End in sight, Bull run near complete, don't be fooled. Bitcoin has experienced an incredible surge, rising from $15,000 to over $111,000 in this bull cycle so far. I expect the market peak to be around $114,000 to $115,000, with historical trends indicating strong resistance at these levels. As a long-term Bitcoin bull who has navigated through multiple cycles, I see several indicators suggesting we might be nearing a market top.
Firstly, this bull run has lasted 623 days, with only 462 days remaining until the predicted next cycle bottom. This could lead to a significant correction in the short term, potentially dropping prices by at least 50% down to below $40,000. Additionally, trading volume is declining; although exchange volume is decreasing, the number of trades per day is also dwindling. This means there’s less buying and selling pressure in the market. If this trend shifts to more selling pressure amidst such low volume, we could see a rapid decline. This scenario seems to align with what market whales may be anticipating.
MicroStrategy (MSTR) is certainly supporting the market, along with new institutional investors. However, we have yet to fully assess the impact of tariffs and other economic factors, which could result in fewer people willing to invest, especially in high-risk markets.
The Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) has been high, remaining above 66 since March 2024, which also suggests that a correction is due, as many holders are currently in profit. Although institutional investment has been steadily increasing, we are now observing a plateau in the Accumulation/Ddistribution chart. The number of BTC long positions is decreasing, while shorts remain very low, indicating a lack of confidence that Bitcoin will rise significantly higher. This low interest in both longs and shorts suggests that market pressure could shift soon.
ETF inflows have remained stable, but profit-taking is likely to occur as investors seek to increase their positions in the bear market. While we all love Bitcoin and want the rally to continue, it's crucial to remember that a bear market will eventually happen, along with the next halving—it's just a matter of timing.
Looking at the charts, if anything signifies a market top more than “Laser Eyes,” it could very well be Trump coin. We might see another upward push, but history has shown that if everyone expects a massive rally in September or the fourth quarter, the opposite usually occurs; we end up buying the rumor and selling the news.
Safe trading, everyone! I remain a staunch Bitcoin bull, but I recognize that all good things must eventually come to an end and the next cycle will be so exciting, so make sure youe have the reserves to invest in the bear!
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
Btcusd techinical analysis.This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 30-minute chart shows several key technical indicators and annotations, pointing to a bullish outlook. Here's a breakdown of the chart elements:
Key Elements:
1. Price Level:
Current price: $121,315.1
Change: +$2,178.0 (+1.83%)
2. Break of Structure (BOS):
Marked in yellow — indicates a shift in market structure from bearish to bullish.
It suggests a bullish trend continuation after this key resistance was broken.
3. FVG (Fair Value Gap):
The yellow "FVG" arrow points to an imbalance or gap between candle wicks that the market might return to for liquidity.
Often used as a potential entry point or pullback target.
4. Trendline:
The pink upward trendline shows current bullish momentum.
Price is currently testing or has broken above this trendline.
5. Bullish Flag/Channel:
Blue diagonal channel indicates a bullish flag or continuation pattern.
Price broke out upward from this flag — typically a bullish sign.
6. Fibonacci or Ratio Markers:
Numbers like 0.9612351706716865 and 0.305800778819... may
BTC bullish scenario - short term bearishMapping out BTC sideways consolidation that could wreak havoc on ALTS.
Looking at the daily chart, this consolidation is still bullish as BTC price action is still likely respecting this ascending channel.
However, each move down on BTC could mean a significant dump on alt coins.
IMO, based on how the chart looks, BTC price still needs to come and test the bottom and coincidentally there is a huge FVG left when BTC rose impulsively. In all likelihood, I am expecting at the very least for a quick wick down to fill the gap before BTC can then start some bullish price action.
Bitcoin’s ForecastWho knows how high Bitcoin will go but my guess is between 300/350k. What I may know ahead of time is where price may fall, for the buy. I labeled the buy zone which I believe will trigger in January 2027 based off of the pattern Bitcoin has created. I’ve noticed a couple years ago that the best time to buy Bitcoin is in January, the year after being bearish. This is the pattern and you can check for yourselves: 3 years bullish, approximately 1 year bearish. January of 2027 may begin the next bull cycle that could last for 3 years. Stay tuned!
BTC/USD Heist Mode: Buy Low, Escape Rich🔓 BTC/USD Crypto Vault Breach: Thief Strategy for Long Entry Robbery (Swing/Day Setup) 🔓
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰💸✈️
🚨 Welcome to our next Thief Trading-style breakout mission — this time targeting the mighty BTC/USD vault. Using a fusion of technical precision and macro-level insight, we're charting a long entry blueprint for a profitable heist.
🔑 Entry Plan
"The vault is open!" 💥
Buy at current price or set Buy Limit near swing lows (15–30min timeframe pullback entries). We're timing the entry with stealth—precision over panic.
🛑 Stop Loss Setup
SL set near recent swing low (4H TF reference: ~104.000).
Adjust based on position sizing, risk appetite & multi-order tactics.
🎯 Take Profit Target
Targeting 115.000—or exit earlier if price action stalls. Get in, get out. Efficiency is the code.
👀 Scalpers' Notice
Only work the Long side. If your bag’s heavy, strike instantly. If light, ride with swing robbers. Use trailing SLs to protect your bag.
📈 Why We’re Bullish
Market momentum favors the bulls:
Overbought zones acting as lures
Bearish traps ready to flip
Key confluences from sentiment, COT, on-chain & macro analysis
➡️ Full supporting breakdown available 👉👉🔗🔗.
📢 Risk Note – Stay Sharp
Major news events = increased volatility ⚠️
Avoid entries during news. Trail stops to protect running profit. Rob smart.
💖 Boost the Crew
If this blueprint aligns with your mission, hit that Boost button. It fuels the team, and together, we profit like pros. One heist at a time. 💪🎉
🧠 Stay ready—next plan drops soon. Until then, rob safe, rob smart. 🐱👤
$BTC Ready to Explode – Targeting $125K+ Soon! Bitcoin has finaCRYPTOCAP:BTC Ready to Explode – Targeting $125K+ Soon!
Bitcoin has finally broken out of the previous resistance range (~$110K–$111K), where it was rejected multiple times in June. Now it's consolidating in a tight box, setting up for a big move.
🔸 Support $110k–$113k
This area was previous resistance and is now acting as strong support. Holding above this confirms bullish strength.
🔸 Upside Target: $125k
If BTC holds within the current range and breaks above, the next leg could push price toward $125K. A clean breakout could even extend toward $140K.
🔸 Short-Term Take Profits:
✅ TP1: $120,000
✅ TP2: $122,000
✅ TP3: $125,000
🔸 Risk Level at $110,000:
Break below this level would invalidate the bullish setup and increase downside risk.
BTCUSD: Bearish Continuation
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the BTCUSD pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
Bitcoin on the Brink: Short-Term Surge Toward $116K Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at approximately $96,390, approaching the $116,000 mark. Here's a short-term analysis using Cycle Analysis, Elliott Wave Theory, and Gann Analysis to inform potential trading strategies.
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📈 Cycle Analysis: Mid-2025 Surge
Historical patterns suggest that Bitcoin tends to reach its peak between 518 and 546 days after a halving event. Given the most recent halving in April 2024, analysts anticipate a potential price peak around mid-2025, approximately 1.5 years post-halving. Notably, Bitcoin is currently about 35 days ahead of its typical cycle, indicating a possible acceleration in price growth.
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📊 Elliott Wave Analysis: Wave 3 in Progress
Elliott Wave Theory suggests that Bitcoin is currently in the third wave of its bullish cycle, which is typically the most powerful and extended wave. Recent analyses indicate that the third wave is unfolding, with potential targets ranging from $114,500 to $120,500. A conservative estimate places the peak of this wave between $127,000 and $150,000
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📐 Gann Analysis: Price-Time Equilibrium
Gann Analysis utilizes geometric angles to predict price movements. The "2×1 Fan" line, representing a 45-degree angle, is considered a fair value line. Historically, Bitcoin's price has peaked near this line during parabolic run-ups. Currently, Bitcoin's price is approaching this level, suggesting a potential peak.
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🧭 Short-Term Trade Setup
✅ Entry Points:
• Accumulation Zone: $85,000 to $90,000
• Current Price: $96,390
🎯 Target Levels:
• Short-Term Peak: $116,000 to $135,000
• Medium-Term Peak: $150,000
⚠️ Risk Management:
• Potential Correction: After reaching the peak, anticipate a significant pullback, possibly 30–50%.
• Exit Strategy: Consider taking profits as Bitcoin approaches upper resistance zones.
________________________________________
🧾 Conclusion
Bitcoin is in the final stages of its current bullish cycle, with projections indicating a potential peak between $150,000 and $278,000. However, caution is warranted as market corrections are typical following such surges. Investors should consider taking profits as Bitcoin approaches upper resistance levels and prepare for potential pullbacks.
BTC's increasing fomo force will push the price up furtherCRYPTO:BTCUSD just broke the important resistance zone and trendline around 110000. This price increase to create a new ATH will create a large amount of FOMO in the market pushing BTCUSD to increase more than half. 116,000 FIbonacci extension points are considered the immediate Target for the uptrend.
Waiting for retests to the support zone for the trend-following BUY strategy.
Support: 110000-107500
Resistance: 116000
Buy zone: 110000 ( support + trendline)
Buy Trigger: break above 112000
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of July 11, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the last week's trading session, Bitcoin has demonstrated a significant surge, achieving historical prices as anticipated by TSS for an extended period. The cryptocurrency has successfully completed both the Outer Coin Rally 114500 and the Inner Coin Rally 118200. Presently, Bitcoin is poised to celebrate this notable accomplishment with a victory lap, but it may face a potential downward trajectory, targeting the Mean Support level of 112000. This anticipated decline will necessitate the resilience to a retest of Inner Coin Rally 118200. The designated targets for the Outer Coin Rally at this juncture are 122000, 126500, 132200, and 135000.
Bitcoin Macro Cycles: Sell Signal at RSI 90Bitcoin’s historical market cycles, using monthly RSI data to identify previous bull market peaks. Notable tops in 2013, 2017, and 2021 are highlighted, with the next potential peak projected around October 2025. A consistent pattern emerges where each market top aligns with the monthly RSI reaching or nearing the 90 level, indicating extremely overbought conditions.
Sell when the monthly RSI hits 90. This has consistently marked previous market tops and can serve as a reliable signal for long-term investors.
BTC Forecast: CPI Trap or Liquidity Sweep?Powered by Advanced Time-Price Analysis | Dr.Gemy | Digital Gann Strategy
Using Time Cycles, IPDA logic, and Digital Gann structure, the upcoming week for Bitcoin is setting up for a high-probability liquidity event, especially with high-impact macro data scheduled.
📍In the next 18 hours, we expect a short-term correction toward the 115,911 USD zone.
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⏰ CPI (Tuesday) & PPI (Wednesday) = catalysts for smart money traps.
I expect a textbook liquidity hunt around the inflation data window.
Time is more important than price.
🔮 Two Critical Scenarios Unfolding:
✅ Scenario 1 – CPI Trap Setup (Tuesday News Play)
🕒 If BTC continues correcting into Tuesday (July 15), targeting 113,724 USD, this will align perfectly with the release of U.S. CPI (Inflation) data at 3:30 PM GMT+3.
📈 A fake bullish breakout above 118,098 USD could follow, luring retail traders with an inflation-driven spike, only to be reversed sharply to collect liquidity around 111,537 USD.
🧠 CPI y/y forecast is 2.6% vs 2.4% prior – higher inflation could spark temporary bullish reaction, but the underlying setup suggests it's a trap.
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🎭 Scenario 2 – Smart Money Pump and Dump
📈 BTC might front-run expectations with an early week rally to retest 118,098 USD, only to reverse midweek (around Wednesday's PPI release) as the market reacts to deeper macro data and shifting dollar strength.
💣 Downside continuation could sweep below 113,724 USD, ultimately reaching the key demand base at 111,537 USD, which marks the beginning of the last major impulsive move.
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🧠 Strategic Concepts Used:
Time Fractals (9H Cycle Lines)
Gann Reversal Timing & Breaker Blocks (H4)
Smart Money Traps around News
IPDA Voids & Liquidity Pools
CPI/PPI/Macro Liquidity Zones
#CryptoForecast #BTCUSD #CPIWeek #GannTiming #SmartMoney #LiquiditySweep #IPDA #ForexStyleCrypto #DigitalGann #DrGemy
BITCOIN - Local Conditions for Growth ContinuationCRYPTOCAP:BTC showed us an astonishing growth from $108,000 to $118,000 in a few days! But what is next and where is the next target?
At the moment the price is consolidating below the ATH, in fact there are two resistances: $118,500 and $119,000. To continue pumping, Bitcoin has to break both of them with strong impulse.
To be honest , the current price development reminds me of what we've seen a couple days ago: breakout of the resistance -> consolidation below local highs -> strong breakout and growth continuation. Something similar can be expected now as well.
In the past couple of years CRYPTOCAP:BTC taught us a lesson of waiting no time to hop on the train . When it pumps - it does it quickly, just like it does it this time. So, waiting for the best entry near $109,000 - $110,000 might leave you behind while Bitcoin will be pumping towards $125,000.
$BTC Rejection at 119K | Eyes on 112K Retest as RSI Cools DownBitcoin faces strong rejection near the $119K resistance zone, showing signs of a cooling market as the RSI exits the overbought territory. Historically, BTC tends to revisit key structural levels after such overheated moves. A favorable re-test zone lies between $114K and $112K, with $112K aligning closely with the previous all-time high — a psychologically significant support area.
Support levels to watch: $112K (favorable retest) and $110K (strong base).
As RSI continues to cool, keep an eye on bullish reactions around these levels for potential entries.