BTCUSDTBitcoin came and made its move according to the FVG, which was in the $98,000 to $99,000 range, but considering the war that took place between Iran, the United States, and Israel and that affected the markets, I expected it to reach the $91,000 or even $85,000 area and then make a move, but considering the previous analysis and consolidation in the $109,000 area and the breakout of $110,000, it started its move and is expected to go up to $120,000 in the short term and up to $144,000 in the medium term.
BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas
BTC/USDT TrendHello friends, This chart is very important. Bitcoin will soon touch the long-term trend line, and it might even end the upcoming bullish trend that started around $15,000... The key point is that this end of the bullish trend could mark the beginning of an altcoin season, although an altcoin season may not necessarily occur. Anyway, if Bitcoin cannot break the trend line convincingly and pass through it, we will see its end. So, stay very alert.
BTC Long / Buy SetupBTC is strongly Bullish towards 120k liquidity level, I'm not seeing any healthy correction before hitting the 120k level. If BTC strongly breaks and closes below 106.9k then chances are high that it will touch the weekly level and again come to 107k level, but this time it will struggle to break the 107k level because it will become bearish fvg, if it holds the 107k level and give any strong reaction from the zone then the next level is 120k. even a wick towards 105k or below doesn't matter, any body closing below the 106.9k (at least 4hrs) will lead short term weakness to the trend.
TECHNICAL ANALYSISI BTC 1 HR TIME FRAME 📊 Technical Analysis – BTCUSDT.P (1H Chart)
✅ 1. Overall Trend:
The market is in a strong bullish trend on the 1-hour chart, confirmed by multiple CHoCH (Change of Character) and BOS (Break of Structure) points.
📌 2. Price Structure:
🔹 First CHoCH:
Indicates weakness in the prior downtrend.
The following BOS confirms a structure shift to the upside.
🔹 Second CHoCH:
After a minor correction, buyers regained control.
Another BOS confirms continuation of bullish momentum.
🟢 3. Demand Zones:
Multiple demand zones are marked in green.
The most relevant zone right now is between 113,100 – 113,600, still untested.
A bullish reaction is likely if price pulls back into this area.
⚠️ 4. Current Price Action:
Price has reached around 115,487 after the latest BOS.
A minor bearish reaction is visible, suggesting a possible short-term correction.
As long as the BOS level holds, the overall structure remains bullish.
🔍 5. Candlestick Signal:
No clear Engulfing candle yet, but if:
A strong red candle forms followed by a full bullish engulfing candle within the demand zone,
→ that would be a valid Bullish Engulfing pattern and a potential reversal signal.
🎯 Conclusion:
Market structure is currently bullish.
Watch for pullbacks to the 113,100–113,600 zone.
Ideal entries come with confirmation (e.g., engulfing candle or strong rejection).
Always apply strict risk management.
❗️Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a buy/sell signal.
Please do your own research and trade based on your personal strategy and risk tolerance.
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
#Buy Bitoin @ H4This trading system is based on the divergence between the price and the RSI indicator and Fibonacci levels.
In the H4 chart, it can be seen that level 1 was broken and the price reached level 1.27. Levels 1.62 and 2 at prices 113,400 and 115,400 are the next targets.
Of course, the breakdown of level 1 may have a pullback.
I will post a short-term analysis on the 15-minute time frame in other posts.
Btcusdt 4hr tf scenarios.Two scenarios: green and red lines.
Green Line: A bounce and sustained recovery above the 100-day and 200-day daily moving averages is bullish.
Red Line: A bounce followed by a lack of momentum and a break below a previous low is bearish.
Long Horizontal Red Line: If the price reaches this area, it could signal the start of a downtrend unless new bullish fundamentals emerge.
My Point of View (POV): I am bearish, primarily due to the ongoing war, similar to the conflict that began between two other countries a year ago.
However, it's important to note that every crisis and recession has historically presented a buying opportunity for institutions and 'whales.' Therefore, be prepared with funds for dollar-cost averaging (DCA), then simply hold and forget. It is recommended to conduct backtesting and research to identify optimal buying areas. DCA is key. Only invest money you can afford to lose.
Bitcoin Wave Analysis – 10 July 2025- Bitcoin broke round resistance level 110000.00
- Likely to rise to resistance level 120000.00
Bitcoin cryptocurrency recently broke the round resistance level 110000.00 (which stopped multiple upward impulse waves from the start of this year).
The breakout of the resistance level 110000.00 should strengthen the bullish pressure on Bitcoin in the coming trading sessions.
Given the strongly bullish sentiment seen across the cryptocurrency markets today, Bitcoin cryptocurrency can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 120000.00 (target price for the completion of wave (3)).
BTC-USDT Analysis for the Past 24 HoursOver the past 24 hours, BTC showed excellent price action — I personally entered a long position at 110,000 and captured a clean +2.59% move, locking in profits without being greedy.
🚀 Price Action
Bitcoin climbed confidently from around 109,485 to 113,472 USDT — a gain of roughly 3.6%. The strongest impulse came between 00:00 and 01:00, with the candle surging from 111,341 to 113,685. It was a sharp and confident move with no signs of weakness.
📊 Market Observations
• Trading volume significantly increased during the night, especially from 03:00 to 01:00 — typical behavior during an aggressive short squeeze.
• Daily high: 113,757 USDT; low: 109,443.
• Technically, the market is continuing its uptrend after holding the key support level at 105,200 USDT last week.
📰 Fundamental Signals
• Kimchi premium is negative (-0.69%) — Korean investors seem to be in risk-off mode.
• Upbit listed BABY BTC, and activity in altcoins is picking up.
• Institutions are still cautious — even after BTC broke above 109,700, there’s no strong bullish sentiment from their side.
📌 My Take
The rally is strong, but not euphoric. There’s clear interest in BTC, and volume confirms the trend’s strength. However, the ETF flows and ongoing USDT discount in China signal the need for caution. Now is the time to avoid greed, take partial profits, and closely monitor how the market reacts to upcoming resistance levels.
BTC/USDT Multi - time frame analysis and {4HR }BTC/USDT Multi-Timeframe SMC Analysis – July 8, 2025
1. Top-Down Analysis:
Daily Timeframe (Macro Market Structure & Narrative - Inferred from chart context):
The broader market structure indicates a prolonged consolidation phase, initiated around mid-June, characterized by defined support and resistance levels. The identified supply zone, ranging approximately from $108,000 to $109,500 and labeled as "Potential Supply Zone" on the chart, is a key daily-level area.
Crucially, despite entering this daily supply, the strong underlying bullish order flow suggests a high probability that this supply zone may not act as an effective distribution point. The overarching narrative from higher timeframes indicates robust institutional buying pressure, implying a potential shift in the broader trend to unequivocally bullish upon a clear breach of this daily supply.
4H Timeframe (Swing Structure, Internal BOS/CHoCH):
The 4H swing structure explicitly displays a very clear bullish order flow. We observe a series of consecutively confirmed CHoCH (Change of Character) and BOS (Break of Structure) to the upside (indicated by "4HR CHOCH" and "4HR BOS" annotations). This unequivocally establishes a decidedly bullish 4H swing bias.
The most recent 4H BOS occurred around the $107,000 level, after which price has continued its upward trajectory.
Price is currently engaging with a 4H supply zone (marked by the white box). However, given the dominant bullish order flow on the 4H, there is a high probability that this supply zone will be invalidated, allowing price to extend its bullish movement. This phenomenon often signifies an "Imbalance Fill" or "Liquidity Grab" by smart money to fuel further upside.
1H Timeframe (Entry-Level Structure & POIs):
The 1H timeframe currently reflects a phase of consolidation or minor correction following the recent bullish impulse.
In alignment with the decisive bullish 4H bias, any retracement observed on the 1H timeframe is to be considered a buying opportunity.
The "PIVOT" marked around $105,000 serves as a potential 1H demand area, which could be a target for a deeper retracement before the continuation of the bullish move. However, considering the current market strength, price might not even reach this level and could resume its ascent from current or slightly higher levels.
The current "PIVOT" at approximately $108,500 represents a temporary internal resistance. A decisive break and sustained close above this pivot would provide stronger confirmation for the continuation of the bullish trend.
2. Identification:
Clean Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Changes of Character (CHoCH):
4H: Multiple clear bullish BOS and CHoCH events, indicative of strong bullish order flow.
1H: Internal structure currently shows consolidation prior to a likely bullish BOS to new highs.
Valid Supply & Demand Zones (Unmitigated only):
Unmitigated 4H/1H Supply Zone: Approximately $108,000 - $109,500 (marked by the white box). However, as noted, it is anticipated to be invalidated due to the overall bullish order flow.
Unmitigated 4H/1H Demand Zones: Lower down, around the $105,000 PIVOT and the green-shaded regions on the chart (potential demand areas that would activate upon a deeper retracement).
Internal and external liquidity pools (buy/sell-side):
External Buy-side Liquidity: Above the all-time highs or previous "High" (observed at $111,900 on the prior chart).
Internal Buy-side Liquidity: Above current range highs (approx. $109,500) and above recent pivots.
Internal Sell-side Liquidity: Below recent 1H pivots, particularly below $107,000 and $105,000 (which could act as inducement).
Inducement patterns and liquidity grabs (internal sweeps):
Any minor retracement or downside fluctuation from the current supply zone could act as inducement to draw in sellers, before price resumes its bullish trajectory.
Previous sweeps to the downside have served as confirmation of liquidity accumulation for prior bullish moves.
Order blocks, FVGs, mitigation blocks, and imbalance zones:
Given the impulsive nature of the bullish moves, bullish FVGs and OBs should be considered in retracements (e.g., around the $105,000 demand area).
The current supply zone (white box) also contains OB/FVG, but as mentioned, its invalidation probability is high.
Active market range and internal liquidity engineering:
The active 4H market range encompasses the recent bullish move from $102,000 to current highs.
Internal liquidity engineering currently involves drawing sellers into the supply zone and subsequently invalidating it for continued bullish advancement.
3. Delivery:
Directional Bias with Contextual Narrative:
Strongly Bullish. The 4H order flow is unequivocally bullish, with repeated confirmations of bullish BOS and CHoCH. While price is entering a supply zone, the overall bullish strength suggests it is highly probable this zone will be invalidated, leading to further upside to target new highs. The market narrative points towards a continuation of the uptrend, targeting external buy-side liquidity.
Actionable Setup (Long):
Asset: BTC/USDT Perpetual Futures
Entry Level (POI, OB or FVG):
Scenario 1 (Aggressive Entry - given market strength): Enter long within the $107,500 - $108,000 range (upon confirmation of bullish price action on the 1H or 15-minute timeframe within the supply zone, indicating its invalidation). This entry presumes the supply zone will be breached.
Scenario 2 (Conservative Entry - upon retracement): Enter long within the $105,000 - $105,200 range (the pivot area and potential demand zone). This point would activate upon a deeper retracement into a discount area.
Given the chart and current strength, Scenario 1 appears more probable, but price action confirmation is critical.
Stop-Loss (Invalidation Structure):
For Scenario 1: Place stop-loss below the last valid 1H structural low that confirms the bullish impulse, or below $106,500.
For Scenario 2: Place stop-loss below the demand zone and below the $104,500 pivot, e.g., $104,000.
Target Level (Minimum 3R+):
Target 1 (1R): $109,500 (Break of current supply range high and liquidity grab).
Target 2 (2R): $111,000 (Retest of previous "High").
Target 3 (3R+ / Primary Target): $112,500 - $113,500 (Formation of new highs and targeting fresh buy-side liquidity).
R-multiple Calculation Example: If for Scenario 1, entry is $107,700 and stop is $106,500 (1200 points risk), a 3R target would be $107,700 + (3 * $1200) = $111,300, which aligns with our targets.
Confluences:
Multi-Timeframe Alignment: Decisive bullish 4H order flow provides strong support for a bullish bias, treating any retracement as an opportunity.
Liquidity: New highs and external buy-side liquidity serve as clear targets.
Supply Zone Weakness: Despite price entering a supply zone, the underlying bullish strength suggests its probable invalidation.
Pivot Price Action: Repeated bullish pivots and structural breaks confirm the trend.
This analysis presents a high-conviction long setup for BTC/USDT. However, close attention to price action confirmations on lower timeframes (e.g., 1H or 15-minute) within the current supply zone will be crucial for aggressive entry. Should price retrace, anticipate a bounce from lower demand zones.
Disclaimer: This is a market analysis based on current price action and structure. It does not constitute a buy or sell signal. Always conduct your own research and risk assessment before taking any trades
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
BTC - ATH After Perfect PredictionPlease refer to our previous post:
After a picture perfect test of our lower trendline of support price rallied back to our red trendline.
Price chopped back and forth around this trendline for a few days before finally confirming the breakout. Now BTC has hit a new all time high and is currently at our white upper high point trendline. Looking for confirmation closes above to continue the rally.
BTC/USDT – Intraday Long Plan (5m, Ichimoku) by RiscoraI see the green zone as an attractive area to look for long entries.
After the strong move, I expect BTC to stay in a range for now. My main plan is to long from the green block and look to take profits at the upper boundary (yellow block), where liquidity is clustered.
No interest in shorts at the moment — will monitor price action for changes.
Range trading is the priority until further direction emerges.
BTC USDT ANALYSESBitcoin (BTC) is currently forming an ascending triangle, which is typically a bullish continuation pattern. If BTC breaks out of the triangle to the upside, my target would be around $130,000.
However, we also have a long-term ascending trendline that BTC has been respecting for a significant period. If BTC fails to break out of the ascending triangle, we may see a pullback toward this trendline. Notably, there is also a strong demand zone in that area, which could act as support.
On the weekly timeframe, there is a visible regular bearish divergence—a bearish signal that suggests a potential slowdown or correction. If the divergence plays out, a realistic downside target could be around $100,000 to $98,000.
#BTC Rising Wedge📊#BTC Rising Wedge📉
🧠From a structural point of view, we are trading sideways above the support-resistance conversion zone, and the bullish force is gradually weakening. Only if we break through the blue turning point 109669, will new bullish expectations appear, otherwise we need to be alert to the correction at the daily level.
➡️From a graphical point of view, a rising wedge is formed here, and we usually fall according to this model. At present, it has fallen below the lower edge of the wedge and rebounded to the lower edge and was blocked. I expect a further decline.
Let's see👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
BTC/USDT Elliott Waves A symmetrical triangle has formed on BINANCE:BTCUSDT , most likely as part of Wave 4, following the previous explosive move.
Entry is triggered if the price breaks above Wave D of the triangle, and stop loss is placed just below Wave E.
Cluster analysis suggests that the price will likely reach near the 112,950 level.
Bitcoin: New highs are ready to break
In-depth analysis of the Bitcoin market: Breakthrough opportunities under the resonance of fundamentals and technical aspects
I. Overview of the current market situation
As of July 10, 2025, the price of Bitcoin is currently in a high consolidation stage after breaking through $112,000 to set a record high. The highest increase in 24 hours was 3%, and the cumulative increase this year was about 19%, showing a strong upward momentum2. However, market volatility is still significant. The latest data shows that the amount of liquidation in a single day is as high as $510 million, involving more than 100,000 traders2, reminding investors to maintain risk awareness in optimism.
II. Key drivers of fundamentals
1. Improved policy environment
US cryptocurrency regulation is turning to a loose direction. The regulatory roundtable promoted by the new SEC Chairman Paul Atkins is expected to implement new policies in July-August, aiming to define clear regulatory boundaries, reduce law enforcement actions, and promote the United States to become a global crypto asset center2. This policy shift has significantly boosted market confidence and removed some obstacles for institutional funds to enter the market.
2. Institutional funds continue to pour in
The net inflow of spot Bitcoin ETFs in 2025 has reached US$14.4 billion2, indicating that the traditional financial market's acceptance of Bitcoin continues to increase. 135 listed companies such as MicroStrategy have included Bitcoin in their balance sheets2, and corporate-level allocation demand has formed a stable buying support. The recent weaker-than-expected US employment data has strengthened the Fed's expectations of a rate cut in September, further prompting funds to accelerate the inflow of risky assets such as Bitcoin2.
3. Market narrative upgrade
The role of Bitcoin has shifted from "alternative currency" to "reserve asset", and CICC pointed out that its positioning as "digital gold" is widely accepted2. National-level allocation cases are also increasing, such as Pakistan's announcement of the establishment of a strategic Bitcoin reserve2. This narrative shift is reshaping the value assessment framework of Bitcoin.
4. Macroeconomic linkage
The Federal Reserve's monetary policy remains a key variable. Trump's chief adviser recently publicly accused Powell of being the "worst Federal Reserve chairman in history", saying that if interest rates are not cut on July 29, "catastrophic consequences"3 may occur3. At the same time, the US trade policy of imposing a 50% tariff on copper (to be implemented as early as August 1) has exacerbated market uncertainty3. Historical data shows that Bitcoin often performs well in liquidity easing cycles, and the current market's expectations for interest rate cuts are forming potential positives.
III. In-depth analysis of technical aspects
1. Key price structure
After breaking through the horizontal consolidation range, Bitcoin is currently in a high-level accumulation state:
Upper target: The historical high of $112,000 is the recent key psychological resistance, and a new upside space may be opened after breaking through2
Recent support: $110,700 (top and bottom conversion position) constitutes the first line of defense
Trend support: $109,700 (upward trend line) is an important line of defense for bulls
Key defense: There is significant liquidity support in the $108,500 area, and a break below may drop to the $106,000-107,200 support area26
2. Technical indicator signals
Trend indicators: Moving averages of all major time frames (5-day to 200-day) remain in a bullish arrangement, confirming that the overall upward trend remains unchanged4
Momentum indicators: RSI is in the neutral area near 53, not showing overbought; MACD remains positive despite slightly weakened momentum6
Volatility analysis: Bollinger Bands continue to narrow, and EMA on the 4-hour chart converges, which usually indicates that major fluctuations are coming5
Derivatives data: Binance CVD (cumulative volume increment) continues to be negative, indicating that selling pressure exists, but spot buyers successfully defend key support5
3. Main capital movement
The disk shows that $23 million of unfulfilled sell orders are piled up at the $110,000 mark, forming a significant resistance9. At the same time, there is a $17.27 million buy support in the $108,388-108,500 range9, indicating that the long and short sides are fiercely competing in the current area. This large order distribution pattern suggests that the market may test the upper resistance first and then fall back to consolidate.
IV. Operational strategy recommendations
1. Trend trading strategy
Long position layout: Establish long orders in batches in the support area of 110,700-109,700 US dollars, and set the stop loss below 108,500 US dollars
Breakthrough chasing long: If the price stands above 112,000 US dollars, you can add positions, and the target is 114,500 US dollars (potential area for short squeeze)2 and higher
Target setting: Short-term target is 112,000 US dollars, and the medium-term target can be seen to 116,000 US dollars2 or 137,000 US dollars4 according to the volume
2. Reversal trading strategy
Short opportunity: If it falls below $108,500 and then rebounds to $109,700 without breaking, you can try shorting with a light position, and set the stop loss above $110,700
Deep correction: If it falls below the $108,500 support, it may test the $106,000-107,200 area6, and then you can observe the stabilization signal
3. Risk management points
Position control: The risk of a single transaction should be controlled within 2% of the total funds
Leverage use: It is recommended not to exceed 3-5 times leverage in the current high volatility environment
Event sensitive period: Focus on key points such as the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision on July 29 and the implementation of the tariff policy on August 137
V. Outlook and conclusion
1. Short-term (1-3 months) outlook
Bitcoin is currently in a favorable environment where technical and fundamental resonances occur. If ETF fund inflows continue or the Federal Reserve releases a clear signal of interest rate cuts, the price is expected to test $116,0002. However, we need to be alert that regulatory policies that fail to meet expectations or macroeconomic deterioration may lead to a pullback to the $102,000-105,000 support zone27.
2. Long-term (until 2030) value prospects
Cycle model: According to the peak rule of 550 days after halving, this round of bull market may have a 2-3 month peak window2
Technical target: Long-term rising channel points to $168,500 (Fibonacci extension level)2
Scarcity drive: After the halving in 2030, the supply will further shrink, coupled with the global inflation hedging demand, and the highest is expected to reach $660,4712
3. Summary of investment advice
Bitcoin's breakthrough of $112,000 is the comprehensive result of policy, liquidity and narrative upgrades2. The current technical structure remains bullish, and it is recommended to focus on low-multiple ideas, focusing on the $110,700-109,700 support area. Investors should pay attention to low-friction investment channels such as spot ETFs, avoid high leverage operations, and prepare for potential fluctuations. As the institutionalization process accelerates, Bitcoin is completing the transformation from a marginal asset to a mainstream configuration option. Long-term investors can seize the layout opportunities brought about by every major pullback.
#BTC Update #5 – July 10, 2025🟠 #BTC Update #5 – July 10, 2025
Bitcoin is currently trading inside a supply zone and seems to be preparing for a corrective move after its impulsive rally — but the first clear step of that correction has yet to appear. At the same time, USDT Dominance is hovering near a support zone. If it bounces from here, Bitcoin’s pullback could accelerate.
Additionally, BTC has approached a previous resistance level, making it an uncertain area for new entries. At this stage, I don’t find it logical to open either a Long or Short position. Once the correction completes, the first major target is likely the 123,250 zone.
For now, I’m just monitoring. No trade recommendation at this time.