BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas
07/07/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $110,529.95
Last weeks low: $105,108.81
Midpoint: $107,819.38
The "Big Beautiful Bill" was signed into law last week on the 4th July, a huge event in the financial world and undoubtedly the world of crypto. The debt ceiling is now instantly raised by $5T making risk-on assets even more appealing than ever, incoming demand shock will likely help BTC but also the struggling altcoin market as well.
Last week the BTC ETFs saw a net inflow of $294m. This takes the total 30-day inflows to nearly 50K BTC and this is before the big beautiful bill was passed. PA wise, BTC is still struggling to break the $110k level and flip ATH, however the consolidation just under ATH with increasingly shallow pullbacks suggests a run at the highs is in the near future IMO.
For this week US CPI & PPI data are the important release for the week. It's hard to tell if the data releases will actually provide any volatility this time around, they usually do but the FEDs refusal to act has made the last few CPIs very flat in terms of volatility for BTC.
Key battleground for me this week would be the midpoint, clearly last week provided good support, however a larger area of inefficiency rest just under that it so there is a natural pull for price to revisit those areas. Could be a choppy week once again...
Good luck this week everybody!
July 10th Market Outlook –Charted Waters & Uncertain Momentum🗓️📊 July 10th Market Outlook – Charted Waters & Uncertain Momentum 🌊⚠️
Today’s breakdown is a reality check for traders navigating a market full of setups but short on clarity. Resistance is stacking across the board, but that doesn’t mean we can’t break through — it just means we need to stay sharp and keep our charts close.
🔎 Highlights from the 19-minute video:
Bitcoin is approaching a third and crucial resistance test. A breakout could trigger ultra-FOMO, but failure here could send us lower.
Ethereum is in a pressure zone — the "Symplegades" setup from Greek mythology reflects today’s narrow trading path.
Bitcoin Dominance is clinging to support — if it breaks, altseason could be on. If it holds, alts may stay sidelined.
NASDAQ & Nvidia have delivered massive runs, but signs of exhaustion and reversal risk are showing.
Dollar Index (DXY) showing a Golden Cross, but unresolved rate expectations could catch markets off guard.
💬 I also speak candidly about market manipulation, being someone else’s exit liquidity, and why we might be heading toward a formative trap before any true breakout.
🎥 Watch the full video to catch all the details — from long-term setups to real-time chart reactions.
📌 Stay tuned for detailed updates today on Bitcoin, Ethereum, Bitcoin Dominance, NASDAQ and more.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
BITCOIN Bitcoin (BTC) has reached a new all-time high, trading around $111,000 to $112,000 per coin.
Key Highlights:
Bitcoin hit an intraday record high surpassing its previous peak of about $111,970 set in May 2025.
market capitalization exceeding $2 trillion.
The rally is attributed to a combination of factors including:
A weakening US dollar, which reduces opportunity cost for holding Bitcoin.
Increased demand from institutional investors, with nearly $1 billion net inflows into Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in early July.
Positive market sentiment following statements on monetary policy and expectations of potential Fed rate cuts.
Recent significant moves include the transfer of 20,000 BTC from wallets inactive for 14 years, highlighting long-term holder activity.
Price Data Snapshot:
Current Price: Around $111,000
Day’s High: Approximately $112,152
Market Cap: About $2.02 trillion
Volume (24h): Over $57 billion
Year High: $112,021 (intraday)
Summary:
Bitcoin continues its strong upward momentum in mid-2025, breaking new records amid supportive macroeconomic conditions such as a softer dollar and growing institutional adoption. The cryptocurrency remains volatile but shows robust demand as a digital asset and inflation hedge.
#BTC
BTC 1 hr technical analiysis Asset: BTCUSDT.P (Bitcoin Perpetual Futures)
Timeframe Provided: 1-Hour (1H)
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
1. Higher Timeframe Bias (Assumed for 1H Context):
Based on the observed price action, specifically the strong impulsive bullish move around July 2nd-3rd, followed by a corrective pullback, it is reasonable to assume a bullish bias from the higher timeframes (Daily/4H). This assumption is crucial, as the 1H timeframe should ideally align with the dominant higher timeframe trend for high-probability setups. The strong push above previous resistance and the subsequent retracement suggest the potential for a continuation of an uptrend.
2. 1-Hour Structure Analysis:
Initial Structure: The price was generally ranging or in a slight downtrend until around July 2nd. We observe multiple internal bearish Break of Structures (1H BOS in red).
Change of Character (CHoCH): A significant bullish 1H CHoCH is observed around July 2nd, indicating a shift from a bearish to a bullish internal structure. This shift was followed by strong bullish momentum.
Break of Structure (BOS): After the CHoCH, the market showed clear bullish 1H BOS, confirming the new bullish impulse.
Current Structure: The market has recently pulled back significantly after the strong bullish impulse. This pullback has tested a key demand zone. We are looking for a continuation of the bullish trend from this pullback.
3. Liquidity and Inducement:
Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL): Prior to the bullish CHoCH, there were clear areas of sell-side liquidity that were swept, fueling the subsequent upward move.
Inducement: The current pullback, while corrective, may be acting as an inducement, drawing in early buyers or trapping sellers, before potentially continuing the upward movement. Price has swept some internal liquidity during this retracement.
4. Valid Demand/Supply Zones (1H):
Primary Demand Zone: The most prominent demand zone of interest is located roughly between $107,000 and $107,300. This zone represents an unmitigated order block (or a clear area of strong institutional buying) that initiated the significant bullish impulse. It also aligns with previous resistance that was broken and is now potentially acting as support (a "flip zone"). This is our primary point of interest for a long entry.
Mitigation: Price has begun to tap into this demand zone, indicating a potential mitigation phase.
5. Trade Setup Proposal (High Probability Long Setup):
Considering the assumed higher timeframe bullish bias and the current 1H structure, a long setup from the identified demand zone presents a high-probability opportunity.
Bias: Bullish
Entry Strategy: We are looking for confirmation within the demand zone. Given the 1H chart, a refined entry could be sought on a lower timeframe (e.g., 15M or 5M) for further confirmation (e.g., an internal CHoCH, aggressive entry within the order block). However, based on the provided 1H chart:
Proposed Entry Price: Around $107,150 - $107,250. This is within the heart of the unmitigated demand zone. The visual suggests an entry around $107,200.
Stop Loss (SL): Slightly below the low of the demand zone/order block, and crucially, below any structural low that would invalidate the bullish short-term structure.
Proposed SL Price: Around $106,750 - $106,900. The visual places the SL at approximately $106,900. This allows for some wick hunting but protects capital if the demand fails.
Target (TP): We will target the high of the recent bullish impulse, and potentially higher if the higher timeframe bias confirms a sustained uptrend.
Proposed TP Price: Initial target at the recent high around $110,900 - $111,000. The visual suggests $110,950.
Rationale for TP: This target represents the next logical liquidity pool (buy-side liquidity) and a significant structural high that, if broken, would confirm further bullish continuation.
Risk to Reward Ratio (RRR):
Entry: ~$107,200
SL: ~$106,900 (Risk: $300)
TP: ~$110,950 (Reward: $3750)
Calculated RRR: Approximately 1:12.5. This is an exceptional RRR and highlights the potential of this setup.
6. Important Considerations & Trade Management:
Confirmation: While the 1H demand zone is strong, for institutional-level entries, further confirmation on lower timeframes (e.g., a CHoCH or clear bullish momentum shift on the 5M/15M chart once price enters the demand zone) would be ideal.
Market News/Events: Always be aware of upcoming high-impact economic news (e.g., CPI, FOMC minutes, NFP) that could induce high volatility and invalidate technical setups. For crypto, major exchange news, regulatory announcements, or large whale movements can also impact price. As of Saturday, July 5th, 2025, there are no immediate high-impact economic data releases on the calendar for this weekend, but traders should always check the economic calendar for the upcoming week.
Partial Take Profits: Consider taking partial profits at intermediate highs or psychological levels to secure gains and reduce risk.
Trailing Stop Loss: Once the trade moves significantly in profit, consider trailing your stop loss to break-even or beyond to protect capital.
This detailed analysis, even with the limitation of a single timeframe, provides a clear, high-probability long setup based on advanced SMC principles. Monitor price action closely at the entry point and manage risk diligently.
Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational and analytical purposes and does not constitute a buy or sell recommendation or financial advice. All trading decisions must be made based on individual analysis, proper risk management, and careful consideration of market conditions by the trader themselves. As an AI model, I bear no financial responsibility for the outcomes of your trades.
Bitcoin Breaks All-Time High: What’s Next?Bitcoin (BTC) has once again captured the world’s attention by smashing through its previous all-time high (ATH). This milestone has sparked excitement and speculation across the crypto community and beyond. But the key question remains: Will BTC continue its upward trajectory, or is a correction on the horizon?
Long-Term Outlook: The Bullish Case
In the long run, the fundamentals for Bitcoin remain strong. Several factors support a positive outlook:
Institutional Adoption: More institutional investors are entering the market, providing greater liquidity and legitimacy.
Scarcity and Halving Cycles: Bitcoin’s fixed supply and periodic halving events historically drive long-term price appreciation.
Macro Trends: Ongoing concerns about inflation and fiat currency devaluation continue to make BTC an attractive hedge.
Given these dynamics, we believe Bitcoin’s long-term trajectory remains upward.
Short-Term Caution: A Correction May Be Coming
While the long-term view is optimistic, the short-term picture may be less rosy:
Overheated Market Indicators: Rapid price surges often lead to overbought conditions, increasing the likelihood of a pullback.
Profit-Taking: After breaking ATH, some investors may lock in gains, adding selling pressure.
Technical Resistance: Historical patterns suggest that corrections often follow major breakouts.
We anticipate a potential correction, possibly pulling BTC back to the $90,000 range. This adjustment could unfold in the coming week or weeks as the market digests recent gains.
What Should Investors Do?
Stay Calm: Volatility is part of the crypto landscape. Corrections are healthy for sustainable growth.
Focus on Fundamentals: Remember why you invested in BTC in the first place.
Consider Dollar-Cost Averaging: Spreading out purchases can help mitigate the impact of short-term swings.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s break above its all-time high is a testament to its enduring appeal and the growing confidence of investors. While a short-term correction may be likely, the long-term case for BTC remains compelling. As always, prudent risk management and a focus on fundamentals are key to navigating the exciting—and sometimes turbulent—world of crypto.
Do not consider it as investment advice.
#crypto #bitcoin #analysis
Bitcoin Rejected at Resistance – Sideways Trap Now Likely⚠️🚫 Bitcoin Rejected at $111,592 – Smart Money Took Profits, Not FOMO 💰📉
We called it yesterday. I urgently posted about the $111,592 level — one of the most important resistance zones in this structure. And right on schedule… Bitcoin tagged it and got rejected.
📍 This isn’t just luck. It’s structure + timing + discipline.
🔄 While many were eyeing a breakout, we were preparing for the expected rejection — and we took profits after long entries from just under $100K (as shown). This wasn’t the time to FOMO. This was the time to cash in.
🔎 Key Points from Today’s Market View:
We’re still inside the ascending channel, but testing the upper end
Multiple divergences on the 2-day chart are still active (8 counted). Many more across big timeframes.
The third macro resistance test is inbound — watch the 'where can Bitcoin go post below'
Current outlook favors a sideways chop — the classic liquidation zone where longs and shorts alike get punished
We might still get the breakout to $114,900 — but if that happens, it’ll come after more pain, not from clean momentum.
🧠 Bigger Picture:
If you missed the major chart update, watch:
👉 Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 8
And if you want today’s broader outlook (including ETH, BTC.D, NASDAQ), catch the July 10th video:
👉 July 10th Market Outlook – Uncharted Waters
🗣️ Final Word:
What we’re seeing is not a breakout. Not yet.
This is a trap zone.
Discipline > Emotion.
Structure > Hope.
Profits > FOMO.
Welcome to day trading.
💬 Peanut butter Street Talk:
Presidents are out here launching meme coins. The insiders already made their billions — and they’re calling it “peanuts.”
But we don’t want to be their peanut butter.
That’s what happens when we become the exit liquidity.
They dump while we FOMO. They wait while we panic.
So don’t feed the trap. Keep your edge sharp, your charts tighter, and your emotions in check.
I prefer to buy over 115k, over resistance or lower at support.
Not today,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
BTC - Last Chance to be Mindful of Potential Flash CrashBTC is at the top of the zone of this bearish retest.
DXY is currently retesting a major breakdown on the monthly time frame - which projects out a 2-4 year bull run for BTC.
Due to this major macro turning point, it’s possible we see an extreme liquidity grab crash on Bitcoin - recovering liquidity as shown on this chart.
Projected movements marked here.
Be prepared for anything - volatility expected
How to Trade Smart Money Concepts (SMC)\ How to Trade Smart Money Concepts (SMC)\
\ This article explores the foundation, key tools, and practical insights of Smart Money Concepts — and why it’s worth your attention.\
In today's fast-changing financial landscape, Smart Money Concepts (SMC) has become a popular strategy among modern traders. But what is SMC exactly, and how can it improve your trading decisions? This article breaks it down in a simple, professional way for traders at all levels.
---
\ What Are Smart Money Concepts?\
SMC is a trading approach based on the belief that large institutions ("smart money") like banks and hedge funds control most of the market's movements. These institutions often move the market in ways that confuse or trap retail traders. The goal of SMC is to understand and follow the footsteps of these big players.
Instead of relying on simple patterns or indicators, SMC focuses on:
\ - Market structure\
\ - Supply and demand zones\
\ - Liquidity pools\
By aligning your trades with the behavior of smart money, you can position yourself more strategically in the market.
---
\ Key SMC Concepts Explained\
\ Order Blocks\
Order blocks are zones on the chart where large institutions have placed significant buy or sell orders. These zones often lead to strong price reactions and act as hidden support or resistance levels. Order blocks are considered more precise than traditional supply and demand areas.
Example: ()
\ Fair Value Gap (FVG)\
A Fair Value Gap occurs when price moves sharply in one direction, leaving a gap or imbalance in the price action. These areas often get filled later and can act as magnets for price.
In a bearish move, the FVG is the gap between the low of the previous candle and the high of the next one. In a bullish move, it's the reverse.
Example: ()
\ Timeframe Consideration\
If you can’t monitor charts during the day, avoid relying on 5–30 minute setups. Consider 4H or daily timeframes for clearer signals and more manageable trading decisions.
\ Liquidity\
Liquidity refers to price zones where lots of pending orders exist. These are usually at obvious highs, lows, or trendlines. Smart money often targets these areas to trigger stop-losses and generate movement.
One common tool to identify liquidity is a "pivot point," which is a candle with a lower low or higher high than its neighbors.
Example: ()
\ Break of Structure (BOS)\
BOS occurs when price breaks above or below a previous high or low, signaling a possible trend continuation.
Example: ()
\ Change of Character (ChoCH)\
ChoCH happens when the market changes direction. For example, if price breaks a higher low in an uptrend, it may signal a reversal.
Example: ()
Combined with BOS: ()
---
\ How SMC Compares to Wyckoff\
The idea of "smart money" isn't new. Richard D. Wyckoff, a pioneer in technical analysis, laid the foundation for understanding market cycles driven by institutions. His price cycle theory includes four phases:
\ 1. Accumulation\
Smart money buys while the public is unaware.
\ 2. Markup\
Price rises as smart money pushes the market.
\ 3. Distribution\
Smart money sells into public buying.
\ 4. Markdown\
Price falls as the cycle completes.
SMC borrows from this logic but focuses more on structure and liquidity zones. Still, the core idea is the same: understand what big players are doing, and follow them.
\ For deeper insights into Wyckoff, explore additional resources focused on accumulation/distribution cycles.\
---
\ Summary\
Smart Money Concepts give traders a deeper look into market mechanics. By focusing on order blocks, fair value gaps, liquidity, and structure breaks, SMC helps identify high-probability trade setups based on institutional behavior.
It may seem complex at first, but once you understand the basics, SMC can become a powerful tool in your trading strategy. Whether you’re new or experienced, aligning with smart money can improve your edge in the market.
BITCOIN ATH? More to come!With BTC seeing a new ATH, speculations are there for whether it continues in upward projection or falls back.
My prediction is simple, CRYPTOCAP:BTC will do a temporary pullback around the 109,000$ region and goes back up to around 113,000$ within the shortest time.
This temporarily pullback will be a result of buyers who already took their profits. Of course, Institutional investors are even more poised to buying more.
News may impact this projection but investors are willing to see it fly.
Ultimately, you can never go wrong with Bitcoin buy.
#DYOR #NFA
BTC ALL SET FOR MAJOR HIGHS The price has tested the resistance line multiple times showing strong supply/resistance. Buyers are gradually pushing price higher (higher lows), but momentum is weakening near resistance.
This is a sign of consolidation under resistance pattern before breakout .Rising wedge typically breaks down signaling a potential drop, it confirms weakening momentum.
Area to Watch for Entry
103000-104000 (recent demand zone) for Bullish
After daily candle closes above 113000 instant bullish Entry.
DeGRAM | BTCUSD once again trading above $105k📊 Technical Analysis
● Fresh bounce off the confluence of the 8-month up-sloping purple trend-line and 102-103 k green demand box prints a higher-low inside the rising wedge, keeping bulls in control despite June’s pull-back.
● Price is reclaiming the minor down-trend line from the 12 Jun high; a daily close above 106 k confirms a bear-trap and unlocks the 111.8-112.5 k supply at the wedge cap.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Spot-ETF desks absorbed >5 400 BTC in the last three sessions while exchange reserves fell to a four-year low, signalling supply drain.
● Cooling US PCE expectations trimmed real yields, and Mt Gox repayment delays ease overhang fears—both supportive for risk assets.
✨ Summary
Long 102–104 k; hold above 106 k targets 111.8 k → 115 k. Bull thesis void on a 16 h close below 99 k.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Bitcoin's New All-Time High = Altcoins Market Bull MarketThe shy new all-time high is in and it is good to be Bitcoin today. It is good to be Bitcoin, to be in Bitcoin and profit while trading Bitcoin but the bears got rekt and that's oookkkk. We accept their loss and it is their loss they earned it by being short when the market is good, bullish and strong. Who would short Bitcoin right before a new all-time high? I don't know.
A new all-time high was hit today, the price $112,000 but this is not the end. Not even close. This is the beginning of the next bullish wave.
I know what you are thinking, or might be thinking; Wait, but what about a drop? What about the correction? Will it go lower? Can I buy Bitcoin at 90K? I told you to buy when prices were low... "You would look like a genius for buying below 80K," 100K is already gone. No, no correction! Bitcoin is going up.
When resistance breaks it means higher. When prices move higher it means higher. When a new all-time high hits it means the bulls win. Now that the bulls won, the battle for the rise or the drop, we can expect higher prices. If you have any doubts, look at the altcoins. The altcoins market says we are entering a period of long-term growth.
Bitcoin will continue to hold strong. It will continue to rise surely, slowly, or fast, but long-term. It doesn't matter the speed; Bitcoin for the whales, altcoins for retail.
A small capital will grow faster with the altcoins because they have higher room for growth. The projects being smaller, more volatile makes for a good trading experience. Higher risk but also a higher opportunity to grow in the short- and mid-term. Bitcoin is good to retire now. Bitcoin is great to hold value, to support the market as it continues to grow.
For me and for you, welcome to the altcoins market bull market.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
BTC Daily Chart Analysis
Trend: BTC is currently trading within a short-term descending channel.
Strong Resistance: Zone around $110k–112k, multiple failed retests observed.
Key Support: Around $105k (Ichimoku Cloud upper edge & recent local bottom).
RSI: Clear bearish divergence indicating weakening bullish momentum.
Elliott Wave: Completed 5-wave impulse from $75k up to $112k, now correcting (likely waves 4-5 within the descending channel).
Fibonacci: Breakout above $110k targets approximately $117k (1.414 Fib extension). Failure to break may lead price back down toward $102k.
Probability:
Bullish scenario (35%): Clear breakout above $112k, targeting $117k.
Bearish scenario (65%): Rejection at $112k, potential retest toward $105k → $102k.
⚠️ Recommendation: Closely watch the $110k zone. If BTC fails to clearly breakout, consider defensive actions (reducing position size, risk management).
BTCUSDT – Calm Before the BreakoutBitcoin is holding firmly above the ascending trendline, consolidating within the accumulation range of $98,000 to $117,000. The current structure suggests that buyers remain in control, especially after a strong rebound from the $98,450 support zone.
In terms of news, BTC has been slightly affected by market concerns over new U.S. tariffs. However, on-chain data still shows strong accumulation around the $108,000 level. If this base holds, BTCUSDT could break out toward the $117,424 target in the near term. Conversely, if the trendline fails, the $98,000 level will be the final stronghold for the bulls.
BTC , 4hr , BearishBTC is Forming a Pattern and it is at the top of the Another Pattern and It is facing rejection 3 Times from Above and now it is forming another pattern inside and Ready for Break Down of the Pattern , if it breaks the Pattern Down then it will be bearish almost 90% it will move to down side , if it has not given Breakdown and moving inside the small pattern then wait patiently and observe carefully .
Then it may also give Breakout for up side .
Follow Risk Management Properly
Follow for More Swing Ideas Like this .
BTCUSDTPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #122👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the latest analysis of Bitcoin and major crypto indicators. As usual, this update will focus on potential triggers for the New York futures session.
⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour chart, Bitcoin is once again ranging between the 107,853 and 108,619 levels.
✔️ Last night, Bitcoin briefly faked out below the bottom of this range, so we now need to wait and see how the price reacts upon revisiting this area.
💫 I believe it’s best to hold off on entering a short position until we identify the precise location of the support line. As price retests this area, we can pinpoint the true support level.
✨ Once that level is confirmed, and if it breaks, a short position could be considered. The next support zones would be at 106,586 and 105,370.
📊 Make sure to watch the volume closely for this trade, and I strongly recommend waiting for a volume confirmation before entering.
📈 As for a long position, if 108,619 breaks to the upside, we could consider going long. The buying volume in the current upward leg is increasing, and if this trend continues, a breakout above 108,619 would make a long position reasonable.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Moving on to Bitcoin dominance — it has once again reached its trendline and is currently being rejected from it. If this rejection continues, BTC.D could decline toward 65.04.
🔍 However, if the trendline breaks, the 65.31 level will be the bullish confirmation trigger.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Now on to the Total2 index (altcoin market cap excluding BTC), it has bounced from the 1.14 support and is moving toward 1.16.
🔑 A breakout above 1.16 would serve as a bullish confirmation for long positions, with 1.17 acting as the main breakout trigger.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
USDT dominance is also moving downward and has reached the 4.78 support zone.
💥 A breakdown below this level would confirm a bearish continuation toward the 4.72 level..
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.