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BTCUSD Perpetual ContractBTCUSD Perpetual ContractBTCUSD Perpetual Contract

BTCUSD Perpetual Contract

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BTCUSD.P trade ideas

BTC/USD 4H CHART ANALYSIS \ BEARISH CORRECTION EXPECTED.Current Price: $117,755 Trend: Recently bullish, now facing a potential correction Chart Pattern: Breakout above ascending channel, followed by a sharp projected correction. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: > Ascending Channel: Price was respecting an ascending channel (highlighted in green). A bullish breakout occurred with strong momentum. > Sharp Rejection & Correction Setup: After the breakout, a steep rally seems to have peaked. The red curved arrow suggests a completed bullish impulse, now setting up for a bearish correction. > Key Levels: Resistance Zone: $118,000 – $120,000 Immediate Support: $111,150 Next Major Support: $107,700 Bearish Target Support: $105,945 🎯 Trade Setup Suggestion: Short Entry Zone: Around $111,150 if price gets rejected there. Target: $105,945 Stop-Loss: Above $112,000 (tight risk control)
OKX:BTCUSDShort
by DOCTOR_PIPS05
15
Price action is the vehicle—but these charts show the road aheadIn the world of trading, technical analysis often gets the spotlight—candlesticks, moving averages, and indicators. But beneath every price movement lies a deeper current: macroeconomic forces. These forces shape the environment in which all trades happen. Great traders don’t just react to price—they understand the context behind it. That context is found in macro charts: the financial “weather maps” of markets. These charts reveal whether capital is flowing toward risk or safety, whether inflation is heating up or cooling down, and whether liquidity is expanding or shrinking. In this post, we’ll explore 10 macro charts that can elevate your edge, backed by proven examples of how they’ve helped traders stay on the right side of the market. These aren't just charts—they’re market truths in visual form. 1️⃣ DXY – U.S. Dollar Index Why it matters: The U.S. dollar affects everything: commodities, stocks, global trade, and especially forex. The DXY measures its strength against major currencies. 📉 Chart Reference: In 2022, DXY surged past 110 due to aggressive Fed rate hikes. This crushed EURUSD, pressured gold, and triggered a global risk-off move. Traders who tracked DXY rode USD strength across the board. 💡 Use it to: Confirm trends in FX and commodities. Strong DXY = bearish pressure on gold and risk assets. 2️⃣ US10Y – 10-Year Treasury Yield Why it matters: This is the benchmark for interest rates and inflation expectations. It guides borrowing costs, equity valuations, and safe-haven flows. 📉 Chart Reference: In 2023, the 10Y spiked from 3.5% to nearly 5%, leading to weakness in growth stocks and boosting USD/JPY. Bond traders saw it first—equities followed. 💡 Use it to: Anticipate moves in growth vs. value stocks, and confirm macro themes like inflation or deflation. 3️⃣ Fed Dot Plot Why it matters: This is the Fed’s forward guidance in visual form. Each dot shows where a policymaker expects interest rates to be in the future. 📉 Chart Reference: In Dec 2021, the dot plot signaled a faster pace of hikes than the market expected. Those who caught the shift front-ran the USD rally and equity correction in early 2022. 💡 Use it to: Predict future rate policy and align your macro bias with the Fed's path. 4️⃣ M2 Money Supply (US) Why it matters: This chart tracks the amount of money in the system. More liquidity = fuel for risk. Less = tightening conditions. 📉 Chart Reference: After COVID hit, M2 exploded, leading to a major bull run in stocks and crypto. When M2 began contracting in 2022, asset prices peaked and reversed. 💡 Use it to: Gauge macro liquidity conditions. Expansion is bullish; contraction is dangerous. 5️⃣ Copper/Gold Ratio Why it matters: Copper is a growth metal; gold is a fear hedge. Their ratio acts as a risk-on/risk-off indicator. 📉 Chart Reference: In 2021, the copper/gold ratio surged—signaling growth and optimism. This preceded strong gains in cyclical equities and commodity currencies like AUD and CAD. 💡 Use it to: Confirm risk sentiment and lead equity or FX trends. 6️⃣ VIX – Volatility Index Why it matters: VIX tracks expected volatility in the S&P 500. It's often called the "fear index." 📉Chart Reference : In March 2020, VIX spiked to nearly 90 as COVID panic set in. This extreme fear was followed by one of the greatest buying opportunities of the decade. 💡 Use it to: Time entries and exits. High VIX = fear = possible reversal. Low VIX = complacency = caution. 7️⃣ Real Yields (10Y TIPS - CPI) Why it matters: Shows the inflation-adjusted return on bonds. Real yields affect gold, tech, and risk appetite. 📉Chart Reference : In 2022, real yields went from deeply negative to positive—crushing gold and high-growth stocks. 💡 Use it to: Confirm direction in gold, NASDAQ, and broad macro trends. 8️⃣ Oil Prices (WTI or Brent) Why it matters: Oil is both a growth and inflation input. Rising prices mean higher costs and often precede policy tightening. 📉Chart Reference : Oil’s rally in early 2022 foreshadowed CPI spikes and led central banks to turn hawkish. Traders who tracked it saw inflation risks building early. 💡 Use it to: Forecast inflation, assess energy-related equities, and understand global demand. 9️⃣ Global PMIs (Purchasing Managers’ Indexes) Why it matters: Leading indicator of economic health. PMIs above 50 = expansion. Below 50 = contraction. 📉 Chart Reference: In 2023, China’s PMI consistently printed below 50—signaling manufacturing weakness and global demand concerns. This helped traders avoid overexposure to emerging markets. 💡 Use it to: Gauge growth momentum globally and regionally. 🔟 SPX vs. Equal-Weighted SPX (Breadth Divergence) Why it matters: Shows whether the S&P 500 rally is broad-based or just driven by a few megacaps. 📉Chart Reference : In early 2024, the index made new highs—but the equal-weighted version lagged badly. That divergence warned traders of a fragile rally. 💡 Use it to: Detect weakness beneath the surface and avoid false confidence in rallies. 🧠 Nerdy Tip: Macro Is the Invisible Hand These charts don’t give you trade entries—but they give you conviction, timing, and perspective. When you combine macro context with technical setups, you trade in sync with the market’s deeper rhythm. So before you place your next trade, ask yourself: What are yields doing? Is liquidity expanding or drying up? Is risk appetite rising or falling? put together by : @currencynerd as Pako Phutietsile
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by currencynerd
Bitcoin’s ForecastWho knows how high Bitcoin will go but my guess is between 300/350k. What I may know ahead of time is where price may fall, for the buy. I labeled the buy zone which I believe will trigger in January 2027 based off of the pattern Bitcoin has created. I’ve noticed a couple years ago that the best time to buy Bitcoin is in January, the year after being bearish. This is the pattern and you can check for yourselves: 3 years bullish, approximately 1 year bearish. January of 2027 may begin the next bull cycle that could last for 3 years. Stay tuned!
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by illagodzilla
BTC Forecast: CPI Trap or Liquidity Sweep?Powered by Advanced Time-Price Analysis | Dr.Gemy | Digital Gann Strategy Using Time Cycles, IPDA logic, and Digital Gann structure, the upcoming week for Bitcoin is setting up for a high-probability liquidity event, especially with high-impact macro data scheduled. 📍In the next 18 hours, we expect a short-term correction toward the 115,911 USD zone. --- ⏰ CPI (Tuesday) & PPI (Wednesday) = catalysts for smart money traps. I expect a textbook liquidity hunt around the inflation data window. Time is more important than price. 🔮 Two Critical Scenarios Unfolding: ✅ Scenario 1 – CPI Trap Setup (Tuesday News Play) 🕒 If BTC continues correcting into Tuesday (July 15), targeting 113,724 USD, this will align perfectly with the release of U.S. CPI (Inflation) data at 3:30 PM GMT+3. 📈 A fake bullish breakout above 118,098 USD could follow, luring retail traders with an inflation-driven spike, only to be reversed sharply to collect liquidity around 111,537 USD. 🧠 CPI y/y forecast is 2.6% vs 2.4% prior – higher inflation could spark temporary bullish reaction, but the underlying setup suggests it's a trap. --- 🎭 Scenario 2 – Smart Money Pump and Dump 📈 BTC might front-run expectations with an early week rally to retest 118,098 USD, only to reverse midweek (around Wednesday's PPI release) as the market reacts to deeper macro data and shifting dollar strength. 💣 Downside continuation could sweep below 113,724 USD, ultimately reaching the key demand base at 111,537 USD, which marks the beginning of the last major impulsive move. --- 🧠 Strategic Concepts Used: Time Fractals (9H Cycle Lines) Gann Reversal Timing & Breaker Blocks (H4) Smart Money Traps around News IPDA Voids & Liquidity Pools CPI/PPI/Macro Liquidity Zones #CryptoForecast #BTCUSD #CPIWeek #GannTiming #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #IPDA #ForexStyleCrypto #DigitalGann #DrGemy
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by ganndailypips
2
BTC / ETH / SOL / XRP / HYPE: Potential Trend StructuresIn this video, I share my current daily and weekly analysis on the trend structures of BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, and HYPE, highlighting key support and resistance zones to watch in the coming sessions. Charts featured in the video: BTC ETH SOL XRP HYPE Thank you for your attention and I wish you successful trading decisions! If you’d like to hear my take on any other coin you’re tracking feel free to ask in the comments (just don’t forget to boost the idea first 😉).
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by artemfedorov
Bitcoin Macro Cycles: Sell Signal at RSI 90Bitcoin’s historical market cycles, using monthly RSI data to identify previous bull market peaks. Notable tops in 2013, 2017, and 2021 are highlighted, with the next potential peak projected around October 2025. A consistent pattern emerges where each market top aligns with the monthly RSI reaching or nearing the 90 level, indicating extremely overbought conditions. Sell when the monthly RSI hits 90. This has consistently marked previous market tops and can serve as a reliable signal for long-term investors.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by HexaTrades
Evolving Price & Candle Patterns: BitcoinLook what is happening here with the candle patterns and price action. In the most recent challenge of resistance something changed. Change is good. It can mean the end of this sideways period. At (1) Bitcoin finds resistance and immediately starts a decent. The same happens at (2). When we reach (3) everything changes. (1) & (2) produced a low and lower low. The down-move was extended. (3) produced only two red candles, a strong higher low and the third day was a full green candle moving above the descending trendline resistance. The price pattern is now erratic, completely different to previous moves. Now, consider (4). If the strong green candle was intended as a bull-trap, then we would expect a down-move to follow right after the peak, just as it happened with (1) and (2). But nothing, after (4), Bitcoin has been sideways within the bullish zone. This change is good, bullish. A drop can develop anytime but the market already had two changes to produce a down-wave, (3) and (4). The fact that a down-move didn't materialize means that the market has something different in store for us, change. This change is good because when resistance is challenged, prices tend to drop when the market is moving within a range. No drop can signal the end of the range trading which in turn can translate into the start of the next bullish wave. If this idea turns out to be true, Bitcoin will start growing within days. Growth should be strong because consolidation has been happening for months. Namaste.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by MasterAnanda
16
Bitcoin Daily, Mixed Situation · Bitcoin vs Altcoins · Not MixedI came with the intention of doing an update on the weekly timeframe, the chart doesn't look great. Here we are looking at Bitcoin daily and once more the situation is mixed to say the least. It is hard to predict with exactitude with such a chart. In this case, we have to look for clues in other places. The altcoins. But before we go there let's consider a few of the actualities that are present on the Bitcoin chart. Bitcoin price action Mixed or not mixed, the action continues to happen at resistance against all odds; this is bullish. Bitcoin is trading safely above $106-$107,000 daily, and this is also bullish. Bitcoin is trading above all moving averages we track and nothing is more bullish than that. MA200 sits around $96,000. EMA55 at $104,700 and EMA13 at $107,700. Bitcoin will be bullish regardless as long as it trades above these levels and at a such strong price. So the mixed part is only psychological. It is mixed because people are afraid of a drop or want to see it drop. It is bullish based on the actual numbers and the chart. The altcoins market vs Bitcoin Some altcoins are breaking up today two to three digits green. Those good old reputable projects. This wouldn't be happening preceding a major bearish wave. Such strong action on the altcoins tends to precede a major bull market. Last week there were other pairs breaking really strong, the previous week another group, this week a new group and so on. Slowly but surely the low prices are disappearing but this isn't still a marketwide occurrence, we can see/say that the market is in no hurry. Another relationship between Bitcoin and the altcoins relates to how many are behaving; when Bitcoin is about to crash, the altcoins tend to crash really strong and fast. The altcoins don't wait and just go down and continue diving deep if Bitcoin is about to produce a major crash. But this isn't the case, many altcoins are already at bottom prices but not based on a crash but a very slow and drawn out retrace. From these lows they are recovering strong. When Bitcoin is bullish, sideways with a strong price within a bull market, the altcoins tend to grow. It is the same signal looked at from a different perspective. These altcoins are telling us that behind the scenes Bitcoin is bullish and we know Bitcoin is bullish because it is trading above $107,000. A bullish continuation is the next logical step. Thank you for reading. Boost if you agree. Namaste.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by MasterAnanda
Wyckoff Re-Accumulation (Phase 2) – BTC Market Structure AnalysiThis is an updated outlook on BTC’s current price structure based on Wyckoff methodology. 🔹 Structure Overview: BTC has broken out above its previous resistance and reached a new ATH. Based on current price action and volume behavior, I believe we are at the Sign of Strength (SOS) phase in a Wyckoff Re-Accumulation Phase 2. Key Wyckoff Labels in this structure: PSY – Preliminary Supply BC – Buying Climax AR – Automatic Rally ST – Secondary Test UT – Upthrust LPS – Last Point of Support SOS – Sign of Strength (For those unfamiliar with the terms, I suggest looking up the Wyckoff Method for detailed definitions.) The breakout is happening with volume support, and we’ll need to observe how sustained the demand is. 🔹 RSI Observation: In June, RSI pivoted at 64, and has now reached 73 Both price and RSI are printing higher highs Daily RSI has not yet reached overbought territory (80+) If RSI crosses above 80 and then rolls over, it could signal a bearish divergence → followed by a retracement 🔹 Possible Scenarios (3 Outcomes I’m Watching): 📈 Another Re-Accumulation Phase forms after this move 🧊 Market tops out at ATH and enters a Distribution Phase 🚀 A parabolic move (Blow-off Top) happens, followed by a sharp crash and Distribution 🔹 My Personal Trading Plan: As price enters the next phase, I’ll be watching closely for signs of PSY and BC (Preliminary Supply & Buying Climax). If bearish divergence aligns with these, it may indicate an upcoming retracement. Once BC forms, I expect an AR (Automatic Reaction) to follow I’ll look for short entries during the retracement A Trading Range could form between the BC (resistance) and AR (support) ⚠️ Be cautious of fakeouts, especially during breakout attempts at the range boundaries. 🔹 Price Projection (Fibonacci Extension – For Reference Only): Using Fibonacci Extension based on the following price coordinates: Point A: 49,577 Point B: 109,356 Point C: 74,434 🎯 Target Zones: 0.786 extension → 121,420 1.000 extension → 134,213 Again, these are not predictions — just reference points based on market structure. 🔹 Final Note: This analysis reflects my personal interpretation of the current market structure. Price action can change rapidly based on macro and technical factors. Patterns and phase transitions may take days or even weeks to fully develop. Feel free to share your thoughts, criticisms, or alternate views — I’m open to feedback from fellow traders. #Wyckoff #BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoTA #Reaccumulation #TradingPlan #TechnicalAnalysis #RSI #FibExtension #MarketStructure
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ColdSai
Btcusd techinical analysis.This chart is a 1-hour candlestick chart for Bitcoin/US Dollar (BTC/USD) from OKX, analyzed using TradingView. Here's a breakdown of the technical elements: --- 🔍 Key Observations: 1. Current Price $120,054.6 with a +0.77% gain. Price appears to be rebounding from recent support. 2. Chart Patterns & Annotations Yellow Zigzag Lines: Indicate recent price action and a potential bullish reversal pattern forming. Purple Zones: Likely represent key support and resistance levels. Pink Downtrend Line: A descending trendline showing the bearish resistance. Blue Box Area: Suggests a potential price movement range—either up or down. --- 📈 Technical Analysis Insights ✅ Bullish Case (Upside Scenario) Break above descending trendline could lead BTC to: Target: ~122,800 - 123,000 Potential
OKX:BTCUSDLong
by Rickypher
109K Launch Zone? Bitcoin Update Now LiveHey everyone, Here's my latest Bitcoin analysis for you. The current price action is unfolding within an ABC corrective wave. 🔍 I've identified the optimal buy zone between 108,349 and 109,682. 📉 Once the price pulls back into this range, my limit orders will be triggered and the position will open. 🎯 In this scenario, my target level is 118,157. Below are the exact levels for my entry, targets, and stop-loss: - 🟩 Entry Level: 109,027 - 🟥 Stop-Loss: 105,876 - 🎯 TP1: 111,156 - 🎯 TP2: 113,607 - 🎯 TP3: 118,362 - ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.00 (This is based on a swing trade model, so reaching this level may take some time) -------- Your likes and support are what keep me motivated to share these analyses consistently. Huge thanks to everyone who shows love and appreciation! 🙏
CAPITALCOM:BTCUSDLong
by TraderTilki
10
BTCUSD Heading Yesterday's Resistance Zone, Price Will React After a recovery to 107.500 BTCUSD is recovering to the upside again towards the resistance of 1.09500. This is the convergence zone between the trendline and yesterday's high. BTCUSD price may correct lower from this zone. Then find some new bullish momentum at strong support zones towards an all-time high. Support 107.500 - 105.300 SELL Trigger: Break bellow 107.500 Resistance: 109.500- 110.500 Wish you successful trading, leave your comments about BTC.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by VHT_Trader
11