BTCUSD.PI trade ideas
Bitcoin Update – Bullish Falling Wedge in Play?BTC/USD is currently trading near $108.8K, compressing within a falling wedge formation — historically a bullish continuation pattern, especially after a strong uptrend.
Why the Bias Remains Bullish:
Bullish MA Cross: Short-term MAs (9/21) are aligned for upside momentum.
Falling Wedge: Price compressing with lower highs and lows, coiling for a breakout.
RSI Strength: RSI (purple) remains elevated, supporting continued upside pressure.
Fundamental Catalysts:
Trump delays trade war announcements, reducing global uncertainty.
FOMC meeting in late July: Trump pushes for rate cuts, potentially bullish for risk assets like BTC.
If BTC breaks out above the wedge resistance with convincing volume:
Retest likely at ~$110K
Targets : $115K → $120K+
BTCUSD – Range High Retest at 110KBitcoin is consolidating below the 110,736.11 resistance after reclaiming support from the 102,558.1 zone. Price is holding a tight range, building pressure just under key resistance — a breakout above this could spark a move to new highs.
Support at: 102,558.1 🔽 | 91,357.7 🔽
Resistance at: 110,736.1 🔼 (range high)
🔎 Bias:
🔼 Bullish: Break and hold above 110,736.1 opens room for bullish continuation.
🔽 Bearish: A break back below 102,558.1 would suggest a potential shift toward 91,357.7 support.
📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Bitcoin is ready for the breakout ?🤏 On #Bitcoin’s 3D chart, the Bollinger Bands have tightened to record levels — a signal that historically precedes massive moves. 🚀
📉 Volatility has also dropped to levels not seen since late 2024, right before #BTC launched from $26k to $70k.
✖️ Even John Bollinger himself, the creator of the indicator, hinted in his X post that a powerful impulse might be on the way.
Something’s brewing... 👀
BTCUSD Breakout Confirmed – Targeting Next Reversal ZoneBitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently trading around $108,700, showing strong bullish momentum after breaking out of a consolidation structure. Price action has shifted significantly, with clear structural developments pointing toward continued upside — but not without caution around the next reversal zone.
🔍 Key Technical Insights:
🔹 1. Volume Contraction Triangle (Bullish Breakout)
The chart initially shows a volume contraction pattern forming a symmetrical triangle.
This pattern is often associated with market compression — a setup where smart money accumulates before a breakout.
BTC broke out of the triangle with strong bullish candles, confirming buyers have stepped in with conviction.
🔄 2. Structure Shift & Break of Structure (BOS)
A major BOS (Break of Structure) occurred as price broke previous swing highs, confirming a bullish market structure.
This BOS zone now acts as a potential support area if BTC pulls back.
A short-term SR interchange zone (Support becomes Resistance) was also respected and flipped again to support during the breakout — a clear sign of structural strength.
🧭 3. Next Reversal Zone – Supply in Sight
Price is approaching a major supply/reversal zone between $109,750 and $110,250.
This zone has previously shown strong selling interest.
Traders should watch for rejection or continuation patterns within this zone — such as bearish divergence, exhaustion candles, or confirmation of resistance.
🛡 4. Major Support Level
Below current price, a major support zone around $107,500–$107,800 remains intact.
This zone has provided a solid base during past consolidations and would be the first area of interest for buyers if a retracement occurs.
📌 Strategy Plan:
🔼 For Bullish Traders:
Those already in the breakout can hold with targets toward $110,000–$110,250.
If not in yet, wait for a retest of BOS/SR zone (~$109,000) for a safer re-entry.
Consider partial take-profits within the green reversal zone.
🔽 For Bearish Traders:
Watch for price exhaustion or a fake breakout in the reversal zone.
Potential short setups could form only if price fails to hold above the BOS zone and prints a lower high.
🔧 Technical Summary:
✅ Structure: Bullish Break of Structure confirmed
🔺 Momentum: Strong upside following volume contraction
📍 Next Key Resistance: $110,000–$110,250
📉 Major Support: $107,500–$107,800
⚠️ Caution Zone: Reversal area ahead – watch price action closely
Conclusion :
Bitcoin looks set to challenge the $110K psychological level as buyers remain in control. However, the reversal zone above is critical. A clean break and hold above it could open doors to further highs, while rejection here may trigger short-term pullbacks or range-bound conditions.
BTCUSD Bullish resistance breakoutThe BTCUSD remains in a bullish trend, with recent price action showing signs of a resistance breakout within the broader uptrend.
Support Zone: 104,890 – a key level from previous consolidation. Price is currently testing or approaching this level.
A bullish rebound from 104,890 would confirm ongoing upside momentum, with potential targets at:
110.780 – initial resistance
113.140 – psychological and structural level
115,760 – extended resistance on the longer-term chart
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed break and daily close below 104,890 would weaken the bullish outlook and suggest deeper downside risk toward:
103,500 – minor support
102,290 – stronger support and potential demand zone
Outlook:
Bullish bias remains intact while the BTCUSD holds above 104,890. A sustained break below this level could shift momentum to the downside in the short term.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bitcoin ConsolidatingBitcoin continues to hold strong just below resistance at $112K after a clean reclaim of the $105,787 support zone and the 50-day moving average. Price is consolidating in a tight range, printing higher lows and showing signs of strength as it flirts with a potential breakout.
Volume has tapered off slightly during this sideways action, which is typical in a coiling pattern before a move. If bulls can finally push through $112K with conviction, we’re likely headed for a fresh leg higher. On the flip side, a drop back below the 50 MA and $105K would invalidate the short-term bullish structure.
Until then, it’s just a waiting game inside this range – but the bias leans bullish.
BTCUSD LONG TRADE PLANFollowing a classic technical view. The instrument has been trading in a global bull trend. Recently, it formed a descending expanding wedge pattern next to a key zone which I view as an accumulation.
When to buy ? In my view, I will only buy if breakout of this pattern and break above the key zone.
Please do your own analysis before placing any trades.
Cheers and Happy Trading !!!!
BTCUSD Structure Analysis : Bullish Zone From Support + Target🔍 Current Market Structure Overview:
Bitcoin is currently trading around $108,375, hovering just above a clearly respected rising support zone (shaded area). This dynamic support has held price multiple times and continues to act as a springboard for short-term bullish moves.
The chart illustrates a classic bullish continuation setup forming, with key structural levels marked as Minor BOS (Break of Structure) and Major BOS, indicating potential areas of trend validation and momentum acceleration.
🔹 Key Technical Elements:
✅ Support Zone:
The shaded diagonal support zone has acted as a bullish trendline base, holding up since late June.
BTC recently dipped into this area, found buyers, and is now attempting a reversal from this level.
This reinforces market interest and confirms the accumulation behavior in this zone.
⚠️ Break of Structure (BOS) Levels:
Minor BOS is marked near $109,800, signaling the first key intraday resistance.
A break above this level would signal bullish intent and open the way for price expansion.
Major BOS around $110,600–$110,800 is critical. A clean break here will likely validate a trend continuation toward the next objective.
🟩 Next Reversal Zone (Target Area):
Highlighted around $111,500–$112,000, this green zone represents a potential liquidity grab/reversal area where sellers could re-enter.
This zone aligns with previous price exhaustion levels and may trigger consolidation or a short-term pullback.
📈 Projected Price Path (Wave Schematic):
The chart outlines a wave structure projection, suggesting:
A possible retest of the minor BOS.
Follow-through into the major BOS area.
Final push into the reversal zone before potential rejection or sideways action.
🔧 Bias & Strategy:
Bias: Moderately Bullish as long as BTC respects the support zone.
Invalidation: A decisive breakdown below the trendline support and close under $107,500 would invalidate this bullish setup and shift bias to neutral/bearish short-term.
Trading Plan Ideas:
📥 Buy Opportunity: On minor dips within the support zone, targeting BOS levels.
📤 Sell Watch: Near reversal zone ($111.5K–$112K) if signs of exhaustion or bearish divergence appear.
📌 Final Notes:
BTC appears to be gearing up for a breakout from consolidation, and price action is coiling with higher lows. Market participants should watch closely how BTC reacts at the minor and major BOS zones, as they could define the next leg for either bullish continuation or rejection.
BTCUSD: Whales Move 80,000 BTC, Shaking the MarketBTCUSD on Alert: Whales Move 80,000 BTC, Shaking the Market
By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
The cryptocurrency market witnessed one of the year’s most puzzling moves this week. Over 80,000 Bitcoins—worth more than $8.6 billion—were transferred from wallets that had been inactive since the early years of the crypto ecosystem. These transfers, originating from addresses linked to 2010 and 2011, sparked a wave of reactions among investors, analysts, and crypto enthusiasts.
Fundamental Analysis: Mass Sell-Off or Simple Restructuring?
The market's initial response was uncertainty. It’s unusual for wallets from the so-called “Satoshi era” to become active again. However, research led by Arkham Intelligence and other on-chain analysis firms indicates that this was not an immediate sale. The BTC was not sent to exchanges, but to new addresses—possibly with enhanced security (SegWit or multisig technologies)—suggesting an internal reorganization rather than a liquidation.
On a macro level, the environment remains favorable for Bitcoin:
– Institutional inflows via ETFs have already surpassed $14 billion in 2025.
– Broader adoption is expected, driven by proposals such as the creation of a strategic Bitcoin reserve in the U.S. and clearer regulations in advanced economies.
– The market has shown resilience in the face of similar events in the past, reducing the risk of a structural correction.
Technical Analysis: Consolidation Zone with Key Resistance at $112,000
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has maintained a strong bullish structure in recent weeks but is currently in a consolidation phase near its all-time highs:
• Key support: $103,477, located mid-range of the current consolidation zone. The lower bound sits at $98,209, where the price has reacted positively following the whale movements. The delta pressure zone is positioned at the upper part of the range, near current price levels.
• Immediate resistance: $111,978.21, a breakout of which could open the door to a move toward $112,000–$115,000.
• Daily RSI: Neutral bias with slight overbought conditions at 54.11%.
• Moving averages: The 50- and 100-day EMAs show clear compression—typically a precursor to a breakout—while the 200-day EMA remains well expanded, appearing to support the current consolidation.
Volume remains elevated but without speculative spikes, and funding rates in the derivatives market are still positive, suggesting sustained buying interest.
Conclusion: A Symbolic Shake-Up Rather Than a Threat
Although the whale movements have made headlines and stirred speculation about a possible sell-off, the signs point to a technical update rather than a shift in trend. The market has remained stable over the past 48 hours, with technical indicators and macro fundamentals supporting a short-term neutral-to-bullish outlook.
The key will be whether these funds remain dormant or begin to disperse in smaller transactions. For now, the crypto ecosystem has weathered the shake-up without major consequences, reinforcing the growing maturity of an increasingly institutional market.
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SYMMETRYHey traders, hope you’re crushing it this week! 🚀 Quick note on our BTC/USD 4-hour ABC setup: the symmetry I’m talking about is purely price-based—AB and BC move roughly the same number of ticks, not the same amount of time.
So when we say “symmetry,” we mean:
A→B drop: ~3,670 ticks
B→C rally: ~3,427 ticks
That close price match gives us confidence in our PCZ at 107,600–107,300 (78.6%–100% retrace of B→C).
⚔️ Trade Plan Recap
Entry: Long between 107,300–107,600
Stop: Below 107,000 (keeps risk tight)
Targets:
Zone 1: 61.8–78.6% of B→C → 110,657–111,569
Zone 2: 127.2–161.8% extension of A→B → 114,206–116,084
Remember: look for that bullish pin-bar or engulfing candle down in our PCZ before pulling the trigger, and bail if we lose 107,000. No time-based symmetry here—just clean price alignment. Trade with structure, not emotion, and keep an eye on any macro or on-chain news for extra context. ✌️