BTCUSD.PI trade ideas
BITCOIN - SELL TO $86,000 (8H VIEW)I see possible shorting opportunities right now for BTC.
⭕️LQ Swiped Above Previous Wave 3 High ($109,000).
⭕️Wave 4 Complex Correction Complete (5 Sub-Waves).
⭕️(Wave 5 Impulse Bullish Move Complete (5 Sub-Waves of 1,2,3,4,5).
❌Invalidation Zone Above Wave 5 High ($112,140).
High risk trade as BTC could still head high for Wave 5 around $120- $130,000. Use strict risk management.
80k BTC On The Move - WHAT It Means 80,000 BTC Wallet Movement (2011 Miner)
• Source: 8 wallets containing 10,000 BTC each — mined in 2011, dormant for 14 years
• Total Value: Over $8.6 billion USD
• Timing: Moved on July 4, 2025 — largest dormant BTC transfer in history
• New Addresses: Funds moved to modern SegWit wallets
• Probable Owner: Likely a single early miner with 200k+ BTC history
Possible Reasons for the Move
• Key Rotation: Upgrading to modern wallets for better security
• Recovered Access: Private keys may have been recently recovered
• Market Strategy: Positioning for profit-taking or major sell-off
• Yield Farming: Preparing COINBASE:BTCUSD for use in DeFi/lending platforms
• Collateral Use: Possibly for loans, stablecoin leverage, or RWAs
• Estate Planning: Legal restructuring or generational wealth setup
• OTC Transfer: Could be prepping for off-exchange institutional sale
• Psychological Warfare: Could be intended to spook or manipulate the market
• Regulatory Response: Aligning with new compliance or tax jurisdiction
Market Reaction
• COINBASE:BTCUSD Price Dip: Price briefly fell below $108,000 post-move
• ETF Context: Movement occurred despite record ETF inflows
Key Note: These wallets had not been touched since COINBASE:BTCUSD was worth ~$0.78. Their reactivation adds uncertainty and opportunity in a fragile macro environment.
• What to do????: Watch the orderbook to find these large bitcoin moves in case of exchange selling
Near term support & resistance
$106000 support
$109500 first resistance
👍 If this breakdown helped your trading, smash that Like and drop a comment below—let me know what you think will happen with the 80k COINBASE:BTCUSD . 👍
Best Reguards
MartyBoots, 17-year market trader
What do we need to know before investing?If you are thinking about investing money for the potential returns it offers, you should know that it may go well, but that there are always risks. That’s why we are going to give you some basic tips to bear in mind before making any investment decision.
How much money are you going to invest?
First of all, you need to decide how much money you want to put towards your financial investments.
The markets are subject to change
The financial markets are constantly fluctuating. The term volatility is the most commonused term to describe and measure the uncertainty provided by changes to theprices of financial assets.
Additionally, there are times in the market when the prices are more pronounced and every now and then there are crisis periods and asset prices fall dramatically.
Investing in financial markets means that we have to assume that our investments will always be subject to these types of fluctuations. If you are going to invest in the financial markets the money that you invest must be money that you will not need during the investment term.
That’s why, investing in order to obtain short term gains is inevitably associated with high risk. Furthermore, the larger our intended gains, the larger the associated risk. Always bear in mind that the greater the expected returns, the greater the assumed risk. Once again, be sure that you do not need the money that you are going to invest, as it may have losses.
The opposite can be said of long term investments, where the capacity to wait and overcome falls in the market means that you can assume more risk with your investments. With a long term vision you will avoid having to experience any possible losses with your investment period due to any eventual liquidity needs.
How much risk are you willing to take on?
Before investing it is important to know the risk you can assume. Every investor has their own risk tolerance level that they need to be aware of. Risks and returns go hand in hand, because for more returns you also need to take on more risk, and vice versa.
It is also good to know that just as with normal market conditions, those assets with a higher risk tend to suffer more fluctuations with their prices than those assets with less risk.
Therefore, in general terms:
When the forecasts for the financial markets are favourable and the market goes up, those assets with higher expected returns generally perform excellently.
Whenever the financial markets are going through uncertain times, those assets with higher expected returns, and therefore more risk, tend to perform worse.
You must start from a strong financial position
To invest you need to be at a point where your accounts are well under control, including your debts. We do not mean to say that if you have any outstanding credit you cannot invest, but it is essential that everything is in order and that you are in a situation where you can fulfil your financial obligations.
On the other hand, to build long term wealth, it is important that you assign part of your income to your savings, meaning that you have to invest with the money left over after making your payments while also saving part of what you earn.
It is important to keep a composed outlook
Now we know that investing bears its own risks and that the market is subject to change, it is essential to be composed when investing. When investing it is important to think positively, as if you don’t really believe that things will work out, why invest?
It is one thing to be cautious, and to know how much money to invest and what level of risk tolerance to assume, and another to think negatively each time there is a drop in the market. In reality, investing is a combination of caution and composure.
Diversification is the key to success
Somebody with less investment experience may make the mistake of putting all of their investment budget into just one thing. However, it is much better to have diverse investments, as while some investments may not quite work out as you would have liked them to, some do even better.
Losses are normal, and so are returns
We previously said that when investing it is important to stay calm, and that is true. In this regard, you also have to bear in mind that it is normal for some investments in your portfolio to not perform as well as you had expected.
We cannot predict the behaviour of the financial markets or of certain assets. We can also unexpectedly find ourselves with some assets that don’t perform as well as we had hoped. That is why we recommend, in addition to not risking more than you can invest, to diversify your investments well.
We have already said that investment involves risk, which is why it is good to know that if you are willing to invest, you are also willing to take on risks. If you are prepared to take on this risk, you can be successful in your investments.
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by HollyMontt
BTC/USD – Bullish Pennant Hints at Potential Continuation >$120KBitcoin remains in a strong uptrend, consolidating just below the $120,000 level after a powerful breakout from the $112K zone earlier this month. Price action has formed a classic bullish pennant pattern on the daily chart, characterized by converging trendlines and declining volume—a textbook setup for trend continuation.
The uptrend remains technically intact, with BTC well above its 50-day SMA ($108.7K) and 200-day SMA ($94.8K), both of which are rising and supportive of bullish momentum. The RSI at 63.2 reflects healthy, but not overbought, conditions, while the MACD maintains a positive crossover above the zero line, though it has started to flatten during the consolidation.
A breakout above the pennant resistance (~$119K) could trigger the next leg higher, potentially targeting a measured move toward the $128K–130K area. However, if sellers manage to push price below the lower pennant boundary and horizontal support at $112K, a deeper correction toward $100K cannot be ruled out.
Bias: Bullish continuation favored as long as price holds above $112K. Watch for a breakout to confirm upside momentum toward new highs.
Time frame: Medium-term (days to a few weeks)
-MW
BTCUSD Bullish energy buildup supported at 114,850The BTCUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a corrective pullback within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 114,850 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 114,850 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
122,900 – initial resistance
124,420 – psychological and structural level
126,250 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 114,850 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
112,860 – minor support
110,825 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the BTCUSD holds above 114,850. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bitcoin Price Analysis and Bullish Continuation PredictionThis analysis focuses on the Bitcoin/US Dollar 4-hour chart from Coinbase, highlighting a potential bullish continuation based on recent price action as of July 22, 2025. The chart shows a strong upward trend with a recent pullback, suggesting a possible rejection point near the pivot line at $115,672.23.
Putting myself in the reader’s shoes, I’d want to understand the key levels driving this prediction. The 1-hour and 2-hour support area around $107,656.23 has held firm, providing a solid base. The price recently approached the key resistance at $120,183.08, where it faced rejection, indicating a potential ceiling. If the price breaks above this resistance with strong volume, it could signal a continuation toward $123,000.00 or higher.
My thought process involves identifying the pivot point ($115,672.23) as a critical level. A bounce from this level, supported by the 1h/2h support zone, suggests bullish momentum. However, if the price fails to hold above $115,672.23 and drops below $107,656.23, it could invalidate this outlook, pointing to a deeper correction.
Profit Targets:
Short-term: $120,183.08 (key resistance)
Long-term: $123,000.00 (bullish continuation)
Stop Loss: $107,656.23 (below the 1h/2h support area)
These clearly defined targets and stop loss levels should help clarify the trade idea and manage risk effectively.
Bitcoin at the Threshold of the Fibonacci Gate - Silent Strain.⊢
⟁ BTC/USD - BINANCE - (CHART: 1W) - (July 22, 2025).
◇ Analysis Price: $119.209,03.
⊣
⨀ I. Temporal Axis - Strategic Interval - (1W):
▦ EMA9 - ($111.083,72):
∴ Price remains well above the EMA9, with consistent bullish spacing;
∴ The weekly candle closes with strength and full-body integrity above it;
∴ EMA9 slope continues upward, supporting ongoing momentum.
✴️ Conclusion: Short-term structure remains decisively bullish, with trend-following support intact.
⊣
▦ EMA21 - ($103.417,42):
∴ EMA21 is sharply rising and holds significant historical support;
∴ Price remains distanced, but no vertical stretch detected;
∴ Not touched since early 2024 - the bullish cycle is intact.
✴️ Conclusion: Mid-cycle momentum remains strong. No structural weakness under current trajectory.
⊣
▦ WMA200 - ($62.496,26):
∴ Remains deep below current price action - untouched since breakout phase in 2023;
∴ Its angle is now slowly tilting upward - reflecting macro regime change;
∴ Long-term holders remain in command; no gravitational pull is active.
✴️ Conclusion: WMA200 is no longer relevant for tactical reaction, but serves as a structural floor of the cycle.
⊣
▦ Fibonacci Retracement - (Top: $122.056,95 / Bottom: $27.143,79):
✴️ Top: $122.056,95 - (07/14/2025) = 1 Fibo;
✴️ Bottom: $27.143,79 - (10/16/2023) = 0 Fibo.
∴ Price is now within 2.33% of the Fibonacci 1.0 extremity;
∴ Entire move from $27k to $122k retraced cleanly with structural respect to 0.382 ($63.400;62) and 0.618 ($85.800,12);
∴ Current pressure nears full extension, requiring caution;
✴️ Conclusion: Full retracement achieved. Continuation must now be fueled by external influx or will face rejection at golden gate.
⊣
▦ RSI (21) + EMA9 - (RSI: 66.65 / EMA9: 63.73):
∴ RSI remains below 70 - showing momentum without exuberance;
∴ RSI crossed above EMA9 with positive slope;
∴ No divergence present; momentum confirmation continues.
✴️ Conclusion: Silent bullish continuity. No signal of exhaustion.
🜏 ORACVLO ARCANE: (RSI = 66 - No Fibonacci/Guematria convergence).
⊣
▦ MACD (9,21) - (MACD: 7,666.30 / Signal: 5,976.56 / Histogram: +1,689.74):
∴ MACD lines widening - strong expansion phase;
∴ Histogram rising above prior week;
∴ Still in mid-cycle range - not overextended.
✴️ Conclusion: Momentum engine active. No current loss of acceleration.
🜏 ORACVLO ARCANE: (Histogram = 1,689.74 - No convergence).
⊣
▦ OBV + EMA9 - (OBV: 86.27K):
∴ OBV rising cleanly with price;
∴ No divergence detected on weekly timeframe;
∴ EMA9 supportive, confirming accumulation bias.
✴️ Conclusion: Volume structure confirms legitimacy of bullish move.
⊣
▦ Stochastic RSI - (3,3,21,9) - (K: 94.30 / D: 84.53):
∴ Both lines in extreme overbought zone;
∴ No bearish cross yet - but a turn may initiate in next 1-2 candles;
∴ Historical turning points often occur from this elevation.
✴️ Conclusion: Momentum peaking. Vigilance required for reversal trigger in next cycle.
⊣
🜎 Strategic Insight – Technical Oracle:
∴ Price is pressing against the final Fibonacci gate of $122K, with momentum indicators still aligned;
∴ However, overbought pressure is building, particularly on the Stoch RSI.
∴ Breakout will require force; otherwise, a pullback from the threshold is probable.
⊣
∫ II. On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant):
▦ Exchange Netflow Total - (All Exchanges) - (+920 BTC):
∴ Influx into exchanges suggests potential distribution is being prepared.
⊣
▦ Funding Rates - (All Exchanges) - (+0.008):
∴ Mildly positive; no leverage overheating detected.
⊣
▦ Taker Buy Sell Ratio - (All Exchanges) - (0.959):
∴ Slight taker sell dominance - friction at high prices.
⊣
▦ Spent Output Profit Ratio - (SOPR) - (1.017):
∴ Profitable exits ongoing. Healthy, but could tilt if profit-taking accelerates.
⊣
▦ Realized Cap + (EMA9) - (Rising):
∴ Network is revaluing BTC upward - structurally healthy.
⊣
▦ MVRV Z-Score + (EMA9) - (2.32):
∴ Elevated. Historically a zone where caution is warranted.
⊣
▦ Miner Reserve - (All Miners) - (1.809M BTC declining):
∴ Long-term miner outflows continue - no sudden spike detected.
⊣
🜎 Strategic Insight - On-Chain Oracle:
∴ On-chain data supports the current trend, but with visible friction. Exchange inflow and profit-taking are warning signs that price is now dependent on sustained demand;
∴ This is a zone of silent strain: structurally sound, but tactically stretched. While the broader framework supports continuation, there is no buffer left for error;
∴ Weakness will be exploited if new inflows fail to materialize.
⊣
𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation:
∴ Structurally Bullish - Tactically Suspended;
∴ Tactical Range Caution: ($114.000 / $122.056).
⊣
▦ Codicillus Silentii - Strategic Note:
∴ The CME gap and the proximity to Fibonacci 1.0 have formed a psychological and technical ceiling;
∴ If unbroken this week, the next cycle may revert to (0.786) as reversion.
⊣
▦ Momentum-wise:
∴ RSI remains in the bullish zone (66.65) without entering overbought - a sign of discipline in the ascent;
∴ MACD shows expansion with a growing histogram - no curvature loss;
∴ Stochastic RSI is in extreme overbought (K = 94.30), signaling elevated tension.
✴️ Conclusion: Momentum is intact but strained. A breakout is possible, but failure to continue will invite a flush.
⊢
✴️ Final Codex Interpretation:
∴ Bitcoin stands at the edge of the Fibonacci Gate, within breath of the 1.0 threshold ($122,056); ∴ While structure, momentum, and on-chain flows permit a push higher, the presence of inflows to exchanges, elevated MVRV, and extreme oscillator positioning suggest that the threshold is sacred - and only silence or strength may break it;
∴ Rejection here would not be collapse, but strategic regression to gather force beneath the gate.
⊢
⧉
· Cryptorvm Dominvs · MAGISTER ARCANVM · Vox Primordialis ·
⚜️ ⌬ - Silence precedes the next force. Structure is sacred - ⌬ ⚜️
⧉
⊢
Range in BitcoinBitcoin has been ranging for nearly 12 days, and based on range-trading strategies, it's now possible to take a position. There's a high probability that the price will move toward the top of the range. For taking positions near the bottom of the range, we need to wait for a trigger since we're trading against the current direction. In case of a breakout above the range, we should be cautious of fakeouts.
BTC/USD – 15M Smart Money Update📍 BTC/USD – 15M Smart Money Update
🔹 Price: $117,938
🔹 Day High: $119,679 | Day Low: $116,616
🔹 Context: Trading above Bull Retracement Zone (117,465–117,932)
🟣 Bullish Plan:
✅ Pullback into Bull Zone → FVG tap → bounce
🎯 Target: Bearish Order Block (OB) + Day High sweep
📈 MSS Confirmed | OB + FVG active
⚠️ Bear Trap Possibility:
Fakeout from Bear OB possible before final bullish push
Structure allows deeper pullback, but bullish continuation remains valid
📊 Indicators:
RSI: Cooling from overbought
MACD: Bullish momentum still active
🧠 Sniper Reminder:
Wait for clean reaction in Bull Zone before entry — Smart Money always reacts, never rushes.
July 22 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoin Guide.
If you "follow"
You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections.
If my analysis was helpful,
Please click the booster button at the bottom.
This is Bitcoin's 30-minute chart.
Nasdaq indicators will be released at 9:30 in a little while.
Although Bitcoin's mid-term pattern is broken,
it looks like a strong upward trend based on signals and candlestick positions.
In the case of Nasdaq, the 6-hour and 12-hour charts MACD dead cross is in progress,
and even if there is no plunge and only a sideways movement,
it seems likely that today's strategy will be successful.
In the bottom left, from the analysis article on the 18th,
the final long position entry point of $116,465.4 Bottom
is connected as is.
*Red finger movement path
One-way long position strategy
1. $118,461.9 long position entry section / green support line breakout, stop loss price
2. $120,338 long position 1st target -> Good, Great in order of target price
See the 1st section at the top as a touch section for an upward wave rather than a short position entry,
and if this section breaks through right away, an upward trend can be connected.
If the purple parallel line support line is maintained without breaking away,
there is a possibility of a vertical rise.
If the top section is touched,
after the first liquidation,
it would be good to use the 1st section to re-enter a long position.
The 2nd section at the bottom is important,
and if it is pushed to this section according to the movement of Nasdaq today,
it can fall strongly.
Please check the real-time support line shape.
From the breakout, Bottom -> 3 sections are open.
If you touch the 3rd section after tomorrow, the mid-term pattern will be restored.
This is the 12+ day section.
Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use only.
I hope that you will operate safely with the principle of trading and stop loss.
Thank you.
BTC USD LONG RESULTPrice had held been in a narrow falling wedge before breaking out with strong volume and held the support order block at the 0.6fib level and expecting to retest before going to the supply zone where TP zone was set.
Price did move as I predicted just missing and leaving our entry behind.
Better Setups ahead 💪💯
_THE_KLASSIC_TRADER_.
Total to 5T & BTC to...?Morning fellas,
No way BTC is stopping here. People are gonna get reckt shorting, and are not gonna believe where this price action is gonna stop.
TOTAL must reach anywhere between 4.5T & 5T, this spread across all Alts.
It has been a long time coming, and the party hasnt even started yet.
Hold your horses and trade thirsty, my friends!
BTCUSD Analysis – Supply Pressure vs Demand Rejection 📊 Overview:
This BTCUSD 2-hour chart is giving us a clear structure of how price is currently reacting between a strong demand base and a descending trendline supply. We're at a critical decision point, where both buyers and sellers are gearing up for a potential breakout or breakdown. Let’s break it down level by level.
🟢 Demand Zone – Major Support Holding Firm
The Major Support Zone marked at the bottom of the chart is not just any random area—it has been tested multiple times and acted as a launchpad for bullish moves previously. This is also aligned with the Previous Reversal Zone, which adds confluence to this demand base.
Price dipped into this zone and immediately rejected with strong bullish candles, showing aggressive buyer interest.
This is a high-probability area for long setups as long as price stays above it.
You’ve noted on the chart: “If market closes this supply, we will double it” – that makes sense because a confirmed hold above this base increases the probability of upside continuation.
🔻 Trendline & Supply Zone – The Wall Ahead
Moving up the chart, price is being pressured by a descending trendline, acting as dynamic resistance. This trendline is not just drawn for decoration—it has rejected price at least twice already, and is also intersecting with a minor horizontal resistance zone.
This creates a confluence of resistance, making it a tough wall for buyers to break through without strong volume.
You’ve labeled it as “Evidence 1”, meaning the first confirmation of supply reacting here.
If BTC fails here again, we could easily see another pullback to the 116,800 – 116,400 range.
⚖️ QFL Pattern in Play
The QFL (Quick Flip Logic) is in action, where price aggressively dropped and formed a base, followed by a sharp move up. Price is now attempting to return to that base (demand zone) for a potential flip back upward.
If QFL holds and price breaks above the trendline, this will be a strong reversal confirmation.
This aligns with many institutional trading strategies which look for such formations near support zones.
📈 Potential Bullish Scenario:
Break above the descending trendline resistance
Price sustains above Minor Resistance Zone (around 118,800 – 119,600)
Next target: Major Resistance Zone between 120,800 – 121,200
This could create a higher-high structure and resume overall bullish trend
📉 Potential Bearish Scenario:
Failure to break the trendline
Rejection leads to price retesting the Major Support
If that zone breaks cleanly (especially below 116,400), price may drop toward 115,600 or lower
This opens up a possible short opportunity depending on price action and momentum
🎯 Conclusion:
This chart is a textbook example of consolidation between major zones. Bulls are defending hard at the bottom while bears are pushing down from the top. The direction of the breakout will dictate the next major move. Until then, wait for confirmation, avoid early entries, and let the market show its hand.
🧠 Patience = Profits.
🕒 Chart Timeframe: 2H
📌 Strategy in Focus: Supply & Demand Zones, Trendline Breakout, QFL Base Pattern
📍 Sentiment: Neutral-Bullish (Watching Trendline Reaction)