BTC #15-minute Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart This 15-minute Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart shows price action within an ascending channel. Recently, the price broke below the midline and touched the lower channel boundary, bouncing back slightly afterward. A marked "QFL" (Quick Flip Level) zone with a 50% retracement is highlighted, suggesting a potential area of interest for buyers or a price reaction point. The shaded region indicates strong demand/support around the $117,200–$118,000 range. A breakdown below this support could signal further bearish momentum.
thanking you
BTCUSD.PI trade ideas
Bitcoin at the Edge of the Fibonacci Gate - Silent Strain.⊣
⟁ BTC/USD - BINANCE - (CHART: 1D) - (Jul 18, 2025).
◇ Analysis Price: $118,866.60.
⊣
⨀ I. Temporal Axis - Strategic Interval - (1D):
▦ EMA9 - (Exponential Moving Average - 9 Close):
∴ EMA9 is currently positioned at $119,077.81, closely tracking the current price, acting as dynamic micro-support;
∴ The slope of EMA9 remains upward, with price consistently closing above it in the past sessions;
∴ Compression candles are forming above this line, suggesting it is being defended as a tactical floor.
✴️ Conclusion: EMA9 is structurally supportive, signaling short-term bullish control beneath compression.
⊣
▦ EMA21 - (Exponential Moving Average - 21 Close):
∴ EMA21 is placed at $118,537.29 and holds a clear upward slope;
∴ Recent pullbacks have tested the region near EMA21 but failed to close beneath it;
∴ EMA21 is establishing itself as the primary mid-range buffer zone within this bullish phase.
✴️ Conclusion: EMA21 confirms intermediate momentum preservation and mid-term trend integrity.
⊢
▦ EMA50 - (Exponential Moving Average - 50 Close):
∴ EMA50 is located at $116,804.80 and remains untouched during the current rally phase;
∴ The distance between EMA21 and EMA50 is widening, confirming structural momentum;
∴ This line now functions as the lower tier of the bullish envelope - a defensive anchor.
✴️ Conclusion: EMA50 reflects resilient bullish understructure and rising support basin.
▦ Fibonacci Retracement - (ATH = $122,056.95 / Low = $74,623.79):
∴ Price is currently positioned just under the 0.786 level, a classic tension zone before ATH retests;
∴ The 0.618 level has already been claimed and held as support, showing strength through key retracements;
∴ The market is coiling between 0.786 and 1.000 in preparation for decisive expansion or rejection.
✴️ Conclusion: BTC sits within the golden gate - structurally pressurized near final resistance thresholds.
⊢
▦ Bollinger Bands:
∴ Bands are visibly contracting, forming a volatility funnel around the current price zone;
∴ The price is maintaining proximity to the upper band without closing beyond it;
∴ The base band remains far beneath ($116k zone), indicating untriggered potential.
✴️ Conclusion: Volatility is compressing structurally; directional resolution is imminent.
⊢
▦ Volume + EMA21:
∴ Volume bars have declined steadily during this upper-range consolidation;
∴ EMA21 on volume confirms weakening participation relative to early July moves;
∴ Absence of breakout-volume suggests either stealth accumulation or passive stalling.
✴️ Conclusion: Volume behavior is non-confirmatory - the structure floats without conviction.
⊢
▦ RSI - (21) + EMA9:
∴ RSI(21) currently prints 60.45, above its own EMA9 at 59.41, suggesting net upward pressure;
∴ The RSI slope remains neutral-to-positive without entering overbought;
∴ The absence of bearish divergence confirms internal momentum coherence.
✴️ Conclusion: RSI structure is clean, moderate, and aligned with sustainable trend energy.
⊢
▦ Stochastic RSI - (3,3,21,9):
∴ K = 78.78 | D = 71.55 - both above 70, nearing the overbought ceiling;
∴ The fast line (K) shows minor inflection but no confirmed cross;
∴ Momentum is elevated, but historical context shows price can remain extended.
✴️ Conclusion: Momentum is entering saturation zone - caution on short-term exhaustion.
⊢
▦ MACD - (9,21):
∴ MACD line (540.52) remains above the signal line (414.93) in sustained bullish crossover;
∴ The histogram has begun flattening, indicating reduced acceleration;
∴ There is no bearish cross yet, but momentum build is slowing.
✴️ Conclusion: MACD supports bullish continuation, but thrust intensity is decaying.
⊢
▦ OBV + EMA9:
∴ OBV reads 71.13M and is currently flat, with no new highs in accumulation;
∴ EMA9 on OBV closely hugs the raw OBV line, confirming stagnation;
∴ Prior upward surges in OBV are not being extended, showing tactical pause in conviction.
✴️ Conclusion: Liquidity expansion has halted; OBV structure is tactically neutral.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight - Technical Oracle:
∴ The BTC/USD structure is entering a compressed apex between structural momentum (EMA stack, RSI, MACD) and tactical exhaustion signals (Stochastic RSI, Bollinger Band constriction, flattening OBV);
∴ Price is stabilizing just beneath the ATH gate ($122,056), indicating a threshold scenario - where breakout and rejection probabilities are approaching parity;
∴ Volume decline reflects the absence of forced participation, and suggests that the next move will be event-triggered or liquidity-engineered. The current environment favors volatility re-expansion, not trend reversal;
✴️ This is a threshold phase: structurally bullish, tactically suspended, awaiting ignition.
⊢
∫ II. On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant):
▦ Exchange Netflow Total + EMA9:
∴ Current Netflow: -938 Bitcoins - sustained negative flow over time indicates coins leaving exchanges;
∴ Persistent outflows reflect holding sentiment and reduced immediate sell pressure;
∴ Price action shows historical upside alignment when netflows remain negative across clusters.
✴️ Conclusion: Exchange behavior signals macro holding bias, not liquidation cycles.
⊢
▦ Binary CDD + EMA9:
∴ Binary CDD has spiked into high activity zones in the past week, showing awakened dormant coins;
∴ This metric historically precedes localized tops when synchronized with weak flows;
∴ However, no consistent clusters are forming - signals remain scattered.
✴️ Conclusion: Binary CDD reflects isolated movements, not systemic awakening or distribution.
⊢
▦ Exchange Whale Ratio + EMA9:
∴ Current ratio hovers at ~0.62 - elevated but not extreme;
∴ Sustained whale activity near 0.60+ can precede volatility events;
∴ Trendline is rising since May, showing gradual uptick in dominance from top senders.
✴️ Conclusion: Whale activity is tactically elevated, implying latent strategic intent.
⊢
▦ Supply-Adjusted Dormancy + EMA9:
∴ Dormancy values are near historical lows, indicating old coins are staying inactive;
∴ EMA9 confirms a downward trend in dormant supply movement;
∴ Long-term holders are not distributing at this level.
✴️ Conclusion: Structural dormancy supports holder conviction - no exit signals from old supply.
⊢
▦ Realized Cap + EMA9:
∴ Realized Cap is now exceeding $1T, rising consistently without parabolic spikes;
∴ EMA(9) and line are in lockstep - a healthy ascent;
∴ No acceleration = no blow-off = sustainable revaluation.
✴️ Conclusion: Value accumulation remains organic, not euphoric.
⊢
▦ MVRV Ratio + EMA9:
∴ MVRV sits at 2.36 - below historical overvaluation levels (>3.0);
∴ EMA(9) confirms gradual slope upward, consistent with price;
∴ Ratio is not overheated - risk/reward remains structurally favorable.
✴️ Conclusion: MVRV indicates non-euphoric regime - mid-phase of value appreciation.
⊢
▦ BTC vs GOLD vs S&P500 - (BGemetrix Comparative Graph):
∴ BTC continues to outperform both GOLD and SPX in long-term slope, even after corrections;
∴ Current phase shows GOLD flattening and SPX slightly lagging BTC in verticality;
∴ This divergence hints at BTC leading in speculative rotation while traditional assets stabilize.
✴️ Conclusion: BTC holds macro-dominance position, operating as the apex volatility proxy in current intermarket structure.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight - On-Chain Oracle:
∴ Despite short-term compression, the on-chain structure reveals no distribution threats;
∴ Holder conviction, realized valuation, and MVRV slope all suggest controlled structural appreciation, not mania;
∴ Whales are tactically present, but dormancy and exchange flows confirm no mass exit;
∴ This is an internally coherent, tactically patient regime.
✴️ Bitcoin is preparing, not peaking.
⊢
𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation:
▦ Structurally Bullish - Tactically Suspended:
∴ All key EMA's (9/21/50) are stacked and rising; price remains elevated yet non-parabolic;
∴ Fibonacci apex is active, with price compressing beneath the ATH zone ($122,056), not retreating;
∴ On-chain intelligence confirms long-term conviction, with no distribution from whales or dormants.
✴️ Conclusion: The system retains structural strength; pressure is latent, not expired. The architecture is bullish, not euphoric.
⊢
▦ Tactical Range Caution:
∴ Stochastic RSI and MACD show early-stage exhaustion;
∴ Volume has declined into apex, favoring liquidity traps or volatility bursts;
∴ Whale Ratio elevation implies pre-positioning behavior, not public confirmation.
✴️ Conclusion: Tactical maneuvering is dominant. Breakout potential exists but is not trustable until confirmed by volume and displacement.
⊢
⧉
Cryptorvm Dominvs · ⚜️ MAGISTER ARCANVM ⚜️ · Vox Primordialis
⌬ - Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy - ⌬
⧉
⊢
BTCUSD 7/18/202590min BOS to the downside has just occurred on the 3rd day of Price trading inside of the 7/14 Bearish Engulfing. Now we may encounter another Bearish leg which in fact is just still the Daily Bearish Retracement.
_SnipeGoat_
_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
#PriceAction #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #Bearish #Bullish #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #Forex #NakedChartReader #ZEROindicators #PreciseLevels #ProperTiming #PerfectDirection #ScalpingTrader #IntradayTrader #DayTrader #SwingTrader #PositionalTrader #HighLevelTrader #MambaMentality #GodMode #UltraInstinct #TheeBibleStrategy
BTC wave structure analysis on 4 hour and daily timeframe- Daily time frame, after price gave stop hunting signal, price increased again.
- On the 4-hour time frame, the price broke through the strong peak and gave a bullish reversal signal.
- So there is a high possibility that BTC will continue to rise and break the previous top.
BTC OutlookIn the volatile world of trading, uncertainty is the only constant. Could prices dip to 75k before surging to 115k? Is such a drop a brief pullback or the start of a prolonged downturn? What technical or fundamental signals might indicate a recovery toward 115k?
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always consult a professional before making any investment decisions.
THAT WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT BTC IN 2025Professional Technical Analysis & Trading Plan for BTC/USD (Hypothetical 2025 Data)
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1. Technical Structure & Key Observations
A. Price Context:
- **Current Price:** ~84,197 (below SMA 81,998).
- **SMA (Simple Moving Average):** 81,998 (likely 200-day SMA, acting as dynamic resistance).
- **Volume:** 52K (low volume suggests consolidation; watch for spikes to confirm breaks).
C. Key Levels (From Data):
- **Resistance:**
- Immediate: 81,998 (SMA).
- Major: 90,000, 100,000, 130,000 (swing highs).
- **Support:**
- Near-term: 74,000 (psychological),
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2. Advanced Indicator Analysis
A. Momentum (RSI & MACD):**
- **RSI (14):** Likely near 40–45 (neutral-bearish zone). A break below 30 signals oversold; above 55 confirms bullish momentum.
- **MACD:** Bearish crossover possible (signal line above MACD line). Watch for reversal above SMA.
B. Volume Profile:
- **Low Volume (52K):** Indicates weak participation. A surge above 100K on a breakout/breakdown would validate direction.
- **Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP):** If price trades above VWAP, bullish bias strengthens.
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3. Trading Strategies
Scenario : Bullish Reversal (30% Probability)
- **Trigger:** Daily close above SMA (81,998) with volume >100K.
- **Entry:** Long at 74,500 (confirmation of strength).
- **Targets:**
- TP1: 90,000 (8.5% move).
- TP2: 100,000 (19% move).
- **Stop Loss:** 71,500
---
5. Sentiment & Catalyst Watch
- **Bullish Catalysts:** Institutional ETF inflows, Fed rate cuts, Bitcoin halving momentum.
- **Bearish Risks:** Regulatory crackdowns, exchange hacks, macro recession.
-Conclusion
BTC/USD is at a critical juncture. *Trade the SMA break/breakdown with volume confirmation*, and prioritize risk-reward ratios. Always cross-verify with real-time data and news.
Disclaimer: Hypothetical analysis for educational purposes. Not financial advice.* 🚀
BTCUSD Bullish Continuation Patterns on LTFThe trend is still bullish and the daily bull flag I posted is still at play. This is just a lower TF perspective within the bigger overacharching view.
Inverse head and shoulders and a bullish flag all indicate continuation to the upside. You can use market structure to confirm your entries and your target profit zones if you do not plan on holding until $150k
BTCUSD – Pullback Imminent?📉 BTCUSD – Pullback Imminent?
Buyers beware ⚠️ — The bullish FVG on the daily chart is no longer holding. Price has shown signs of rejection from the premium zone , and a deeper pullback toward the Fair Value Area at 111,740 seems likely.
🧠 Let the market breathe... we’ll catch the real ride from below.
👀 Eyes on the Monthly FVG (T2,4) as the ultimate demand zone if price accelerates lower.
wall Street has set camp on Satoshi's backyard...Bitcoin didn’t just wake up and choose violence. It chose velocity.
As BTC blasts through the six-figure ceiling and fiddles $120k with laser precision, everyone’s pointing to “the halving” like it’s some magical switch. But let's be real, Bitcoin bull runs don’t run on fairy dust and hope. They run on liquidity, macro dislocations, structural demand shifts, and a pinch of regulatory chaos.
Here’s the nerdy breakdown of what’s really driving the Bitcoin Rocketship (and why this one’s different):
1. The Halving Effect (Not Just the Halving)
Yes, the April 2024 halving slashed miner rewards from 6.25 to 3.125 BTC. But this time, the reflexivity is louder. Miners now have to sell less, and buyers (especially ETFs) have to beg for more.
Miners = Reduced Sell Pressure.
ETFs = Constant Buy Pressure.
That’s a one-way order book squeeze. Simple math, but powerful dynamics.
2. ETF Flows: The "Spot" That Launched a Thousand Rallies
When the SEC finally gave the green light to Bitcoin spot ETFs, TradFi didn’t walk in—they stormed in.
Think BlackRock, Fidelity, and friends becoming daily buyers. It's not retail FOMO anymore, it's Wall Street with billions in dry powder doing dollar-cost averaging with institutional consistency.
🧠 Nerd Note: The top 5 U.S. spot ETFs alone are now hoarding more BTC than MicroStrategy.
3. Dollar Liquidity is Leaking Again
Despite Fed jawboning, real rates are still under pressure and global liquidity is quietly creeping back. Look at the TGA drawdowns, reverse repo usage, and China’s stealth QE.
Bitcoin, being the apex predator of liquidity, smells it from a mile away.
“In a world flooded with fiat, Bitcoin doesn’t float. It flies.”
4. Sovereigns Are Quietly Watching
El Salvador lit the match. Now, Argentina, Turkey, and even Gulf countries are tiptoeing toward a Bitcoin pivot, hedging USD exposure without broadcasting it to CNN.
Central banks don’t need to love BTC to stack it. They just need to fear the dollar system enough.
5. Scarcity Narrative Goes 3D
With 99% of BTC supply already mined and over 70% HODLed for over 6 months, every new buyer is bidding for a smaller slice of the pie. ETFs and institutions are trying to drink from a faucet that only drips.
This is not a market with elastic supply. This is financial physics with a scarcity twist.
6. Market Microstructure is Fragile AF
Order books are thin. Real liquidity is fragmented. And the sell-side has PTSD from getting blown out at $70k.
This creates a “skateboard-on-a-freeway” scenario, when a few billion in inflows hit, prices don’t just rise. They gap.
Nerdy Bonus: The Memecoin Effect (No, Really)
The memecoin mania on Solana, Base, and Ethereum has been injecting dopamine into degens—and their profits are increasingly flowing into the OG digital gold.
It’s the 2021 cycle all over again, just with more liquidity bridges and fewer inhibitions.
Nerdy Insight: The Bull Run Has Layers
What’s driving BTC to $120,000 isn’t a single headline. It’s a stacked convergence of macro, structure, psychology, and coded scarcity.
Bitcoin isn’t “going up” just because of hope or halving hype. It’s going up because it’s the cleanest asset in a dirty system, and now both retail and institutions agree.
Still shorting? That’s not “fading the crowd.” That’s fighting thermodynamics.
Stay nerdy, stay sharp.
put together by : @currencynerd as Pako Phutietsile
Crypto Week in the U.S. – Bitcoin SurgesCongressional Crypto Week: Bitcoin Hits All-Time Highs in a Decisive Week for the U.S.
Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is back in global headlines after breaking above $123,203 this Tuesday, setting a new all-time high in the same week. So far in July, the leading cryptocurrency has surged 17%, fueled by a combination of institutional inflows, political momentum, and evolving regulation. This week, Washington is hosting “Crypto Week,” a key event that may define the legal and financial future of digital assets in the United States. At the same time, institutional backing shows no signs of slowing down—Bitcoin ETFs continue to set records for net inflows, particularly BlackRock’s IBIT, now managing over $85 billion in assets.
ETFs, Trump, and Regulation: All Roads Lead to Crypto
BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF, IBIT, attracted $729 million in net inflows last week alone, setting a historic milestone by becoming the fastest ETF ever to reach $80 billion in assets under management—just 374 days, compared to over 1,800 days for the previous record held by the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF. The growing institutional interest—with over 265 funds and entities now actively investing in BTC—not only validates the asset class but also tightens supply: BlackRock reportedly acquired an average of more than 860 bitcoins per day last week. This persistent demand is directly contributing to the price momentum.
A Legal Framework in Progress
Three major bills are on the Congressional agenda this week:
The Genius Act: Aims to regulate stablecoins and has already passed the Senate with bipartisan support.
The Clarity Act: Seeks to define which cryptocurrencies qualify as securities or commodities, clarifying regulatory oversight.
The Anti-CBDC Act: Proposes restricting the government’s ability to issue an official digital currency, favoring decentralized ecosystems.
This regulatory push is seen by the market as a sign of institutional consolidation in the crypto space, paralleling the already advanced European MiCA framework.
Technical Analysis of BTCUSD
On the daily chart, Bitcoin broke decisively above the previous ceiling at $112,000 on July 12 and has since been validating a consolidation pattern near the $120,000 level—forming a bullish pennant on the 1-hour chart. The RSI remains overbought at 64.92%, but with no current signs of bearish divergence. The next technical target lies in the $130,000–$135,000 zone, while the nearest support is found at $118,000. A daily close below that level could trigger a technical correction toward $108,000–$109,000, marking the base of the current impulse. The point of control sits far lower at $85,195, although the current move appears to be unfolding within the third of three key volume profile levels. The MACD continues to support price expansion, though trading volume appears to be declining. Delta level indicators suggest strong resistance near current price highs, meaning another push may be needed—possibly triggered by continued regulatory momentum.
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The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance and forecasting are not a synonym of a reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success.
BTC to $12,000,000 December '27I had a years-old bookmarked chart from @MillionaireEconomics that I wanted to update and pick a random, extremely bullish candle pattern from the last time BTC came off the bottom channel to slap on it.
Riddle me this:
Why shouldn't Bitcoin go to $12,000,000 by December 2027?
Saylor continues to lead the way for global companies to scramble to build their own BTC warchests. These early adopters are having investor money dumped into them by the truckload.
Countries are stacking BTC
The BTC ETFs are a smash hit
Trump is all for making his own multi-billy family bitty stack
Mid-curvers will sell far too early, for far too little.
In the next two years, you'll be bombarded with countless, seemingly good reasons to sell your Bitcoins for hundreds of thousands of dollars - and then millions of dollars.
A shocking number of people will be far too early to sell. They will wake up in a cold sweat, night after night, haunted by their "could-have-been" stack, the number that updates in their head ten times a day, going up by six or seven figures a day .
... until they FOMO right back in at $11,999,999.
BTC intra? RECAP
Hi
Hope yest was a successful day trading for you.
Initial Bias for the DAY was up
I found : 3 white soldiers
Instant entry at found
or wait for retrace and my stop was below pattern
Profit. take when satisfied
So very important what risk i put in
say 100$ for a trade would be happy at 200$-300$
1:2 /3
or whatever i'm willing
adjusting to every trade
Easier said than done; your confidence will suddenly peak
You'll push your luck .. n risking way more than should
Be discipline
I hope the force will be with you.. n be lucky in 99.999% of the time
Not a guru
*& sharing is not a sin
nb/ all guru can slideee :)
Looking for your nx entry???
Bullish Patterns - will be in pdf in www
If new; print it
trade when see one (forexbee.co)
Do 20-50 trades.
Journal it.
Then your report card; positive or negative
pass or fail, is the pattern in web telling you the truth or lie
You decide
I hope your confidence will spike and won't depend on anyone anymore.
It's like learning to walk..
Btcusd techinical analysis.Chart Overview (BTC/USD - 2H, OKX):
Current Price: $119,240.5 (+1.23%)
Key Zones:
Support Zone: Around $118,695.8 (highlighted for July 17, 12:00)
Resistance/Target Zone: Around $123,250 (based on the measured move)
Fibonacci Levels: Drawn from the recent swing high to swing low
Important retracement levels: 0.236, 0.382, 0.5, 0.618, 0.786
Price is currently testing the 0.5–0.618 zone, which is a common area for potential breakout or rejection
Potential Price Move:
Bullish Projection:
Upside target of $4,009.7 (3.38%) from the breakout area
Reaching the $123,250 range by July 17 at 12:00 (UTC)
Technical Patterns:
It looks like you're tracking:
A potential bullish breakout from a consolidation range
Possibly a bullish flag or continuation pattern
Momentum is shifting after a clean bounce off the 0.236 zone
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Let me know if you want:
A deeper analysis (e.g., RSI, MACD, volume)
Confirmation for long/short entries
Risk management suggestions
What’s your goal here — are you planning to trade this move or just analyzing the pattern?
Bullish Correction Complete — Targeting 125,500–126,000Market Overview:
After a strong bullish impulse, BTC retraced to the 116,000–117,000 support area and is now showing renewed momentum. The current price action suggests a move toward the 125,500–126,000 target zone.
Technical Signals & Formations:
— Completed ABC corrective structure
— Weekly support held at 116,000–117,000
— Price bouncing from 144 EMA
— Break above local resistance confirms bullish continuation
Key Levels:
Support: 117,000, 116,000
Resistance: 123,300, 125,500–126,000 (target zone)
Scenario:
Primary: holding above 119,000 opens the way toward 125,500–126,000
Alternative: break below 117,000 could lead to a deeper pullback toward 115,000