BTCUSD.PI trade ideas
7.7 Analysis of the latest BTC trend and operation layout📊 Cautious wait-and-see strategy (Recommendation index ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️)
📰 News information:
1. Digital Market Asset Transparency Act
2. Anti-CBDC Regulation Act
3. US Stablecoin Innovation Act
📈 Technical Analysis:
At present, the price of BTC is around 109,000, and the overall narrow fluctuation pattern continues. The market as a whole lacks clear direction. However, it is worth noting that the trading volume has dropped to 30.1 billion US dollars, which has further shrunk compared with the previous day, reflecting a decline in market participation.
In my opinion, the driving factors of the market include the following:
1. The continued activity of ancient whales has attracted attention
2. The technical side shows that the momentum is weakening
3. Market sentiment has turned neutral
4. ETF fund inflows remain strong
5. The "Crypto Week" policy catalyst is coming
Currently, BTC continues to consolidate within the upward trend line, but the momentum indicator shows fatigue, the 4H Bollinger Bands shrink, and the price is running near the middle track of 108,400. Enter the market cautiously during the day and pay attention to the support of 107,000
🎯 Trading Points:
SELL 109,000-110,000
TP 107,500-107,000
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BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Wyckoff Logic – Test PhaseI won’t say much — the chart speaks for itself.
Based on my ongoing study of Wyckoff methodology, it appears that Bitcoin is currently in the Test phase within a re-accumulation structure. This suggests the Mark-Up phase is not yet complete, and we may still have room for price expansion before the next major distribution.
This is not a prediction, but a reference for structural context using classical Wyckoff logic.
As always, price confirmation and volume behavior will be the key to validate the next move.
Observations:
Strong support zone holding after Spring/Test
Price respecting higher lows
Volume profile supports continuation
Feel free to share your perspective below 👇
#Wyckoff #Bitcoin #BTC #Reaccumulation #MarketStructure #PriceAction #TradingView #CryptoTA
Is Bitcoin Working Out a New Leg Up? Onchain Data Says It May BeDiamond hands are waving goodbye and institutions are loading up — it’s why Bitcoin may be struggling to break out of its current consolidation range. How long can this accumulation phase continue?
And yes — we look at the trades of the decade — two transactions where each one moved a cool billie from a $7.8K investment in 2011.
Some people cling to their Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD stash like it’s their last protein bar before a marathon. Others, apparently, wake up one day and decide to dump their coins and browse the market for islands.
Welcome to the silent shift that’s redefining the big players in the Bitcoin market, worth about $2.2 trillion as per data from our Crypto Coins Heatmap .
Old-school whales — the very early adopters and miners holding the OG wallets — are quietly selling, while institutional heavyweights sweep in to buy every dip (part of the reason why lately every breakout never breaks out).
Over the past year, these OG whales have shed about half a million Bitcoin — worth north of $50 billion — according to data from 10x Research. And guess who’s gobbling it all up? ETFs, corporate treasuries, and family offices that didn’t want anything to do with crypto five years ago.
Is it bullish? Is it bearish? Is it just Bitcoin being Bitcoin? Let’s pull up the charts, squint at the data, and see what the world’s most famous digital coin might be plotting next.
📈 A Record High — And Now What?
So here’s the setup. Bitcoin has been strutting under its record high of $111,000 for months now. You’d think the hype machine — from Trump’s pro-crypto administration, to corporate balance sheets going full Michael Saylor (looking at you, GameStop NYSE:GME ) — would send BTC blasting past the Moon and landing on Mars.
Instead? It’s just... chilling. Volatility’s drying up like the last drop of liquidity in a summer Friday session. And the reason is surprisingly simple: the massive handover happening between big, anonymous early adopters and the suit-and-tie institutional crowd.
😌 From Wild Ride to Easy Cruising?
You could argue this is exactly what Bitcoin needs: maturity, respectability, less drama. But don’t tell that to the day traders who want 20% swings before breakfast. As these whales get out and institutions get in, analysts say the upside could be capped at a chill 10% to 20% a year.
Good news for your retirement portfolio, maybe not so great for that “Lambo by Labor Day” dream.
Institutions now hold about 25% of all Bitcoin in circulation — and once these get in, they tend to sit tight for years.
🚀 The $1.1 Billion Time Capsule
Speaking of whales: ever wonder what happens when a Bitcoin wallet goes dark for 14 years? It pops back online to make your mind melt.
On April 3, 2011, a wallet labeled “1HqXB...gDwcK” moved 23,377 BTC to three addresses. At the time, Bitcoin was worth a mere 78 cents. Fast forward: two of those receiving wallets, each with 10,000 BTC, sat dormant for over a decade.
This month, both wallets moved their treasure troves — worth over $1.1 billion each — within 30 minutes of each other. Talk about a coordinated exit. What’s behind the move? Tax planning? A lost key finally found?
A savvy crypto thief who figured how to crack the earliest key generation method? We may never know. Also, OG guy, if you’re reading this — props for the all-at-once move without even a test transaction.
⛓️ What Onchain Data Says
Onchain data is like reading tea leaves for nerds with Bloomberg terminals. It says the supply is tightening — not because there’s less Bitcoin, but because fewer coins are actually available to trade.
When long-term holders move coins, that typically signals big-picture changes. Here’s the twist: the net effect has been… stability. Institutional demand, like Bitcoin exchange-traded funds , soaks up supply just as fast as whales drip it back in.
That’s why Bitcoin’s been stuck in this $100K–$110K limbo, ping-ponging while the accumulation phase is still going strong.
👀 So, Is a New Leg Up Coming?
This is where the optimists and realists start to bicker over the charts. On the one hand, the structural handover to institutions makes Bitcoin more credible, more regulated, and more boring.
But less volatility can mean steadier gains — especially if you believe that the world will always want an inflation hedge that no central bank can print into oblivion.
On the other hand, a sideways market can test your patience more than a typical drawdown. Some of the whales are gone, the suits have arrived, and the easy moonshots might not be so easy anymore.
🌱 The Trade-Offs of Growing Up
Bitcoin was born in the wild west of finance — an anonymous, volatile, meme-fueled phenomenon. Now, it’s drifting deep into the mainstream. That might limit the fireworks, but it also locks in its place as an asset class that’s not going away.
🌊 Closing Thoughts: The Next Billion-Dollar Move
Will we see another $7,800 investment turn into a cool $1 billion? Maybe not exactly like that. But the game isn’t over — it’s just evolving.
Keep your eyes on the whales, the ETFs, the Fed’s next move , and those onchain breadcrumbs.
Over to you , chart-watchers: does this calm consolidation make you bullish, bearish, or just plain bored? Share your thoughts in the comments!
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BTC's Situation, A Comprehensive Analysis !!!Bitcoin is now at a point where it cannot be ignored! In my view, the bullish wave has started after the corrective wave ended. This wave could continue until it breaks the ascending triangle, then with a slight correction, push the price upward again. The current period and the coming days could be crucial in determining the market's trend.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
btcusd🚀 What's Next for #Bitcoin? Time’s Ticking...
Frankly, time is running out for Bitcoin to give us that final explosive leg we’ve been waiting for—the one that could take us to $145K before a correction in September, and ultimately reach $165K in early November, driven by pure FOMO.
But right now, what truly matters is the chart, and the chart is speaking loud and clear:
👉 If today's daily close holds above $107,500, and we see a dip to the $105,600 zone tomorrow or Wednesday, that could be the perfect setup to fuel the fire for an epic rally. We're talking about a run toward $112,000 and a breakout to new ATHs.
📈 Let’s be clear: If Bitcoin doesn’t close below $107,500 today, we could skip the dip entirely and go straight up. The bullish trend would remain fully intact, and I’ll be there—waiting for daddy Bitcoin to make its move.
Stay ready. This could get wild. 🧨
BTC CHOPSBitcoin is quietly grinding higher, holding above the key $105,787 level after reclaiming it with authority. Price is consolidating just under $112,000 resistance, pressing against the top of the range while riding the 50-day moving average like a support rail.
The dip to $100,716 was a trap. Buyers stepped in hard, and price hasn’t looked back. But without a decisive close above $112K, this remains a waiting game. A breakout sends us flying. A rejection brings $105K and $100K back into view. No need to guess - just let the levels speak.
Triangle, Flag, or Wedge? How to Trade These Chart PatternsWhat is the real difference between an ascending triangle, bull flag, and wedge? We break down these common patterns using real examples from gold and Bitcoin, explain why trendlines can be tricky, and discuss what actually matters when trading these setups.
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Bitcoin (BTC): Buyers Showing Pressure, Breakout Incoming?Bitcoin is hovering near the local ATH area for the third time already since the first touch, which happened in the middle of May.
As we are approaching this area again, we are looking for a potential breakout to happen from here, which would give us an opportunity for a long position until $120K, so what we are looking for is full dominance from buyers at the current region.
Buyers have to take control and secure that zone!
Swallow Academy
HEAD AND SHOULDERThe bearish head and shoulders pattern in crypto is a classic technical analysis signal that suggests a potential trend reversal from bullish to bearish. Here's how it works:
Structure of the Pattern.
Left Shoulder: Price rises, then dips.
Head: Price rises higher than the left shoulder, then dips again.
Right Shoulder: Price rises again, but not as high as the head, then dips.
Neckline: A support level connecting the lows after the left shoulder and head. When price breaks below this line, it confirms the bearish signal.
The bullish head and shoulders pattern—more accurately called the inverse head and shoulders—is a powerful signal that a downtrend may be reversing into an uptrend. It’s the mirror image of the bearish version and is closely watched by crypto traders for potential buying opportunities.
Structure of the Inverse Pattern
Left Shoulder: Price dips, then rises slightly.
Head: Price dips lower than the left shoulder, then rebounds.
Right Shoulder: Price dips again, but not as low as the head, then rises.
Neckline: A resistance level connecting the highs after the left shoulder and head. A breakout above this line confirms the bullish reversal.
July 4 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
This is Bitcoin Guide.
If you "follow"
You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections.
If my analysis was helpful,
Please click the booster button at the bottom.
Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There is no Nasdaq index announcement today.
There is a possibility that Nasdaq will fall sharply,
but even if it moves sideways, the probability of the strategy succeeding increases.
On the left, with the purple finger,
I connected the 2nd section of the long position that I entered yesterday.
*When the blue finger moves,
Bidirectional neutral
Short->Long or long waiting strategy
1. 109,638.1 dollars short position entry section / cut-off price when orange resistance line is broken
2. 108,764.4 dollars long position switching / cut-off price when green support line is broken
3. 110,273.1 dollars long position 1st target -> target price in order from Miracle
If the strategy is successful, I left a simulation with the pink finger,
so please refer to it.
Those who held long positions yesterday, please check if the purple support line is broken,
If it falls immediately from the current position or
If the pink resistance line is not broken when the 1st section at the top is touched,
It is a vertical decline section,
And if the 109,638.1 dollar short position entry section at the top is not touched,
It is a long waiting strategy at the 2nd section at the bottom.
I think it would be good to think of it as a game in the 1+4 section.
From the 2nd section breakout, I have marked the Bottom -> 3rd section at the bottom.
Up to this point, please just refer to and use my analysis,
I hope you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
Thank you for your hard work this week.
Trading Recommendations for BTC/USDBitcoin and Ethereum are demonstrating stable growth amid new forecasts regarding the number of interest rate cuts expected from the Federal Reserve this year. Another dovish stance from the Fed Chair and criticism from Trump over Powell's inaction triggered buying on the U.S. market, which also impacted the cryptocurrency market.
Investor enthusiasm is fueled by expectations of more accessible financial resources, which typically drive capital into riskier assets like cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin, as the flagship of the crypto market, traditionally reacts first to changes in macroeconomic conditions. However, one should not forget the inherent volatility of the crypto market. Even positive macro signals do not guarantee sustainable growth-especially as Bitcoin has been hovering near its historical highs, where buyer interest has been waning recently. It's essential to c consider technical factors, market sentiment, and regulatory risks, all of which can significantly influence price dynamics.
Meanwhile, alongside Strategy, Japanese investment company Metaplanet purchases Bitcoin for its balance sheet. Data shows the company acquired an additional 1,234 BTC for approximately $132.7 million just one day after announcing a $515 million capital raise to fund its Bitcoin treasury strategy. The Tokyo-listed firm stated that this latest purchase at around $107,557 per Bitcoin raised its total holdings to 12,345 BTC. The company holds about $1.3 billion worth of Bitcoin based on current market prices. This makes Metaplanet the seventh-largest publicly listed corporate holder of Bitcoin, surpassing Tesla, which holds 11,509 BTC.
As for intraday strategy in the cryptocurrency market, I will continue to act based on any major pullbacks in Bitcoin and Ethereum, expecting the medium-term bullish market to persist
For short-term trading, the strategy and conditions are described below.
Buy Scenario
Scenario #1: I will buy Bitcoin today if it reaches the entry point around $106,227 aiming for a rise to $ 107,042. Near $107,042 I plan to exit the long position and sell on pullback. Before buying on a pullback, ensure the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is above zero.
Scenario #2: If the market does not react to a breakout, Bitcoin ca also be bought from the lower boundary at $105,039 with targets at $106,221 and $106,748.
Sell Scenario
Scenario #1: I will sell Bitcoin today if it reaches the entry point around $107,695 aiming for a drop to $106,008. Near $106,008, I plan to exit the short position and buy on a bunce. Before selling on a breakout, ensure the 50-day moving average is above the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is below zero.
Scenario #2: Bitcoin can also be sold from the upper boundary at $106,753 if there is no market reaction to a breakout, targtion the $104,651 and $103,888 levels.
111.65 against 105KMorning folks,
So we've got great entry with our H&S but it is early to relax. To avoid long explanations - BTC has to stay above 105K lows to keep current tendency valid. So, if you still plan to buy BTC here - you do not need to watch for too deep standing Fib levels.
If BTC will still drop below 105K, we could get extended downside action to 100K and maybe even deeper.
Nearest upside target with our current plan is 111.65K.
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin record a new ATH?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and is in its medium-term ascending channel. Maintaining the specified support area will lead to the continuation of Bitcoin’s upward path and recording a new ATH. If it is corrected, we can look for Bitcoin buying positions from the specified demand zones.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand area.
In recent days, Bitcoin has been stabilizing in a price range of around $107,000, with the market simultaneously witnessing a combination of short-term volatility and massive accumulation by institutional investors. A close examination of Bitcoin’s fundamental parameters shows that the market has entered a different phase than in the past; one that is no longer driven solely by momentary excitement, and that structured capital flows and on-chain data have formed its main axis. At the forefront of this trend are Bitcoin spot investment funds (Bitcoin ETFs), which reached their highest level of capital inflows in June. Total net inflows of these funds reached more than $4.5 billion last month, and on some days even approached more than $1 billion. Funds such as BlackRock’s IBIT and Fidelity’s FBTC now have billions of dollars in assets under management, a clear sign of increasing institutional participation in the Bitcoin market. These institutional investors are accumulating Bitcoin not with a short-term view, but with a long-term view and through legal means, which has reduced selling pressure and increased market stability.
On the other hand, the data from Anchin clearly shows that the market is in a steady accumulation trend. The amount of old Bitcoins held for more than 8 years experienced a significant growth of 5% in the second quarter of 2025. This statistic shows that long-term investors are not only reluctant to sell, but are still accumulating their assets. Also, the MVRV ratio, which indicates the relative profit or loss of the market, has decreased from 2.29 to 2.20, indicating mild and controlled profit taking by some investors, rather than widespread selling pressure or general panic. This rational behavior is a sign of market maturity and investors’ intelligence in managing short-term profits.
On-chain activity data also shows a similar trend. The average daily active addresses have reached around 1.02 million, indicating a decrease in market inflammation while maintaining overall dynamism. Other indicators such as Liveliness and Whale Accumulation also confirm that the amount of old transaction traffic has decreased and whales are mainly accumulating, not supplying. This trend is very valuable, especially in a market that has been far from explosive growth. From a macro perspective, the Bitcoin market is clearly in a consolidation and accumulation phase, but this consolidation is based on much stronger foundations than in previous periods. Institutional capital inflows via ETFs have reached over $50 billion, providing a strong foundation for continued growth. Also, some very old wallets that have been inactive for nearly 14 years have recently woken up and moved around $2 billion worth of Bitcoin. Although this could be a sign of potential supply, the market has not yet seen a significant negative reaction to it in the current market conditions and the market remains cautious.
Analysts believe that Bitcoin is in the third phase of its bullish cycle after the halving, which could bring gains of more than 120%. Some forecasts suggest a price range of $200,000-250,000 by the end of this year; however, the realization of such levels is subject to stable macroeconomic data, ETF performance and the absence of severe geopolitical shocks.
Finally, it can be said that the Bitcoin market has now reached a maturity where even periods of consolidation tend to strengthen its fundamentals rather than weaken the market. High-powered institutional investors are entering, whales continue to accumulate instead of selling, and long-term investors also see a bright outlook for the coming months. In this phase, price levels of $125,000 to $140,000 are likely by the end of the summer if the current trend continues, while in the event of severe economic or political pressures, key support for Bitcoin will be in the $95,000 to $100,000 range. Overall, Bitcoin is moving slowly but steadily towards higher targets, with stronger support than at any time in its history.
BTC/USD – Sharp Drop Into Micro Demand Zone (7 July 2025)📉 BTC/USD – Sharp Drop Into Micro Demand Zone (7 July 2025)
Price broke structure on M15 and is now falling into a tight 11-pip demand zone (108330.2–108446.6).
📊 Key Details:
🔸 M15 BOS already formed
🔸 Zone Size: Only 11 pips – requires extra caution
🔸 Setup: Wait for confirmation before reacting
📍 Aggressive buyers might watch for LTF CHoCH or engulfing from the zone. Safer entries lie in confirmation-based setups.
🎯 FXFOREVER – Precision levels. Calculated decisions.
#BTCUSD #FXFOREVER #SmartMoneyTrading #DemandZone #BreakOfStructure #M15Chart #CryptoSetup #BitcoinStrategy #PriceActionForex
BTC/USD Analysis Update. Chart Pattern:
The chart clearly shows an Inverse Head & Shoulders structure:
Left Shoulder
Head
Right Shoulder
This is a strong bullish reversal pattern.
Moving Averages:
Price hovers near the 100-day and 200-day MA, acting as a strong support zone (around $90k–$95k).
This area is critical for sustaining long positions.
Expected Move:
Strong bullish potential towards the $113k–$115k zone, aligned with the upper trendline target.
RSI also suggests room for a bullish recovery from this zone.
Trade Plan:
Ideal Entry: Near $90k–$95k (Right Shoulder area)
Stop Loss: Just below $88k
Target: $113k–$115k
This structure is very favorable for long positions if the price confirms strength within the right shoulder zone.
Bitcoin Movement UncertaintyThere have been powerful formations/patterns that one can always depend on when it comes to bitcoin. W formations,M formations and even triple top formations.
Current price has a W formation that is coming to a conclusion and has printed a triple top.
If you zoom in at 109160 you will see a small M formation more visible in smaller time frames and gives the hint of a short term SELL to 105446.
Alternatively, it can trade people into taking a sell and push upwards to 111971
Bitcoin H4 | Rising into a swing-high resistanceBitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 111,747.48 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 78.6% projection and the 127.2% extension.
Stop loss is at 113,000.00 which is a level that sits above a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 100% projection and the 161.8% extension.
Take profit is at 108,698.22 which is an overlap support.
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