BTCUSD 7/3/2025Come Tap into the mind of SnipeGoat, as he gives you a Wonderful update to his 7/1/2025 call-out which PLAYED OUT PERFECTLY!!!! If you are not convinced by now, what are you doing...
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BTCUSD trade ideas
Is Bitcoin Still a Hedge? What the Iran Israel Conflict RevealsAs geopolitical tension between Iran and Israel escalates, markets are once again gripped by fear. Oil prices have surged, gold has rallied, and investors are rebalancing portfolios in anticipation of further instability. Amidst this backdrop, Bitcoin's behavior is raising fresh questions about its role as a geopolitical hedge.
Bitcoin’s Initial Reaction: A Spike and a Slip
When the first reports of conflict broke, Bitcoin spiked alongside gold. Many hailed this as proof that BTC was becoming a reliable safe haven. However, just days later, prices retraced by roughly 6 to 7 percent as volatility intensified.
As usual, Bitcoin is still highly sentiment driven. While gold held its gains, BTC mirrored risk on assets with intraday volatility, undermining its hedge narrative.
BTC vs. Traditional Safe Havens
Let’s compare Bitcoin’s performance to:
• Gold: Continued upward trend, record ETF inflows
• Oil: Strong rally due to supply shock fears
• USD: Moderate gains as a traditional reserve asset
Bitcoin’s pullback during peak uncertainty suggests that in times of extreme stress, traditional assets still dominate flight to safety behavior.
What the On Chain Data Shows
Interestingly, on chain activity also hints at caution. Exchange inflows increased slightly after the conflict news, suggesting profit taking or reduced conviction among holders.
Moreover, stablecoin volume spiked in Middle Eastern regions — a signal that users may prefer capital preservation over speculation during geopolitical risk.
The Takeaway: Not There Yet
Bitcoin is maturing, and its response to global events is evolving. But this conflict reveals it is not yet a full fledged hedge like gold or the dollar.
For investors, the lesson is clear: BTC can act as a partial hedge in medium term macro trends, but during sharp geopolitical escalations, traditional assets still lead.
What Do You Think?
Is Bitcoin still on track to become a true safe haven asset? Or will it remain a risk sensitive speculative instrument?
BTC AT RESISTANCEThe jobs report just dropped and was stronger than expected. That means the Fed has less reason to cut. That means less chance of immediate liquidity. Since we live in the upside down, apparently more jobs are bad for markets. And we generally see Bitcoin react first and then quickly go back to trading on its own.
All of that said, this is an interesting spot. Bitcoin broke out yesterday, before closing back below the resistance. The same is happening so far today, with a potentially ugly top candle if the day stays this way. But it is WAY too early to judge.
Bitcoin BTCUSD 4H Chart Analysis – Potential Breakout Incoming!Bitcoin is currently consolidating after a strong bullish recovery from the $96,000 zone, holding above $107,000. Price is forming a tight range — a breakout is imminent.
⚡ If BTC breaks above $107,500 with momentum, expect price to target $110,000 and $112,000 short-term.
⚡ If price rejects $107,500 and breaks below $106,500, we could see downside towards $104,000.
⚠️ Watch for volume confirmation before entries. No FOMO.
🚀 Stay ready — breakout traders, your setup is building.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #Crypto #TradingView #BTC #Breakout #CryptoTrading
Bitcoin Between Strength and Suspension Tactical Inflow Anomaly.⊣
⟁ BTC/USD – BINANCE - (CHART: 1H) – (Jul 03, 2025).
◇ Analysis Price: $109,716.55.
⊣
⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (1H):
▦ EMA 9 – ($109,510.76):
∴ Price remains above EMA9, sustaining the short-term bullish impulse;
∴ The EMA 9 is ascending with consistent candle-body support across recent sessions.
✴ Conclusion: Tactical momentum persists as long as price holds above EMA9 on closing basis.
⊢
▦ EMA 21 – ($109,064.37):
∴ EMA 21 serves as dynamic support, unbroken since the July 2nd surge;
∴ Distance between EMA9 and EMA21 confirms preserved trend integrity.
✴ Conclusion: No structural weakness observed; trend foundation remains intact under current volatility.
⊢
▦ Volume – (Visual estimation, TradingView):
∴ Volume surged during July 2 rally; subsequent bars show diminishing interest;
∴ Last high-volume candle aligns with recent local top attempt.
✴ Conclusion: Buyer aggression is fading. Volume must return for any continuation to be credible.
⊢
▦ Bollinger Bands (20, 2.0) – (Upper: $110,050.15 / Lower: $108,545.25):
∴ Price recently tapped upper band and pulled back slightly without breakdown;
∴ Bands are widening after expansion, indicating active volatility but no climax.
✴ Conclusion: System operates in elevated volatility regime, with breakout potential still valid if supported.
⊢
▦ Price Action (66, 6, 5) – (Visual structure, local range):
∴ Price formed a clean higher low and higher high sequence starting July 2nd, confirming bullish microstructure;
∴ Current candles show upper wick formation at ~$110,050, indicating rejection and absorption at resistance.
✴ Conclusion: Uptrend structure is valid but approaching short-term exhaustion. If support holds at $109,100–108,900, continuation remains viable.
⊢
▦ RSI + EMA9 – (RSI: 62.69 / EMA: 63.27):
∴ RSI dipped below its own EMA9, indicating weakening strength in recent hours;
∴ RSI remains above 60, preserving bullish territory but signaling caution.
✴ Conclusion: Early-stage exhaustion detected. Zone of hesitation active.
⊢
▦ ATR (14, RMA) – (447.69):
∴ Average volatility is still elevated relative to June baseline;
∴ Slight decline in ATR may suggest slowing force behind directional moves.
✴ Conclusion: Tactical volatility is active but not expanding. Suitable for traps or distribution setups.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – Technical Oracle:
∴ The structural setup holds a bullish bias with dynamic supports (EMA9/EMA21) intact;
∴ Bollinger expansion and RSI positioning signal a zone of heightened interest, but the fading volume and early RSI crossover inject caution;
∴ This is a tactically suspended state where continuation is possible but dependent on incoming confirmation volume.
⊢
⟁ II. ARCANVM SIGNAL - (Bitcoin Inflow +5,000):
∴ Current Hourly Inflow: 20,788.10 BTC;
∴ Structural Threshold (30EMA): ~3,200 BTC;
∴ Trigger Threshold: ≥ 5,000 BTC.
✴ Conclusion and Interpretation: This event constitutes a critical liquidity anomaly under the Silent Sentinel Protocol. While it does not inherently dictate trend direction, its magnitude-6.5x above the structural average-configures:
∴ A probable institutional move for redistribution or liquidity unlocking;
∴ Elevated risk for short-term distortion events, particularly across the H1–H4 timeframes;
∴ An urgent need to monitor subsequent Netflow, to confirm whether real outflow pressure follows.
⊢
∫ III. On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant):
▦ Exchange Netflow Total - (All Exchanges):
∴ Current: +555 Bitcoin net inflow;
∴ The ARCANVM inflow (+20,788 Bitcoin) has not been fully absorbed or reversed.
✴ Conclusion: Some liquidity remains inside exchanges. Potential for redistribution or silent preparation.
⊢
▦ Exchange Reserve - (All Exchanges):
∴ Continuously declining; current: ~2.44M Bitcoin;
∴ The inflow did not shift the macro trend of reserve depletion.
✴ Conclusion: Structural scarcity preserved. Inflow likely tactical and non-systemic.
⊢
▦ Futures Perpetual Funding Rate 7D-SMA - (All Exchanges):
∴ Holding near 0.01% – neutral bias;
∴ No evidence of directional crowding in perpetuals.
✴ Conclusion: Perpetual markets in tactical balance. Spot-driven price action dominates.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – On-Chain Oracle:
∴ Despite the aggressive ARCANVM signal, the absence of structural reversals in reserves and neutral derivatives positioning confirms the move is non-structural.
∴ Markets remain in equilibrium.
∴ No emergent directional force-just silent posture-shifting.
⊢
⧈ Codicillus Silentii – Strategic Note:
∴ This is a state of tactical ambiguity. Breakout or failure depends on external triggers, as neither volume nor derivatives offer decisive guidance.
∴ The structure listens, not speaks.
⊢
▦ Tactical Range Caution:
∴ Resistance Watch Level: $110,050;
∴ Tactical Support: $109,100;
∴ Structural Alert Level: $108,400.
⊢
𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation:
∴ Structurally Bullish – Tactically Suspended;
⊢
⧉
⚜️ Magister Arcanvm – Vox Primordialis!
𓂀 Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy.
⧉
⊢
Breaking: Bitcoin Just Broke the $110k Resistant Next Top $115kThe price of the first crypto currency ever created saw a noteworthy uptick to reclaim the $110k price point however, the move was short-lived as the asset retraced to $109k mark but present price chart depicts a move to the $115k resistant point in the short term.
With the Relative strength index (RSI) at 63, Bitcoin might be inches away from claiming the $115k pivot amidst build up momentum and institutional adoption. further bullish metrics include the asset trading above the 50, 100 and 200-day Moving Averages (MA) respectfully.
July 1 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis
Hello
This is Bitcoin Guide.
If you "follow"
You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections.
If my analysis was helpful,
Please click the booster button at the bottom.
Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
Shortly later at 10:30 PM and 11:00 PM, there will be a NASDAQ index announcement.
On the left, with a purple finger,
I connected the long position entry point of $106,775.9, which I entered yesterday, to today's strategy.
Since the rebound was not strong yesterday,
the 12-hour chart -> daily chart MACD dead cross is currently under pressure.
Depending on the situation, it can drop strongly to the 3rd section at the bottom,
and since there may be some people who are maintaining long positions yesterday,
I will explain in detail the operating method such as the loss cut price,
so please check it carefully.
*When the blue finger moves,
Bidirectional neutral
Short->Long switching strategy
1. 107,300.3 dollars short position entry section / stop loss price when orange resistance line is broken
2. 106,222.2 dollars long position switching / stop loss price when section 2 is touched
3. Top section long position 1st target -> Good 2nd target
It is important until 9 o'clock when the 12-hour candle is created.
After 9 o'clock, the blue finger 106,222.2 dollars at the bottom
Becomes the main support line
If it comes down from the current position, section 2
The main support line is divided.
In terms of the pattern, it is section 6+12.
If section 2 is touched right away,
There is a high possibility of a strong drop today,
So you should be careful.
- Those who are maintaining a long position
If you touch the 2nd section before 9 PM without touching the short position entry point at the top
You should operate at a loss cut price.
I think it would be good to adjust it according to leverage.
If it falls after touching the 1st section at the top
It becomes a vertical decline condition.
From the bottom, from the 3rd
Maximum Bollinger Band daily chart support line section
Please note that it can be pushed up to 100,685.5 dollars.
I have never changed my perspective suddenly or irresponsibly after leaving an analysis article.
I did my best until the end today.
Please use my analysis article so far only for reference and use
I hope you operate safely with principle trading and loss cut prices.
Thank you.
BITCOIN now starts ascent to $150k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) closed last week with a strong green 1W candle, recovering all loses and has started the current one with a stable rise. As stable as the whole Bull Cycle has been so far since the November 2022 market bottom.
The current uptrend is the technical Bullish Leg that has always emerged the Triple Support Combo of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and former Resistance, turned Support (Pivot).
As you can see, this has happened 2 times already and this is the 3rd. The previous one peaked a little above the 1.382 Fibonacci extension, which gives us an immediate Target on a 2-month horizon at $150000. This confirms a number of previous studies we conducted, all leading towards this price or around it.
So do you think all roads lead to $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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$BTC Weekly Continues to follow the script!BTC appears to have completed a shallow wave 2 retracement showing investor excitement and demand - They just can't wait to buy some!
New all time highs are expected this week (perhaps today) once the High Volume Node resistance we are currently at is overcome (obviously).
Wave 3 has an expected target of the R3 pivot $190k but i am expecting price to overextend this cycle to at least the R4 pivot at $233k.
Safe trading
BTCUSD Trade Setup Idea on 1D Timeframe - Bullish MomentumBitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently trading at $109,348, showing strong bullish momentum on the 1H chart. The recent breakout from consolidation signals potential continuation, provided key resistance levels are breached and held.
Must Consider Analysis Timeframe : 1Day.
Strictly follow the trading rules for Entry..... only on Retracement.
SL on Previous or Close swing low.
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
Bullish Continuation Confirmation: If price sustains above 112,150, we expect bullish momentum to accelerate.
Target 1 (TP1): 112,150 – Key breakout level that may act as support once reclaimed.
Target 2 (TP2 - Major): 121,128 – Long-term resistance and major profit-taking zone.
📊 Trade Logic:
A confirmed breakout and hold above 112,150 indicates strong buyer interest and could drive price toward 116,572 and 121,128.
The trend remains bullish as long as price holds above the breakout structure.
REMEMBER:- RESPECT THE LEVELS, LELEVLS RESPECT YOU THEN.
💡 Strategy: Monitor for retests and bullish candle confirmations above 112,150 to add or enter long positions with proper risk management.
! Disclaimer & Important Note:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. All trading involves risk. We are not responsible for any kind of loss incurred, whether financial, emotional, or otherwise. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Trading involves significant risk, and you should never invest more than you can afford to lose. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
The trade idea shared above reflects personal market interpretation and is subject to change based on new market conditions.
Posted by: THEPATELCRYPTO, 45Degree
Stay safe. Trade smart.
Follow for more ideas!
📍Posted by: THEPATELCRYPTO, 45Degree
📈 Stay safe. Trade smart.
🔔 Follow for more ideas!
BTC Market Structure (June 22 - June 25): Wyckoff Insights + RSIOver the past few months, I’ve been closely studying Bitcoin’s macro structure from June 2022 to June 2025, and I believe we’re witnessing a textbook example of Wyckoff theory unfolding in real time — not just once, but in multiple phases.
🔍 Phase 1: Classic Wyckoff Accumulation (June 2022 – Oct 2023)
Starting June 2022, BTC began forming a major bottoming structure.
By November 2022, price made a lower low — but RSI (14) was making higher lows, a clear sign of bullish divergence.
From there until October 2023, BTC moved sideways in a Wyckoff accumulation range.
This was Phase A–E in classic Wyckoff terms:
Selling Climax (SC)
Secondary Test (ST)
Spring (false breakdown)
Last Point of Support (LPS)
Sign of Strength (SOS)
🚀 Phase 2: Markup with Re-Accumulations at Each Leg
After the October 2023 breakout, BTC has followed a highly structured rally with multiple consolidation phases and healthy corrections:
✅ Breakout 1:
From ~$31K to $48K → +53% move
Followed by a ~20% pullback to ~$38K
➜ This formed a re-accumulation phase, consolidating above prior resistance
✅ Breakout 2:
From $38K to $73K → +50% move
Then a deeper ~31% correction to ~$50K
✅ Breakout 3:
From $50K to $109K → +48% move
Current pullback to ~$74K → ~31% retracement
Now trading near ATH region again
🧠 Key Observation
In this cycle, we’re seeing not only one accumulation at the bottom, but also clear Wyckoff Re-Accumulation zones forming after each breakout, especially after Breakouts 1 and 3.
This suggests institutional accumulation continues during the trend, supporting the idea that:
Pullbacks are for re-loading, not distribution
Trend strength remains intact as long as prior re-accumulation lows hold
🧭 What This Means for the Current Cycle
If this structure continues, BTC may be preparing for another markup leg above $110K
Historical fractals from past bull markets (e.g., 2020–2021) show similar behavior
RSI structure and market rhythm continue to favor trend continuation, not exhaustion
📌 Conclusion
We are likely in the mid-to-late phase of a well-structured bull market, supported by:
Wyckoff Accumulation at the bottom
Re-Accumulations after each breakout
Healthy 20–31% pullbacks
RSI confirming internal strength
🔔 Next levels to watch:
Support: $74K, $88K
Resistance: $111K–$115K
Breakout target (if pattern continues): $145K–$175K zone
📢 Let me know what you think!
Do you see similar Wyckoff structure?
Drop your thoughts or charts below 👇
#BTC #Bitcoin #Wyckoff #CryptoTA #TradingView #BTCAnalysis #Reaccumulation #RSI #BullMarket
Bitcoin – The 270/100 CycleBitcoin isn’t just trading. It’s pulsing — in cycles that reward those who understand timing as much as price.
Over the last two years, BTC has shown a repeating pattern with surgical precision:
Range Phase:
Each macro consolidation lasts ~220 to 270 days, where price builds structure, absorbs supply, and prepares for its next expansion. This is the quiet phase — the zone where conviction is tested, and weak hands exit.
Impulse Phase:
What follows is a ~100-day vertical leg, where BTC surges between +50% to +80%, targeting the next macro resistance. We’ve seen this repeatedly:
Accumulate → Expand → Re-accumulate → Expand.
Wait for something more reliableMorning folks,
Since our last update action was anemic. Nothing has changed seriously. BTC was able to show just minor upside action. Based on current performance, I do not want to take long position right here and prefer to wait for something more reliable. Because BTC action stands rather different from the one that we expected to see.
For example it might be H&S pattern on 1H chart. Thus, an area around 103K seems the one that we will keep an eye on.
Bitcoin’s not done dropping. Selling pressure’s still on!Welcome aboard ✌️
In order for Bitcoin to climb higher, we first need a deeper correction.
Right now, price is stuck inside a channel — and it’ll take stronger momentum to break out.
🔻 So for now, I’m expecting further downside. Stick with me and don’t miss this bearish wave!
BINANCE:BTCUSD OANDA:BTCUSD
BTCUSD potential Bearish movement after showing rejectionSELL Signal: Activated at 108645.34, after price reacted from the supply zone and showed signs of weakness, suggesting a potential short-term reversal.
TP Zones:
TP1: 107293.03
TP2: 105940.72
Final TP: 104588.42
This setup offers a potential profit range of approximately +1,352 to +4,057 pips from entry.
Market Structure:
Following a previous bullish move, price tapped into the higher timeframe supply zone and now shows signs of exhaustion. This SELL signal suggests a possible correction or deeper move into the demand below, with a clean risk-to-reward structure. The SL is positioned above recent highs, giving this setup room to play out.
Remember to manage your trades carefully and ensure this setup fits your overall strategy. Stay sharp and trade responsibly!
The Right Bitcoin ChannelHello TV Community,
I am back with this and more insightful charts coming soon.
This chart was first published back in 2020 (linked below) and this is an update to BTC's trajectory over the past few years.
This chart demonstrates that BTC's price action has been steadily following the mid 50% of my "right" channel (see idea linked below to understand what I mean by "right channel"). The last time BTC's price broke out of the mid 50% range was back in December 2017's high.
The most up to date volume profile indicates that the majority of the trading volume was pre-2017. The MACD indicator is a great example of BTC's highly volatillity since the Dec 2017 high.
If BTC's price breaks into the bottom 25% of the channel, I would expect a touch of the lower end of this channel. If the price bounces off the lower end of the mid 50% of this channel, we can expect higher highs in the not too distant future.
'Til next time.
__________________________________
I let my charts do the talkin'.