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BTCUSD trade ideas

BTC/USDT on FIB Retracement LevelsThe price is currently retracing after a recent upward move and is testing the 38.2% Fibonacci level (≈107,805). The entry zone is defined around 107,546, marked in yellow, suggesting a possible support area where buyers may step in. The stop loss is placed slightly below at 105,267, around the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, to manage risk if the market breaks this zone. The take-profit (TP1) target is set near 109,867, close to the previous high and aligning with the 0.236 Fib level (≈109,370). 📉 Indicators & Patterns EMAs are converging, with price slightly under them, showing possible weakness but not a confirmed downtrend yet. RSI (Relative Strength Index) at the bottom is around 45, signaling neutral momentum—neither overbought nor oversold. A bullish divergence was marked earlier on RSI, which supported the previous price rise. 📈 Trading Plan Summary Entry: 107,546 Stop Loss: 105,267 TP1: 109,867 Bias: Watching for a bullish reversal from the yellow support zone. If price fails to hold above 106,296, it may head toward 105,102 and the 1.618 Fib extension (101,650). This setup suggests a high-risk, reward potential if price bounces in the support zone, but caution is advised as RSI and EMAs currently show mixed signals.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Musarrat_karamat
1
Bitcoin Wave Analysis – 4 July 2025- Bitcoin reversed from long-term resistance level 110000.00 - Likely to fall to support level 105000.00 Bitcoin cryptocurrency recently reversed down from the major long-term resistance level 110000.00 (which has been steadily reversing the price from the start of this year, as can be seen below) – intersecting with the upper daily Bollinger Band. The downward reversal from the resistance level 110000.00 stopped the previous medium-term impulse wave (3) from the start of June. Given the strength of the resistance level 110000.00 and the overbought daily Stochastic, Bitcoin cryptocurrency pair can be expected to fall to the next support level 105000.00 (low of the previous correction (2)).
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by FxProGlobal
5
Btc will test 112 next! With some simple technical analysis I wouldn’t be confident calling in bottom but at this time I’m hedging with a short to take small profits and transfer it into spot for more BTC!! There is a FVG on a daily chart and for now on1H we can see certain resistance. RSI is relatively strong heading to neutral making me believe we may call this bottom for now. Smart money (institutional) has eaten BTC supply and just recently 7 dormant wallets are moving money. Something big may be brewing. Be careful out there.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by SpeFab
2
BTC/USD – Executed Short on Bearish Retest of Resistance PricePrice: 107,950 Position: SHORT Strategy: Retest Sell into Bearish Continuation Timeframe: 30m Status: Trade Active 📊 Analysis Summary: BTC/USD retested the 107,950–108,100 resistance zone, aligning with the 14 EMA on a clear downtrend. Bearish rejection candles confirmed seller dominance, and I executed a short entry near the top of the retest. 🔽 Plan Ahead: Towards:105,400 Holding this short unless price breaks back above EMA with bullish strength. 💬 "Sell the bounce. Ride the breakdown. Risk managed, conviction high." What’s your view? Will BTC hold below 108K or are bulls about to fight back? #BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #ShortTrade #BearishTrend #EMA #TradingStrategy #SmartMoney #MarketStructure #RiskReward #SwingTrade
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Indonesia1945
1
BTC/USD – Intraday Rebound Before Possible Breakdown PairTimeframe: 1H Exchange: Bitstamp Bias: Bearish Posted by: Indonesia1945 Bitcoin is currently holding above the 107,273 support zone after a sharp intraday sell-off. The price has failed to break this key level decisively, which opens the possibility of a short-term rebound before further downside continuation. Technical Zone Identification: Immediate Support: 107,273 Resistance to Watch: 107,770 (former support turned resistance) Major Downside Target: 105,400 Indicator Support: Price trades below EMA 14, indicating ongoing bearish pressure. No bullish divergence on RSI, suggesting that any rebound may be corrective rather than trend-reversing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Indonesia1945
BTCUSD Halving Pic Cycle next top at 140 000 in next 3 MonthsFirst Halving (Nov 28, 2012) - Price at halving: ~$12. - Peak price: ~$1,150 (Nov 29, 2013, ~366 days later). Multiple: $1,150 / $12 ≈ 95.83x - Bottom after peak, before second halving (Jul 9, 2016): ~$185 (Jan 14, 2015, ~413 days after peak).Drop from peak: $1,150 to $185 = -83.9%. Price relative to halving: $185 / $12 ≈ 15.42x the halving price. Second Halving (Jul 9, 2016): - Price at halving: ~$651. - Peak price: ~$19,700 (Dec 17, 2017, ~526 days later). Multiple: $19,700 / $650 ≈ 30.31x. - Bottom after peak, before third halving (May 11, 2020): ~$3,122 (Dec 7, 2018, ~355 days after peak).Drop from peak: $19,700 to $3,122 = -84.2%. Price relative to halving: $3,122 / $650 ≈ 4.80x the halving price. Third Halving (May 11, 2020): - Price at halving: ~$8,800. - Peak price: ~$67,549 (Nov 8, 2021, ~546 days later). Multiple: $67,549 / $8,750 ≈ 7.72x. - Bottom after peak, before fourth halving (Apr 19, 2024): ~$15,479 (Nov 21, 2022, ~378 days after peak). Drop from peak: $67,549 to $15,479 = -77.1%. Price relative to halving: $15,479 / $8,750 ≈ 1.77x the halving price. Fourth halving (Apr 19, 2024): - Price $65,000. - Dipped to $49,577 on May 7, 2024 (18 days post-halving. Estimated multiple: ~2.21x (based on trend analysis). - Projected peak price August-November 2025: $64,000 × 2.21 ≈ $140,000. - Drop from peak: $30 000 August–September 2026 at 80% drop from peak and 0.5x of last Halving price Price Fifth Halving April 2028 $123456
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by viparmenia
Bitcoin – ATH Sweep or Breakout?Bitcoin is pushing into a critical decision point as it challenges the previous all-time high near 110k. After a strong push out of a rounded bottom formation with clean higher lows, price has now broken above the last visible resistance area and is hovering just under the ATH liquidity. This rally has been aggressive, but the reaction here will determine whether this move becomes an extended breakout or a classic trap. Liquidity and Key Resistance The ATH zone around 110k carries a large pool of liquidity, and price is now testing it for the first time since the breakout. We’ve already had a clean break above the prior resistance zone, but we haven’t yet seen a confirmed close above ATH with convincing volume. If price manages to close strongly above this level on the 4H or daily chart, that would be a sign that bulls are in full control. Until then, the possibility of a sweep and rejection remains firmly on the table. Sweep Scenario and Downside Levels If we fail to close convincingly above the ATH and instead see a wick through followed by a strong reversal, that would confirm the sweep. In that case, I’d expect short setups to activate quickly, with downside targets sitting around 105k. This level marks the structure support below the most recent breakout, and would be a logical point for price to rebalance before continuing any broader uptrend. A rejection from current levels would also trap late longs and provide fuel for a quick retracement. Bullish Breakout Scenario If we do get that proper breakout above 110k, backed by strong volume and continuation candles, the upside opens fast. There’s very little structure above the ATH, so price could move cleanly up into the next round psychological target around 115k. This move would confirm continuation of the higher timeframe trend and offer short-term breakout retests for potential long re-entries. Volume and Candle Confirmation Are Crucial At this stage, the setup is binary and all about confirmation. A clean 4H or daily close above ATH with follow-through volume will flip the bias fully bullish. But if we get signs of exhaustion and a failed breakout attempt, the sweep setup becomes highly probable. Waiting for confirmation here is key, rather than trying to front-run the move. Conclusion Bitcoin is sitting right at a high-stakes level. We either continue into price discovery toward 115k if momentum follows through, or we see a classic liquidity sweep and rejection back into 105k. The clean structure and recent higher lows support both sides of the argument, but execution will depend on how price reacts around the ATH. Either way, this zone is the key pivot for the next major swing. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
TRADENATION:BTCUSD
by TehThomas
51
BITCOIN Golden Cross going to slingshot it to $130kBitcoin (BTCUSD) has completed a Golden Cross on the 4H time-frame and is attempting to keep the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support. If successful, it has high probabilities of staging a Channel Up similar to April - May, which peaked on the 2.618 Fibonacci extension. So far, the bases of those to fractals are virtually identical, with a Lower Highs trend-line initially acting as a Resistance, which broke and on the current one it is testing the final Resistance (dotted trend-line). This is the green circle, which on April 21 staged a quick consolidation before breaking aggressively upwards. If the pattern continues to repeat itself, we can get $130k (Fib 2.618 ext) at the end of the Channel Up. Do you think it will? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
3
BTC Bulls Target $111,653, Is This the Next Explosive BreakoutThe BTCUSDT 4-hour chart is showing a clearly bullish structure. After consolidating below the $108,664–$107,800 resistance for several weeks, Bitcoin finally broke above this area with a strong impulsive move, confirming the zone as a new support. This breakout coincides with improving market sentiment, especially after Metaplanet’s $108 million purchase of BTC and a surge in ETF inflows, which have been helping Bitcoin reclaim levels above $109,000. The price is currently consolidating just above the breakout area, indicating that buyers are defending this zone aggressively. Resistance Level 1, around $110,254, is the first significant barrier and aligns with the area that rejected price several times in late May. If this level is broken, the next target sits at Resistance Level 2 near $111,653, which was the major swing high established in early May. Holding above the current support is critical, as a decisive 4-hour close below $107,440 would invalidate this bullish scenario and likely trigger a deeper retracement. The recent price behavior suggests a potential ascending triangle breakout retest, a classic continuation pattern where buyers step in on each dip. Momentum remains strong, and the risk/reward profile favors long setups as long as the higher-low structure is preserved. Trade Setup (Bullish Idea) Entry Zone: $108,700–$109,000 (on a confirmed retest of support) Stop Loss: $107,440 (beneath the invalidation zone) Take Profit Targets o TP1: $110,254 o TP2: $111,653 The setup offers an estimated 2.4–2.7 risk/reward ratio, depending on precise entry and execution. As always, it’s recommended to wait for confirmation candles or wicks rejecting the support zone before entering. If the breakout holds and volume expands on the push through TP1, Bitcoin could quickly revisit the $112,000 area in line with broader market optimism and institutional buying. Just be aware of the invalidation level, as any breakdown below $107,440 could trigger a fast move back to prior range lows.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by SupertradeOfficial