Wyckoff Structure Targets 92K–94K Retest Before Continuation!A rare and highly instructive market structure is currently unfolding, presenting a textbook case of Wyckoff pattern integration across multiple timeframes.
Over the past weeks, I’ve been tracking a series of smaller Wyckoff accumulation and distribution patterns nested within a larger overarching Wyckoff structure. Each of these smaller formations has now successfully completed its expected move — validating the precision of supply/demand mechanics and the theory’s predictive strength.
With these mini-cycles resolved, the spotlight now shifts to the final, dominant Wyckoff structure — a larger accumulation phase that encompasses the full breadth of recent market activity. According to the logic of Phase C transitioning into Phase D, price appears poised to revisit the key retest zone between 92,000 and 94,000, a critical area of prior resistance turned demand.
📉 Current Market Behavior:
📐 Multiple minor Wyckoff patterns (accumulations/distributions) have played out as expected, both upward and downward — lending high credibility to the current macro setup.
🧩 All formations are nested within a major accumulation structure, now in the final phase of testing support.
🔁 The expected move is a pullback toward the 92K–94K zone, before the markup phase resumes with higher conviction.
📊 Wyckoff Confidence Factors:
✅ All Phase C spring and upthrust actions respected
✅ Volume behavior aligns with Wyckoff principles (climactic action → absorption → trend continuation)
✅ Clean reaccumulation signs within current structure
✅ Institutional footprint visible through shakeouts and well-defined support/resistance rotations
💬 Observation / Call to Action:
This setup is a rare opportunity to witness multi-layered Wyckoff theory in motion, offering not only a high-probability trading setup but also an educational blueprint. I invite fellow traders and Wyckoff analysts to share their interpretations or challenge the current thesis.
➡️ Do you see the same structural roadmap?
Let’s discuss in the comments.
BTCUSD.PI trade ideas
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently in wave 3 of a 5 (Elliott Wave)BTC/USD experienced a halving last year on April 20, 2024. We have been seeing the typical post-halving cycle with exponential upside, followed by deep pullbacks. The price action we've seen to date follow Elliott Wave Cycle quite nicely. I believe we are in wave 3 of a bull cycle that has really been in place since Sep 2024.
- Wave 1: Sep 2024 - Jan 2025 - parabolic upside from $54K to $109K - absolutely explosive!
- Wave 2: Jan 2025 - Apr 2025 - we saw price peak and pull back all the way to the 61.8% Fibonacci level right around $75K. Remember, that in wave 2, a healthy pullback is 50% - 61.8% of the first wave.
- Wave 3: Apr 2025 - we have since rallied to around $109K as of this analysis. We are likely in subwave 3. Subwave 1 was from the low in April to the high in May (around $112K). Subwave 2 was a very nice 3-wave zig zag (reaching low of $98.3K in June). I believe we are currently in the middle of wave 3.
My next price target based on Fibonacci extension is $118K-$120K with the $78.6% level right at $119K. Note current resistance that we need to turn into support ($109.7K level) is the 61.8% Fibonacci extension level. I do expect a meaningful pullback after the peak of wave 3, which would be wave 4. The rest is TBD and I will continue to update this idea.
Remember, Elliott Wave theory is one tool in the toolbox. I do believe there is a larger post-halving cycle narrative that is dominant and most reliable, especially since BTC has largely followed this blueprint that we see every four years, but as of now EWT fits in quite nicely. I also look at the pi cycle top indicator and believe we need to use multiple indicators to understand where we are in the cycle.
Bitcoin Hits Target —Market Prepares for Next Leg UpMarket Overview:
Bitcoin surged to the 118,000 zone, testing the weekly resistance at 116,577 and marking a local top near 121,100. A pullback followed, but the price remains above the key monthly level at 112,097. The overall market structure remains bullish, and another upward leg is likely after consolidation.
Technical Signals & Formations:
— Completed extended ABCD pattern
— Breakout and retest of 112,097
— Support zone between 113,856 and 112,000
— EMA and price structure support the uptrend
Key Levels:
Support: 113,856, 112,097
Resistance: 116,577, 121,108
Scenario:
Primary: as long as BTC holds above 112,000 and forms bullish confirmation on H4, a move toward 116,577 and 121,108 remains likely.
Alternative: a drop below 112,000 may lead to a deeper correction toward 108,140–107,290.
BITCOIN hit new ATH above $118k and isn't stopping there!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke above its previous All Time High (ATH) Zone and the buying pressure accelerated so much that it even crossed above the $118k level early in the E.U. session.
Technically the bullish trend doesn't seem to stop there as following the Bull Flag (we've analyzed this extensively the previous days) break-out of mid-May to June, the long-term Bullish Leg that started on the April 07 2025 bottom, is looking now for its 2nd Phase (extension).
Based on the previous two Bullish Legs since 2024, we should be expecting at least a +91.12% rise from the April bottom, as so far the symmetry among all three fractals is remarkable. Equally strong Bearish Legs (around -32%) of roughly 112 days each, gave way to the Bullish Legs, which supported by the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) pushed the market higher.
If this pattern continues to be replicated, we should expect this Leg to peak a little over $140000 before the next correction.
Do you think we'll get there? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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[UPD] BTC / ETH / SOL / XRP / HYPE / SUPER / FLOKIUpdating my view on intermediate trend structures I am tracking in CRYPTOCAP:BTC , CRYPTOCAP:ETH , CRYPTOCAP:SOL , CRYPTOCAP:XRP , GETTEX:HYPE , BSE:SUPER and SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:FLOKI highlighting key support and resistance zones to watch in the coming sessions
Charts featured in the video:
BTC
ETH
XRP
SOL
HYPE
SUPER
FLOKI
Thank you for your attention and I wish you successful trading decisions!
If you’d like to hear my take on any other coin you’re tracking — feel free to ask in the comments (just don’t forget to boost the idea first 😉).
BITCOIN's PUMPs are Getting LARGER this Bull Market...However, it may take a bit longer to realize those expansionary moves.
If Bitcoin adheres to the established cycle pattern, we can anticipate a minimum surge of 103% that should carry us into the fourth quarter of this year.
Consolidation ----> Fake breakdown ----> then expansion.
Are you ready?
Bitcoin Setup for 109K and New Highs Could Be NextTrade Idea:
Direction: long
Entry: Now 107,350 - 106,800
Stop Loss: 102,000
Target 1: 109,000
Golden Zone: 112,000 - 113,000
Bitcoin has been consolidating for the last four days with no real price increase, but we’ve still managed to break above the short-term descending trend line. This could signal a continuation of the current swing up to the next resistance around 109K, which lines up with the daily trend line.
My bias here is that once we hit that 109K area, we could either see a pullback to around 104 to 106K before pushing higher, or we might break straight through, retest the trendline, and continue quickly to new highs above 112K.
I’ll be watching closely to see how price reacts around 109K, whether it rejects or breaks through. Either way the structure remains bullish, and if we get a rejection I'll be looking to re-enter.
Let's see how this plays out ✌️
Wyckoff Re-Accumulation (Phase 2) – BTC Market Structure AnalysiThis is an updated outlook on BTC’s current price structure based on Wyckoff methodology.
🔹 Structure Overview:
BTC has broken out above its previous resistance and reached a new ATH. Based on current price action and volume behavior, I believe we are at the Sign of Strength (SOS) phase in a Wyckoff Re-Accumulation Phase 2.
Key Wyckoff Labels in this structure:
PSY – Preliminary Supply
BC – Buying Climax
AR – Automatic Rally
ST – Secondary Test
UT – Upthrust
LPS – Last Point of Support
SOS – Sign of Strength
(For those unfamiliar with the terms, I suggest looking up the Wyckoff Method for detailed definitions.)
The breakout is happening with volume support, and we’ll need to observe how sustained the demand is.
🔹 RSI Observation:
In June, RSI pivoted at 64, and has now reached 73
Both price and RSI are printing higher highs
Daily RSI has not yet reached overbought territory (80+)
If RSI crosses above 80 and then rolls over, it could signal a bearish divergence → followed by a retracement
🔹 Possible Scenarios (3 Outcomes I’m Watching):
📈 Another Re-Accumulation Phase forms after this move
🧊 Market tops out at ATH and enters a Distribution Phase
🚀 A parabolic move (Blow-off Top) happens, followed by a sharp crash and Distribution
🔹 My Personal Trading Plan:
As price enters the next phase, I’ll be watching closely for signs of PSY and BC (Preliminary Supply & Buying Climax). If bearish divergence aligns with these, it may indicate an upcoming retracement.
Once BC forms, I expect an AR (Automatic Reaction) to follow
I’ll look for short entries during the retracement
A Trading Range could form between the BC (resistance) and AR (support)
⚠️ Be cautious of fakeouts, especially during breakout attempts at the range boundaries.
🔹 Price Projection (Fibonacci Extension – For Reference Only):
Using Fibonacci Extension based on the following price coordinates:
Point A: 49,577
Point B: 109,356
Point C: 74,434
🎯 Target Zones:
0.786 extension → 121,420
1.000 extension → 134,213
Again, these are not predictions — just reference points based on market structure.
🔹 Final Note:
This analysis reflects my personal interpretation of the current market structure. Price action can change rapidly based on macro and technical factors. Patterns and phase transitions may take days or even weeks to fully develop.
Feel free to share your thoughts, criticisms, or alternate views — I’m open to feedback from fellow traders.
#Wyckoff #BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoTA #Reaccumulation #TradingPlan #TechnicalAnalysis #RSI #FibExtension #MarketStructure
Educational: how to spot bitcoin tops before they happenBitcoin is rising, but how far can it go? In this video, I walk through key tools to spot local tops, including funding rates, Twitter sentiment, and pattern targets. We also discuss setups in XRP and Solana, and what to watch ahead of the US crypto regulation update on July 22.
BTCUSD Analysis : Structural Analysis + Mini Reversal + TargetStrong Breakout | Parabolic Structure | Key Reversal Zone Ahead
🧠 Chart Breakdown:
This BTCUSD chart reflects a powerful bullish structure forming off a Black Mind Curve Support, pushing price into a key Mini Reversal Area. You've mapped this move with textbook price action using BOS, structure shifts, parabolic curve, and zone-based anticipation. Let’s break it down.
🌀 Black Mind Curve Support
The parabolic curve labeled as "Black Mind Curve Support" is the backbone of this rally.
Price has been respecting the curve on every pullback, showing accelerating bullish momentum.
This curve represents buyer-controlled sentiment, pushing price vertically as we get closer to the upper zone.
✅ Break of Structure (BOS)
You've identified both:
Minor BOS: Where initial resistance was taken out
Major BOS: Confirmation of a trend reversal from previous highs
These BOS levels show clear demand stepping in and old resistance being flipped.
📍 QFL Base Breakout (QFL – Quick Flip Logic)
Price action also shows a QFL-type breakout, where consolidation gives way to an impulsive move.
The label “QFL” marks the exact launch point.
This is where many smart money entries would happen, confirming breakout strength.
📈 Current Price Movement
Price has now surged strongly and is trading near $117,900+, heading straight into the Mini Reversal Area (just below $120,000).
This green zone is likely to:
Act as a short-term supply/resistance zone
Trigger possible profit-taking or a consolidation phase
You've mapped out a high-probability price reaction within this area using both structure and pattern logic.
🔄 Expected Scenarios
🔼 Bullish Breakout & Continuation
If price consolidates above $118K and breaks $120K cleanly:
Possible next targets: $122,000 → $124,000+
Structure will continue to follow the curve and momentum
🔁 Rejection & Pullback
If BTC faces rejection inside the Mini Reversal Area:
Pullback could revisit $114K–$112K range
This would still respect the parabolic curve, offering new long opportunities
The path drawn in your chart already suggests a consolidation phase followed by another bullish wave — a smart expectation.
🧩 Why This Chart is High Quality
Clean structure mapping: BOS + QFL + Mini Reversal Zone
Use of Mind Curve reflects dynamic price acceleration (not just horizontal zones)
Predicts market behavior, not just direction
Visually easy to follow for any trader — beginner or advanced
🔐 Final Thoughts
This BTCUSD setup is extremely relevant as Bitcoin tests one of the most critical zones of the current cycle. Your chart highlights structure, momentum, and a probable roadmap forward. Watch how price behaves inside the Mini Reversal Area — that’s where the next move will be born.
Bitcoin in dangerzoneAgainst all influencers online let me warn you that the current Bitcoin position is one to be very aware of. We re sitting above a multi year long strong trendline, the volume is low to moderate so no blow off top coming. DO NOT BUY or chase here, you can lose it all.
My next targets are below 90k. XRP 1.5usd still valid.
BTC re-accumulation and >140k$The year started from manipulation on CRYPTOCAP:BTC and the whole crypto market after Trump's tariff announcement.
Since the start of the summer season, we've already seen another manipulation between Trump and Elon Musk.
On BTC I see weekly FVG and good pinbar candle. I guess we have already entered to consolidaton and summer will also consolidation, but starting from august we will see the final uptrend with euphoria which can finish on October nearly 241.000$ on BTC, but let's see it later
I think this period will be light with base summer and $MOCHI because it's a memecoin which holds the bottom well , when in that time another altcoins are making another bottom
Bitcoin H1 | Bullish uptrend to extend higher?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 116,469.00 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 115,000.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 119,095.85 which is a resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
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BTC/USD 4H CHART ANALYSIS \ BEARISH CORRECTION EXPECTED.Current Price: $117,755
Trend: Recently bullish, now facing a potential correction
Chart Pattern: Breakout above ascending channel, followed by a sharp projected correction.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
> Ascending Channel:
Price was respecting an ascending channel (highlighted in green).
A bullish breakout occurred with strong momentum.
> Sharp Rejection & Correction Setup:
After the breakout, a steep rally seems to have peaked.
The red curved arrow suggests a completed bullish impulse, now setting up for a bearish correction.
> Key Levels:
Resistance Zone: $118,000 – $120,000
Immediate Support: $111,150
Next Major Support: $107,700
Bearish Target Support: $105,945
🎯 Trade Setup Suggestion:
Short Entry Zone: Around $111,150 if price gets rejected there.
Target: $105,945
Stop-Loss: Above $112,000 (tight risk control)
July 10 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoin Guide.
If you "follow"
You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections.
If my analysis was helpful,
Please click the booster button at the bottom.
Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There will be a Nasdaq indicator announcement at 9:30 in a little while.
There is a high possibility that Nasdaq will shake up and down significantly,
but Bitcoin still looks safe in terms of signal and pattern.
In the analysis article on July 7,
I connected the strategy as it was at the last long position entry point of 107,484 dollars.
*When the red finger moves,
it is a one-way long position strategy.
1. 110,707.4 dollars long position entry point / stop loss price when the sky blue support line breaks
2. 111,783.3 dollars long position 1st target -> Top 2nd -> Good 3rd target price
The 1st section at the top is today's best short position entry point,
and the 2nd section at the bottom is a sideways market.
In the middle, with a pink finger,
I left a re-entry position after liquidating a long position, so
I think it would be good to use it.
From the breakout of the sky blue support line, it can be pushed to Bottom -> 109,116 dollars.
The report is not yet renewed,
but from now on, it will be very important, right?
This week, it seems like it will continue to shake up and down,
so I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
Thank you.
Bitcoin Smashes Records, Hits $117,000Bitcoin has climbed to a new all-time high of approximately $117,000, gaining further credibility as an institutional asset class. Strong demand from ETFs, growing mainstream adoption, and a favourable stance from President Trump regarding crypto regulation are all contributing to this momentum.
As Bitcoin grows in market cap and adoption, its volatility has been slightly dampened, but it remains highly reactive at technical pivot points.
Technical View (BTC/USD):
The next resistance sits at $118,000, which also coincides with the 161% Fibonacci extension level. If price stalls here, expect potential pullbacks toward $114,000 or even down to $110,000. However, a confirmed breakout above $118,000 could re-establish a new bullish leg.
Price action is the vehicle—but these charts show the road aheadIn the world of trading, technical analysis often gets the spotlight—candlesticks, moving averages, and indicators. But beneath every price movement lies a deeper current: macroeconomic forces. These forces shape the environment in which all trades happen.
Great traders don’t just react to price—they understand the context behind it. That context is found in macro charts: the financial “weather maps” of markets. These charts reveal whether capital is flowing toward risk or safety, whether inflation is heating up or cooling down, and whether liquidity is expanding or shrinking.
In this post, we’ll explore 10 macro charts that can elevate your edge, backed by proven examples of how they’ve helped traders stay on the right side of the market. These aren't just charts—they’re market truths in visual form.
1️⃣ DXY – U.S. Dollar Index
Why it matters:
The U.S. dollar affects everything: commodities, stocks, global trade, and especially forex. The DXY measures its strength against major currencies.
📉 Chart Reference:
In 2022, DXY surged past 110 due to aggressive Fed rate hikes. This crushed EURUSD, pressured gold, and triggered a global risk-off move. Traders who tracked DXY rode USD strength across the board.
💡 Use it to: Confirm trends in FX and commodities. Strong DXY = bearish pressure on gold and risk assets.
2️⃣ US10Y – 10-Year Treasury Yield
Why it matters:
This is the benchmark for interest rates and inflation expectations. It guides borrowing costs, equity valuations, and safe-haven flows.
📉 Chart Reference:
In 2023, the 10Y spiked from 3.5% to nearly 5%, leading to weakness in growth stocks and boosting USD/JPY. Bond traders saw it first—equities followed.
💡 Use it to: Anticipate moves in growth vs. value stocks, and confirm macro themes like inflation or deflation.
3️⃣ Fed Dot Plot
Why it matters:
This is the Fed’s forward guidance in visual form. Each dot shows where a policymaker expects interest rates to be in the future.
📉 Chart Reference:
In Dec 2021, the dot plot signaled a faster pace of hikes than the market expected. Those who caught the shift front-ran the USD rally and equity correction in early 2022.
💡 Use it to: Predict future rate policy and align your macro bias with the Fed's path.
4️⃣ M2 Money Supply (US)
Why it matters:
This chart tracks the amount of money in the system. More liquidity = fuel for risk. Less = tightening conditions.
📉 Chart Reference:
After COVID hit, M2 exploded, leading to a major bull run in stocks and crypto. When M2 began contracting in 2022, asset prices peaked and reversed.
💡 Use it to: Gauge macro liquidity conditions. Expansion is bullish; contraction is dangerous.
5️⃣ Copper/Gold Ratio
Why it matters:
Copper is a growth metal; gold is a fear hedge. Their ratio acts as a risk-on/risk-off indicator.
📉 Chart Reference:
In 2021, the copper/gold ratio surged—signaling growth and optimism. This preceded strong gains in cyclical equities and commodity currencies like AUD and CAD.
💡 Use it to: Confirm risk sentiment and lead equity or FX trends.
6️⃣ VIX – Volatility Index
Why it matters:
VIX tracks expected volatility in the S&P 500. It's often called the "fear index."
📉Chart Reference :
In March 2020, VIX spiked to nearly 90 as COVID panic set in. This extreme fear was followed by one of the greatest buying opportunities of the decade.
💡 Use it to: Time entries and exits. High VIX = fear = possible reversal. Low VIX = complacency = caution.
7️⃣ Real Yields (10Y TIPS - CPI)
Why it matters:
Shows the inflation-adjusted return on bonds. Real yields affect gold, tech, and risk appetite.
📉Chart Reference :
In 2022, real yields went from deeply negative to positive—crushing gold and high-growth stocks.
💡 Use it to: Confirm direction in gold, NASDAQ, and broad macro trends.
8️⃣ Oil Prices (WTI or Brent)
Why it matters:
Oil is both a growth and inflation input. Rising prices mean higher costs and often precede policy tightening.
📉Chart Reference :
Oil’s rally in early 2022 foreshadowed CPI spikes and led central banks to turn hawkish. Traders who tracked it saw inflation risks building early.
💡 Use it to: Forecast inflation, assess energy-related equities, and understand global demand.
9️⃣ Global PMIs (Purchasing Managers’ Indexes)
Why it matters:
Leading indicator of economic health. PMIs above 50 = expansion. Below 50 = contraction.
📉 Chart Reference:
In 2023, China’s PMI consistently printed below 50—signaling manufacturing weakness and global demand concerns. This helped traders avoid overexposure to emerging markets.
💡 Use it to: Gauge growth momentum globally and regionally.
🔟 SPX vs. Equal-Weighted SPX (Breadth Divergence)
Why it matters:
Shows whether the S&P 500 rally is broad-based or just driven by a few megacaps.
📉Chart Reference :
In early 2024, the index made new highs—but the equal-weighted version lagged badly. That divergence warned traders of a fragile rally.
💡 Use it to: Detect weakness beneath the surface and avoid false confidence in rallies.
🧠 Nerdy Tip: Macro Is the Invisible Hand
These charts don’t give you trade entries—but they give you conviction, timing, and perspective.
When you combine macro context with technical setups, you trade in sync with the market’s deeper rhythm.
So before you place your next trade, ask yourself:
What are yields doing?
Is liquidity expanding or drying up?
Is risk appetite rising or falling?
put together by : @currencynerd as Pako Phutietsile