BTCUSDT.3L trade ideas
Bitcoin (BTC) Analysis – July 21, 2025We’ve previously discussed the significance of the $110,000 level — a zone where long-term holders typically take partial profits.
After multiple pullbacks from that region, a new wave of short-term investors stepped in around $97,000, managing to push the price as high as $123,000.
⚠️ I know many traders are tracking Bitcoin dominance and expecting a correction from this zone — and I partly agree.
However, issuing a sell signal here feels premature and potentially risky.
✅ Instead, I’d suggest looking for a re-entry opportunity around $95,000, where market structure and buyer activity may offer a much better risk-reward ratio.
Trading plan for BitcoinLast week, Bitcoin established a new ATH at $123k before entering a corrective phase. The price action has since developed into a clear consolidation pattern and currently trades below the weekly pivot point.
Key Observations:
Proximity to last week's low increases probability of a full ABC correction targeting $113k
Break above noted resistance could invalidate bearish scenario and suggest ATH retest
Critical Levels:
Resistance: $119,500
Support: $113,000 (ABC target)
Trade the range until the market declares its next direction.
BTC/USDT – Bullish Pennant Setting Up for the Next Leg!Bitcoin is currently forming a bullish pennant — a classic continuation pattern — right after a strong 14% impulse move. This type of structure often leads to a breakout followed by another powerful rally. And it’s coiling up nicely.
🧠 Technical Breakdown:
🟢 Bullish pennant formation in progress
🔽 Support zone: $115.5K – $116.5K
📏 Flagpole projection targets $135K+ on breakout
⚠️ Currently consolidating with lower volatility — breakout could be near
🔍 What to Watch For:
Clean breakout above pennant = breakout confirmation
Daily close below $115K = invalidation zone
Volume spike will likely signal the next move
📢 Final Take:
BTC is showing healthy consolidation after a strong move, and this pennant could launch us toward $135K and beyond. Keep your eyes on the breakout and manage risk wisely.
💬 Share your thoughts below & smash that ❤️ if you’re watching this move!
BTC #Bitcoin 15-minute BTC/USDT chart (Updated ChartThis 15-minute BTC/USDT chart (Binance) shows Bitcoin rebounding from a demand zone near 116,000–116,750 USDT and forming higher lows along a short-term ascending trendline. Price is currently around 118,446 USDT, aiming toward a marked supply zone near 119,500 USDT, suggesting a potential short-term bullish move. A rejection at this supply zone could signal a pullback, while a breakout may indicate continued upward momentum. Key support and resistance zones are clearly defined.
thanking you
#BTC Ascending Triangle📊#BTC Ascending Triangle✔️
🧠From a structural point of view, we are still in a long-term bullish trend, and the short-term short structure of the small cycle is difficult to change the trend force of the large cycle. And we have been sideways here for a long time, digesting the selling pressure here, and it seems difficult to pull back. And the 15m level has built a bullish head and shoulders structure, so please be cautious about shorting!
➡️From a morphological point of view, the price is gradually compressed and formed into an ascending triangle. Generally, we will use this model to continue the original trend force.
⚠️Note that if we fall below the inflection point of 115687, it means a short structure at the 4h level. We need to be alert to further pullbacks. At that time, if we want to participate in long transactions, we need to find a lower support level to participate, such as around 112000.
Let's take a look👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
EP 01: BTC correction near completionAfter the impulse to last ATH we got a 3 wave correction, last wave being formed by 5 waves, so all together coming to completion. We should visit the liquidation area under last low and swipe that liquidity and aim closer to last ATH if not exceeding it. When the market gives us more information we will go for episode 02.
_Bitcoin Update
As you all know recently BTC just made a ATH record and aggressive move up panda fam right ? 🚀
Now bitcoin is consolidating or moving sideways in this structure panda fam same time altcoins are moving crazy upwards like altszn 🤯🚀
GOOD NEWS : Bitcoin is forming a possible good bullish structure for continuation pump panda fam, First confirmation will be break on trend resistance and reclaim above NEW ATH.
TAKE NOTE : As long as we are inside on the structure its still consider as sideways panda fam or ranging in short undecided directional bias. ✍️
BTC - bearish wedge, 60k$ not a joke🔻 Globally, we are in a bearish wedge.
The price made a fake breakout and currently looks weak. On the 1D timeframe, we’re in an ascending channel similar to what we saw in 2021. Back then, after making a second higher high, the price sharply reversed downward.
📉 I believe the relevant downside targets are $60,000 and $40,000.
🔺 I’m currently in a short position, with a stop at $125,333.
BTC Long London Low 07/16/25Next Monday between 2am-3am EST BTC will have retraced to 116-117k. This is where I will open a long, target 121500k-122k sl 115750.
BTC may sweep below this region before monday but I won't play a long until noted. The reason is based on the fact monday london sets the low range of the week and is the highest probable time to enter a swing trade. Price will most likley reach TP by Wednesday. Also The big confluence is the 1.1 B worth of longs placed at 116000.
Bitcoin Full analysis: Buy the dip confirmed, 123240 key__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
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Momentum: Very bullish across all timeframes; healthy compression above previous range.
Key Supports: 115731–110481 USDT (structural, 1D to 1H).
Major Resistances: 123240 USDT (multi-frame pivot).
Volume: Normal, no climax or distribution — flows support the dominant bias.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Strong bullish HLTF signal; short-term neutral intraday.
ISPD DIV: Neutral on all timeframes.
Multi-TF Behavior: Bull rally, no excess, no euphoria or capitulation; market holds above key levels.
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Strategic Summary
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Global Bias: Strong bullish – MT/LT “buy on dips” confirmed.
Opportunities: Progressive buying (117800, 115731 USDT), continuation on breakout >123240.
Risk Zones: Possible pullback if clear rejection below 123240, swing invalidation if close <115731-111949.
Macro Catalysts: Awaiting FOMC late July, short-term volatility limited. Watch geopolitics, extreme compression.
Action Plan: Swing entry: 118300–119000. Stop: 115500. Target: 123200 then 126000+. R/R ≥2.5. Adjust risk management before FOMC.
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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
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1D: Bullish momentum, supports at 105054/107939–110483. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator strong buy, healthy volume, ISPD neutral.
12H: Consolidation below 123240, aligned supports 110481/115731, healthy structure.
6H: Confirmed momentum, continuous compression, no major sell signals.
4H: Rally structure robust, corrections limited and on support.
2H: Key support band 115731–110481, volume supports rebound, possible rotation below 123240.
1H: Rally confirmed, no panic selling detected.
30min/15min: Intraday consolidation, micro-range below resistance, stable volume, Risk On / Risk Off Indicator short-term neutral.
Cross-TF summary: CLEAR momentum across all frames, no significant divergence, high-quality HTF supports. Next >123240 breakout likely fast and dynamic.
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Technical & Fundamental Synthesis
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Technical Synthesis: Broad bullish confirmation; buy-the-dip valid on 117800/115731, no aggressive downside signal. Swing positions above 118200 to be favored, expect acceleration after clear break of 123240.
Stops & Invalidation: Swing stops below 115731/111949. Closing below = increased risk, “off” bias.
Fundamentals: Optimal pre-FOMC swing window, US market in wait-and-see mode short term. Neutral/volatile geopolitics, no immediate shocks.
On-chain: Heavy accumulation, historic compression, ETF flows strong (but on short pause). Imminent volatility squeeze possible either way.
Recommendation: Actively monitor 123240 (breakout above), 115731 (below = increased caution). Adjust stops and sizing, remain highly responsive, especially as FOMC approaches.
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Where Could Bitcoin Make Its Cycle Top? Model and ABCD AlignedWith the breakout above resistance around 110,000, Bitcoin’s rally appears to be back on track. If you've been following our crypto analysis, either here or on our website, you’ll know our target range for this bull cycle is between 135,000 and 150,000, with the top of the range possibly extending further depending on the strength of the final wave.
Now, a possible ABCD pattern is forming, with point D potentially landing at either 135,000 or 150,000. A coincidence? Maybe, maybe not.
How Did We Arrive at the 135K–150K Target?
We based this range on historical halving cycle returns:
Halving Year - Return to Cycle Top
2012 - 9,076%
2016 - 2,122% (↓ 4.27x)
2020 - 541% (↓ 3.92x)
Two things stand out:
Each cycle has shown diminishing returns.
The rate of decline appears roughly consistent, dropping by around 4x each time—but slightly less with each cycle.
So depending on the multiplier used:
If returns fall by 4.27x again → target: 135K
If reduced by 4x → target: 140K
If reduced by 3.92x → target: 142K
If the rate of reduction itself slows (difference of 0.35 between 4.27 and 3.92) → target: 150K
While the sample size is too small, we believe the model holds reasonable logic with fundamental backing from various metrics.
The chart now shows a possible ABCD pattern:
If it becomes a classic AB = CD structure, point D could form near 135K.
If it becomes an extended ABCD (with CD = AB × 1.272), then point D could reach just above 150K.
These technical targets align closely with our halving model projections, increasing our confidence in the 135K–150K range as a likely top zone for this cycle.
Also, please check our earlier post for possible altseason start. A correlation between BTC/ETH and Gold/Silver might give some tips about possible Ether surge.