BTCUSD.PI trade ideas
Bitcoin can rebound from resistance level and start to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Recently, the price broke above a local resistance and quickly approached the key resistance level at 110000, which also aligns with the upper boundary of the seller zone (110000 - 110700 points). This area has already proven its strength multiple times, causing sharp rejections in the past. Moreover, the price has tested it again recently and failed to break through. In addition, we can see a triangle structure, which fits the logic of a pennant pattern after a bullish wave. However, the latest move upward has already lost momentum near the apex, and the price is now trading just under the upper edge of this formation. That makes this zone technically overloaded and vulnerable to a downside reversal. Based on this, I expect Bitcoin to test the resistance level one more time and then roll back down toward TP 1 at 106000 points, a zone near previous liquidity accumulation and a local consolidation range. If selling pressure increases, the price might aim for the buyer zone (103800 - 103100). Given the current rejection at resistance, the structure of the triangle, and the reaction inside the seller zone, I remain bearish and expect further decline toward the support. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Btc / UsdtBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
1. **Current Price Zone (\~108,000):**
* Price is consolidating just under a supply zone (red rectangle), showing potential rejection from the upside.
* The price briefly pushed above the rising trendline but failed to hold it.
2. **Bearish Structure Forming:**
* Price action suggests a **lower high** and potential **head-and-shoulders** pattern.
* Red squiggle indicates a likely **short-term bearish movement** — a drop to the **demand zone** around **105,700–106,900**.
3. **Demand Zone/Order Block:**
* Marked below near **105,741** with label **"Order"**, showing where potential buy orders may sit.
* This is the first major area where price might find support.
4. **Downside Levels:**
* **106,933** and **105,741**: Potential short-term supports.
* **98,332 (Weekly level)**: If the structure breaks fully, price could revisit this major demand zone.
5. **Upside Resistance:**
* **Red supply zone above 109,000** acts as strong resistance — if BTC breaks that with volume, bullish bias resumes.
---
### 📉 **Short-Term Bias:**
* **Bearish** unless BTC breaks and holds above **109,000**.
* Expecting a pullback toward **106.9k** or **105.7k**, which may offer **buy-the-dip** opportunities.
Disclaimer : Not Financial Advice
$BTCUSD Trade Idea Currently, BTCUSD is operating within a defined dealing range between $105,000 (low) and $110,600 (high). Price is consolidating near the equilibrium (0.5 level) of this range and forming a sideways structure just above visible sell-side liquidity.
We are seeing confluence with a 4H SIBI (Sell-side Imbalance, Buy-side Inefficiency) overhead, which is currently capping price and adding to short-term bearish pressure. At the same time, price is hovering above a clear liquidity pool marked by sell stops, creating a potential for a liquidity sweep scenario.
Below current price action lies a well-defined 4H BISI (Buy-side Imbalance, Sell-side Inefficiency) zone, which serves as a strong demand area and an ideal draw on liquidity before any potential bullish continuation.
BEARISH ELLIOTT WAVE PATTERN ON BITCOINIn this short video, I explain the complex Triple Three Elliott wave pattern identified on the hourly chart on Bitcoin.
Based on the identification of the second wave X at $110,600 my most probably expectation is the completion of wave Z which will take the corrective form of an A-B-C pattern to an intended target below $98,225.
The alternative scenario is that the corrective wave ended at wave Y and the depicted Y-X wave is an impulse wave 1 and were likely on wave 2 to continue to a wave 3 which will break into a new all time high above $125,000.
Currently, I am personally in favor of the completion of wave Z as wave Y-X could not break above the MAJOR Resistance at $112,000.
Bitcoin: higher for longer?The investors optimism supported by better than expected US jobs data was reflected mostly in the US equity market, but the crypto market was not left behind on this occasion. Although the week for crypto was quite volatile, it showed that investors are still strongly considering investments in crypto coins for diversification of portfolios, especially BTC. The BTC spent a week struggling around the level of $107K, while making its final breakthrough toward the upside, reaching the highest weekly level at $110K. It is ending the week around the level of $108K, with an equal level of buying and selling order during the weekend.
Although the price was pushed toward the $110K, the RSI did not reach the overbought market side. Actually, the indicator continued to move between levels of 50 and 60, indicating that the market is still not ready to finish the cycle and revert it toward the oversold market side. Although slowed down, the MA50 is still oriented toward the upside, same as MA200, without an indication that the cross might occur anytime soon.
Current charts are indicating the probability that the support line at $106K might be tested again in the coming period. This short reversal is necessary for BTC in order to collect enough interest for a further push toward the upside. Whether the BTC will have strength to try to reach old ATH, remains unclear from current charts, but some indication holds. However, there is some probability that the $110K might be tested for one more time.
Bitcoin May See Short-Term Pullback After Hitting $108,000📊 Market Overview:
Bitcoin surged to $108,000 amid renewed risk-on sentiment, a softer US dollar, and slightly declining bond yields. However, weekend trading sees lower liquidity, and some profit-taking has emerged. Traders are also cautious ahead of next week’s Fed-related news.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $108,500 – $110,000
• Nearest Support: $106,200 – $105,500
• EMA 09 (1H): Price is above EMA 09, indicating bullish momentum remains.
• Candlesticks & Volume: Doji candle and falling volume in 1H → suggests weakening upside momentum and possible retracement.
📌 Outlook:
Bitcoin may face a short-term pullback if it fails to break above $108,500 and no fresh catalysts emerge. Holding above $106,200 would keep the broader bullish structure intact.
💡 Suggested Trade Setup:
🔻 SELL BTC/USD at: 108,200 – 108,500
🎯 TP: 106,800
❌ SL: 109,300
🔺 BUY BTC/USD at: 106,200 – 105,500
🎯 TP: 107,800
❌ SL: 104,800
BTCUSD: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse BTCUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 108,067 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 108,140. Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
BITCOIN ANALYSIS - What's Next for for BTC?🎯 KEY LEVELS DECODED
🛡️ FORTRESS SUPPORT: $102,800 - $103,200
_____________________________
NEUTRAL STRATEGY:
Buy Zone: $102,800 - $102,600
Sell Zone: $110,000 - $112,000
Stop Loss: $100,500 (range breakdown)
Target: Opposite end of range
Position Size: 3-5% of portfolio
_____________________________
🎢 SCENARIO : (Probability: 35%)
If BTC consolidates between $102K-$108K :
Range-bound trading for 2-3 weeks
Accumulation phase before next major move
Key levels: Buy $102K, Sell $110K
_________________________
🛡️ RISK MANAGEMENT 🚨 DISCLAIMER 🛡️ DYOR
BTC/USD Bullish Reversal Breakout Pattern BTC/USD Bullish Reversal Breakout Pattern 🚀
Technical Analysis:
🔹 Trend Reversal: The chart shows a clear inverse head and shoulders pattern highlighted with orange circles — a strong bullish reversal signal after a downtrend.
🔹 Breakout Zone: The neckline resistance around 108,000 USD has turned into support (marked as “SU00QT” due to a typo, assumed to be “SUPPORT”). Price action is consolidating just above this zone.
🔹 Trendline Support: The upward blue trendline confirms bullish structure, with price forming higher lows. Recent price action is bouncing off this trendline, showing strength.
🔹 Bullish Confirmation: Green arrows indicate strong bullish rejections from key levels, aligning with breakout retests.
🔹 Target Projection: The measured move from the inverse head and shoulders pattern projects a target towards the 114,000 USD resistance zone 📦 highlighted above, suggesting a potential 5-6% upside move 📊.
Conclusion: As long as price holds above the 108,000 support zone and the ascending trendline, BTC/USD remains bullish with potential continuation towards 114,000 USD. A breakout above minor consolidation could trigger a strong bullish rally 💥.
🛑 Invalidation: A sustained break below 106,000 USD would invalidate the bullish structure and may lead to further downside.
BTC ShortResistance at 111k has proven to be challenging for BTC, and I believe that it needs to retrace to regain momentum to go meaningfully higher.
On the hourly chart, price has been squeezing for the longest since June which resulted in a drop of more than 10%. The squeeze and RSI divergence pattern between the two periods is very similar. BTC enjoyed the tailwind of the USD falling significantly since the beginning of the year, but I believe it will start to strengthen again.
TP is the 93-94k range. I will cut losses at 111k. If the trade gains momentum and slices through 93k, then I will continue to trail stops until it reverts. At that time, I will most likely go long for the next major upside push.
Risks:
There are three major pieces of crypto legislation that could cause unpredictable swings.
Also, it's crypto, so anything can and routinely does happen :P
BTC monthly yelling at us for something interesting ?We read daily news about ETF, accumulation by institutes and scarcity in the exchanges, but I recognize something different in the chart based on multiple indicators. Historically, BTC boomed after touching 50 EMA and whenever it is extended it traces back to 50 EMA on monthly chart. As per current data, BTC is extended far from it. Also RSI and MACD indicating that it is losing momentum with -ve divergence. Volume as well descreasing since last leg, though price moved up. So, I expect price to retrace to 50 EMA which coincides with previous high at 60K. Let us see how it unfolds.