for bullish reversal.
📉 Current Price Action Observation:
BTCUSD is hovering around 118,152 - 118,560, moving sideways with lower highs indicating compression.
Price is projected to form a "W" pattern or double bottom in the shaded region.
Expected liquidity grab beneath 115,902 followed by potential bullish reaction targeting 121,562, as indicated by the white arrow.
🧩 Strategic Outlook & Potential Play:
🔻 Bearish Sweep First:
Market likely to sweep the support one more time, tapping into deeper liquidity pools between 115,000–114,640.
This is aligned with the concept of Smart Money hunting for retail stop-losses before reversing.
🔼 Bullish Recovery After Sweep:
Strong probability of bounce due to presence of:
Fair Value Gap (already tested),
Fresh demand zone,
Liquidity grab setup.
Projected Bullish Target: 121,562
Confirmation Needed: A strong bullish engulfing or BOS on lower timeframes near support.
🏷️ Conclusion:
This BTCUSD setup is a textbook Smart Money scenario: BOS ➝ Liquidity Grab ➝ FVG ➝ Reversal from Demand. Traders should wait for confirmation from the support region before entering long positions.
BTC #1-hour chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD)This is a 1-hour chart of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) with a clear bearish outlook indicated by the analysis:
Key Observations:
Rising Channel:
Price has been moving inside an ascending channel.
Currently testing the lower boundary, suggesting potential for a breakdown.
Price Projection:
A sharp drop is anticipated after breaking the channel, supported by the downward black arrows.
The analyst anticipates a retest of the lower boundary followed by a rejection and continuation downward.
QFL Strategy Reference:
"QFL" (Quick Fingers Luc strategy) is marked with a red line, identifying a key support zone that price may break below.
50% level (retracement or zone midpoint) is noted for confluence.
Target Zone:
Final target appears to be in the $112,500 – $113,000 range.
Summary:
The chart presents a bearish thesis expecting BTC to break the ascending channel and fall toward a previous demand zone marked by the QFL level. The structure supports a short setup if the lower trendline fails to hold.
Risk Note: This is a speculative forecast; always confirm with volume, broader market context, or confirmation patterns.
thank u