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BTCUSD trade ideas

BTCUSD Halving Pic Cycle next top at 140 000 in next 3 MonthsFirst Halving (Nov 28, 2012) - Price at halving: ~$12. - Peak price: ~$1,150 (Nov 29, 2013, ~366 days later). Multiple: $1,150 / $12 ≈ 95.83x - Bottom after peak, before second halving (Jul 9, 2016): ~$185 (Jan 14, 2015, ~413 days after peak).Drop from peak: $1,150 to $185 = -83.9%. Price relative to halving: $185 / $12 ≈ 15.42x the halving price. Second Halving (Jul 9, 2016): - Price at halving: ~$651. - Peak price: ~$19,700 (Dec 17, 2017, ~526 days later). Multiple: $19,700 / $650 ≈ 30.31x. - Bottom after peak, before third halving (May 11, 2020): ~$3,122 (Dec 7, 2018, ~355 days after peak).Drop from peak: $19,700 to $3,122 = -84.2%. Price relative to halving: $3,122 / $650 ≈ 4.80x the halving price. Third Halving (May 11, 2020): - Price at halving: ~$8,800. - Peak price: ~$67,549 (Nov 8, 2021, ~546 days later). Multiple: $67,549 / $8,750 ≈ 7.72x. - Bottom after peak, before fourth halving (Apr 19, 2024): ~$15,479 (Nov 21, 2022, ~378 days after peak). Drop from peak: $67,549 to $15,479 = -77.1%. Price relative to halving: $15,479 / $8,750 ≈ 1.77x the halving price. Fourth halving (Apr 19, 2024): - Price $65,000. - Dipped to $49,577 on May 7, 2024 (18 days post-halving. Estimated multiple: ~2.21x (based on trend analysis). - Projected peak price August-November 2025: $64,000 × 2.21 ≈ $140,000. - Drop from peak: $30 000 August–September 2026 at 80% drop from peak and 0.5x of last Halving price Price Fifth Halving April 2028 $123456
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by viparmenia
Bitcoin – ATH Sweep or Breakout?Bitcoin is pushing into a critical decision point as it challenges the previous all-time high near 110k. After a strong push out of a rounded bottom formation with clean higher lows, price has now broken above the last visible resistance area and is hovering just under the ATH liquidity. This rally has been aggressive, but the reaction here will determine whether this move becomes an extended breakout or a classic trap. Liquidity and Key Resistance The ATH zone around 110k carries a large pool of liquidity, and price is now testing it for the first time since the breakout. We’ve already had a clean break above the prior resistance zone, but we haven’t yet seen a confirmed close above ATH with convincing volume. If price manages to close strongly above this level on the 4H or daily chart, that would be a sign that bulls are in full control. Until then, the possibility of a sweep and rejection remains firmly on the table. Sweep Scenario and Downside Levels If we fail to close convincingly above the ATH and instead see a wick through followed by a strong reversal, that would confirm the sweep. In that case, I’d expect short setups to activate quickly, with downside targets sitting around 105k. This level marks the structure support below the most recent breakout, and would be a logical point for price to rebalance before continuing any broader uptrend. A rejection from current levels would also trap late longs and provide fuel for a quick retracement. Bullish Breakout Scenario If we do get that proper breakout above 110k, backed by strong volume and continuation candles, the upside opens fast. There’s very little structure above the ATH, so price could move cleanly up into the next round psychological target around 115k. This move would confirm continuation of the higher timeframe trend and offer short-term breakout retests for potential long re-entries. Volume and Candle Confirmation Are Crucial At this stage, the setup is binary and all about confirmation. A clean 4H or daily close above ATH with follow-through volume will flip the bias fully bullish. But if we get signs of exhaustion and a failed breakout attempt, the sweep setup becomes highly probable. Waiting for confirmation here is key, rather than trying to front-run the move. Conclusion Bitcoin is sitting right at a high-stakes level. We either continue into price discovery toward 115k if momentum follows through, or we see a classic liquidity sweep and rejection back into 105k. The clean structure and recent higher lows support both sides of the argument, but execution will depend on how price reacts around the ATH. Either way, this zone is the key pivot for the next major swing. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:BTCUSD
by TehThomas
51
BITCOIN Golden Cross going to slingshot it to $130kBitcoin (BTCUSD) has completed a Golden Cross on the 4H time-frame and is attempting to keep the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support. If successful, it has high probabilities of staging a Channel Up similar to April - May, which peaked on the 2.618 Fibonacci extension. So far, the bases of those to fractals are virtually identical, with a Lower Highs trend-line initially acting as a Resistance, which broke and on the current one it is testing the final Resistance (dotted trend-line). This is the green circle, which on April 21 staged a quick consolidation before breaking aggressively upwards. If the pattern continues to repeat itself, we can get $130k (Fib 2.618 ext) at the end of the Channel Up. Do you think it will? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
3
BTC Bulls Target $111,653, Is This the Next Explosive BreakoutThe BTCUSDT 4-hour chart is showing a clearly bullish structure. After consolidating below the $108,664–$107,800 resistance for several weeks, Bitcoin finally broke above this area with a strong impulsive move, confirming the zone as a new support. This breakout coincides with improving market sentiment, especially after Metaplanet’s $108 million purchase of BTC and a surge in ETF inflows, which have been helping Bitcoin reclaim levels above $109,000. The price is currently consolidating just above the breakout area, indicating that buyers are defending this zone aggressively. Resistance Level 1, around $110,254, is the first significant barrier and aligns with the area that rejected price several times in late May. If this level is broken, the next target sits at Resistance Level 2 near $111,653, which was the major swing high established in early May. Holding above the current support is critical, as a decisive 4-hour close below $107,440 would invalidate this bullish scenario and likely trigger a deeper retracement. The recent price behavior suggests a potential ascending triangle breakout retest, a classic continuation pattern where buyers step in on each dip. Momentum remains strong, and the risk/reward profile favors long setups as long as the higher-low structure is preserved. Trade Setup (Bullish Idea) Entry Zone: $108,700–$109,000 (on a confirmed retest of support) Stop Loss: $107,440 (beneath the invalidation zone) Take Profit Targets o TP1: $110,254 o TP2: $111,653 The setup offers an estimated 2.4–2.7 risk/reward ratio, depending on precise entry and execution. As always, it’s recommended to wait for confirmation candles or wicks rejecting the support zone before entering. If the breakout holds and volume expands on the push through TP1, Bitcoin could quickly revisit the $112,000 area in line with broader market optimism and institutional buying. Just be aware of the invalidation level, as any breakdown below $107,440 could trigger a fast move back to prior range lows.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by SupertradeOfficial
July 3 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis Hello This is Bitcoin Guide. If you "follow" You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections. If my analysis was helpful, Please click the booster button at the bottom. Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart. There will be a Nasdaq index announcement at 9:30 and 11:00 in a little while. I created today's strategy based on the Nasdaq pattern and Tether dominance vertical decline conditions. *One-way long position strategy when the red finger moves 1. $109,838 long position entry point / stop loss price when the purple support line is broken 2. $111,549.7 long position 1st target -> Great 2nd target The 1st section at the top and the 2nd section at the bottom are sideways sections. Even if the strategy fails, if the green support line is not broken, it is good for a long position. Below that Bottom -> Please note that it is open up to 107,841.4 dollars Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use only I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices. Thank you.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitCoinGuide
BITCOIN Will Fall! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for BITCOIN. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The price is testing a key resistance 108,838.74. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 101,845.14 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:BTCUSDShort
by SignalProvider
1
BTCUSD| Bitcoin’s Historic Parabolic Pattern🔥 Parabolic Pattern | Institutional COINBASE:BTCUSD Demand Mirrors Gold ETF Era 🔥 COINBASE:BTCUSD vs SP:SPX vs TVC:GOLD The market is whispering something big — and it's not retail noise this time. For the third straight quarter, listed corporations have outpaced ETFs in Bitcoin purchases, a seismic shift that echoes one key moment in history: the launch of the Gold ETF. Companies like NASDAQ:MSTR contiune to buy and others are following. Will NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:META and NASDAQ:GOOG be next ? Let me know in the comments who you think will be next to buy? Back then, companies rushed to gold as a hedge against inflation and a store of value as fiat cracks widened. Fast forward to now — we're seeing the same institutional footprints in Bitcoin. The buy-the-dip narrative isn't just alive — it's being driven by corporate balance sheets. Rumors are circulating that the U.S. government plans to buy 1 million BTC — a move that would shake the global financial system to its core. If true, this isn’t just bullish — it’s historic. The last time governments got this aggressive with a hard asset was during the Gold Reserve buildup. Bitcoin isn’t just digital gold anymore — it’s becoming sovereign-level collateral. 📈💥 💬 Drop your thoughts below. Is this the beginning of the next parabolic era? In this episode, we break down the parabolic pattern forming on the chart, why it may signal the next explosive leg up, and how history is repeating with BTC playing the role of digital gold. 📊 Technical breakdown. On-chain behavior. Smart money moves. Don’t blink. Parabolas end in fireworks. I've been trading for 17 years 👍 If you found this useful, drop a like. 💬 Got questions or thoughts? Leave a comment below — I always respond and happy to help. 👍 Best Regards MartyBoots
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by MartyBoots
31
MACRO 3-Drive Pattern on Bitcoin | Major Reversal Ahead?Is Bitcoin completing a massive 3-drive structure on the macro chart? Three clear pushes higher, each with fading momentum, are flashing a major reversal signal. This could be the final phase before a long-term shift — are you ready for what’s next? 📚 3-Drive Structure Trading Strategy — Full Breakdown The 3-Drive Pattern is a powerful reversal-based price structure used to spot major turning points in trending markets. It works by identifying three consecutive drives (or pushes) in one direction, typically ending with exhaustion and a high-probability reversal. Each drive forms a new high or low, but with weakening momentum — especially visible using RSI, MACD, or volume divergence. 🔍 What is the 3-Drive Pattern? 3 consecutive higher highs (or lower lows) Each drive followed by a shallow pullback Momentum weakens on each push (divergence forms) Fibonacci symmetry often present: - Drive extensions: 127.2%–161.8% - Pullbacks: usually 61.8% 📉 Bearish 3-Drive (Reversal from Uptrend): Drive 1: Price makes a higher high with strong momentum Drive 2: Another higher high, weaker strength Drive 3: Final high with clear divergence Reversal: Entry when price breaks below structure 🎯Entry Criteria: Wait for all 3 drives to form Confirm with divergence on Drive 3 Use a confirmation candle or structure break Stop-loss: just beyond the 3rd drive’s high 🎯 Targets: Conservative: Return to Drive 2 base Aggressive: Full trend reversal (50%–100% Fib retracement) 🧠 Pro Tips: Best on 4H, 1D, 3D or 1w timeframes Confirm with RSI, MACD, or volume divergence Combine with key S/R or supply-demand zones 💡 Summary: The 3-Drive pattern is one of the most reliable reversal structures when combined with divergence and Fibonacci symmetry. It's especially powerful at market exhaustion zones and works best with confirmation-based entries.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by MartyBoots
23
BTCUSD 4hr Technical Analysis : Rejects $110K - Next TargetsOverview: Bitcoin is currently undergoing a significant technical correction after rejecting a strong resistance level. The 4-hour chart shows a decisive bearish breakdown, suggesting that the bulls are losing control and sellers are gaining momentum. As the price continues to fall, all eyes are now on the major support levels that could trigger a potential reversal—or further acceleration to the downside. 📊 Technical Breakdown: 1. Major Resistance Zone (~$110,000 – $111,000): This zone has acted as a strong supply area, where price has repeatedly failed to break through. Multiple rejections from this zone confirm it as a key distribution area, where large sellers are stepping in. The repeated failure to close above it shows market exhaustion at the highs. Multiple candle wicks and strong bearish closes around this area. Bull traps occurred after brief moves above this resistance, followed by sharp sell-offs. 2. Trendline Breakout: Previously, BTC had been respecting a rising ascending trendline, which served as dynamic support throughout the last rally. Recently, price broke below this trendline with strong bearish momentum. This marks a break in market structure. The trendline retest acted as resistance—textbook confirmation of the trend shift. 3. QFL (Quantity Following Line) Breakdown: The QFL zone, typically a bullish defense level, has failed to hold. This breakdown confirmed that bulls lost a critical level of control. Price briefly retested the QFL from below before continuing downward. This zone now acts as resistance, reinforcing the bearish outlook. 🔻 Downside Targets & Reversal Zones: ✅ Reversal Zone 1 (~$106,000): This minor support level provided minimal reaction and was quickly breached. Lack of volume or candle confirmation suggests weak buying interest here. ✅ Next Reversal Zone 2 (~$104,000): This zone has historical importance as a short-term demand area. Monitor closely for bullish candlestick patterns, volume spikes, or bullish divergences to assess potential bounce scenarios. ✅ Major Support Zone (~$102,000 – $100,000): This is the most critical level in the near term. Historically, price has reversed strongly from this zone, indicating strong buyer interest. If price breaks and closes below this level, expect a high-probability continuation towards the $98,000 psychological level or lower. 🧠 Market Psychology: The breakdown from the trendline and QFL indicates panic or profit-taking. Many late long positions are likely being liquidated. Smart money may be waiting at the $100K zone to accumulate, depending on market conditions and macro factors. 🎯 Trading Strategy Ideas: 🛑 For Bears (Shorts): Stay short below $110K resistance. Trail stop-loss above QFL zone or trendline breakdown. Look to take profit at $104K and $102K zones. Add to positions on confirmed bearish retests of broken supports. 📈 For Bulls (Longs): Wait for clear confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing, double bottom, RSI divergence) near $104K or $102K before entering. Avoid catching falling knives—patience is key. Consider scaling in with smaller position sizes and tight stops. Watch for a reclaim of the QFL zone or a strong bounce from the $100K psychological level. 🧭 Bias: Bearish Structure: Lower highs & lower lows. Momentum: Selling volume increasing, bulls losing steam. Invalidation: A strong daily close above $111K would flip bias back to neutral/bullish. 🧩 Final Thoughts: Bitcoin is currently in a fragile state as it retraces from a failed breakout. With multiple key support zones ahead, the next few sessions will be critical in determining whether bulls can reclaim control or if we see deeper downside movement. Watch for signs of exhaustion from sellers or fresh accumulation zones to position accordingly.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Bitcoin Eyes Breakout if Clears $114,000📊 Market Overview: • Bitcoin trades around $109,350, with an intraday high near $109,610 • Rosenberg Research notes BTC could rally ~6% to clear $114,000, potentially triggering a 25% rise to $143,000 on the back of ETF inflows, a weaker dollar, and Fed rate cut expectations 📉 Technical Analysis: •Key Resistance: ~$114,000; followed by the psychological $112,000 zone . •Nearest Support: $107,000 (prior highs/descending channel bottom) and key floor at $100,000 •EMA Levels: o Price consolidates near 50-day EMA ($105,800), a crucial confluence zone •Candlestick/Momentum: o RSI near 50 (neutral), o Flag pattern breakout suggests continuation potential 📌 Viewpoint: Bitcoin may extend its rally if it breaks above $114,000, targeting $137,000–$143,000. If rejected, a pullback toward $107,000 is likely before bouncing. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy SELL BTC/USD at: $113,500–$114,000 🎯 TP: $110,000–$110,500 ❌ SL: $114,500 BUY BTC/USD at: $107,000–$108,000 🎯 TP: $112,000–$113,000 ❌ SL: $106,000
OANDA:BTCUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
$Bitcoin going to a Million $USD ? Happy 4th of July !May this 4th of July mark the Day of your Independence ! They say that the human brain has no parallels to its capacity for pattern recognition. I say it is not the brain, but the mind that recognizes the pattern ... the consciousness behind it. This chart shows the last 3 cycles ... we are just entering the 4th parabolic move, and I believe it will start when CRYPTOCAP:BTC crosses $113.5k USD per coin ... very soon indeed ! Many will say, but what happened to the 4 year cycle ? Isn't it scheduled to finish this October ? Well, I am no expert but it would appear that the cycle has lenghtened, at least this time around. Proof of it is the CRYPTOCAP:ETH chart ... the second biggest crypto by market cap. A few factors that you may consider, that perhaps affected the global business cycle, let's say they helped to delay it: the effect of Covid in 2020 and 2021, and as well the tariffs issue in 2025. What does this mean ? Well, physically it means that with the economies running very slow in these two mentioned instances, the ECONOMIC WORK globally stalled. Is it therefore any surprise that the "cycle" lenghtened, or slowed, this time around ? Let's see what happens when the BBB makes BRRRR ... ! Enjoy !
BITFINEX:BTCUSDLong
by clondaje