Bitcoin Ready For Another Leg Higher?Bitcoin currently shows characteristics of bullish consolidation. Following a notable upward move after the election , the price action has entered a phase of sideways trading within a defined range since inauguration.
This period allows the market to digest recent gains and for buyers to accumulate further positions before the next anticipated leg up. Technical indicators, while showing a temporary pause in upward momentum, generally remain supportive of a bullish continuation, with key support levels S1-75k, S2-100k holding firm. The consolidation phase, marked by decreasing volatility, often precedes a strong directional move, suggesting that Bitcoin is coiling for another potential surge.
BTCETH.P trade ideas
Bitcoin Parabolic Curve - 2022 to 2026 Market CycleThis line chart visualizes the current Bitcoin market cycle from the bear market bottom in November 2022. As you can see, the price has formed a parabolic curve, which was violated around the beginning of March. A couple of weeks later, a retest of the curve occurred, which was rejected. Later in April, the price of BTC was able to push back above the curve. There was another small dip below in June, but BTC was back above the curve by the end of June.
I am also watching the Bitcoin monthly chart and, more specifically, the monthly Stochastic RSI indicator. As you can see in the chart below, between the second and third months after the market cycle peak, the Stochastic RSI indicator has always dropped below the "20" level, and was near zero at the close of the third month.
Back in March and April, there was some speculation that the new all-time high set on January 20th at just over $109k was the peak for this market cycle. At the beginning of April, the Stochastic RSI dropped well below the 20 level but rebounded and was at 16.81 when the April candle closed. The May monthly candle closed with the Stochastic RSI at 31.45, and June closed at 50.17. This indicated to me that this market cycle was far from over.
On July 14th, BTC set a new all-time high at just over $123,000, ending the speculation that this current market cycle had peaked. My assumption for now is that Bitcoin is still following a 4-year market cycle. If this is true, I would expect a market cycle peak sometime in the final months of this year. Either way, it has been a very interesting market cycle with huge changes for the crypto asset class.
BTC at pullback support in H1 timeframe! Possible rebound?BTC reacted a pullback support of 117,140 this is a crucial point where we look forward to seeing a rebound. We anticipate a bullish rally from this week. Keep an eye at this level as the week progresses. A rebound indicates possible gains. A break below might take us back to 110k level.
#BTC/USDT It's not over yet! Eying at 130K +ALTCOIN CHEAT SHEET!The last time I shared this chart was on April 14th, when Bitcoin was trading around $84,000 — right when panic was setting in across the market.
The message back then was simple: don’t panic, it’s just a retest.
And here we are again, revisiting the same sentiment with a new chart!
There are a lot of “double top” charts circulating in the space right now, but let me be clear: it’s not over yet.
Before jumping to conclusions, go through this chart and analysis to understand the full picture.
Bitcoin closed the week at $105,705 — certainly higher than most expected just a few days ago.
This marks the first red weekly candle after seven consecutive green closes, which is normal in the context of a healthy uptrend. We're still midway toward the broader target, so there’s no reason to panic or shift into disbelief.
Yes, we may see further corrections in BTC over the coming days or week, potentially down to $98K, and in a less likely scenario, even $ 92K. But this time, Ethereum is showing signs of strength and is likely to outperform Bitcoin, creating high-quality entry opportunities across the altcoin market. In other words, this phase is not a threat, it's an opportunity. BTC is still destined to hit $130k+ as per charts and other important metrics.
Here’s a typical market structure and reaction flow to help put things in perspective:
1. Bitcoin rallies — Altcoins underperform or get suppressed due to capital rotation into BTC.
2. Bitcoin corrects — Altcoins correct further as fear increases and dominance rises.
3. Bitcoin stabilises — Ethereum begins to gain strength, often leading the altcoin recovery.
4. ETH/BTC ratio increases — Ethereum holds up better while many altcoins continue to lag.
5. Bitcoin breaks ATH — This triggers a gradual recovery in altcoins.
6. BTC dominance peaks — Altcoins start gaining serious momentum.
7. Capital rotates from BTC and ETH into altcoins — Sectors tied to the current narrative (like meme coins this cycle, and Metaverse/NFTs in the last one) begin to lead.
8. Altcoin season begins — Utility and mid-cap tokens follow, often delivering strong returns in the final phase.
This pattern has repeated across cycles. Currently, we appear to be in the transition between Bitcoin stabilising and Ethereum gaining dominance — typically the stage that precedes a strong altcoin rally.
Now is not the time to assume the move is over. Stay objective, monitor capital rotation closely, and prepare for what comes next.
If your views resonate with mine, or if this post adds any value to you, please boost with a like and share your views in the comments.
Thank you
#PEACE
BTC – Textbook Pullback. New ATHs. What’s Next?Back in mid-June, I published a BTC update calling for a local correction into HTF demand while most were screaming bear market and waiting for deeper breakdowns.
Price action played out exactly as forecasted.
BTC swept the $100k swing low, front-ran my first demand zone by $400, and launched into a powerful reversal — just like it did back in April, where it also front-ran the key HTF demand before rallying.
That move took us straight into new all-time highs (ATHs) — now trading comfortably around $118k.
🧠 What Happened?
✅ Liquidity sweep of the prior low
✅ Front-run demand zone (perfect HTF structure)
✅ Strong bullish reaction and higher high
✅ Confluence from USDT.D rejection at 5.25%
✅ Alts showing signs of strength as BTC rallies
The entire setup aligned perfectly across BTC, USDT.D, TOTAL, and OTHERS.D — all of which I’ve been tracking in tandem.
🔮 What Now?
With BTC now in price discovery, I expect continuation higher — but not without the possibility of a short-term pullback.
📉 A potential retest of the $108k zone isn’t off the table. This level aligns with:
- Prior breakout structure
- Range high retest
- Local demand before continuation
But even if we go straight up — I remain HTF bullish into the final phase of this cycle, supported by:
- USDT.D structure still bearish
- BTC.D showing signs of distribution
- ETH.D and OTHERS.D gaining momentum
- Altseason rotation already starting to pick up
🧭 The Macro Outlook
The 4-year cycle projection still points to a Q3 2025 top — likely between August late and September based on historical cycle timing, but this could deviate.
That gives us a window of 2–3 months for this final leg to unfold — and it’s already in motion.
Stay focused. Stick to your plan. Ride the trend, don’t chase it.
Let me know what levels you're watching next, and whether you think we get that $108k retest — or we go vertical from here.
1D:
3D:
4D:
1W:
1M:
— Marshy 🔥
BITCOIN hit new ATH above $118k and isn't stopping there!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke above its previous All Time High (ATH) Zone and the buying pressure accelerated so much that it even crossed above the $118k level early in the E.U. session.
Technically the bullish trend doesn't seem to stop there as following the Bull Flag (we've analyzed this extensively the previous days) break-out of mid-May to June, the long-term Bullish Leg that started on the April 07 2025 bottom, is looking now for its 2nd Phase (extension).
Based on the previous two Bullish Legs since 2024, we should be expecting at least a +91.12% rise from the April bottom, as so far the symmetry among all three fractals is remarkable. Equally strong Bearish Legs (around -32%) of roughly 112 days each, gave way to the Bullish Legs, which supported by the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) pushed the market higher.
If this pattern continues to be replicated, we should expect this Leg to peak a little over $140000 before the next correction.
Do you think we'll get there? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD - Smart Money Trap Before the Next Move?1. Market Structure & BOS (Break of Structure):
We can observe multiple BOS levels around July 10–12, signaling a strong bullish transition.
2. Break of Structure (BOS)
Definition: BOS occurs when price breaks above a previous swing high with conviction.
Application on Chart: The BOS on July 11 marked the continuation of bullish market structure.
This indicated strong buying pressure, often driven by institutional order flow.
📉 3. Fair Value Gap (FVG)
Definition: A Fair Value Gap is an inefficiency or imbalance in the market where price moves too quickly, skipping potential orders.
On Chart: The FVG is present between July 11–12.
Expectation: Price often returns to these zones to “rebalance” or mitigate orders before continuing the trend.
Educational Note: FVGs act as magnet zones and are often used to identify entry points or liquidity pools.
💧 4. Liquidity Sweep
Definition: A liquidity grab occurs when price spikes above a recent high or low to trigger stop-loss orders before reversing.
On Chart: Just above resistance, a liquidity grab took place.
Purpose: Institutions often sweep liquidity before large moves to fill larger orders.
🔹 Resistance & Supply Zone:
The resistance area between 122,150–123,500 has held firmly, causing a notable correction.
This region aligns with institutional order blocks, suggesting potential smart money selling.
🔹 Support & Demand Zone:
The nearest support zone lies at 115,984, marked by previous consolidation and BOS.
Price is likely to revisit this zone, acting as a retest for demand re-entry, providing a strong buy-side opportunity if confirmed.
🔹 Current Price Action:
BTC is consolidating around 119,253, with a possible liquidity sweep above short-term highs.
BTC ShortBTC’s 1‑hour structure is showing clear signs of weakness following rejection from the premium supply zone between 122 000 and 123 200. After sweeping equal highs and tapping into the 50 % internal retracement level around 119 900, price sold off sharply, breaking below the intraday demand at ~119 000. This shift in market structure signals bearish intent in the short term.
The strong rejection, combined with increased sell-side volume, indicates that the rally was more likely a liquidity grab than true bullish strength. As a result, BTC is now expected to continue lower toward the 117 000 level to clear resting liquidity beneath recent lows. This level aligns with the previous CHOCH (Change of Character) and is a key liquidity pocket.
Once BTC grabs the liquidity below 117 000, we anticipate a potential bullish reaction and reversal, as smart money may use this area to re-accumulate and drive price higher.
However, until that liquidity is collected, the bias remains bearish in the short term. As always, proper risk management is essential—define your invalidation clearly and manage position size responsibly to protect capital in this volatile environment.
BTCUSD Long📈 Scenario Outlook:
Bias: Bullish
Preferred Play: Long setups are favorable as long as price holds above 116,600 demand.
BTC is expected to push through the intermediate supply zones and potentially attempt a full retracement toward the previous CHOCH high at 123,231.
📌 Key Zones ("Your Borders"):
🟢 Demand Zone (Support)
Zone: 116,600 – 117,600
This is a well-marked reaccumulation zone, aligned with previous demand and the CHOCH origin. Price respected this level multiple times, showing it as a valid base for long entries.
As long as BTC holds above this zone, the bullish thesis remains valid.
🔴 Supply Zones (Resistance Targets)
First Supply: 119,000 – 120,000
Aligned with the 50% retracement level (11964.22) from the previous high to low swing.
Expect short-term reaction here; however, this level may not hold if momentum continues building.
Upper Supply Zone: 121,500 – 123,200
This is the final major resistance before revisiting the previous high at 123,231.
A sweep or rejection from here could form a double top or distribution structure, depending on macro factors and volume.
Bitcoin bearish setup, (read more in caption)Hello everyone take a look at my Bitcoin analysis share your thoughts about it.
Bitcoin Analysis Bearish Setup Key Levels in play
Price is currently trading around the $118,200 mark after rejecting from the minor resistance area. A clean structure has formed, with strong resistance above and a wide range down to key support around $116,000.
Bias: Bearish
Current price action suggests sellers are stepping in near the mid-range. The setup favors a short trade, targeting the support zone below.
Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: $120,800 $121,200
Sell Entry: $118,300
Stop Loss: $119,320
Target: $116,300 (near support zone)
The bearish setup is supported by multiple rejections near resistance and a lack of bullish momentum. A clean break below minor structure could accelerate the move toward the support target.
Monitoring for continued downside pressure unless invalidated by a break above the stop zone.
This for educational purposes not trading advice.
Bitcoin Strategic Compression Beneath the Cloud Gate.⊣
⟁ BTC/USD - BINANCE - (CHART: 4H) - (July 17, 2025).
◇ Analysis Price: $118,099.62.
⊣
⨀ I. Temporal Axis - Strategic Interval – (4H):
▦ EMA9 - (Exponential Moving Average - 9 Close):
∴ EMA9 is currently positioned at $118,286.83, marginally above the current price of $118,099.62;
∴ The slope of the EMA9 has begun to turn sideways-to-downward, indicating loss of short-term acceleration;
∴ The price has crossed below EMA9 within the last two candles, suggesting an incipient rejection of immediate bullish continuation.
✴️ Conclusion: Short-term momentum has weakened, positioning EMA 9 as immediate dynamic resistance.
⊢
▦ EMA21 - (Exponential Moving Average - 21 Close):
∴ EMA21 is measured at $118,018.67, positioned slightly below both price and EMA9, indicating a recent tightening of trend structure;
∴ The slope of EMA21 remains positive, preserving the medium-range bullish structure intact;
∴ EMA21 has been tested multiple times and held as support since July 15 - confirming tactical reliability as dynamic floor.
✴️ Conclusion: EMA21 stands as a critical pivot zone; any sustained breach would denote structural stress.
⊢
▦ EMA50 - (Exponential Moving Average - 50 Close):
∴ EMA50 is currently located at $116,240.85, well below current price action;
∴ The curve maintains a healthy positive inclination, affirming preservation of broader intermediate trend;
∴ No contact or proximity to EMA50 over the last 20 candles - indicating strong bullish detachment and buffer zone integrity.
✴️ Conclusion: EMA50 confirms medium-term bullish alignment; not yet challenged.
⊢
▦ EMA200 - (Exponential Moving Average - 200 Close):
∴ EMA200 stands at $110,539.69, forming the base of the entire 4H structure;
∴ The gradient is gradually rising, reflecting accumulation over a long time horizon;
∴ The distance between price and EMA200 reflects extended bullish positioning, yet also opens risk for sharp reversion if acceleration collapses.
✴️ Conclusion: Long-term structure remains bullish; early signs of overextension exist.
⊢
▦ Ichimoku Cloud - (9, 21, 50, 21):
∴ Price is currently above the Kumo (cloud), placing the pair within a bullish regime;
∴ Tenkan-sen (conversion) and Kijun-sen (base) lines show narrowing separation, suggesting momentum compression;
∴ Senkou Span A > Span B, and the cloud ahead is bullishly twisted, though thinning - indicating potential vulnerability despite structural advantage.
✴️ Conclusion: Bullish regime intact, but loss of momentum and cloud compression warrant caution.
⊢
▦ Volume + EMA21:
∴ Current volume for the latest candle is 3 BTC, compared to the EMA21 of 84 BTC;
∴ This indicates an extremely low participation phase, often associated with distribution zones or indecisive consolidation;
∴ Previous impulsive candles (July 15) reached well above 100 BTC - the current contraction is stark and strategically significant.
✴️ Conclusion: Absence of volume threatens trend continuation; energy depletion apparent.
⊢
▦ RSI - (21) + EMA9:
∴ RSI (21) is positioned at 55.73, marginally above neutral zone;
∴ EMA 9 of RSI is 57.71, crossing downward against RSI - bearish micro signal;
∴ No divergence is present versus price action - oscillator confirms current stagnation rather than exhaustion.
✴️ Conclusion: RSI losing strength above neutral; lacks momentum for breakout, but no capitulation.
⊢
▦ Stoch RSI - (3,3,21,9):
∴ %K is 21.44, %D is 45.34 - both pointing downward, in deacceleration phase;
∴ Recent rejection from overbought zone without full reset into oversold - signaling weak bullish thrust;
∴ Historical cycles show rhythmical reversals near current levels, but only with supportive volume, which is absent now.
✴️ Conclusion: Short-term momentum failed to sustain overbought breakout - micro-correction expected.
⊢
▦ MACD - (9, 21):
∴ MACD line is at -104.80, Signal line at 268.16 - large separation, histogram deeply negative;
∴ The bearish crossover occurred with declining volume, implying fading momentum rather than aggressive sell-off;
∴ No bullish divergence formed yet - continuation of correction remains technically favored.
✴️ Conclusion: MACD confirms trend exhaustion; no reversal in sight.
⊢
▦ OBV + EMA 9:
∴ OBV is 71.13M, perfectly aligned with its EMA9 - indicating equilibrium in volume flow;
∴ No directional bias in accumulation or distribution - flatlining suggests passive environment;
∴ Prior OBV uptrend has stalled since July 15 - reinforcing narrative of hesitation.
✴️ Conclusion: Institutional flow is neutral; no aggressive positioning detected.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight - Technical Oracle: The current price structure presents a classic post-impulse compression configuration within a preserved bullish environment. Despite the higher timeframe alignment, multiple short-term indicators exhibit tactical dissonance and signs of momentum decay. This inconsistency reflects a market caught between structural optimism and tactical hesitation.
♘ Key strategic signals - Structural Alignment:
∴ All major EMA's (9, 21, 50, 200) remain stacked in bullish order with no bearish crossovers imminent;
∴ Price remains above the Ichimoku Cloud and above EMA50 - both confirming structural dominance by buyers.
♘ Momentum Degradation:
∴ RSI (21) is drifting below its EMA9, weakening the momentum required for further upside continuation;
∴ Stochastic RSI has rolled over aggressively, failing to reach oversold before reversing - mid-cycle weakness is confirmed.
♘ Volume Collapse:
∴ The current volume profile is critically weak - 3 Bitcoin against an average of 84 Bitcoins (EMA21);
∴ Price attempting to sustain above EMA's with no conviction signals distribution or passivity.
♘ MACD & OBV:
∴ MACD histogram remains deep in negative territory, and no bullish crossover is visible;
∴ OBV is flat - neither accumulation nor distribution dominates, leaving directional thrust suspended.
✴️ Oracle Insight:
∴ The technical field is Structurally Bullish, but Tactically Compressed.
∴ No breakout should be expected unless volume decisively returns above baseline (84 Bitcoins EMA);
∴ Below $117,800, the structure risks transition into a corrective phase;
∴ Above $118,450, potential trigger zone for bullish extension if accompanied by volume surge.
♘ Strategic posture:
∴ Wait-and-observe regime activated;
∴ No entry condition satisfies both structure and momentum at present;
∴ Tactical neutrality is advised until confirmation.
⊢
∫ II. On-Chain Intelligence - (Source: CryptoQuant):
▦ Exchange Reserve - (All Exchanges):
∴ The total Bitcoin reserves held on all exchanges continue a sharp and uninterrupted decline, now at ~2.4M BTC, down from over 3.4M in mid-2022;
∴ This downtrend has accelerated particularly after January 2025, with a visible drop into new lows - no accumulation rebound observed;
∴ Historically, every prolonged depletion of exchange reserves correlates with structural bullish setups, as supply becomes increasingly illiquid.
✴️ Conclusion: On-chain supply is structurally diminishing, confirming long-term bullish regime intact - mirrors technical EMA alignment.
⊢
▦ Fund Flow Ratio - (All Exchanges):
∴ Current Fund Flow Ratio stands at 0.114, which is well below historical danger thresholds seen near 0.20-0.25 during local tops;
∴ The ratio has remained consistently low throughout the 2025 uptrend, indicating that on-chain activity is not directed toward exchange-based selling;
∴ Spikes in this indicator tend to precede local corrections - but no such spike is currently present, reinforcing the notion of non-threatening capital flow.
✴️ Conclusion: Capital is not rotating into exchanges for liquidation - volume weakness seen in 4H chart is not linked to sell intent.
⊢
▦ Miners' Position Index - (MPI):
∴ The MPI sits firmly below the red threshold of 2.0, and currently ranges in sub-neutral levels (~0.5 and below);
∴ This suggests that miners are not engaging in aggressive distribution, and are likely retaining Bitcoin off-exchange;
∴ Sustained low MPI readings during price advances confirm alignment with institutional and long-term accumulation behavior.
✴️ Conclusion: Miner behavior supports structural strength - no mining-induced supply pressure present at this stage.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight - On-Chain Oracle:
∴ Across the three strategic indicators, no on-chain evidence supports short-term weakness;
∴ Supply is declining - (Exchange Reserve ↓);
∴ Funds are not preparing for exit - (Flow Ratio stable);
∴ Miners are not selling - (MPI subdued).
✴️ This constellation reinforces the thesis of Structural Bullishness with Tactical Compression, and suggests that any pullback is not backed by foundational stress.
⊢
𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation:
∴ The multi-timeframe EMA stack remains intact and aligned - (9 > 21 > 50 > 200);
∴ Price floats above Ichimoku Cloud, and above EMA21 support, confirming elevated positioning within a macro bull channel;
∴ On-chain metrics confirm supply contraction, miner retention, and absence of fund rotation toward exchanges - structure remains sovereign;
∴ RSI - (21) slips under its EMA9 with low amplitude, indicating absence of energetic flow;
∴ Stoch RSI fails to reset fully and points downward - suggesting premature momentum decay;
∴ MACD histogram remains negative, while volume is significantly beneath EMA baseline (3 BTC vs 84 BTC);
∴ Price faces resistance at Kijun-sen ($118.451), acting as tactical ceiling; no breakout signal detected.
⊢
✴️ Interpretatio Finalis:
∴ Structural integrity remains unshaken - the architecture is bullish;
∴ Tactically, however, the battlefield is fogged - silence reigns in volume, hesitation in oscillators;
∴ A true continuation requires volume resurrection and resolution above $118,450. Until then, neutrality governs the edge.
⊢
⧉
Cryptorvm Dominvs · ⚜️ MAGISTER ARCANVM ⚜️ · Vox Primordialis
⌬ - Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy - ⌬
⧉
⊢
BTCUSD 7/16/2025Come Tap into the mind of SnipeGoat, as he gives you a Full Top-Down Analysis with a Deep Dive Down into the 30min Timeframe. This is One you don't want to miss.
_SnipeGoat_
_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
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BTCUSD Technical Analysis – Break of Structure + SupportBTCUSD Technical Analysis – Break of Structure + Support/Resistance Strategy
🔍 Market Structure Insight
The chart clearly shows multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) throughout the uptrend, indicating strong bullish momentum. Each BOS confirms a higher high formation and continued market strength.
📌 Key Zones
Resistance Zone: Price recently tested this level and faced rejection, indicating potential short-term selling pressure.
Support Zone: Price is currently retesting this level after a correction, showing signs of a possible bounce. It aligns well with the EMA support cluster (20–200 EMAs).
🔄 Current Price Action
After a significant impulse move to the upside, BTC is now in a corrective phase. However, the support zone is holding, and there's potential for a new bullish wave if price sustains above $115,000.
📈 Bullish Scenario
Price holds above support
EMA cluster continues to act as dynamic support
Break above $118,000 resistance could trigger the next rally toward $122,000+
Signs of Weekness: Is Bitcoin Losing Momentum?Last week, Bitcoin made a new all-time high and gave bulls some serious profits. Price action has been looking solid and strong ever since it broke above the psychological and technical level of $110,000. But now, we’re starting to see signs that the market might need a healthy retracement.
On the daily chart, there’s a clear long wick at the top, which is a sign that buyers may be losing momentum up here. There’s also a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between roughly $115,200 and $112,200. In most cases, price tends to revisit these imbalances, so I wouldn’t be surprised if we dip back into that zone. I’m watching the midpoint around $113,700 because that could be a key level for a bounce if the bulls want to keep control.
If that zone fails to hold or we see a clean breakdown without much of a reaction, there’s a chance we revisit the $110,000 breakout level. From a Fibonacci standpoint, the 0.382 retracement of the recent move from around $98K to $120K also lands near $111.6K, which adds some confluence to that area.
Overall, I still think the trend is strong, but after this daily candle, I think that a 5–7% pullback wouldn’t be unusual or unhealthy. What are your thoughts? Are we just cooling off before another breakout, or is a deeper retracement on the table? Comments and suggestions?
BTC #ARC Structure has breakout its levelThe chart shows a 15-minute BTC/USD timeframe forming a cup and handle pattern, a bullish continuation signal. Price has broken above the handle resistance zone (~$118,400), suggesting a potential breakout. The red vertical line marks the expected target, projecting a move toward the $119,600 level based on the pattern height.