BTC setup with 2R R:R.BTC is showing signs of a real breakout.
This setup offers a 2:1 risk-reward ratio.
Entry: 111,207
Stop Loss: 107,500
Target: 120,000
Not financial advice.
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
Are you falling for 141k?The bull run on BTCUSD was not sudden, it corrected properly making a flat from 98K and breaking out the structure. this upward impulse looks too sharp to peirce 120-122k range its 1.618 fib extension of the broken structure.
Be cautious with the sell though, any rejection followed by a bear flag could be a great short with Stop above the top.
Good luck.
BITCOIN Is there enough time for another parabolic rally?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is practically consolidating on the short-term, having just recently been rejected off its new All Time High (ATH). Despite the short-term volatility, the long-term outlook is still a very strong, structured uptrend, a Channel Up pattern that is now technically aiming for its next Higher High.
Incredibly enough, this Channel Up since the November 2022 market bottom, has been almost entirely within the Buy Zone (green) of the Fibonacci Channel Up going back all the way to April 2013!
As you can see during the previous two Cycles, every time BTC got above that Buy Zone, it started a parabolic rally. So far, we haven't got such rally on the current Cycle and with time running out (assuming the 4-year Cycle model continues to hold), do you think we will get one this time around?
Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN 2025 - THE LAST HOPECRYPTOCAP:BTC currently finds itself at the intersection of geopolitical tensions and broader macroeconomic uncertainty. Although traditionally viewed as a hedge against systemic risk, it is presently exhibiting characteristics more aligned with high-risk assets. The FED's forthcoming policy decisions will likely play a pivotal role in determining whether Bitcoin stabilizes or experiences further downward pressure.
The chart represents the most optimistic scenario for Bitcoin to date
80k BTC On The Move - WHAT It Means 80,000 BTC Wallet Movement (2011 Miner)
• Source: 8 wallets containing 10,000 BTC each — mined in 2011, dormant for 14 years
• Total Value: Over $8.6 billion USD
• Timing: Moved on July 4, 2025 — largest dormant BTC transfer in history
• New Addresses: Funds moved to modern SegWit wallets
• Probable Owner: Likely a single early miner with 200k+ BTC history
Possible Reasons for the Move
• Key Rotation: Upgrading to modern wallets for better security
• Recovered Access: Private keys may have been recently recovered
• Market Strategy: Positioning for profit-taking or major sell-off
• Yield Farming: Preparing COINBASE:BTCUSD for use in DeFi/lending platforms
• Collateral Use: Possibly for loans, stablecoin leverage, or RWAs
• Estate Planning: Legal restructuring or generational wealth setup
• OTC Transfer: Could be prepping for off-exchange institutional sale
• Psychological Warfare: Could be intended to spook or manipulate the market
• Regulatory Response: Aligning with new compliance or tax jurisdiction
Market Reaction
• COINBASE:BTCUSD Price Dip: Price briefly fell below $108,000 post-move
• ETF Context: Movement occurred despite record ETF inflows
Key Note: These wallets had not been touched since COINBASE:BTCUSD was worth ~$0.78. Their reactivation adds uncertainty and opportunity in a fragile macro environment.
• What to do????: Watch the orderbook to find these large bitcoin moves in case of exchange selling
Near term support & resistance
$106000 support
$109500 first resistance
👍 If this breakdown helped your trading, smash that Like and drop a comment below—let me know what you think will happen with the 80k COINBASE:BTCUSD . 👍
Best Reguards
MartyBoots, 17-year market trader
End in sight, Bull run near complete, don't be fooled. Bitcoin has experienced an incredible surge, rising from $15,000 to over $111,000 in this bull cycle so far. I expect the market peak to be around $114,000 to $115,000, with historical trends indicating strong resistance at these levels. As a long-term Bitcoin bull who has navigated through multiple cycles, I see several indicators suggesting we might be nearing a market top.
Firstly, this bull run has lasted 623 days, with only 462 days remaining until the predicted next cycle bottom. This could lead to a significant correction in the short term, potentially dropping prices by at least 50% down to below $40,000. Additionally, trading volume is declining; although exchange volume is decreasing, the number of trades per day is also dwindling. This means there’s less buying and selling pressure in the market. If this trend shifts to more selling pressure amidst such low volume, we could see a rapid decline. This scenario seems to align with what market whales may be anticipating.
MicroStrategy (MSTR) is certainly supporting the market, along with new institutional investors. However, we have yet to fully assess the impact of tariffs and other economic factors, which could result in fewer people willing to invest, especially in high-risk markets.
The Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) has been high, remaining above 66 since March 2024, which also suggests that a correction is due, as many holders are currently in profit. Although institutional investment has been steadily increasing, we are now observing a plateau in the Accumulation/Ddistribution chart. The number of BTC long positions is decreasing, while shorts remain very low, indicating a lack of confidence that Bitcoin will rise significantly higher. This low interest in both longs and shorts suggests that market pressure could shift soon.
ETF inflows have remained stable, but profit-taking is likely to occur as investors seek to increase their positions in the bear market. While we all love Bitcoin and want the rally to continue, it's crucial to remember that a bear market will eventually happen, along with the next halving—it's just a matter of timing.
Looking at the charts, if anything signifies a market top more than “Laser Eyes,” it could very well be Trump coin. We might see another upward push, but history has shown that if everyone expects a massive rally in September or the fourth quarter, the opposite usually occurs; we end up buying the rumor and selling the news.
Safe trading, everyone! I remain a staunch Bitcoin bull, but I recognize that all good things must eventually come to an end and the next cycle will be so exciting, so make sure youe have the reserves to invest in the bear!
BTCUSD Chart Analysis (Daily Timeframe)Chart Analysis – BTC/USD (Daily Timeframe)
Trend Overview:
* The chart shows **Bitcoin (BTC/USD)** on the **daily timeframe**.
* Price is in a **clear uptrend**, making **higher highs and higher lows**.
* The recent breakout above **\$111,000** suggests a **bullish continuation**.
Moving Average Analysis (EMA 7, 21, 50):
* **EMA 7 > EMA 21 > EMA 50** — this alignment confirms **strong bullish momentum**.
* Price is **well above all EMAs**, especially the 50 EMA (\~\$105,546), showing trend strength and possible institutional support.
* EMAs are **sloping upward**, which further confirms the upward momentum.
Recent Breakout:
* BTC broke out of a **short-term consolidation zone** between \~\$108,000–\$111,000.
* Today’s candle shows a **strong bullish close**, indicating fresh buying interest.
* If this breakout holds, price could extend toward the **next psychological level of \$115,000–\$117,500**.
Support Zones to Watch:
* **Minor support:** \~\$109,000 (EMA 7 + breakout retest area)
* **Stronger support:** \~\$105,500 (EMA 50 and previous swing low)
A break below **\$105,500** could signal a trend shift or deeper pullback.
Summary:
Bitcoin is showing **strong bullish structure** on the daily chart with EMAs aligned upward and a recent breakout above \$111,000. If momentum holds, next upside targets are around **\$115,000–\$117,500**. The bullish trend remains intact unless price breaks and closes below **\$105,500**.
#LetsRideThePeak BTC ₿₿I checked my old BTC forecast and realized that Bitcoin has been following it loosely.
There's a clear pattern emerging that might surprise everyone very soon. In the coming days, I’ll post a long-term BTC analysis and add it to the toolkit.
BTCUSD – Breakout Plan from Demand Zone (CHoCH + OB Setup)🔹 Current View:
I'm closely watching the 107,240 zone, where we have a strong Demand + Order Block + CHoCH (Change of Character) setup. This is a key support area that could trigger a fresh bearish move if broken.
🔹 My Plan:
I'm waiting for a clear breakout below 107,240 to enter a short position.
➡️ Entry: 107,240 (after confirmed breakout)
➡️ Stop Loss: 109,750 (above supply + BOS zone)
➡️ Target: 105,000 (previous inefficiency zone)
🔹 Supply Zones Noted:
- 109,250–109,500: Supply + FVG + BOS
- 110,000–110,500: Strong Supply + FVG
This trade is based on price breaking demand structure and retesting key supply areas above. Volume profile also shows heavy activity above, indicating possible resistance on any pullbacks.
Retail in?After almost 3 decades as a trader, if there is one thing I have learned over the years, significant highs are made when sentiment is at extremes. Whether it is "mom and pop" or the "shoeshine guy" calling the top, it's when the buying (or selling) by retail is at a fever pitch. These days, you can't find a bear in Bitcoin, and the days on end of reports preaching "record inflows" is almost deafening.
Technically, Bitcoin is probing some key resistance today. It's stalled by the 161% Fibonacci extension of the recent early May highs to June lows. More importantly is the 127% extension of the January highs to April lows. RSI is very divergent as price hits new highs. And with sentiment at near extremes, bulls should be careful now. And a break back below the 112k level would be a very bearish "topping pattern" event.
#Bitcoin - Pivot is $102915 | Target $125385 or $80445 ?Date: 24-06-2025
#Bitcoin
Current Price: 105375
Pivot Point: 102915.00 Support: 99206.48 Resistance: 106655.63
#Bitcoin Upside Targets:
Target 1: 111205.31
Target 2: 115755.00
Target 3: 120570.00
Target 4: 125385.00
#Bitcoin Downside Targets:
Target 1: 94640.74
Target 2: 90075
Target 3: 85260
Target 4: 80445.00
BTCUSDWeekend price pump will fade expecting price to fall back to $110k region before we see a major price move to $130k
BUYTrend Line Break
Previous Day low breached
Previous week bullish
Divergence
US session
@ Trade Manage Smile
Valtrix Group: Crypto Today – Bitcoin Explodes Toward $120,000The global cryptocurrency market continues to surprise: Bitcoin is confidently approaching the $120,000 mark, reinforcing the role of digital assets as an integral part of the global financial system.
Record Growth: What’s Behind Bitcoin’s New Surge?
Amid rising institutional interest, growing retail demand, and expectations of interest rate cuts in the U.S., Bitcoin is demonstrating impressive growth. Over the past few weeks alone, the cryptocurrency has surged by more than 20%, and Valtrix Group analysts believe the psychological threshold of $120,000 could be crossed in the near future.
Key drivers of this growth include:
Active institutional buying, including investment funds and major banks;
Reduced Bitcoin supply following this year’s halving;
Stabilizing regulatory environment in regions like the U.S., Europe, and Southeast Asia;
A shift by traditional investors into digital assets amid geopolitical instability and inflationary concerns.
How Is the Market Reacting?
Altcoins are also experiencing significant growth, following the market leader. Ethereum has surpassed $7,000, while tokens such as Solana and Avalanche have jumped more than 30% in a week.
Investors are increasing trading volumes and locking in profits, but interest in long-term HODL strategies is also on the rise. According to Valtrix Group, this is not just a short-term speculative wave, but a sustainable trend backed by strong fundamentals.
What’s Next? Forecast from Valtrix Group
Our analysts believe that Bitcoin could reach $125,000–$130,000 in the short term if the current momentum continues. However, we advise investors to proceed with caution: high volatility remains a defining feature of the crypto market.
Valtrix Group recommends:
Diversifying portfolios to include digital assets;
Applying risk management strategies;
Monitoring news cycles and macroeconomic indicators.
Valtrix Group continues to closely monitor market developments, providing clients with up-to-date analytics, investment guidance, and digital finance support.
$BTC Ready to Explode – Targeting $125K+ Soon! Bitcoin has finaCRYPTOCAP:BTC Ready to Explode – Targeting $125K+ Soon!
Bitcoin has finally broken out of the previous resistance range (~$110K–$111K), where it was rejected multiple times in June. Now it's consolidating in a tight box, setting up for a big move.
🔸 Support $110k–$113k
This area was previous resistance and is now acting as strong support. Holding above this confirms bullish strength.
🔸 Upside Target: $125k
If BTC holds within the current range and breaks above, the next leg could push price toward $125K. A clean breakout could even extend toward $140K.
🔸 Short-Term Take Profits:
✅ TP1: $120,000
✅ TP2: $122,000
✅ TP3: $125,000
🔸 Risk Level at $110,000:
Break below this level would invalidate the bullish setup and increase downside risk.
BITCOIN - Local Conditions for Growth ContinuationCRYPTOCAP:BTC showed us an astonishing growth from $108,000 to $118,000 in a few days! But what is next and where is the next target?
At the moment the price is consolidating below the ATH, in fact there are two resistances: $118,500 and $119,000. To continue pumping, Bitcoin has to break both of them with strong impulse.
To be honest , the current price development reminds me of what we've seen a couple days ago: breakout of the resistance -> consolidation below local highs -> strong breakout and growth continuation. Something similar can be expected now as well.
In the past couple of years CRYPTOCAP:BTC taught us a lesson of waiting no time to hop on the train . When it pumps - it does it quickly, just like it does it this time. So, waiting for the best entry near $109,000 - $110,000 might leave you behind while Bitcoin will be pumping towards $125,000.
BTC's increasing fomo force will push the price up furtherCRYPTO:BTCUSD just broke the important resistance zone and trendline around 110000. This price increase to create a new ATH will create a large amount of FOMO in the market pushing BTCUSD to increase more than half. 116,000 FIbonacci extension points are considered the immediate Target for the uptrend.
Waiting for retests to the support zone for the trend-following BUY strategy.
Support: 110000-107500
Resistance: 116000
Buy zone: 110000 ( support + trendline)
Buy Trigger: break above 112000
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
BITCOIN BREAKS OUT OF CHANNEL AND NOW AT ALL TIME HIGHS!Hey Traders wow just a few week ago I was watching to see if it was going to pullback instead smashes above all time high. Thats how quick these markets can change in the blink of an eye!
Lesson here (Always Expect the Unexpected in the Markets!) 😁
Ok so now we have channel breakout above resistance at 112,100. About 70% of the time market will retest this level before continuing the trend.
This could be a great place to buy on the pullback!
So if your bullish buy around $112,100-113,000 I would recommend a wide stop to give the market room to breath around 106,970.
However if bearish I would not consider selling unless market has complete reversal and has daily close below uptrendline at 106,000 .
Bears Be careful because this Bull looks like it has Horns!
Good Luck & Always use Risk Management!
(Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
BTC/USDT HIDDEN PATTERN! SM, FIB AND MORE COMFIRMED!Price Resilience Amid Geopolitical Stress
Bitcoin demonstrated remarkable strength during the Israel-Iran conflict, briefly dipping to ~$98K but swiftly rebounding above $105K. This aligns with historical patterns where BTC initially sells off on geopolitical shocks but recovers aggressively within weeks, outperforming gold and equities by 15-60% post-crisis. There is a $96K-$94K "footprint" that coincided with institutional accumulation, evidenced by $1.37B in spot ETF inflows during the conflict week, led by BlackRock's IBIT ($240M single-day inflow) according to official information. This institutional backstop and many others might single-handedly prevented a deeper correction for now, remember that smart money psychology is to create cause out of thin air and buy during selling and indecisive times.
Critical Levels to Watch
Immediate Support: $108k area is vital. A sustained hold here maintains short-term bullish momentum. The 50-day SMA near $102.8K (tested during June 13 conflict sell-off) remains a macro support floor.
Resistance & Targets: The $112K ATH is the near-term ceiling. Breaking this requires stronger spot demand—currently, net exchange inflows are negative, indicating weak retail participation or traders that are backing off for now.There's a $120K target (0.618 Fib) aligned with Standard Chartered’s $150K year-end model if ETF inflows persist.
Risk Zones: A close below $108.3K risks a slide to $105K. Failure here opens path to $96K and a further break of this 92k to 96k zone could lead directly to 70k area or even lower if economical and social activities are not favorable in the near to medium future.Dominance above 55% (currently 65%) delays alt season, but a break below 60% could ignite alts in a positive way.
Macro Catalysts & Market Sentiment
Policy Tailwinds: Trump’s "One Big Beautiful Bill" (proposing $5T debt ceiling hike and U.S. strategic BTC reserves) could weaken the USD, boosting BTC’s "digital gold" narrative. DXY’s -9% YTD drop already correlates with BTC’s 54% post-election rally.
Fed Influence: Pressure to cut rates (amid cooling employment data) may accelerate institutional rotation into BTC. ETF inflows hit $2.75B in late June, signaling renewed institutional FOMO.
Geopolitical Cooling: Iran-Israel ceasefire talks reduced immediate panic, but residual volatility risk remains. Traders note BTC often rallies 20-40% within 60 days of conflict events.
Structural Challenges
Liquidity Fragility: Whale moves (for example: 10K BTC sell orders) now impact prices more due to ETF-driven liquidity concentration. Recent $98K flash crash exemplified this.
Regulatory Overhang: MiCA compliance costs in the EU and U.S. security-reclassification proposals could pressure smaller tokens, though BTC’s status appears secure 28.
Seasonal Slump: July historically sees 6.1% of annual crypto volume—low volatility may delay breakouts until August 4.
Strategic Outlook
A July breakout above $112K could ignite the next leg to $120K, but a retest of $107K-$105K is likely first. Altcoins remain subdued until BTC dominance breaks <55%—select projects with institutional backing (for example, ETF candidates) or real-world utility for asymmetric opportunities.
Conclusion: BTC’s resilience amid chaos confirms its institutional maturity. Trade the $108.3K-$112K range aggressively, with a break above ATH targeting $120K by September. Always hedge tail risks (escalations, regulatory shocks) in this volatility-rich asset class. While this great surge in institutional inflow is good for BTC it also indicates a reduction or slower pace of other crypto currencies.
This is my analysis for BTC, let me know what you think and I hope you like it!
BTC/USD BUY OPPORTUNITY We’re looking at the market structures BTC is making from the M15 timeframe and we can spot a nice buy opportunity around the 38.2% fibo retracement of the recent impulse like pattern created in H4 I still believe price is going to trade bullish up onto $123419 A buy opportunity is envisaged from the current market price.
Bitcoin Price Prediction and TimelineThe Chart clearly shows everything. 100 days remain until the top. about 240000-260000
Bitcoin Hits First Target: What I Traded and What Comes NextBitcoin just hit my first target. I went long on BTC, XRP, Chainlink, and more. Booked profits and jumped into two new breakouts with better risk-reward. In this video, I break down my trades, the setup, and why I’m still bullish between 116K and 120K. I also explain how crypto deregulation and the Genius Act could fuel the next move.
Let me know in the comments how you traded this breakout.
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