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BTCUSD trade ideas

BTC/USD: Multi-Timeframe Breakdown & Retest of Key Demand ZoneThis multi-timeframe analysis for BTC/USD highlights a significant bearish breakdown from prior support levels and a rising trendline. Price has entered and is currently consolidating within a major demand zone around 116,675 - 118,828.8. The analysis focuses on the current price action at this critical support, looking for either a confirmed bounce for a retest of broken resistance, or a decisive breakdown for further downside. Key observations include the strong bearish impulse, the breakdown of a long-term trendline, and the current consolidation at a multi-timeframe demand area. The upcoming 4-hour candle close/open at 16:30 (after 4hr) is a critical time for potential volatility and confirmation of direction.
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by eltfes
BTCUSD Analysis : Bitcoin Trend Shifted/Bullish Pattern + Target🧭 Overview: Bitcoin’s recent price action has delivered a textbook sequence of institutional liquidity play, volume-driven breakout, and supply zone rejection. After rallying on increasing volume, BTC tapped into a significant 3x Supply Zone—which also served as a previous reversal point—and was swiftly rejected. The market is now trading around a key decision zone where traders must stay alert for a confirmed bullish reversal, or risk getting caught in further downside. 🔍 Step-by-Step Technical Breakdown: 🔸 Liquidity Grab + Volume Expansion The move began with a liquidity sweep, as BTC pushed above recent highs, hunting stop-losses and inducing breakout traders. This kind of price manipulation is typical of smart money accumulation/distribution zones. Immediately following that, we observed a volume expansion—a strong signal that institutional players had stepped in, propelling BTC upward with conviction. This expansion pushed price sharply into the 3x Supply Zone, a critical zone of interest from a previous bearish reversal. 🔸 3x Supply Zone – The Turning Point Once price entered the 3x Supply Zone, bearish pressure resumed. No bullish continuation pattern appeared on the second attempt into this zone—confirming that sellers were defending it aggressively. This area has now been validated as a strong supply barrier, capable of initiating trend reversals. 🔸 Major BOS – Structural Shift Confirmed Price broke below key support around $120,500, which marked a Major Break of Structure (BOS). This BOS is crucial—it represents a shift from a bullish to bearish market structure and is often the signal that retail longs are trapped. This BOS was followed by a mini reversal zone, but again, no bullish confirmation appeared there—highlighting market weakness. 🔸 Minor BOS & Trendline Breakdown Further downside action led to a Minor BOS near $117,800, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. Additionally, the ascending trendline—which had supported BTC’s rally—was decisively broken and retested from below. This confirms a shift in momentum, now favoring sellers. 📍 Current Price Action – Critical Decision Zone BTC is currently hovering around $117,000, right at a potential demand zone. While there was a brief bullish reaction, the market hasn’t formed a valid bullish reversal pattern yet. There’s a clear message from the chart: “We want a bullish pattern here—otherwise, support will break and supply will double.” In simple terms, unless bulls step in with structure (higher low, engulfing candle, etc.), sellers will likely take over, and price may test deeper support levels. 🎯 What to Watch Next: ✅ Bullish Case: If BTC forms a strong reversal pattern (e.g., double bottom, bullish engulfing, or inverse head & shoulders), we can expect a short-term recovery back to: Target 1: $118,500 Target 2: $120,000–$120,500 ❌ Bearish Case: Failure to hold this zone and no clear bullish pattern = likely continuation to the downside, potentially targeting: $116,000 Even $114,500 in extended moves 🧠 Trading Insights (Educational): Volume + Structure = Edge Don’t rely solely on candlestick signals—combine them with structural breaks and volume to get confluence. Supply Zones Aren’t Just Rectangles The 3x Supply Zone was powerful because it had historical context, volume convergence, and psychological resistance. These layered factors make zones more reliable. BOS Isn’t a Trendline Break BOS means real structural shift. In this case, lower highs and lower lows confirmed the change. 💡 Final Thoughts: BTC is at a make-or-break level. The recent rejection at the 3x supply zone has shifted the momentum, and buyers must prove their strength now—or risk watching the price unravel further. Stay patient, wait for structure, and never fight momentum.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by GoldMasterTrades
Liquidity Sweep PossibilityFrom the chart provided (BTC/USD on the 15-minute timeframe), here are the **key points** and notable observations: --- 🔑 **Key Technical Points:** 1. **Price Level**: * Current price: **\$116,942.23** 2. **Supply/Demand Zones**: * **Supply Zone (Resistance)**: Gray zone near the **\$117,000** level Price entered this zone and rejected, indicating selling pressure. * **Demand Zone (Support)**: Lower gray zone around **\$115,900–\$116,100** This area may act as a bounce point if price drops further. 3. **50% Level**: * A red horizontal line is marked at **50% of the last impulse leg**, just above **\$116,800**. This is likely used as a **midpoint retracement** zone and is acting as resistance. 4. **Bearish Candlestick Structure**: * Series of lower highs and lower lows after the price failed to break the resistance area. * Momentum appears to be favoring the downside. 5. **Liquidity Sweep**: * A long wick can be seen below \$116,800, indicating a **liquidity grab** before a bounce. * This often signals stop-hunting activity. --- 📉 **Potential Scenarios:** * **Bearish Bias**: If price continues below \$116,800 (50% level), it could target the demand zone near **\$116,000**. * **Bullish Rejection**: If price bounces sharply from the current gray zone, watch for a re-test of the **\$117,200+** area. --- thanking u
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by Abdulkaleem
BTCUSD - REBOUND FROM ATHYesterday BTCUSD has reached new price level slightly above 123,000.00 and started to decline afterwards on big selling volume. Also we see some divergence on momentum oscillator and MACD has crossed into a red zone. I still think that bitcoin is overbought and needs the correction before next growth, so I decided to go short with 🔽 a market sell order at 117461.25 with ❌a stop loss at 123894.15 and 🤑a take profit at 110587.70 A stop loss is above the ATH, take profit just above the support level of 110,000.00. It is a counter-trend trade, so it's a bit more risky than usual. Trade cautiously! Preserve your deposits!
CAPITALCOM:BTCUSDShort
by ProfessorSingapore
Bitcoin Hits New Highs: Is The Institutional Money Here To Stay?Bitcoin Hits New Highs, Gains Stability and Scale in Its Institutional Era: Will It Last? From a volatile and often misunderstood outsider, Bitcoin has embarked on a remarkable transformation, evolving into what many now see as a foundational financial layer. This new era is not fueled by the fleeting whims of retail hype, but by the calculated, long-term strategies of professional capital. The steady influx of institutional investors is profoundly reshaping Bitcoin's character, taming its notorious volatility and broadening its accessibility to everyday individuals. This seismic shift begs the question: is this newfound stability and scale a permanent feature of the financial landscape, or a transient phase in Bitcoin's tumultuous history? The Dawn of a New Epoch: The Institutional Stampede For years, the narrative surrounding Bitcoin was one of a grassroots monetary experiment, a digital curiosity championed by cypherpunks and early internet adopters. Wall Street remained a skeptical spectator, wary of the asset's wild price swings, its lack of regulatory clarity, and its disruptive potential. However, Bitcoin's unyielding resilience and its core value proposition of a decentralized, finite digital asset gradually wore down this institutional resistance. The floodgates did not just creak open; they were blown apart with the regulatory approval of spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs). This landmark decision marked a clear and decisive tipping point, a formal invitation for mainstream finance to embrace the world's first cryptocurrency. This regulatory green light has had a profound and cascading impact. It has, in a single stroke, legitimized Bitcoin in the eyes of the most conservative financial establishments. More importantly, it has provided a familiar, regulated, and highly accessible entry point for a vast and previously untapped ocean of capital. Exposure to Bitcoin is no longer confined to specialized crypto-native platforms, which often carried a steep learning curve and perceived security risks. Now, it can be seamlessly integrated into the traditional investment portfolios that millions of people rely on, managed through their existing brokerages, pension funds, and even insurance products. This growing wave of institutional adoption is not merely inflating Bitcoin's price; it is fundamentally anchoring it more firmly within the global economy, weaving it into the very fabric of the system it was once designed to challenge. The numbers illustrating this shift are staggering. In a remarkably short period, spot Bitcoin ETFs have amassed well over $138 billion in assets. This figure is not static; it represents a dynamic and growing pool of capital, reflecting sustained institutional interest. Registered Investment Advisors (RIAs), who manage the wealth of millions of Americans, along with sophisticated hedge funds and forward-thinking pension funds, represent a growing share of this investment. These are not speculative day traders but entities with long-term horizons and rigorous due diligence processes. Their participation signals a deep conviction in Bitcoin's future. This institutional embrace extends far beyond the realm of ETFs. Major corporations have continued their aggressive accumulation of Bitcoin, viewing it as a treasury reserve asset superior to cash. This trend of corporate and institutional adoption is a key driver of Bitcoin's maturation, lending it a newfound sense of legitimacy and stability that was unimaginable just a few years ago. The current market cycle is thus being defined not by the frenetic energy of individual retail investors, but by the methodical and powerful currents of professional capital. Taming the Beast: Volatility in the Institutional Age One of the most significant and welcome consequences of this institutional influx has been the taming of Bitcoin's infamous volatility. For most of its history, Bitcoin's price chart resembled a dramatic mountain range, with breathtaking peaks and terrifying valleys. This volatility was its defining characteristic and its biggest barrier to mainstream acceptance. Institutional capital, however, operates on a different wavelength. With its longer time horizons and more systematic, data-driven approach, it behaves differently from the often emotionally-driven retail market. While individual investors are more prone to panic-selling during sharp price dips or piling in during euphoric rallies, large institutions are more likely to employ disciplined strategies like dollar-cost averaging. They see price corrections not as a reason to panic, but as a buying opportunity. This behavior provides a stabilizing force, creating a floor during downturns and tempering the irrational exuberance of market tops. This shift in market dynamics is evident in the flow of funds into the new financial products. These investment vehicles have frequently seen strong net inflows during price corrections, with major asset managers absorbing billions in capital even as retail sentiment soured. This institutional buying pressure acts as a powerful buffer, moderating the extreme price swings that have historically characterized the Bitcoin market. While Bitcoin's volatility remains higher than that of traditional assets like gold or global equities, its trajectory is one of marked and consistent decline. This decline is a natural consequence of its growing market capitalization. As the total value of the network expands, the relative impact of new capital inflows or outflows is diminished, leading to smoother price action. Interestingly, Bitcoin's volatility has at times converged with, and even fallen below, that of some mega-cap technology stocks, which themselves can exhibit significant price swings. This convergence is making traditional investors take a closer look, as the risk-reward profile of Bitcoin becomes more palatable and understandable. Historically, investors have been well-compensated for taking on Bitcoin's volatility, with its risk-adjusted returns often outperforming major stock indices over multi-year periods. From Digital Gold to a Financial Base Layer: An Evolving Narrative For much of its existence, Bitcoin has been championed as "digital gold." This narrative is powerful and intuitive. Like gold, it has a finite, predictable supply. It is decentralized, meaning no single entity can control it or create more of it at will. And it is censorship-resistant, offering a store of value outside the traditional financial system. This narrative has been a potent driver of adoption, particularly among those seeking a hedge against inflation, currency debasement, and geopolitical uncertainty. However, the increasing stability brought about by institutional investment is fostering a new and complementary narrative: Bitcoin as a potential medium of exchange and, more broadly, as a foundational settlement layer for the global financial system. Lower volatility is a crucial prerequisite for any asset to function effectively as a currency. When prices are relatively stable, merchants and consumers can transact with confidence, knowing the value of their money will not drastically change overnight. The development of Layer 2 solutions, most notably the Lightning Network, is a critical piece of this puzzle. These protocols are built on top of the Bitcoin blockchain and are designed to enable faster, cheaper, and more scalable transactions. They address the primary technical hurdles that have hindered Bitcoin's use for everyday payments, such as coffee or groceries. As this technological infrastructure continues to mature and gain adoption, Bitcoin's utility beyond a simple store of value is poised to expand significantly. Furthermore, Bitcoin's historically low correlation with traditional assets like stocks and bonds makes it an exceptionally valuable tool for portfolio diversification. In a world where asset classes are becoming increasingly interconnected, Bitcoin offers a unique return stream. Adding even a small allocation of Bitcoin to a traditional 60/40 portfolio can potentially enhance returns over the long term without a commensurate increase in overall risk. This diversification benefit is a key part of the thesis for many institutional investors. Navigating the Market's Pulse: Price, Psychology, and Predictions As Bitcoin navigates this new institutional era, the question on every investor's mind is: where does the price go from here? The recent surge to new all-time highs above the $123,000 mark has been met with a mix of bullish enthusiasm and cautious optimism. After reaching this peak, the market saw a natural retreat, with bulls pausing for a breath and prices consolidating. The price action has been dynamic, with a fresh increase starting above the $120,000 zone before finding temporary resistance and trading near the $118,500 level. This kind of price discovery, including breaks below short-term bullish trend lines, is characteristic of a market absorbing new information and establishing a new support base. Technical analysis suggests that the current rally may have further to run. Having decisively broken through key psychological and technical resistance zones, some analysts see a clear path toward $135,000 or even $140,000 in the medium term. The price trading well above key long-term moving averages confirms that the underlying momentum remains strongly bullish. However, a closer look at market sentiment and on-chain data reveals a more nuanced and perhaps even more bullish picture. Despite the record-breaking prices, the market has yet to enter the state of "extreme greed or euphoria" that has characterized the absolute peaks of previous bull cycles. Key metrics that track the profitability of long-term holders remain below the "euphoria" zone, suggesting that the smart money is not yet rushing to take profits. This could indicate that the current rally, while impressive, is still in its early or middle phases, with more room to grow before reaching a cyclical top. A delay in the full-blown bull market euphoria could ultimately push Bitcoin higher than many expect. Of course, the market is not a one-way street. The spike to $123,000 was followed by an increase in Bitcoin flowing into exchanges, a potential sign of short-term profit-taking and a cooling-off period. Even large, strategic players may take profits during rallies. The news of Bhutan's sovereign wealth fund strategically unloading a portion of its holdings is a prime example. While these sales can introduce short-term selling pressure, they are also a healthy part of a functioning market. The fact that inflows, even at the peak, were just a fraction of those seen in earlier parts of the year suggests that the selling pressure is not yet overwhelming. The Sustainability of the Institutional Era: A Critical Analysis The institutionalization of Bitcoin is undoubtedly a paradigm shift, but its long-term sustainability is not a foregone conclusion. While the current trend is one of increasing adoption and stability, there are several factors that could challenge this new status quo and must be considered by any serious investor. One potential risk is the concentration of Bitcoin in the hands of a few large institutions. While this brings stability in the short term, it also introduces a potential point of centralization in a decentralized system. If a handful of major asset managers were to simultaneously decide to sell their holdings—perhaps due to a change in their own internal risk models or a major macroeconomic shock—it could trigger a significant market downturn. Such a move would likely be exacerbated by retail investors following the lead of these financial giants. Regulatory risk also remains a significant and unpredictable concern. While the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in the United States was a major step forward, the global regulatory landscape is a complex and evolving patchwork. Any future crackdowns, unfavorable tax treatments, or restrictive regulations in major jurisdictions could dampen institutional enthusiasm and hinder further adoption. The path to full regulatory clarity is likely to be long and fraught with challenges. Furthermore, the narrative of Bitcoin as an inflation hedge has yet to be definitively proven across all possible economic conditions. While it has performed well during recent periods of high inflation and monetary expansion, its correlation with risk assets means it can also be sensitive to economic downturns and tightening financial conditions. A prolonged period of global recession or stagflation could test its resilience as a store of value in new and unexpected ways. Conclusion: A Maturing Asset in an Evolving World Bitcoin has come an immeasurably long way from its obscure beginnings as a niche digital currency for a small community of technologists. The influx of institutional capital has ushered in a new era of stability, accessibility, and legitimacy. The launch and wild success of spot Bitcoin ETFs has been the primary catalyst, providing a regulated and familiar on-ramp for a vast pool of professional money that is reshaping the asset's very DNA. This institutional embrace is about far more than just price appreciation; it is fundamentally changing the character of Bitcoin. Its volatility, while still present, is on a clear downward trend, making it a more viable contender as both a global store of value and a neutral settlement network. The long-held dream of Bitcoin as a foundational layer of a new, more transparent financial system is slowly but surely taking shape. However, the road ahead is not without its challenges. The risks of institutional concentration, regulatory uncertainty, and macroeconomic headwinds are real and should not be underestimated. The sustainability of this new era will depend on a delicate interplay of market forces, regulatory developments, and continued technological innovation on its network. What is clear is that Bitcoin has earned its place on the world's financial stage. It is no longer an outsider looking in, but a maturing asset that is being progressively integrated into the global economic fabric. Whether this institutional era will be a lasting one remains the defining question of our time. But one thing is certain: Bitcoin's journey is far from over, and its evolution will continue to be one of the most compelling and consequential stories in the world of finance for years to come.
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
15.07.2025 - Bitcoin, DAX, Dow Jones, WTI-Öl - GBE MarktcheckWelcome to a new GBE market-insight My name is Raphael Dreyer, charting expert at GBE brokers, and this is what you can expect in today's video. - Bitcoin reaches new all-time high - DAX remains above 24,000 points - Dow Jones with momentum towards all-time high? - WTI oil bounces off the downward trend I wish you a successful trading day, until the next GBE market check. Risk warning: CFDs are complex instruments and carry a high risk of losing money quickly due to leverage. 76.61% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the risk of losing your money.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by GBEbrokers
BTCUSD • 1H ABCD Completion at Key Confluence – Long Bias1) Macro → Micro Context Daily / 4H Trend: Still a clear up-trend on the daily & 4-hour: higher highs / higher lows above the 8, 34 & 55 EMA ribbon. The $120 K–$121 K zone houses the largest Volume-by-Price node in two weeks, now acting as near-term support. 1H Context: X→A: $106 100 → $118 950 impulsive run A→B: ~15% pullback into $117 000 (≈0.15 XA) B→C: 3.06× extension to $123 230 C→D: Retrace into $119 900–$120 300, matching 0.618 BC & ~80% XC Fib 2) Structural & Momentum Breakdown AB=CD & Fib Confluence: D at $119 900–$120 300 aligns perfectly with both 0.618 BC and ~80% XC retracements. 1H Bullish Order Block: $119 900→$119 750 20-period SMA (mid-BB): ≃$120 100 VRVP High-Volume Node: Centered ≃$120 400 RSI (14): Holding 47–50 on the hour, flattening and poised to curl up PVT: Flat-to-up on the pullback—sign of absorption Volume: Contracts into D, then a slight uptick on the last 1 h bar 3) Exact Trade Plan Entry: $119 400 - $120 300 Stop-Loss: $117 300 - $118 000 Take-Profit 1: $121 800 → $122 200 Take-Profit 2: $123 000 → $123 500 Optional “Hype” TP instead of TP 2: $125 000 → $126 500 (for a parabolic push if the upcoming House vote prints strong headlines — targets at 78.6%–100% BC extensions) Entry Confirmation (any one): 1 h bullish engulfing or inside bar within entry zone RSI (14) closes back above 50 on the hourly PVT prints a higher low with renewed buy-side volume
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Apedapp
BTCUSD🚨 BITCOIN IS ABOUT TO TAKE OFF AGAIN – DON’T MISS IT! 🚀 We’re seeing a healthy pullback in play – exactly the kind of mean reversion smart money watches for. BTC is currently retracing to test the standard deviation from the 200 EMA on the 30-minute chart ⏱️📉 🔍 There are two key demand zones setting up as high-probability buy areas: 1️⃣ Zone 1 – First reaction level: ideal for aggressive entries if momentum picks up. 2️⃣ Zone 2 – Deeper support: strong confluence with fibs + previous liquidity sweep. A goldmine for patient bulls. 💰 This isn’t just another dip – it’s a technical setup with potential for explosive upside. 📊 Stay sharp. Stay ready. BTC doesn’t wait. ⚡ #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #BuyTheDip #EMA200 #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoAlerts 🔥
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by SGsauragestion
Bitcoin Cycle PredictionThis "Bitcoin Cycle Prediction" chart utilizes a long-term logarithmic view of BTC/USD price action on a weekly timeframe (1W) via Kraken exchange data, highlighting the cyclical nature of Bitcoin's market behavior across past, present, and projected future cycles. Key features include: Parabolic Growth Curves: Three completed macro cycles and a fourth projected cycle are visualized with rounded cup-like formations, indicating historical accumulation phases followed by exponential bull runs. Fibonacci Retracement & Extension Levels: Each major bull run is annotated with Fibonacci retracement and extension zones, helping identify historical resistance and support levels, as well as potential future price targets. Extensions like 1.618, 2.618, and 3.0 are used to forecast upper bounds. RSI (Relative Strength Index) : Positioned at the bottom, the RSI gives insight into historical overbought and oversold conditions, aligning well with the cycle peaks and troughs. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): MACD crossovers and histogram movements reinforce the timing of bullish and bearish phases within each cycle. Cycle Timing Marker: The vertical green line marks a projected inflection point around January 2026, suggesting the anticipated peak of the next bull cycle based on previous timing patterns. Price Targets: Based on previous Fibonacci multiples, projected price targets for the upcoming cycle could reach extensions between $195,000 and $665,000+, if historical behavior repeats. This chart is a speculative but historically informed visualization designed for educational and analytical purposes, offering long-term investors and cycle theorists a structured look at Bitcoin's repeating macro trends.
KRAKEN:BTCUSDLong
by jordan146
BTC & ETH - 8H Important DevelopmentWe have seen a very important development on the 8H chart for both BTC and ETH. Both assets after seeing a selloff through the day then found some LTF support and ending up printing reversal dojis on the 8H. Apart from the doji printing both assets are at extremely important levels for the RSI. ETH is slight above overbought conditions meaning if we can see price start to go back up here the strength should get stronger which could help push price past the $3,100 level and towards that $3,400 level. BTC is right at the 70 level. Therefore if price and push up here then the strength should follow and show a perfect test of overbought conditions as the support level. But if BTC price fails to maintain the strength, a dip below overbought conditions could send us further down towards the $112,000-$116,000 levels depending on how strength looks at that time. The would also coincide with a perfect retest, but the most important indicator in the short term will see how price reacts to this over the next 8 hours.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by VIAQUANT
Major Flag Breakout Meets Multi-Year Resistance – What’s Next?After breaking out of the large flag pattern that had been forming on the daily chart, Bitcoin pushed upward with conviction — fueled by a clean 4-hour impulse move. This move carried price directly into a major resistance zone that has held for the past 7–8 years. I was initially skeptical of a full continuation here, given the historic strength of this zone. But observing how price behaved — especially the smooth structural advance, EMA alignment, and volume absorption — I’ve revised my bias. We’ve seen liquidity swept from the downside, and price continues to find support in every micro-dip. Given the compression and resilience at these levels, I now expect the market to push further. Key zone to watch: If we reclaim the midrange after this consolidation, a clean extension beyond the resistance becomes increasingly likely. Caution: This is not a blind long — entries must be placed with discipline, especially as we test macro resistance. #BTC #PriceAction #TradingView #CryptoAnalysis #Breakout
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by getthelukas
BTCUSDBTCUSD is currently trading at 120,246, presenting a favorable buy zone near the current price. The first resistance level lies at 123,352, where price may face initial selling pressure. The second resistance is stronger at 125,857, indicating a more significant hurdle for upward momentum. A confirmation of bullish strength will be established if BTCUSD breaks and holds above 126,857. Traders can consider entering long positions around 120,000–120,300, aligning with the current market level. To manage risk, a stop-loss should be placed just below the key support at 117,988.
OKX:BTCUSD.PLong
by Ali_Explorer
BTCUSD Weekly Outlook📅 Date: July 14, 2025 📍 Timeframe: 1W (Weekly) 🔍 Key Zones: 🔴 $131,839 – $140,000: Major liquidity pool & reversal zone 🔵 $74,458: External range liquidity target Bitcoin has been pushing higher week after week, but this setup hints at a trap for late bulls. Here’s what I’m watching: Reversal Zone Between $131K – $140K Price is approaching a critical area packed with buy-side liquidity, where I anticipate a liquidity sweep followed by a shift in market structure. This area also aligns with previous highs and psychological resistance. Liquidity Sweep & Break of Structure Once price sweeps the highs and takes out weak hands, I expect a bearish breaker block to form as the reversal confirms. This will be the key signal for a move down. Targeting External Range Liquidity at $74K The sharp decline afterward is expected to reach the external range liquidity around $74,458, taking out long-term resting liquidity. This aligns with clean inefficiencies and unmitigated imbalances on the chart. 🔔 Conclusion: While the short-term bias may remain bullish into the red zone, I’m prepping for a high-probability swing short after signs of exhaustion and confirmation at the top. This is a classic smart money play—liquidity grab, breaker, and redistribution. 📌 Set alerts around $131K – $140K and monitor for structure breaks and bearish rejections.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by realalvaritarfa
BTC/USD: Rejection from 123,000 Triggers Correction Market Overview: Bitcoin surged to the 123,000 resistance zone, completing a potential ABC bullish pattern. The price has since pulled back sharply, indicating the start of a correction. Current price action suggests consolidation within the 116,600 – 123,000 range, as traders lock in profits and reassess direction. Technical Signals & Formations: — ABC bullish pattern completed at the top — Strong weekly resistance at 123,000 — Horizontal support at 116,600 acting as key pivot — EMA(144) far below, suggesting room for deeper correction if weakness persists Key Levels: Resistance: 123,000, 126,000 Support: 116,600, 113,800, 113,000, 110,580 Scenario: Primary: continued pullback toward 116,600. A breakdown below this level may lead to further downside targeting 113,800–113,000. Alternative: stabilization within the range, followed by a rebound and potential retest of 123,000.
ACTIVTRADES:BTCUSDLong
by DENOLLAFINANCERU