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BTCUSD Perpetual ContractBTCUSD Perpetual ContractBTCUSD Perpetual Contract

BTCUSD Perpetual Contract

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BTCUSD.P trade ideas

Mastering supply and demand zones - how to use it in trading?Supply and demand zones are key concepts in technical analysis used by traders to identify potential price reversal areas on a chart. They are based on the idea that prices move due to an imbalance between buyers (demand) and sellers (supply). ------------------------- What will be discussed? - What are supply and demand zones? - How to detect supply and demand zones? - Examples from supply and demand zones? - How to trade using supply and demand zones? ------------------------- What are supply and demand zones? Supply and demand zones are areas on a price chart where the forces of buying and selling are strongly concentrated, causing significant movements in price. In simple terms, a supply zone is an area where selling pressure exceeds buying pressure, often leading to a drop in price. It usually forms when price moves upward into a region where sellers begin to outnumber buyers, pushing the price back down. On the other hand, a demand zone is a region where buying pressure exceeds selling pressure, typically resulting in a rise in price. This occurs when price moves downward into a region where buyers see value and begin to outnumber sellers, causing the price to increase again. These zones reflect areas of imbalance in the market. In a supply zone, sellers are more eager to sell than buyers are to buy, often due to overbought conditions, news, or fundamental changes. In a demand zone, buyers are more eager to buy than sellers are to sell, often because the price has become attractive or undervalued. Traders look for these zones because they provide clues about where price may reverse or stall, offering potential entries or exits for trades. ------------------------- How to detect supply and demand zones? Identifying supply and demand zones involves analyzing price action on a chart, typically using candlestick patterns. A common way to detect a supply zone is to look for a sharp upward move followed by a sudden reversal or strong drop in price. The area where the price stalled before falling sharply is likely to be a supply zone. This zone includes the highest candle body or wick before the drop, and a few candles before it that mark where the selling pressure began. To identify a demand zone, you would look for a sharp drop in price followed by a strong rally upward. The area where the price paused before rising significantly can be considered a demand zone. Like with supply zones, the demand zone includes the lowest candle before the price reversed and a few candles leading up to it. These zones are not exact price levels but rather ranges. Price does not have to touch an exact line to react; it often moves within the general area. For more accuracy, traders often refine their zones by identifying them on higher time frames such as the 4-hour or daily chart, then adjusting them slightly on lower time frames like the 1-hour or 15-minute chart. ------------------------- Examples from supply and demand zones: ------------------------- How to trade using supply and demand zones? Trading supply and demand zones involves anticipating how price is likely to behave when it returns to one of these key areas. A common method is to wait for price to enter a zone and then watch for confirmation that it is going to reverse. For example, if price rises into a supply zone, you might look for signs like a bearish candlestick pattern, a drop in volume, or a rejection wick to signal that sellers are stepping in again. This would be an opportunity to enter a short trade with the expectation that price will fall. Conversely, if price falls into a demand zone, you would wait for bullish signals—such as a strong bullish candle, a double bottom pattern, or clear rejection of lower prices—to confirm that buyers are returning. This would be a potential setup for a long trade, expecting the price to move up from the zone. Traders often place stop losses just beyond the zone to limit risk in case the level fails. For a supply zone, the stop loss would go just above the zone, while for a demand zone, it would go just below. Targets can be set at recent support or resistance levels, or by using risk-reward ratios like 1:2 or 1:3 depending on the trader’s strategy. Patience and discipline are important when trading these zones. Not every zone will lead to a reversal, and false breakouts can occur. Therefore, combining supply and demand analysis with other tools such as trendlines, moving averages, or indicators can improve the chances of a successful trade. In summary, supply and demand zones help traders understand where large buying or selling forces are likely to influence price. By learning to identify these zones and waiting for confirmation signals, traders can enter high-probability trades with clear risk and reward levels. ------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
TRADENATION:BTCUSDEducation
by Youriverse
80
BITCOIN- MONSTER ORDERS IN THE BOOK -> You Know What This Means COINBASE:BTCUSD “Monster orders” are exceptionally large buy-limit orders clustered roughly 7 % beneath the current market price. Large buy-limit walls can act like a price magnet—deep liquidity attracts algos and traders hunting fills, often pulling price straight toward the level. Once the wall absorbs the selling pressure, the magnet flips: liquidity dries up, supply thins, and price can rip away from that zone with force. They create a visible demand wall in the order book, signalling that whales / institutions are ready to absorb a dip and accumulate at that level. Price will often wick into this zone to fill the wall, then rebound sharply—treat the 7 % band as potential support or entry. Such walls can act as liquidity traps : market makers may push price down to trigger retail stop-losses before snapping it back up. Confirm that the wall persists as price approaches and that spot + derivatives volume rises; if the wall disappears, it may have been spoofing. Always combine order-book context with trend, momentum and higher-time-frame support for higher-probability trades, Just like the extremely powerful indicators on the chart. 🚀 Marty Boots | 17-Year Trader — smash that 👍, hit LIKE & SUBSCRIBE, and share your views in the comments below so we can make better trades & grow together!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by MartyBoots
97
Why Risk Management Is Your Only Real Superpower in TradingMany traders obsess over entries, indicators, or finding the “perfect” strategy… But the real longevity in this game comes from how you manage risk — not how often you’re right. Obviously it all starts with using stop loss. I hope you already know it. We all learned lessons in trying to enter the top / bottom and it was really not the top/ bottom yet. ✅ Always use Stop Loss. Interestingly more then 50% failed prop challenges are because traders dont use a stop loss. Now your stop loss should always be adjusted to the market structure. Not always same lot size Obviously some short-term scalping can be done with the fixed SL and TP distance. But most of strategies needs to adjust SL to the current structure. And here come the problem. Many traders use still same lot size even when the stop loss distance is different and thats the problem. Let me just show you on 2 examples of series of trades. We count with 5 identical trade setups Let's assume we had 5 trades 1 winner and 4 losses. 📌 1) Using always same position size on 10K account - Outcome of trades is various - 1 win with fixed lot was small. Instead of fixed lot we could use higher lot size as the SL distance was small. This trade didnt covered other losses. - Losses of other trades are various - psychological affect - uncertainty increasing fear of loss - total result after is -273 pips - minus 2.7% and - $273 📌 2) Calculated risk 1.5% for each trade - we risk 1.5% for each trade by adjusting lot size - You always know how much you loose if you loose. - You can maximize profits on high RR trades. - Every trade will have same % value in your series of trades. This makes your statistics working - first trade has made huge profit - other 4 losses were 1.5% each - first trade covered losses and even made gains - we again ended in minus 273 pips BUT +$337 IN MONEY / AND + 3.37% PROFIT 📌 Final Conclusion Although we modeled 5 completely same trading setups in first example we ended up loosing in pips and money. While in the second example with the completely identical setups we ended in profit and more stability of on our account but also with psychological preservation. And this is power of risk management and it has much bigger impact especially to our trading psychology which is 80% of success. 🧠 Psychological Importance of Risk Management: 🧪 Reduces emotional pressure When your capital is protected, you stop making desperate, fear-based decisions. 🧪 Builds confidence in your strategy Knowing you’re safe even if a trade fails allows you to focus on execution, not outcome. 🧪 Eliminates fear of losing Small, controlled losses become part of the process — not something to avoid or fear. 🧪Improves consistency and discipline Following rules forces you to act like a professional, not a gambler. 🧪 Prevents burnout and mental fatigue Managing risk = managing stress. Overexposure to loss drains your mental capital, not just your account. 📌 Final tip There is no strategy on the world which is only winning. Losses are normal. Same like restaurant owner has a cost with rent and salaries for employees. We as a trader has cost of the doing the business in losses. You cant avoid them. One loss out of 4 trades is nothing. But what if you get in to a loosing streak like me in the may? How did I survive? Many people would start doubting the strategy , doing the changes, switching to trading different markets etc.. But NO, if you know your statistical data and stick with the your risk management it will keeps you going. You know that even 75% win rate doesnt guarantee that you cant get in to a loosing streak. 75% winning ratio means that out of 100 trades you will win 75. But still there is 25 looters. And you never know what would be distribution of wins and losses. So you keep going and its only possible if you calculate risk per trade and know how much is your max loss per trade not by using same lot size for random stop loss distance. “Adapt what is useful. Reject whats useless and add whats is specifically yours.” David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
GEMINI:BTCUSDEducation
by David_Perk
41
Bitcoin - Reversal Setup or Just a Trap Reset?Price faked below the 1H support zone around 115,800, triggering a clean run through resting sell stops. This classic liquidity sweep flushed out early long positions before immediately reclaiming the range. The move aggressively filled a prior imbalance and flipped sentiment just when it seemed the trend might break lower. The quick rejection and recovery from this level suggests smart money accumulation beneath support. Formation of a 1H Inversion Fair Value Gap The rebound from the liquidity grab printed a bullish 1H inversion FVG, now acting as a potential launchpad for continuation. This FVG coincides with the same zone that was previously support, now carrying added confluence. As long as price remains above this gap, the reaction shows bullish intent, with buyers reclaiming initiative after a shakeout. Trend Shift Trigger and Invalidation Level The current structure remains technically bearish until we break above the marked 1H high at 118,400. That level is the structure shift trigger. A decisive close above it would confirm a market structure shift and open the door to a broader bullish continuation. However, failure to close above this high would invalidate the setup and suggest that the move from support was just a temporary retracement rather than a full reversal. Upside Targets and Continuation Outlook If we get the bullish break above 118,400, I’m looking for price to reach Target 1 near 120,400, followed by Target 2 around the unmitigated FVG at 122,200. These levels align with clean inefficiencies that are likely to get filled if the market gains momentum. With enough volume behind the breakout, BTC could push into ATH territory above 123K as part of a larger macro expansion. Volume and Higher Timeframe Context Volume is the final key piece. We need strong follow-through above 118,400 for the setup to remain valid. Weak rejection or consolidation below that red line would signal distribution and potential failure. On the higher timeframes, BTC still looks constructive, but the 1H structure must confirm by breaking higher, or the broader bullish case will need to be re-evaluated. Conclusion BTC swept 1H support, ran stops, and printed a bullish inversion FVG. A break and close above 118,400 would confirm trend reversal and initiate a move toward 120,400 and 122,200. If we fail to close above that level, this setup is invalidated and the range could continue or break lower. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:BTCUSD
by TehThomas
53
Bitcoin - V-shape recovery down towards the 4h FVG at $111.000?The move began with a strong rally that peaked near the $123,000 level. After hitting that high, Bitcoin quickly reversed and sold off aggressively, forming a classic V-shaped pattern. This type of formation typically indicates a strong shift in momentum, where bullish control is quickly overtaken by sellers, leading to swift downward movement. 4H bearish FVG Shortly after the initial drop, Bitcoin made a retest of the bearish 4H FVG (Fair Value Gap) around the $119,000 to $120,500 zone. This fair value gap was created during the sharp move down and represented an area of inefficiency in price. The chart shows that price moved back into this zone and was “perfectly retested,” getting rejected almost immediately. This rejection confirmed that sellers are respecting this imbalance, turning it into a short-term resistance level. Market structure As the price failed to reclaim the fair value gap and continued lower, it broke the market structure at around $117,000. This break suggests that the previous higher low was taken out, signaling a bearish shift in the intermediate trend. The market structure break often acts as confirmation that buyers are losing control and lower prices are likely. CME gap Adding to the downside pressure is the CME gap, labeled as the "BTC CME GAP" on the chart. This gap spans from roughly $114,000 to $116,300 and was formed over the weekend when the CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) was closed. Historically, Bitcoin has shown a tendency to "fill" these gaps by revisiting the price levels within them. The current price action has already started to dip into this region, which could suggest further downside to complete the gap fill. Bullish 4H FVG with support Finally, the chart hints at the potential drop to the lowest 4H FVG and previous resistance, located just above $111,000. This fair value gap aligns closely with a prior resistance level from earlier in the month, making it a logical magnet for price if selling pressure persists. It represents a confluence zone where buyers may look to step in again, especially if the CME gap is filled and the market is searching for support. Conclusion In summary, Bitcoin is showing bearish technical signs following a V-shape top and a strong rejection from the 4H FVG at $120,000. The break of market structure and ongoing fill of the CME gap suggest that further downside toward the $111,000 level is a strong possibility. Traders should watch closely for price reaction in that lower fair value gap zone, as it could serve as a critical area for a potential bounce. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
TRADENATION:BTCUSDShort
by Youriverse
52
Bitcoin – Rising channel with critical support at $119.000!The chart presented shows Bitcoin in a well-defined rising channel, highlighting a strong bullish momentum over recent trading sessions. Rising channel The price action is currently oscillating within the boundaries of this upward sloping channel, marked by parallel trendlines. The channel suggests that Bitcoin has been consistently making higher highs and higher lows, with the current price hovering around $121,794. The upper boundary near $123,200 acts as potential resistance, while the lower boundary of the channel provides dynamic support, suggesting a continuation pattern if this structure holds. Uptrend The overall uptrend is clearly visible and remains strong, especially since July 10th, where a significant bullish breakout occurred. The breakout was followed by steady gains, with minimal pullbacks, indicating strong buying interest and market confidence. The momentum shows a healthy bullish structure with minimal price overlap, characteristic of a trending market, which favors continuation as long as critical support levels remain intact. Support area A critical element in this chart is the key support area, highlighted in green. This support zone is located between approximately $118,500 and $119,600. This zone was previously a resistance level that has now turned into support following the breakout. It also aligns with the mid-level of the rising channel, reinforcing its significance. Should the price retrace, this area is likely to act as a cushion where buyers may step in again to defend the trend. Fibonacci Additionally, the chart features a Fibonacci retracement drawn from the swing low to the current swing high. The 0.618 Fibonacci level is particularly noteworthy, sitting at around $119,623. This level is known as the “golden ratio” in technical analysis and often acts as a strong retracement level during corrections. Below it, the 1.0 level is marked at $116,669, which represents a full retracement of the move and a deeper correction scenario if the support fails. These Fibonacci levels coincide with the key support zone, further validating it as an area of high confluence and likely buying interest. Final thoughts Overall, the technical structure remains bullish within the rising channel, with key levels of interest lying around $119,600 for support and $123,200 for potential resistance. A successful defense of the support area could propel the price higher toward the channel’s upper bound, while a breakdown may lead to a test of deeper Fibonacci retracement levels. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
TRADENATION:BTCUSDLong
by Youriverse
44
Did Bitcoin Just TOP OUT ?????? COINBASE:BTCUSD has just collided with an 8-year rising trendline that capped the market’s last two cyclical peaks—historically, this level has triggered multi-month corrections and Bear Markets. Triple-test significance : a third touch of a long-term trendline ➜ heightened odds of a reaction; failure to break cleanly often confirms a major top. Watch for confirmation signals —weekly bearish RSI divergence, waning volume, or rejection wicks can validate a reversal scenario. Breakout = regime change : a decisive close and hold above the line flips it to support, opening the door to fresh price discovery and potential parabolic upside. Large Orders at $114k create a visible demand wall in the order book, signalling that whales / institutions are ready to absorb a dip and accumulate at that level. Risk-management alert : consider tightening stops, reducing leverage, or hedging until trendline fate is resolved. The buy pressure has been relentless but this is always worth paying attention to Marty Boots | 17-Year Trader — smash that , hit LIKE & SUBSCRIBE, and share your views in the comments below so we can make better trades & grow together!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by MartyBoots
42
Bitcoin may bounce up from support area to 122800 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Analyzing the broader market context on the BTC chart, the past price action has carved out two significant technical structures: a wide trading range and a larger upward wedge pattern. The formation of this wedge indicates a generally positive market sentiment, though the narrowing price swings suggest a decrease in upward momentum. The foundation of the current structure was established around the buyer zone of 105500 - 104500, a level that has historically proven to be a robust floor. This historical behavior provides a critical reference for our hypothesis. Currently, we are observing bitcoin's price action closely, interacting with the current support area, located between 116500 and 117300. The character of the movement here is largely corrective and consolidative, pointing to a state of temporary equilibrium. This consolidation near the lower boundary of the wedge is a pivotal point. My thinking is that a final, brief dip to thoroughly test the 116500 - 117300 support area is a high-probability scenario. Such a move would effectively absorb remaining sell-side liquidity before a reversal. We can then anticipate an impulsive move upwards across the range. Therefore, the logical take-profit for this long position is set at 122800 points, as this level marks the upper resistance of the range and a natural target. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by LegionQ8
18
BITCOIN Entering Cyclical Profit Zone. Risk should be limited.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has just entered the first level of the Logarithmic Growth Curve (LGC) Resistance Zone, which is the light pink band. The Top of the previous Cycle was priced at the top of the band just above this. In fact every BTC Cycle had this as the 'Profit taking Zone'. The market marginally touched that also within December 2024 - January 2025 but got rejected, almost in similar fashion as January 2021, which was a Double Top approach of the peak formation during the previous Cycle. This Cycle Top is expected to be within October - November 2025, so we call this the 'Profit Taking Zone' for a reason. Risk exposure from now on should be getting more and more limited. Peak range (depending of the nature of aggression of potential Rate Cuts in September) could be anywhere within $140 - 200k. Do you think this is the time to start limiting BTC exposure, perhaps moving some of the huge profits to alts? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
13
Bitcoin - Bearflag Structure Taking ShapeBitcoin is showing signs of weakness after a clean rejection from a 4H fair value gap, where price also swept the previous swing high. This aligns well with a broader bearish context as the market failed to sustain above the upper bounds of the trend channel, indicating potential exhaustion of the bullish correction. Rejection Zone and Fair Value Gap The rejection took place precisely within a 4H imbalance, adding confluence to the idea that this was a premium retracement in a bearish leg. The high formed inside that zone has now been swept, setting up conditions for distribution. A smaller 1H fair value gap was also left behind during the displacement move down, creating a clean area for price to return to and potentially react from. Channel Structure and Bearflag Formation Structurally, price has been climbing in a rising channel that resembles a bearflag pattern. The recent market structure shift broke the channel low, confirming that the rising structure is likely corrective. The rejection from the top of the flag and the subsequent breakdown align with a typical bearflag setup, suggesting a continuation move to the downside. Short-Term Retracement Expectation Before the next leg down, price may retrace to fill the unmitigated fair value gap while possibly sweeping the minor swing high that caused the current drop. This retracement would offer a premium shorting opportunity in alignment with the bearish bias, especially if internal structure remains weak on the lower timeframes during the return to the FVG. Draw on Liquidity and Price Objective The main objective for this setup is a sweep of the last equal lows near 115950, which represents a strong draw on liquidity. If the bearflag setup plays out fully, this area is highly vulnerable and could be the next significant target once the FVG is filled and lower timeframe distribution confirms. Conclusion Price has rejected from a 4H imbalance and swept liquidity to the upside, forming a clean bearflag structure. As long as price remains below the recent high and fills the 1H FVG without invalidating the shift, the path of least resistance looks to be down toward the liquidity resting below 115950. I’ll be watching for signs of weakness during the return to the FVG for a potential short trigger. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:BTCUSDShort
by TehThomas
36
HelenP. I Bitcoin will correct to trend line and then start riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. The price has been trading in a strong bullish structure, clearly respecting the ascending trend line since the rebound from the 107500 level. Each time the price touched the trend line, it formed a higher low and continued the upward movement. After breaking through the important Support 1 zone (115500–116500), BTC made a strong impulse upward and reached a local high above 122000 points. Currently, the price is making a pullback and moving closer to the trend line again. This area has previously acted as a major point of interest for buyers, and now it's expected to play a key role once more. The support zone and trend line are converging, which makes this level critical for the next move. I believe BTCUSD will bounce from this area and continue its bullish momentum. My goal is set at 123000 points. Given the market structure, higher lows, and strong reaction from the support zones, I remain bullish and expect further growth from current levels. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by FirstNameHelen
18
Bitcoin may exit of pennant and then rebound up of support areaHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Earlier, the price was moving inside an upward channel, respecting both the resistance and support boundaries. After reaching the buyer zone (110200–109500 points), BTC made a strong impulse up, breaking out of the channel and entering a new phase of growth. This breakout led to the formation of a bullish pennant, which often signals a continuation of the uptrend. Right now, the price is testing the support area between 117000 and 117800, which previously acted as a breakout zone and now serves as a current support level (117000). The structure shows that this level has already worked as a rebound zone multiple times. In my opinion, BTC may continue the correction toward this support area, potentially exiting the pennant to the downside for a short-term pull-back. After that, I expect a new upward movement, targeting the next local high. That’s why I set my TP at 122500 points, which is just below the recent ATH. Given the impulse move, strong support zone, breakout from the channel, and the bullish pennant pattern, I remain bullish and expect BTC to resume its upward trend soon. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by LegionQ8
17
Bitcoin Skyrockets as Everyone Now Wants a Piece. What Happened?If you took a few days off last week and went to get coffee this morning, you likely missed Bitcoin torching its all-time high and soaring into the uncharted. The world’s most popular digital asset took off in an unstoppable rocket ride, smashing records so fast that even the always-wired-in day traders couldn’t keep up. Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD blasted through $122,000 Monday morning after gobbling up sell walls at $120,000 and $121,000 in less than one hour. That’s not a typo. That’s an actual snapshot of what happens when you mix onchain whale movements, fresh institutional FOMO, and traders rediscovering their appetite for risk. Billions upon billions swirled up and Bitcoin passed $2.3 trillion in market cap (ref: our Crypto Heatmap ). 🙌 Bow Down Before the King Bitcoin has officially reminded every altcoin who wears the crown when markets go haywire. While some tiny tokens get to pump 100% on hype alone, Bitcoin does it with the weight of its market cap behind it — which now surpasses the GDP of entire countries. Its dominance share has climbed back above 64%, a level we haven’t seen since the last time crypto Twitter argued whether “flippening” would happen by next Thursday (spoiler: it didn’t, and we mean 2021). And right now, all eyes are pinned on that round, meme-ready milestone: $125,000 or even $150,000. Why these levels? Because traders love round numbers. They’re clean, symbolic, and if that next ceiling shatters, the chain reaction of liquidated shorts and new leveraged longs can turn an orderly bull run into pure market mayhem. 📈 Institutional Hoarding: The Secret Fuel If you think this is just retail traders YOLO’ing in from their parents’ basement, think again. Onchain data showed earlier this month that this moon mission was being quietly underwritten by the big boys — institutional funds, overflowing Bitcoin ETFs , and corporate treasuries that once scoffed at Bitcoin as “magic internet money.” Does this mean Bitcoin is becoming boring? Not quite. It means the foundation for this rally is sturdier than the TikTok-fueled moonshots of yesteryear. Think steady inflows, regulated vehicles, and balance sheets that no longer flinch when they see “digital assets” on a line item. 👀 So, Why Now? Bitcoin doesn’t need much of a reason to get volatile — you know that. But a few more stars than usual aligned to give this surge its lift-off moment. First, the macro backdrop: US inflation is at 2.4% (next ECONOMICS:USCPI report coming Wednesday, pay attention to the Economic Calendar ), which makes a Fed rate cut more likely later this year. Lower rates mean cheaper dollars, weaker bond yields, and renewed appetite for risk assets. Oh, and don’t forget about gold OANDA:XAUUSD — the OG “no yield, no problem” hedge. Second, corporate treasuries are all-in on Bitcoin again. If Michael Saylor’s Strategy NASDAQ:MSTR (formerly MicroStrategy — we all know what business they’re really in) keeps adding coins and onboarding new public companies like GameStop NYSE:GME , you know the institutions smell long-term value. Add Trump’s full-throated crypto endorsement and you’ve got a narrative tailwind no trader wants to miss. 🥂 Record Highs Everywhere — COINcidence? Now let’s go back to those aligning stars. Bitcoin’s fresh all-time high didn’t happen in a vacuum. The S&P 500 SP:SPX , the Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC , and Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA — the world’s most expensive company — all clocked record closing highs last week. So, is this a “rising tide lifts all boats” moment? Or are we partying on borrowed time? Equities are riding a wave of hope that the Fed will start easing soon, and any whiff of a rate cut is pure oxygen for risk assets. But seasoned traders know that record highs can sometimes be the most dangerous places to FOMO in. Ask anyone who went all-in on dot-com stocks in 1999. 🏹 Eyes on the Big 120K — Will It Hold the Line? Short-term, the $120,000 milestone is the line in the sand everyone’s watching. Break it decisively, see if it holds above it for a week or so, and the floodgates of speculative capital might open for another leg higher. Stall out below it? You could see a healthy round of profit-taking and some bruised egos during quiet dinners. Macro factors will loom large: the Fed’s policy meeting, surprise tariff talks from the White House, or an unexpected bout of inflation could swing sentiment overnight. But for now, the mood is simple: bullish, frothy, and more than a little bit greedy. 💭 Final Take: From Moonshots to Maturity? The shift from whales to suits means fewer wild swings but steadier institutional demand. The days of “Lambo tomorrow” might be giving way to “slow grind higher for the next 5 years.” For the retirement portfolio, that’s not the worst outcome. For the traders who crave the adrenaline, there’s still plenty of room to catch the waves — just don’t expect them to come as easily or as frequently as they did in the wild west days. 📢 Your Turn: Moon or Swoon? Over to you: is Bitcoin ready to break out above $125,000 and send shorts scrambling for cover? Or is this just another overbought stall before a healthy pullback? Either way, grab your popcorn — and your stop-loss — because if there’s one thing crypto never does, it’s sit still for long. Drop your hot take below — and may your diamond hands be stronger than your coffee.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingView
23
Bitcoin: 130K AREA Upon Triangle Break Out.Bitcoin consolidating in a sub wave 4 and poised to break out (see triangle formation on chart). This breakout would be the sub wave 5 which can take price as high as the 133K to 134K area. In my opinion, this can be the completion of the broadest impulse wave (5th of the 5th). Wave counts aside, this is EXTREMELY important to recognize because it highlights significant price vulnerability and implies very high risk for longs (especially for investors). Of course, these price moves do not play out unless accompanied by a specific catalyst. We have the catalysts in place to drive price higher, but what can lead to a broad corrective structure? Who knows. There are numerous drivers in play at the moment: the weakening dollar, tariffs, favorable legal environment, etc. And all the talk, videos and other propaganda all point to the continuation of this trend. The broader markets, metals, Ethereum, whatever asset it is, it is continuously going higher with little to no variance. The recipe for total complacency while risk is increasing. Back in April, before the pullback, things looked similar, and then the unexpected reaction to the tariff news at the time. No one saw that coming, and when it came, NO ONE saw or expected that we would be pushing all time highs across EVERYTHING in just a matter of months. When the top is in, the correction will likely be similar or worse. The market is be driven by a declining dollar, not a growing economy. For the next leg higher into the 130's, what for swing trade or day trade setups. The trend is pretty clear, so it is all a matter of confirming mini pullbacks and continuation or reversal patterns on smaller time frames. Risk can be managed using reference levels on smaller time frames like 4H or 1H for swing trades. The Trade Scanner Pro also provides precise confirmations along with risk and profit objectives. There is plenty of opportunity and ways to play this, without having to get caught as an investor. The scenario on the chart that illustrates price going to the 130K area assumes a break out occurring this week. IF the market chooses otherwise, like it breaks the low of the triangle instead, then it lowers the probability of the bullish scenario playing out. It's up to the market to choose, all I can do is map out scenarios based on the structure that is in play at the moment. Either way, it is important to always accept that markets are mostly random. Price action is shaped by the perceptions of the future which can change on a whim. There is no need to feel like you are missing out because when things look their greatest, that is often the worst time to buy and vice versa. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
9
BITCOIN Should we still trust the Stock to Flow model??It sure worked perfectly during Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) first Cycles, but the Stock-to-Flow model has greatly diverged from the current price action since March 2024. Right now the model sits at around $750000, which is vastly above the current market price of $119000. It's been trading sideways actually since June 2024 and all of the times that it was ranging, Bitcoin eventually caught up and closed the gap. It has always been a 'story' of divergence and convergence but it sure seems unrealistic to catch up this time, especially during if this Cycle continues to follow the 4-year model. So what do you think? Should we still trust what seems more and more like an 'obsolete' model as mass adoption kicks in? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
9
BITCOIN - Price can bounce up from support line to $125000Hi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 For a long time, the price was trading sideways inside a wide flat range between the $99000 support area and the $112000 resistance level. After accumulating volume, bitcoin made a strong upward impulse and performed a breakout, pushing above the top of the flat. Following this movement, the price action began to form a rising wedge pattern, moving between its clear support and resistance lines. Recently, price tested the resistance line of the wedge and then started a predictable correction back down towards support. Now, BTC is approaching the support line of the wedge, which aligns with the important horizontal support area around $112000-$113500. I expect that the price can test this support line and then bounce up to the $125000 resistance line of the wedge. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by WalterMoon
11
Major Coins and Crypto Stocks Pump — Thank Landmark GENIUS BillBitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD making ATHs? Old news. But Coinbase NASDAQ:COIN and Robinhood NASDAQ:HOOD hitting those record-high notes? And XRP BITSTAMP:XRPUSD dangerously close to eclipsing its own peak, while Ethereum keeps chugging along toward $4,000? Now we’re talking. In a market-friendly twist, President Trump signed the GENIUS Act into law on Friday — a sweeping legislative win for crypto. Short for Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for US Stablecoins, the GENIUS Act marks the first major federal framework for digital assets and, more importantly for traders, triggered a firestorm of price action across the space. Flanked by crypto executives, Republican lawmakers, and a few NFT bros in suits, Trump called the stablecoin-focused bill “perhaps the greatest revolution in financial technology since the birth of the internet.” Bold claim. But judging by what the market’s doing — he might actually be onto something. The bill, passed 308 to 122 in the House, lays the groundwork for US banks to issue their own stablecoins and create a regulatory moat that finally separates innovation from legal whack-a-mole. But wait, that’s not all. The House also passed the CLARITY Act and the Anti-CBDC Surveillance State Act. The first one will help determine if cryptos will be considered securities and the second one bans the Federal Reserve from issuing its own coin. 🚀 Crypto Market Cap Hits $4 Trillion As the bill cleared Congress and Trump picked up the pen, the entire crypto market cap exploded past $4 trillion for the first time in history with the orange coin holding more than 60% of the market . It wasn’t just Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD making noise (although it did quietly retest $120,000 boasting a $2.4 trillion valuation, or more than that of Google parent Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOGL ). The real momentum was coming from the stocks and altcoins — especially those with exposure to the suddenly green-lit US regulatory scene. 📈 Coinbase: To the Moon and Beyond Let’s talk about Coinbase, ticker symbol NASDAQ:COIN , and now also, apparently, ticker symbol 🚀. Shares surged over 8% on Friday to hit a new record session high of $445, giving the US-based exchange a market cap of over $100 billion. Not bad for a company that spent most of 2022 playing dodgeball with the SEC. The GENIUS Act (and its siblings) cleared a path for institutional crypto adoption — and no one stands to gain more than Coinbase. It’s the go-to exchange for institutional custody and compliance. And now, with banks dipping their toes into stablecoin waters, guess who gets to facilitate those flows? Exactly. Coinbase has now rallied over 63% year-to-date, putting it back into market darling territory — and giving early bulls a solid reason to post their PnLs again. 📊 Robinhood: Meme Stock No More? Wait, what’s that clamor? It’s the “HOOD to $100” crowd dusting off their 2021 hats. Robinhood NASDAQ:HOOD also saw a serious lift from the legislative push — hitting an all-time session high of $113 on Friday. The shares are up 180% in 2025 alone. While most remember Robinhood for its meme stock legacy, the app has quietly built a towering crypto trading platform in the US. And now, with Congress cracking open the stablecoin lane and clearing legal fog, it’s suddenly a real contender in the digital asset arms race. Add to that Trump’s pledge to dismantle crypto-hostile policies from the previous administration (many of which affected Robinhood’s crypto operations), and it’s no wonder the stock is flying. 💰 Stablecoins: Boring Coins Are Now Big Biz You’d be forgiven for snoozing through most stablecoin headlines. After all, they don’t moonshot or do anything but sit idle. But make no mistake — this is where the real money’s watching. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon, not known for casual crypto endorsements, said last week his bank will now be “involved in both JPMorgan deposit coin and stablecoins.” That’s a seismic shift. For years, traditional banks sat on the sidelines while Circle CRYPTOCAP:USDC and Tether CRYPTOCAP:USDT built billion-dollar stablecoin empires. Now, thanks to the GENIUS Act, the door is open for regulated banks to issue digital dollars backed by FDIC-level trust — and potentially eat into the DeFi-native players’ lunch. Boring’s about to get very profitable. 💥 XRP: Return of the Ripple? You know it’s a bull market when XRP BITSTAMP:XRPUSD shows up uninvited and still gets the VIP booth. The one-time courtroom drama token surged over 60% in the past two weeks, hitting $3.50 and inching dangerously close to its all-time high. Ripple’s comeback arc may finally be getting its payoff. With legal pressure fading and Congress setting new guardrails for digital assets, XRP’s regulatory risks just got a lot less scary. Plus, institutions looking for faster cross-border rails may find XRP’s network a bit more attractive when Washington’s no longer breathing down its neck. 🐂 Ethereum: Quietly Eyeing $4,000 Ethereum BITSTAMP:ETHUSD might not be making headlines like Bitcoin or XRP, but don't let the quiet confidence fool you. ETH has been rising steadily, gaining almost 50% in the last two weeks, and Monday morning was trading just shy of $3,800. With regulatory uncertainty waning, and the market treating Ether more like an investment than a utility token, it’s slowly reclaiming its 2025 highs. Factor in the growing number of ETH-based ETFs , tokenized real-world assets (hello, Treasury bills onchain), and the boom in stablecoins running on Ethereum rails… and you’ve got a slow-burn bull case building brick by brick. 🦅 Washington, WAGMI? So, what’s the takeaway? For the first time, Congress passed crypto legislation that didn’t come with a hidden poison pill. The GENIUS Act, along with the CLARITY Act, have made more legislative progress in a week than years of courtroom wrangling and ETF lobbying combined. Trump, with his pro-crypto stance and deep industry ties (after all, he did launch his own coin not too long ago), just turned crypto into a political weapon — and a market darling. Is 2025 shaping up to be the year Washington went full Web3? Let’s hear it from you : Drop your thoughts in the comments and let’s spin up the discussion.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradingView
9
HelenP. I Bitcoin will go to a correction after a strong impulseHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see that the price has recently made a powerful impulse upward, breaking out of a long consolidation range between 110500 and 102500. This range acted as a strong accumulation zone, where the price bounced multiple times from both support levels. After the breakout, Bitcoin gained momentum and pushed sharply toward the 122000 mark. Now, after this sharp rally, I believe a correction is highly probable. Often, after such strong bullish moves, the market tends to pull back to retest the trend line or previous breakout zones. In this case, the trend line has been respected several times and now aligns with the 117500 area, which also acts as local support. That’s why I consider this zone to be a logical target for the correction. I expect BTCUSD can drop from the current highs and retest the trend line near 117500 points - that is my main goal for this setup. If the trend line holds, buyers may return to the market and push price higher again. Given the strong impulse, the breakout from consolidation, and the importance of the trend line, I remain bearish short-term and expect a drop toward 117500 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️ Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by FirstNameHelen
18
Bitcoin’s 486-Day Halving Blueprint: The $200,000 Blowoff?Summary Bitcoin’s price consistently follows a 3-phase structure after each halving, with ~486 days per phase. If history repeats, we are nearing the end of the parabolic phase, with a potential peak around $200,000, before entering a structured drawdown. Halving Cycles: The Real Clock Behind Bitcoin Bitcoin’s monetary policy is pre-programmed. A halving occurs approximately every 210,000 blocks (~4 years), and market behaviour after each halving follows this repeating pattern: Phase 1: Parabolic Rally (0 to 70,000 blocks post-halving). Phase 2: Major Drawdown (70,000 to 140,000 blocks). Phase 3: Equilibrium Phase (140,000 to 210,000 blocks). Each phase lasts approximately 486 days, and this structure has repeated reliably since 2012. Phase 1: The Parabolic Rally (Current Phase) We are currently in the growth segment of the cycle: Price rising rapidly. Miner profitability at highs. Hashrate and network security increasing. MVRV Z-Score steadily climbing, but not yet overextended. Roughly 700,000 BTC are mined during this period, creating a supply shock as issuance is halved while demand accelerates. Phase 2: The Drawdown (Expected Next) Historically begins between block 70,000 to 140,000 post-halving. Market peaks and begins to correct. Miner margins compress. Hashrate may plateau or decline. Forced selling and miner capitulation drive volatility. Price retraces significantly from the peak. This phase resets the market and eliminates unsustainable excess. Phase 3: The Equilibrium Phase Occurs between block 140,000 to 210,000 post-halving. Price enters consolidation. Realized value and market price converge. Ideal accumulation period for long-term investors. Network fundamentals stabilize ahead of the next halving. This phase is critical in building the base for the next cycle. MVRV Z-Score: Market Thermometer The chart includes the MVRV Z-Score, a key metric showing how far price deviates from realized value: Readings above 6.0 have consistently marked cycle tops. Readings near or below 0 have marked major bottoms. Current value is around 2.67 — indicating a rising trend, but not overheated. This metric reflects market-wide profitability and speculative pressure. Why $200,000 Is in Sight The projected resistance curve on the chart suggests that: $200,000 aligns with the top of the long-term parabolic channel. It corresponds with the expected end of the parabolic phase (Q1–Q2 2026). It fits prior extension patterns following each halving. It is a strong psychological target, likely to trigger heavy profit-taking. This price level is not arbitrary—it is derived from the same structure that defined previous peaks. What Comes After If the historical cycle structure remains intact: The peak should occur before mid-2026. A deep correction phase follows, likely into 2027. True bottoms tend to occur as miner capitulation concludes and difficulty adjusts downward. This is where conviction and preparation matter most. Final Thoughts Bitcoin cycles are not random. They are structured around block height, issuance, and miner economics. Every cycle since 2012 has followed this 486-day framework, divided across parabola, crash, and reset. This model has outperformed calendar-based predictions and technical narratives. Disclaimer This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author holds no responsibility for any losses incurred as a result of using the information presented herein.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Theperfectionist
6
BITCOIN High after High going for the Cycle Top!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) made a new All Time High (ATH) today, just north of $123000 and shows absolutely no signs of stopping there! The brilliantly structured 2.5-year Channel Up (blue) that has been dominating the entirety of the current Bull Cycle since the November 2022 market bottom, has been on its latest Bullish Leg since the April 07 2025 rebound on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). The 1W MA50 has been the Cycle's natural Support level since the March 13 2023 bullish break-out, never broken after, just like it has been for the 2019 - 2021 Bull Cycle (excluding of course the Black Swan event of the March 2020 COVID crash). In fact the similarities of the whole 2022 - 2025 Cycle are strong with the 2018 - 2021 Cycle. Similar Bear Cycles of -80% on average, followed by strong Lower Highs break-outs and subsequent consolidations within the 0.786 - 0.618 Fibonacci range, takes us to today with the April 2025 1W MA50 bounce resembling the July 2021 one. Eventually, that Bullish Leg led to the Cycle's Top a little above the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. The market seems to be only one step away of completing that past pattern and if it does, BTC may hit $170000 before the Cycle peaks. Do you think that is a likely scenario after today's new fresh ATH? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
8
Bitcoin may make correction movement to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Price recently printed a new ATH at 118800 points and then began to show signs of correction. Before this breakout, the price was stuck in a long downward channel, where it bounced inside the buyer zone (103000–103800) several times and reversed upward. After the final breakout, BTC entered a range phase between the support level (103800) and the support area (110300–111300), building energy before the massive move. Once the price escaped this range, a strong impulse up followed, pushing BTC above all major levels and reaching a new high. However, after hitting the ATH, the price started to stall and consolidate. Currently, we can see signs of weakness at the top — the structure is forming lower highs and looks unstable, which may indicate a potential retracement. Now the price is trading above the support area, but I expect a corrective move back toward the current support level at 110300. This level aligns with the top of the previous range and now acts as strong demand. That’s why I’ve set my TP at 110300 level — right at the beginning of potential buyer interest. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by LegionQ8
35
Strategy: “Breakout Bounce” – Buy the Retest, Ride the WaveHello Traders! BTC has broken out above $118K–$120K after a strong uptrend. Now it’s pausing, and a short-term pullback looks likely. Instead of buying the top, we wait for the price to retest previous resistance (around $112K–$114K), which could turn into support. MY PLAN: Wait for pullback to $112K–$114K zone. Look for a bullish candle (daily or 4H) to confirm entry. Target: $122K short-term or trail stop if trend continues. Stop loss: Below $108K to manage risk. Tip: Don’t chase. Be patient, follow the setup, and use proper risk management. Please leave a comment and don't forget to support a fellow trader! Also, you can leave in the comments your target and plan ideas! Have a great day y'all! -Neo
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Neotrader_CFT
8