Bitcoin - Bull Trap! Don't get caught (Buy at 102,909 USD)Bitcoin has been pumping last week, but the problem is that the bulls made a false breakout above the bullish flag / descending channel. We see that the price went above the channel but failed to continue in the uptrend. This is called a false breakout of a pattern or a bull trap. Usually what happens next is that the price goes in the opposite direction!
That's a pretty bearish case because the bulls are now trapped in their long position, and we all know that the whales need liquidity (orders and stop losses). That's why they will be ready to push the price to the downside, potentially to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the previous impulse wave.
From the Elliott Wave perspective, this is a bullish setup, but we have just finished an impulse wave (1), so we should wait for an ABC correction (wave (2)) to form before entering a long position. I expect Bitcoin to hit 102,909 USD in the short term because there is the 0.618 FIBO. Also, we have an unfilled FVG between 102k - 104k on the daily chart. Usually these kinds of gaps tend to be filled sooner rather than later; that's why I expect a pullback.
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades! Trading tip at the end: Organize Personal Life - Professional traders have great management of their personal life as they keep their trading activities from personal concerns. Balancing your personal life is essential to achieve harmony as well as improve your performance in trading.
BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas
BTC – Bullish Continuation Ahead ?Bitcoin has been trading within a well-defined rising channel since mid-2023, respecting both upper and lower bounds beautifully.
After each impulsive move, we’ve seen healthy corrections followed by bullish continuations — a classic market structure in play.
🟦 Accumulation Zone: After a long accumulation phase, BTC kicked off a strong bullish cycle.
🟥 Correction Phases: Each major move was followed by a red correction zone before resuming the uptrend.
🟧 Current Phase: BTC is consolidating just below the upper channel boundary. A breakout above this zone could confirm the next bullish wave toward $140K+.
🔵 Key Observations:
Structure remains intact within the channel
Previous breakout zones now acting as support (blue arrows)
Continuation patterns are forming, signaling potential upside
🏹As long as the orange zone holds, BTC remains in a bullish structure, and a breakout would likely push us to new highs.
📍Will history repeat and BTC continue its journey toward the upper channel boundary? Let’s wait for confirmation!
💬 What’s your bias here? Are you bullish or waiting for a deeper pullback?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Is Bitcoin Getting Ready to dump?
In this analysis, I looked at the weekly, daily, and 4-hour timeframes and found some key signals that suggest a major shift might be coming in Bitcoin’s movement over the next few days and weeks.
If you don’t want to get caught off guard by the next big move, make sure to watch the video all the way through!
BTCUSDT[BITCOIN]:Price is Likely to be Heading Towards $144,000.Recently, Bitcoin has shown extreme bullish price behaviour, and there’s no sign of bearish influence in the market. After monitoring the price since May 4th, we believe there’s a high possibility of price hitting the 120k region first. This could be followed by a small correction around 105k, where a strong bullish price influence will lead the price to our final target at 140k. Both fundamental and technical factors support this view, but it doesn’t guarantee the price will follow our expectations.
Before investing or trading cryptocurrencies, do your own research as they carry significant financial risk. This chart analysis is for educational or secondary purposes only.
Good luck and trade safely.
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BTCUSDT 4H Analysis
BTC is consolidating below the key resistance zone highlighted in red (~$109,000–$110,000).
The price continues to form higher lows, showing bullish pressure despite rejection in the red zone.
The structure resembles an ascending triangle, indicating a potential breakout.
Upside Target: ~$113,500–$114,000 if the price moves above ~$110,000 with strong volumes.
Support Zone: ~$106,000–$106,300 must hold to keep the bullish scenario intact.
If the support breaks, the price could retest ~$102,000–$103,000.
Small Insights: Repeated retests of resistance suggest that bulls are absorbing supply. A strong push above the red zone could trigger a short squeeze.
Stay alert!
CoinMarketCap chart and correlation with BTC
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(USDT.D 1D chart)
USDT dominance is showing a downward trend along the medium- to long-term downtrend line.
The decline in USDT dominance can be interpreted as an upward trend in the coin market.
Therefore, if it remains below 4.91 or continues to decline, the coin market is likely to enter a bull market.
The coin market is expected to show a major bull market until 2025.
At this time, the USDT dominance is expected to fall to around 3.42 and then rise, causing the coin market to enter a bear market.
Therefore, a major bear market is expected in 2026.
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(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
You might think that it would be good if it continued to rise in a bull market, but in reality, that is not the case.
The reason is that if the price continues to rise, you have to buy more money.
Therefore, it will show a pattern of falling when appropriate and rising again when appropriate.
As I mentioned earlier, 2025 is a major bull market, so it will eventually show a rising pattern.
So, when should we buy and when should we sell?
It would be nice if we could know this a little bit faster, but we can never know.
Currently, BTC is renewing its ATH, so it is even more difficult to predict the movement.
Therefore, we can only predict it through predictable chart analysis techniques.
Among them, the method I use is to predict and respond to the high point using the HA-Low, HA-High indicators and the DOM (DMI + OBV + MOMENTUM) indicator using the Heikin-Ashi chart.
The DOM indicator indicates the end of the high and low points, and the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are used to establish a basic trading strategy.
The sky blue (#00bcd4) arrow is generated, indicating that the DOM (60) indicator is likely to be generated soon.
In other words, it means that the end of the high point is becoming more likely.
When the DOM(60) indicator is created, there is a high possibility of resistance, so the price is likely to fall.
Therefore, you should think about a countermeasure for the decline.
However, as I mentioned earlier, since 2025 is expected to show a major uptrend, it is recommended to sell in installments at an appropriate level to preserve profits.
The reason is that we cannot know how far it will fall.
The start of a full-scale decline is likely to begin when it falls below the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, if it falls after the DOM(60) indicator is created, we should observe whether a new HA-High indicator is created.
If a new HA-High indicator is created, the key point is whether there is support in the vicinity.
If a new HA-High indicator is not created, it is likely to fall to the current HA-High indicator location of 73499.86.
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A trend line has been formed between highs, but a trend line between lows has not yet been formed.
Therefore, it is difficult to predict how far it will fall once the decline begins.
In the 2025 bull market, BTC is expected to rise to around the Fibonacci ratio of 2.618 (133889.92).
Therefore, we should also consider countermeasures for this.
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(BTC.D 1M chart)
When will the altcoin bull market start?
I think the timing is when BTC dominance falls below 55.01 and is maintained or continues to decline.
I think the rising BTC dominance means that the funds flowing into the coin market are concentrated toward BTC.
Therefore, we should consider that a market for trading BTC has been formed.
If BTC dominance fails to fall below the 55.01-62.47 range, BTC dominance is expected to rise to around 73.63-77.07.
At this time, it is highly likely that it will encounter strong resistance and begin to decline.
Since it has not fallen below the mid- to long-term trend line, it seems likely that it will continue to rise.
In order to eventually turn into a downtrend, BTC dominance must fall below 60.
If not, I think it will be difficult to expect an uptrend in altcoins.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This period of volatility is expected to continue until July 11.
Therefore, the key issue is whether there is support near 111696.21.
If there is support at the 111696.21 point, it is expected to rise to the right Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (116940.43).
If not, we need to check whether there is support near 108316.90.
As I mentioned in the previous idea, three conditions must be met to break through the 111696.21 point upward.
- The StochRSI indicator is showing an upward trend with K>D,
- The PVT-MACD oscillator is showing an upward trend (if possible, above the 0 point),
- The OBV indicator of the Low Line ~ High Line channel is maintained above the High Line,
If the above conditions are met, I said that there is a high possibility of a stepwise upward trend from the 111696.21 point.
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The next volatility period is expected to occur around July 18 (July 17-19).
Therefore, we need to see if it can be maintained above 111696.21 until the next volatility period.
If it fails, we need to check if it is supported above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, near 108316.90.
If not, it is likely to fall to the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart or near 99705.62.
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The basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator.
However, if the HA-High indicator rises, there is a possibility of a stepwise uptrend, and if the HA-Low indicator falls, there is a possibility of a stepwise downtrend.
The end of the stepwise uptrend is a downtrend, and the end of the stepwise downtrend is an uptrend.
That is, we can see that the support around the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section and the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section will be important turning points for the future trend.
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On the USDT dominance chart, it seems likely that August 3rd will be the volatility period.
Looking at the BTC chart, it seems likely that August 2nd to 5th (August 1st to 6th) will be the pre-movement for the volatility period of August 1st to 6th.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 9 – Breakout and History in Motion🌋🚀 Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 9 – Breakout and History in Motion. 🔓💥
The breakout over 114900 has happened.
After 2 rejections, years of preparation, and countless fakeouts… Bitcoin has finally cleared the $114,921 barrier.
We are now officially in price discovery mode within the upper resistance channel.
📍 As long as BTC stays above $114,900 – we are long.
This level is now our trigger line. Lose it? Flip back to short bias. Hold it? There’s only one word: 🚀
🔑 Context:
We’ve tracked this structure since 2023 using a 1-2-3 model based on macro highs. The third test is always the decider — and this time, we broke through.
✅ Test 1: Rejected (2021)
✅ Test 2: Rejected (2025)
✅ Test 3: Breakout confirmed (July 2025)
Now compare that to previous cycles:
2016 halving → ATH in 2017
2020 halving → ATH in 2021
2024 halving → ATH coming by end of 2025?
🧭 Based on this map, BTC’s next structural targets are:
→ $137K
→ $160K
→ $182K+
But there’s a catch: if we fall back below 114,900, the entire breakout thesis is at risk. This is now a binary zone.
⚠️ What to Watch:
📌 Support Retests:
Expect volatility around the 114.9–116K level. This zone will now be stress-tested.
📌 Media Frenzy vs Structure:
As hype increases, stick to levels — not noise.
📌 Ultimate FOMO vs Breakdown:
Hold structure = ATH potential
Lose structure = Down we go, potentially hard.
🎥 Missed the full structural breakdown?
👉 Watch “Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 8” for the blueprint
👉 This is now Part 9 – The terminal move has begun
We are now playing for cycle maturity – this could be the final leg before topping out in late 2025.
Let’s trade it with clarity, not emotions.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
🚨 BITCOIN HAS BROKEN OUT but keep in mind: under 114900 be OUT!
Bitcoin's Consolidation Almost Over —200-220 DaysBitcoin's consolidation period before a bullish breakout tends to last some 200-220 days on average. We have four instances of this pattern since the 2022 bear market counting 2025. Let's look at those. This proves that Bitcoin is set to grow in a matter of days. Continue reading below and make sure to boost. When you reach the end of the article leave a comment with your opinion about this issue. Do you agree? Do you disagree? Can you see what I mean?
» Back in 2022 Bitcoin consolidated for 203 days before a bullish breakout.
» Back in 2023 Bitcoin consolidated for 203 days before a bullish breakout.
» Back in 2024, last year, Bitcoin consolidated for 217 days before a bullish breakout.
It really depends on where you start counting for the total days but it all adds up to 200-220 days. With 220 being the maximum.
» Currently, in 2025, Bitcoin has been consolidating for 210 days. Looking at previous patterns, this means that only a few days are left before Bitcoin produces a bullish continuation.
We also saw that once Bitcoin breaks out of a this long-term consolidation range/period/phase, it never moves back to the lows of the consolidation range. That is, Bitcoin will never trade below 80K nor 90K once it resumes growing.
I am estimating that the next jump can start as early as next week. The entire move can take months to develop. After a peak is reached, Bitcoin will then start a new consolidation phase with a bearish bias first. This bearish bias produces a low after several months yet a strong higher low compared to the previous consolidation period which is current prices. After this low, more consolidation and then a new bullish jump.
If we take into consideration a bear market, then the dynamics can be different. Bear markets only happen once every four years. Seeing how different market conditions are now, the next bear market will be interesting because it won't be anything like the bear markets of the past. Bitcoin will remain much stronger but that is an analysis for another time.
Summary
Bitcoin is going up. It is very close now. When Bitcoin breaks up and hits a new all-time high, just to continue growing, the altcoins market will explode. You've been warned.
Now you can leave your comment.
Share your opinion on the comments section below. I know you have something to say. You've been trading Cryptocurrencies for years, buying and selling, making profits so... Are you ready for the 2025 bull market?
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
BTC/USDT – 4H Chart Technical AnalysisBTC/USDT – 4H Chart Technical Analysis
Market Structure & Trend
Overall Trend : Bearish (clearly defined by a consistent downtrend channel).
Current Structure : Price is in a corrective downtrend within a descending channel, after multiple rejections from the supply zone.
Key Technical Zones
1. Supply Zone
Strong rejection zone where the price previously reversed sharply.
Still acting as resistance, located around the upper range.
2. Demand Zone
Currently being retested for the fifth time, weakening its strength.
Recent price action shows liquidity sweep and swing low break inside this zone, potentially trapping early longs.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG) & Fibonacci Levels
1D FVG sits below the current demand, aligning with:
Golden Pocket (0.618–0.65 Fib).
Acts as a high-probability bounce zone for long entries if demand fails.
A break below this FVG could open up deeper downside toward the 0.786 Fib or beyond.
Psychological Levels
105,000 – Major resistance & potential take-profit area for long positions.
100,000 – Key support and liquidity magnet if the demand zone fails.
Volume Profile
High Volume Node: 102,000 – 106,800 — price tends to gravitate here, indicating potential consolidation or resistance.
Low Volume Area: Below 100,500 — suggests thin liquidity, which may cause sharp moves if price drops into this range.
Scenarios & Trade Ideas
Bullish Scenario
If price holds above the demand zone (after multiple retests) and confirms on LTF:
Potential Long to local resistance.
On breakout, target the 105,000 psychological level.
Confluence: High volume area offers both support and a magnet.
Bearish Scenario
If price fails to hold the demand zone:
Enter short position targeting the 1D FVG and 100,000 psychological level.
If that breaks, expect sharp continuation due to low volume below.
Conclusion
Price is at a pivotal point — currently balancing on weakened demand after multiple retests. Watch for LTF confirmation:
Above demand = bullish recovery setup.
Below demand = bearish continuation toward 100,000 and the FVG.
Manage risk tightly due to the proximity of both key zones.
The Critical Blue Line – Will Bitcoin Soar or Sink
🔹 Bitcoin Technical Analysis – Key Blue Line, Bear Trap Possibility & Long-Term Scenario
On the Bitcoin chart, the blue horizontal level has acted multiple times as both support and resistance. The price has broken it several times but failed to sustain above, indicating high-volume decision-making zones by institutions and large players.
📉 Why this pattern keeps repeating:
Strong supply and demand concentration at this level.
Inability to break and hold shows market indecision.
Repeated fakeouts are likely used to shake out weak hands.
🔍 Important hidden scenario: Bear Trap Potential
If the price dips below the blue line but quickly reclaims it, it may form a bear trap, tricking short sellers into entering prematurely. This move could ignite strong bullish momentum from trapped sellers and renewed buyers.
🔮 If price holds above the blue line:
Signals market strength and potential bullish structure shift.
Targets:
109,800
117,200
120,000+ (Long-term)
📛 If support fails again:
Retracement toward the lower channel near 101,000 or lower is possible.
📊 Conclusion:
This zone is one of the most critical decision points in the current market. Traders should combine volume, candlestick behavior, and confirmation signals to avoid getting trapped by fake breaks
BTC third tap incoming? Recently, BTC has traded for a large amount of time in ranging environments. These ranges have started with a local range high and then an initial 3-tap accumulation (i.e., a local low and then two sweeps of that low) before making a solid attempt at the range highs. The sweeps of the lows are meant to shake people out and provide fuel to try to break higher. The previous two times, that initial attempt failed and the price was sent lower to put in a second 3-tap accumulation at lower prices.
Will the current price move back down to put in the 3rd tap of the current relatively small accumulation? That is my base case. I believe we will see some lower prices locally to put in the 3rd tap. I think the Bitcoin Swing Trade Indicator (BSTI) will fire off green one more time and then we will then make a run to try to break out of this current massive range (that started last year in November). This current range is fairly small, so it is not worth it to me to sell here to try to buy lower.
The bigger question is: Will we have enough fuel to durably break out of this range after the 3rd tap of the current accumulation (green line) or are we destined to repeat the pattern of the last two bigger ranges (red line), one of which we are still in? I personally believe we will break out after the smaller range 3rd tap (the green line) based on the larger context of cycle theory, how long we have been in this range, and how the current small range is part of the larger range starting back in November 2024.
It will be interesting to see what happens.
Da_Prof
Note that TV won't allow publication of a private/unpublished indicator anymore or I would have shown the BSTI, which is now published as invite only. It's implementation is too complicated to publish openly, so I don't feel comfortable doing that. If you want access, please DM me on TradingView. Thanks.
PVSRA Bitcoin AnalysisMay 08 2025 a bullish candle's parallel volume bar broke the threshold in the below pane; indicating price instability, or unfilled orders if you will. June 22 price returns to that full candle body and dips $500 below it, to feel the opposing force and realize orders have been filled and we are in equilibrium. This set up is usually set up and finished in 1-2 weeks (volume absorption) so this 1.5 month setup was an outlier and a grind that paid off BIG patience and knowing your plan of attack is everything in this game, you have to have a plan for every single variable and NEVER stray.
Present day, a 30 minute candle has broken our volume threshold, and weve moved aggressively away from that magnetic force inevitably pulling price back towards it EVENTUALLY as it did june 22nd. Due to the commonality and the recentness of the move that just happened of 5/8-6/22, we can suspect price pattern will repeat and price will be bid up, from 115-120k, where we will then reverse to 103. The bar pattern from the 5'8 6'22 move was copied, pasted, and retrofitted to current time.
Regardless of the exact pattern of the move we expect price eventually to resolve those orders at the 103 mark and our moves are based in that zone. This seems like a range out as we capitulate these 6 figures whilst remaining in a bull market.
Bitcoin: Final Push in the 60-Day Cycle?Bitcoin appears to be making its final move higher within the current 60-day cycle. We could potentially see a push into the $121K–$122K range before a sharp correction takes us down to around $110K–$112K toward the end of the month, driven by the 3-day cycle timing.
After that, we’re likely to form a new 60-day cycle low, which could set the stage for a renewed move to the upside.
Is it time to go long?
At this point, the risk/reward doesn’t look favorable for new longs. Personally, I’m watching for one final push above $120K to consider opening a short position into the expected cycle low.
SELL BTC 13.7.2025 (scalping M15)Counter-trend trade order: SELL at THE TOP
Type of entry: Limit order
Condition:
- If the price break down at 122,041 confirming the down trend.
Note:
- Management of money carefully at the price of bottom (122,041)
Set up entry:
- Entry sell at 122,821
- SL at 123,334
- TP1: 123,041
- TP2: 121,389
Trading Method: Price action (No indicator, only trend and candles)
#BTCUSDT: Major Bearish Correction?Bitcoin is currently undergoing a correction following its recent peak. While the initial price decline appeared insignificant, it has since experienced a substantial drop, suggesting a substantial volume of selling activity in the market.
We anticipate two potential areas where the price could reverse and resume its upward trajectory. These areas could lead to a price of 110,000, followed by 120,000, and ultimately reaching 150,000.
We strongly recommend that you implement rigorous risk management measures and conduct your own analysis before making any investment decisions.
Best regards,
Team Setupsfx_