BTC Reloading for Breakout — Watching for 1H MSS Flip
BTC has bounced from local support (green zone) and is challenging the descending trendline.
The price is now testing the red resistance zone and the upper boundary of the 1H MSS (market structure shift) box.
Scenario A (Bullish):
— If BTC cleanly breaks the trendline and flips the 1H MSS box into support (with a strong close above), this is a trigger for a scalp long.
— Target for the move is the upper green box/previous high area near $122,000.
Scenario B (Bearish/Invalidation):
— If price is rejected at the red resistance and falls back below the green support box, risk of deeper pullback toward $116,000 increases.
BTC has shown resilience by quickly reclaiming support after a sweep lower, indicating strong demand. The market looks to be reloading for another push, with liquidity building up just below resistance. The setup favors a breakout if NY Open brings momentum. The flip of the 1H MSS box would confirm bullish intent. However, caution if the breakout fails — structure remains choppy and a failed breakout can trap late buyers.
BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas
Bullish Multi-Timeframe Alignment, Macro Risks & Key Levels__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
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Momentum: Strong bullish trend across all timeframes.
Major Supports: 115796/117277 (720/240 Pivot Low).
Key Resistances: 119000–123200 (240/D Pivot High), watch for potential extension or profit-taking.
Volume: Healthy participation, no marked anomalies.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Strong sector momentum except 15min (neutral), risk appetite confirmed.
Multi-TF Behavior Synthesis: No "behavioral sell" warning, ISPD DIV neutral, no climax.
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Strategic Summary
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Global Bias: Clearly bullish, all timeframes aligned, no notable technical divergences.
Opportunities: Buy on pullback (HTF support) or on breakout/consolidation above 123200 with increasing bullish volume.
Risk Zones: Drop below 115796 invalidates scenario; watch for “sell” behavioral signals (ISPD red/extreme volumes) or persistent sector divergence.
Macro Catalysts: Next Fed meeting (July 21st), ongoing geopolitical tensions.
Action Plan: Closely monitor supports/resistances, strict stops below 115796, dynamic adjustment to upcoming macro volatility.
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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
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1D: Bullish breakout, leading tech/growth sector, stable volume.
12H: Bullish signal, price held above all key HTF pivots.
6H: Consolidation below key resistance 123218, no distribution, strength intact.
4H: Sideways just below resistance, controlled pause, possible push upwards.
2H: Stalling under resistance yet bullish momentum still present.
1H: Supports defended, rising volume on rebounds, no excess.
30min: Intraday momentum positive; no signs of reversal, strong indicator consensus.
15min: Testing pivots, slight momentum decline, neutral on Risk On / Risk Off Indicator.
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Technical confluence: All timeframes aligned upward, strong sector momentum, controlled volumes, no behavioral excess. Watch for resolution near the 119000–123200 resistance zone (potential supply), and monitor for alert signals on behavioral/volume side. Macro: anticipate volatility around July 21 (Fed).
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Macro & Decision Synthesis
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News / Macro: Upcoming Fed meeting = caution period, expected volatility spike. Geopolitics: Middle East/Europe tensions, no Asian shock.
On-chain: BTC in price discovery, initial STH profit-taking, everyone in latent profit (interim top risk if overheated, reward up to $130k possible).
Actionable checklist:
Optimal entry: Pullback on 115796–117277 or strong breakout above 123200 with confirmed volume
Stop-loss: Below 115796 (major pivot); intraday swings below 117277
Imperative risk management, avoid leveraged trades ahead of macro event
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Final Conclusion
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Bitcoin is structurally bullish, supported by perfect multi-timeframe alignment, strong sector leadership (Risk On / Risk Off Indicator), and positive on-chain signals. However, proximity to historical resistances and looming volatility call for strict, active risk management. Targets: $123k/$130k; stops below 115796.
21/07/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $123,220.24
Last weeks low: $115,718.15
Midpoint: $119,469.19
New BTC ($123,220) & SPX ($6,315) ATH last week! We're really seeing progress being made on all fronts now, bitcoin saw its sixth week of net inflows into BTC ETFs ($2.39B).
The week began strong hitting the new ATH very early and then settled into a tight range to cool off. Altcoins however surged in relation to BTC to break out of HTF downtrends and begin to make up lost ground. One of the beneficiary's of this price movement has been ETH, breaking out from a multi year downtrend against BTC and hitting $3,800 in its USD pair.
For this week I do expect much of the same for BTC as momentum is with altcoins for now. However, as those altcoins reach HTF resistance levels it becomes very important for Bitcoins chop to be accumulation for the next leg up and not distribution for the way down. With so few pullbacks the threat of a sudden correction is present but the probability drops should BTC look to press higher with strong demand.
The ECB Interest rate decision takes place on Thursday but no changes to the 2.15% rate is forecast. In terms of news there are no planned upsets that I can see.
Good luck this week everybody!
Bitcoin Trading Update: Consolidation, Patterns, and What's NextHey Fellow Traders! 👋
Bitcoin (BTC) has been on a wild ride after hitting its all-time high (ATH)! 📈 Since then, it’s been consolidating, generating liquidity, and setting the stage for the next big move. Meanwhile, altcoins are absolutely booming, stealing the spotlight! 💥 As we kick off the week, let’s dive into what’s happening with BTC and what to watch for.
📊 Technical Analysis Breakdown
Here’s what I’m seeing on the charts:
Head and Shoulders Pattern: A clear head and shoulders has formed on BTC, signaling a potential bearish move. 🐻
Daily Timeframe Order Blocks: These are in play, showing key levels of support and resistance.
Filled Fair Value Gap (FVG): A recent FVG on the daily chart has been filled, but there’s still a beautiful 4H FVG waiting to be tested below.
Liquidity Sweep: After the ATH, BTC needs to clear the liquidity from the past few days before it can push for new highs.
🔍 What’s Next for BTC?
I’m expecting a bearish reaction in the near term, with BTC targeting the sell-side liquidity around $115,800. This move should also fill the 4H FVG, setting the stage for a potential bounce and another shot at the ATH. 🚪 Keep an eye on these levels, as they’ll be critical for the next big move!
🔔 Stay in the Loop!
Let’s keep the conversation going! 💬 Follow for more updates, like if you found this helpful, and drop a comment with your thoughts or what you’re seeing in the markets. Are you trading BTC or riding the altcoin wave? Let’s hear it! 👇
Happy trading, and let’s make this week count! 💪
#Crypto #Bitcoin #Trading #TechnicalAnalysis
Market overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, after updating the historical maximum, bitcoin went into correction for the first time, after which it went sideways.
At the moment, the $117,300 – $116,300 zone has been retested (strong absorption of sales) and an active reaction from buyers has been received.
Within the current flat, the cumulative delta supports buyers, indicating the absorption of market sales. At the same time, the global wave structure on the 4H chart casts doubt on the last wave of buys, as we’ve rapidly adjusted back to its beginning.
💼 WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
We expect to exit the sideways at $116,000 – $121,000 in an upward direction from the current levels, either through capturing liquidity and testing the pushing volume zone at $115,000.
The target is the last ATH, which is $123,200. A re-correction is possible near $123,200, resulting in a wider flat range of $123,200 to $115,000. If there is a true breakout, we can expect the continuation of the global long trend.
Buy Zones:
~$115,000 (zone of initiating/pushing volumes)
$110,000–$107,000 (accumulated volume)
📰 IMPORTANT DATES
Macroeconomic events this week:
• Tuesday, July 22, 12:30 (UTC) — speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell;
• Wednesday, July 23, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of data on US second-hand housing sales for June;
• Thursday, July 24, 12:15 (UTC) — announcement of the deposit rate for July and the interest rate decision in the Eurozone;
• Thursday, July 24, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States;
• Thursday, July 24, 12:45 (UTC) — press conference of the European Central Bank;
• Thursday, July 24, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of business activity indices (PMI) in the manufacturing and services sectors of the United States for July;
• Thursday, July 24, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of data on new home sales in the United States for June.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
BTC #Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 30-minute chartThis Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 30-minute chart shows price action within a descending parallel channel. Recently, the price broke out above the channel's upper boundary, suggesting a potential bullish breakout. However, the price has slightly pulled back, now retesting the breakout zone near $119,000. Holding above this level may confirm the breakout and lead to further upside, while failure to hold could signal a false breakout and potential return into the channel. Key support and resistance levels are marked around $116,000 and $121,000 respectively.
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Bitcoin (BTC): Bullish Start of Week | Aiming For $150KChoppy weekends resulted in a bullish Monday. Once again, we are seeing strong buyside dominance at the start of the week, which is indicating a potential new ATH that we might be going for.
Now as the price is at the $119-120K zone, we are most likely going for a retest today of the current ATH, where we are going to look for some kind of breakout and upward movement.
Markets are on fire, so stay informed and do not FOMO—there will always be plenty of opportunities to gain something from markets, but to lose all it takes is just one stupid decision, so don't FOMO.
Swallow Academy
BTC 4H Structure Break – Long Bias with Conditions🚀 BTC (Bitcoin) has clearly broken bullish market structure on the 4-hour timeframe.
📈 My bias is to ride the momentum and look for a pullback to enter long.
✅ I follow a specific entry criteria — price must pull back into the imbalance, find support, and then form a bullish break of structure on a 15m chart to trigger an entry.
❌ If that setup doesn't play out, we simply abandon the idea.
⚠️ This is not financial advice.
BTCUSDT - UniverseMetta - Signal#BTCUSDT - UniverseMetta - Signal
H4 - Formation of a triangular formation in continuation of the trend, for a more confident entry you can wait for a retest and formation of the 3rd wave. Stop behind the minimum of the 1st wave.
Entry: 119294.13
TP: 123240.75 - 127823.91 - 130624.74 - 135239.73
Stop: 115824.93
BTC/USDT – Fibonacci Levels in PlayMEXC:BTCUSDT.P
🔹 Price pushing through key resistance zones
BTC just tapped the 0.618 Fibonacci level (119,212) after breaking above 0.5 — signaling strength in short-term momentum. If bulls can hold above this level, the next logical targets are:
➡️ TP1: 119,976 (0.786)
➡️ TP2: 120,950 (Full retracement)
🔸 Key Support: 118,675
🔸 Invalidation below: 118,500
Holding above the golden zone (0.618) increases the probability for a full move toward 121K. Watching price reaction closely here — breakout or rejection will decide the next leg.
🔄 Keep supporting by sharing and dropping your thoughts!
🚀 And don’t forget to hit that Boost button – it helps and motivates me to keep bringing top-level analysis for you all 🙌
BTC #1-hour chart of Bitcoin/USDTThis 1-hour chart of Bitcoin/USDT (Binance) shows a descending channel pattern with clearly defined upper and lower trendlines. Price has recently broken out of a consolidation zone (highlighted in blue) and is now testing the upper boundary of the descending channel near $119,000. The breakout from the recent range (lasting 54 bars / 2d 6h with 23.78K volume) suggests bullish momentum. However, for confirmation of trend reversal, a strong breakout above the channel is needed. Until then, the broader downtrend structure remains intact.
thanking you
#BTC Update #8 – July 21, 2025#BTC Update #8 – July 21, 2025
Bitcoin isn’t moving in a textbook symmetrical triangle, but it’s trading in a similar, tight range, mostly bouncing around the highlighted box area in the chart. It’s attempting a new impulsive leg, but $120,000 remains a key resistance level, having rejected price several times already.
As long as $116,500 holds, there's no major risk for Long bias. However, considering the triangle-like structure, the short-term upside is limited to about 2% for now.
A breakout above the upper edge of this structure, particularly if $123,200 is broken with strong volume — would justify a Long position. Until then, I don’t plan on entering any trades.
The last corrective move has completed, and my next major upside target is $127,900. If further correction occurs, watch for potential support around $115,000, $113,000, and the strong base at $112,000 — though I don’t expect price to fall that low.
BTC Balanced Volume Profile BTC is now trading in a textbook D-Shape Volume Profile. In english - Buyers & Sellers are happy to transact here and will stay inside the value area & consolidating sideways until further notice.
Consolidation at POC is a signature of this profile, and one of the easiest and least stressful trade setups because now, your mission, should you chose to accept. Is to fade the Highs (VAH) and Lows (VAL) and avoid the middle unless you love donating money to the market.
I'll have buy limit orders waiting right below the VAL where we have the single prints. It doesn't get any easier than this.
Doesn't mean price cant rip through, but this is always the best entry with less risk, especially when the single prints have not been tested yet..
BINANCE:BTCUSD CME:MBT1!
Bitcoin Technical AnalysisBTC made a recorded high of 123,218$ on Monday, and made a correction to 116k$ and keep consolidate in the range of 116k$-120k$, at the time of writing this bitcoin is currently trading at 118,224k$.
116k$-117k$ reacting as a strong support zone, if BTC breakdown this support zone the next target of bears is 112k$-110k$.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart currently reads 64, having declined from last week's overbought level of 70. This suggests a cooling in bullish momentum, potentially signaling a pause or reversal in the recent upward trend.
Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is on the verge of forming a bearish crossover on the daily chart. If confirmed, this crossover would act as a sell signal, reinforcing the view of emerging bearish momentum.
However, if BTC closes above the $120,000 on a daily basis, it could extend the recovery toward the fresh all-time high at $123,218 and beyond.
BTC #15-minute BTC/USDT chart This 15-minute BTC/USDT chart from Binance shows Bitcoin trading within an ascending channel. Price recently bounced off the lower trendline and a highlighted demand zone around 117,800 USDT, suggesting strong support. The upper channel and resistance near 118,800 USDT may act as potential targets. Short-term momentum appears bullish as long as price holds above the support trendline.
Bitcoin: Promising Patterns and Potential BreakoutBitcoin's recent price action has been nothing short of captivating for traders and analysts alike. On the daily chart, we've observed the formation of an Inverse Head & Shoulders and a Cup & Handle pattern, both of which have now transitioned into a Bull Flag. These bullish signals suggest a strong potential for upward movement.
Zooming into the 4-hour and 1-hour charts, we can see prominent Ascending Triangles taking shape. These patterns are often harbingers of significant breakouts, and it appears that Bitcoin is winding up for a substantial move.
Moreover, when utilizing a Trend-based Fibonacci Extension on the daily timeframe, the golden pocket points to a target of $126k, with the next pocket at $185k. This aligns with historical data and technical indicators, suggesting that Bitcoin might be poised to rewrite history once again.
Stay tuned as we monitor these developments and anticipate what could be a historic breakout for Bitcoin!
BTCUSD SHORT POSITION = SELLWe can see that BTCUSD consolidated a and ended up given us a possible sell.
To my point of view, we can take a sell position at an Entry = 117878.44 with a proper calculated risk of a SL = 118285.00.
With this short position we can expect to take our profits at the following zones:
TP1: 117509.65
TP2: 117386.65
TP3: 117267.62
TP4: 117066.41
The takes profits are a calculated Risk Reward Ratio of 1.00 to 2.00
It is advisable to use a small lot size or according to your account
BTC - Ranges overview (update) BTC has been moving nicely lately so let's see where we go from here.
As previously mentioned, we should expect an aggressive move upwards towards 110K and eventually new ATH. As expected we got the move and are now trading around 120K.
IF we fail to hold the sellside at 115K expect us to trade back towards 110K.
IF we hold our current levels expect further upside towards new ATH.
No NEED TO FRONTRUN THE MARKET. BE PATIENT AND TRADE WITH IT.
Stay safe and never risk more than 1-5% of your capital per trade. The following analysis is merely a price action based analysis and does not constitute financial advice in any form.
BTC #Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the 1-hour timeframeThis chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting two periods of sideways consolidation (marked in blue).
Both zones lasted 64 bars (2d 16h), indicating similar market indecision or accumulation/distribution phases.
The first consolidation (left) was followed by a strong bullish breakout, while the second (right) is currently unresolved.
Price is trading within a tight range between ~117,600 and ~118,400 USDT, suggesting potential for an imminent breakout or breakdown.
Volume during the current consolidation is lower than the previous one, hinting at reduced momentum.
This setup may signal a key move once the price exits this range.
thanking you