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BTC 3x Short / Tether

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BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas

BTCUSDT 4H Analysis | Apex Decision ZoneStructure & Price Action BTC is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle (red trendlines). Price is squeezing near the apex, suggesting an imminent breakout. Strong defense at ascending channel support (~108K zone) + green trendline. Lower highs indicate sellers still active, but higher lows reflect buyer strength too. Price bounced from previous demand block (green box), now pushing toward resistance. 📊 Indicator Confluence RSI: Curling up from mid-range (~52–55), no divergence, neutral-to-bullish tilt. DMI/ADX: ADX rising slightly, -DI weakening vs +DI → potential trend shift brewing. MACD: Histogram flat; momentum hasn't confirmed either side yet. Wave Trend: Bouncing from mid-line, bullish cross may form if price breaks triangle. Volume: Gradual decline = typical pre-breakout compression. Watch for spike. Stochastic: Flipped bullish from oversold — early bullish bias. 🎯 Summary & Probabilities: BTC is coiling near triangle apex — breakout likely soon. 🔼 Break above 109.4K with volume → 60% chance of move to 110.5K–111.5K. 🔽 Drop below 107.9K → 40% chance of fall to 106.3K–104.4K. Bias: Neutral-to-bullish — confirmation needed.
by MyTradingJournal6th
Is the Fear & Greed Index Becoming a Victim of Its Own Success?I’ve noticed something about the Fear & Greed Index that rarely gets discussed: Its reputation as a “contrarian indicator” may actually dampen market declines. When everyone sees “Extreme Fear” and believes it’s time to buy, the panic doesn’t deepen as it might have in the past—potentially muting major market lows. This creates a feedback loop: The index signals “buy the fear,” Enough traders pile in, The market stabilizes before real capitulation sets in. When a widely-followed counter-indicator becomes common knowledge, it can lose its edge. In today’s markets, these signals may serve more as social safety nets than as true predictors of sentiment extremes. Bottom line: If the “fear” signal stops working, or stops triggering buying, it could be a warning that the market’s safety net is gone. I wonder, is the VIX subject to the same mitigating effect? The Fear & Greed Index has never been truly tested during a long term bear market. But then it may partly be why we have not had one in so long. Would love to hear your thoughts—has anyone else noticed this effect?
by TradeTitan120
BTC-USDT Market Analysis for the Last 24 Hours Hello, crypto enthusiast! 👋 Let’s see what has been happening with Bitcoin over the past 24 hours! 🔍 Price Action Bitcoin dipped slightly during the day, sliding from ~108,970 USDT to a current price of about 108,166 USDT. That’s a decline of roughly 0.7 %—nothing too dramatic for the crypto market! 😉 📰 Hot News • John Bollinger (renowned technical analyst) said that “Bitcoin is close to a breakout”; many analysts remain upbeat despite the small pullback. • South Korea is seeing explosive crypto-market growth: total capitalization has topped $74.8 billion, and daily trading volume has reached $10.7 billion—higher than on the country’s two main stock exchanges! • Fun fact: Korea’s well-known “kimchi premium” means crypto prices there can run about 10 % above global levels due to strong local demand. 🌶️ 📊 Technical View During the last 24 hours BTC traded between $107,393 and $109,048. Volumes were especially heavy from 21:00 to 22:00 on 7 July, when more than 100 million USDT changed hands.
Long
by Midas_Indicator_US_Official
Can #BTC reach a new high?📊Can #BTC reach a new high? 🧠We cannot be too optimistic before we break through ATH, because the daily adjustment expectation still exists. ➡️We are currently in a heavy resistance area near 110,000. This is our third test. Regardless of whether we can successfully break through, don’t chase the rise here, because the cost-effectiveness is not high. If you want to go long, you should also wait patiently for the callback to occur before considering it. Or wait for the callback after breaking through ATH before considering it. ➡️If you want to participate in short trading, you can only participate in a small amount with ATH as a defensive point. Or wait for the rebound after breaking through the upward trend support line before participating. 🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Short
by wolf_king888
BTCUSDT | 30-min & 4H Outlook🔍 Structure & Price Action BTC is trading within a rising wedge (blue lines) nearing apex — typical bearish setup. Price is repeatedly getting rejected near macro trendline (~108.8K–109K). 30-min shows clean breakdown from lower wedge support, retesting the zone now. On 4H, BTC is still under key resistance zone between 109.6K–110.4K, previously rejected twice. 🔻 Bearish Signals Multiple Sell signals on both timeframes. Bearish divergence visible in RSI and MACD on 4H. Volume spike on the breakdown → confirming sellers in control. 🔑 Key Levels Support: 107.7K (current zone) → loss opens path to 106.6K, then 104.4K. Resistance: 108.9K–109.4K = confluence of EMA cluster + macro TL + Fib zone. 📊 Indicators (4H) RSI dropping from mid-zone (~48), no bullish momentum DMI shows increasing ADX with -DI over +DI → trend strengthening bearish TSI & Wave Trend both curling down Stochastic in overbought, starting to reverse 🎯 Summary Bias: Bearish below 108.6K Invalidation: Bullish breakout above 109.6K + volume close Setup: Watch for retest and rejection at ~108.4K–108.6K = clean short trigger Next Targets: 107.2K → 106.6K → 104.5K
Short
by MyTradingJournal6th
Bitcoin: The night before the plunge? →104,000? Bitcoin fell under pressure from highs, with short-term bearishness but strong long-term fundamental support. 1. Market fundamentals Institutional holdings continue to grow BlackRock Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) exceeds $72 billion in size, dominating the market MicroStrategy holdings increased to 597,000 BTC (about $63 billion), continuing to increase holdings on dips Global Bitcoin ETF Net inflow of $4 billion in June shows strong demand for institutional allocation Policy and regulatory progress The U.S. Treasury Department plans to include Bitcoin in the "strategic reserve assets" to enhance its legal status The SEC will make a ruling on spot ETF option transactions on July 15, which may bring new liquidity The Trump administration plans to impose a 60% tariff on China, and market risk aversion may heat up again On-chain data changes A 14-year dormant address recently transferred 80,009 BTC (about $8.69 billion), triggering concerns about selling The lightning network capacity exceeded 5,000 BTC, and Tether (USDT) completed the lightning network integration II. Technical depth Degree analysis (1) Medium-term trend structure (4-hour level) Rising channel break: After the price peaked at $112,000, it continued to fall below the rising trend line support Range oscillation formation: Currently, $98,000-110,700 constitutes the main trading range, and the middle track support is $104,000 Volume change: The recent decline is accompanied by an increase in trading volume, indicating that the short-term momentum is increasing (2) Short-term trading signals (1-hour level) Double top pattern confirmation: $110,700 was tested twice without breaking, forming a typical reversal structure Moving average system short arrangement: EMA5/10/30 formed a death cross, suppressing price rebound Key support level: ▶ First support: $106,500 (Fibonacci 38.2%) ▶ Second support: $104,000 (psychological barrier + previous low) ▶ Strong support: $98,000 (lower track of the range) III. Trading strategy suggestions 1. Aggressive short position layout Entry range: $109,000-109,500 Stop loss setting: $111,000 (above the previous high) Target: $106,500→$104,000 Technical basis: downward trend line suppression + RSI top divergence 2. Steady retracement of short positions Entry signal: 108,000-108,500 rebound encountered resistance Stop loss setting: $110,000 integer barrier Target: $104,000 (break down to see 98,000) 3. Long defense area Key observation position: 104,000 US dollars (if there is a large volume to stop the decline, you can try long with a light position) Breakthrough signal: Stabilizing 110,700 US dollars will restart the upward trend IV. Multi-dimensional market outlook Short-term (1-2 weeks): Affected by technical suppression and whale movements, it is expected to maintain 104,000-110,700 range fluctuations Focus on the effectiveness of 106,500 support, breaking down will accelerate the test of the lower track of the range Medium-term (Q3 quarter): Institutional continued holdings + Fed rate cut expectations constitute long-term support If it breaks through 112,000 US dollars, it will open up to 120,000-125,000 upside space Risk warning: The SEC option trading ruling on July 15 may cause violent fluctuations Global macroeconomic data (especially CPI) will affect market risk preferences V. Professional trading suggestions ▶ Currently, the "rebound short" strategy is preferred, and stop loss is strictly set ▶ Long-term investors can arrange in batches in the range of 98000-104000 ▶ Pay close attention to: Daily ETF fund flows, changes in on-chain whale addresses (glassnode alert system), US CPI data (released on July 12) Conclusion: Although the short-term technical side is bearish, the long-term fundamental support of Bitcoin remains solid. It is recommended that traders seize the opportunity of range fluctuations, operate flexibly at key support/resistance levels, and wait for new trend signals to be confirmed.
Short
by Crypto_Sniper_btc
BTC Forming Higher Highs & Lows | Watch the Wedge Breakout📈 BTC Forming Higher Highs & Lows | Watch the Wedge Breakout 📉 In the uptrend that started around $100K, Bitcoin is forming higher highs and higher lows on the 4H timeframe, which is in line with Dow Theory. Based on the orange lines I’ve drawn, it seems we are moving inside a rising wedge pattern. 🟠 Key Observations: Breakout from either side of the wedge can trigger a trade, but I personally won’t enter based solely on the wedge. If BTC breaks upwards, I’ll hold my existing long, not looking to short — because the mid and long-term trend is still bullish. 📌 New Trigger Level: The previously important level of $110,246.8 is now less relevant for me. The market has already rejected from $109,953.16, so that’s my new key level. 👉 I’ve placed a stop-buy order at $109,953.16 based on the 1H chart. 💣 Short Liquidation Zone (Updated): Now ranges between $110,640 to $111,320 If you're looking to trade momentum: RSI above 70 on 4H, or Above 76.23 on 1H = potential trigger for long entries 👉 I'm planning to open a long position above $109,953.16 using a stop-buy order, with the help of the order book in the exchange. ⚠️ Currently, I don’t have a high-confidence stop-loss level — I’ll update as I see clearer price action. 🧠 Pro Tip: Do everything you can to catch a BTC long position. If you understand risk management and position sizing, don’t be afraid of stop-losses — they’re part of the game. If you're unsure what proper risk/money management is, go learn it now, or you will definitely get liquidated someday.
Long
by CRYPTO_HUUNTER
Bitcoin (BTC): Targeting $120K | Buyers Showing DominanceBitcoin is hovering still in between the old ATH area and the new, entering into a consolidation zone, which might be our breaking point. Last week we saw the buyside dominance, which was backed by big institutions buy orders and short-term traders selling assets, giving us a sign of a potential bullish breakout—that's what we are looking for, a proper breakout from local resistance, which would then send the price towards our first target of $120K. Swallow Academy
Long
by SwallowAcademy
Are You Really Analyzing Or Just Defending your imagination? You might think you're analyzing every time you open a chart. But what if you're just looking for reasons to justify a bad trade? Real analysis is data-based. Justification is emotion-based. Let’s figure out if you're really trading smart or just lying to yourself. Hello✌ Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. 🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: BINANCE:BTCUSDT is currently testing a strong resistance near the upper boundary of its parallel channel. A breakout to the upside looks likely soon. From this level, I expect at least a 5% gain, with a main target around $114,500. 📈🚀 Now , let's dive into the educational section, 🎯 Analysis or Mental Justification? Many traders, once they’re in a position, stop looking for truth and start looking for confirmation. Instead of reading what the chart actually says, they twist every line and indicator to make it look like their trade still makes sense even when it doesn’t. 🛠 TradingView Tools That Kill Self-Deception TradingView is way more than just a place to slap on some EMAs and MACDs. If used right, it can literally stop you from fooling yourself: Replay Tool – Use this to backtest without future data bias. It trains your brain to analyze based only on the present moment. Multi-Timeframe Layouts – View your idea across multiple timeframes. Confirmation bias collapses fast when you see the same chart from different angles. Volume Profile – This shows where real trading happens, not where you wish it would happen. Community Scripts & Public Indicators – Looking at someone else's logic helps you catch your own blind spots. Idea Journal & Posts – Publish your analysis and compare it with what actually happened. You’ll quickly see how often emotion was driving your trade. 😵‍💫 What Does Justification Even Look Like? It’s when you’re deep in the red but instead of managing your loss, you draw a new trendline… or add a reversed Fibonacci… or tell yourself, “It’s just a correction.” That’s not analysis. That’s emotional defense. 💡 Know the Real Difference Analysis = data-driven, emotion-free. Justification = emotion-driven, data-twisted. 🔂 Why Do You Keep Making the Same Mistake? Because your brain loves to feel right even when it's wrong. Instead of accepting reality, it tries to bend it. So you dig for signals to support your bad position, not question it. 🧠 The Psychology Behind the Trap What you’re feeling is cognitive dissonance. Two thoughts fighting in your head: “This position is failing.” “I don’t want to be wrong.” So your brain builds fake reasons to stay in it. Welcome to the mental loop that kills portfolios. 🎯 How To Break the Cycle Write down why you’re entering any trade before you open it. Only trade what you can explain, not what you hope. Decide your stop-loss level before you enter. If you’re “hoping” for something to turn around, it probably won’t. 🪞Be Brutally Honest With Yourself The real question isn’t “Can you analyze?” It’s “Can you admit you were wrong when it matters?” Every losing trade you hold onto out of ego is a reminder that you chose comfort over skill. ⚠️ What Makes a Pro Trader? A pro doesn’t just win trades. They cut losses fast. They don’t “marry” a position just because they drew a trendline. They survive by respecting truth, not bending it. 🧪 Train Your Brain To See Reality To break the habit of self-justification, you need to rewire your analysis process. Here's how: Before analyzing a chart, review your previous trade honestly. Ask: What made me enter? Strategy or emotion? Replay the chart with TradingView’s tool. If you didn’t know the future, would you still take that trade? Answer those questions and you'll start separating real analysis from self-defense. 👁 Look at the Chart Without Bias If you’re holding a position while analyzing, you’re probably just looking for evidence to stay in. Try this instead: Pick a timeframe where you have no position, and do a clean analysis. No hope. No fear. No money on the line. That’s when real analysis happens. 🔚 Final Note Real analysis hurts because it forces you to face mistakes. But it's also the path to real consistency. Next time you open a chart, ask yourself: “Am I seeking the truth or just a reason to hold on?” One moment of honesty can change your entire trading journey. ✨ Need a little love! We put so much love and time into bringing you useful content & your support truly keeps us going. don’t be shy—drop a comment below. We’d love to hear from you! 💛 Big thanks , Mad Whale 🐋 📜Please remember to do your own research before making any investment decisions. Also, don’t forget to check the disclaimer at the bottom of each post for more details.
Education
by MadWhale
26
Bitcoin will Return all-time high Interestingly Bitcoin (BTC) has not been particularly impressive over the weekend, which has been a somewhat consistent theme of the cryptocurrency market so far in the year 2025. The premier cryptocurrency continues to hover around the $108,000 mark, showing signs of indecision amongst the investors. Resistance zone 111K Support zone 107K The conversation has been about when the Bitcoin price will return to its all-time high. Interestingly, the latest on-chain data shows that investors are becoming increasingly confident in the long-term promise of the flagship cryptocurrency. Hope you can understand all our chart Pattern According the Bitcoin analysis. Thanks for your Support. if you found this analysis share you Opinion in comments I'm Tankful from you.
Long
by MrMartin_11
#BTC Update #4 – July 7, 2025🟠 #BTC Update #4 – July 7, 2025 Bitcoin has been trading inside a supply zone , and its last impulsive move happened right into that area. While it tried to push higher again, I now see signs of rejection. If this rejection holds, the first level I’m watching is $107,850 . Below that, there's a key support around $106,350 . Should this level break, we could see a deeper drop toward $102,650 , where an imbalance zone remains untested. At the moment, short setups look more reasonable than longs but from a risk/reward perspective, I don’t see enough edge to take action yet. So for now, I’m not entering any position and will simply watch BTC’s next move .
by whaliocom
Macro view of BTC - why is nobody talking about this?Looking at the weekly BTC chart, there’s a clear long-term resistance that dates back to 2017 and still hasn’t been broken convincingly. There’s plenty of talk this cycle about Bitcoin hitting 150k, just like there was hype around 100k in 2021. In 2021, BTC formed a significant resistance, which was retested and confirmed in late 2024 and early 2025. Now the common line is: “This time is different. We have institutional money.” That’s true to an extent, but market psychology doesn’t change. Profit is profit. And when sentiment turns, even institutional and ETF-driven retail investors will take it. BTC is still considered a speculative asset, and for good reason. It doesn’t generate income or yield — it’s only worth what someone else will pay for it. Right now, BTC appears to be forming a bull flag, but if it can’t push past the 116k to 120k range with strength, I’ll be looking to short it on the way down. If we get a strong breakout and hold above 120k, then, and only then, do I see a path toward a 150k top.
Short
by MachineGunTimbo
7
BTC in DistributionHi everyone. I am going to be moving my trading commentary back to Ideas rather than Minds so I can stay focused during the day, as well as having the added benefit of retrospective analysis. I do not trade BTC but have been tracking the price recently and believe it is gearing up for a big move. The current structure supports a bearish bias based on the Wyckoff Distribution pattern, which the price has been following in a textbook fashion. If this pattern continues, I believe Bitcoin will enter a bearish trend. For the indexes I will try to post ideas for a bullish and bearish bias but for this quick post on Bitcoin, I am going to stick to the bear side. Using Renko (Traditional, $500 window size) as my main chart, you can see the price broke out of a strong uptrend after the peak on May 22 (Buying Climax) and entered a potential distribution pattern. The secondary test (ST) set the lower band of the resistance zone, which the price has been testing and rejecting up until this point. The labels are subjective but what we can confirm is that the price has broken through the bottom range (Sign of Weakness or Spring) but has been unable to break through the top of the range. An upthrust/false breakout above the top of the range would be a key level to go short, as this would take out the last remaining buyers, however the price continuing to stay below the resistance could be a sign of persistent weakness. A rejection here would suggest that we are in Phase C, which is where momentum will build up on the sell side, eventually pushing the price through the bottom of the range and into a bearish trend. Since Renko is the smoothest chart, I am also using range bars (less smooth) and standard candle sticks (most noise) to analyze closer setups. On the range chart (20000R or $200), the price looks to be in an inverse cup and handle pattern, which if it holds would support the idea that we are in Phase C of the distribution pattern and the price will fail to break above the range again. Volume indicates that there is low interest at the upper levels, which resulted in the price moving down in Friday. We could see another push down after another period of low interest at the upper level. Lastly, the 1h candle chart shows that the price has been relatively flat since June 25th and is being supported by a large volume node on the Volume Profile. There was large buying volume at the lower level, so if the price can stay above this node (~$106,700) there is a good chance that it will get pushed above the range, however if sellers are able to push it through this level of high volume, further downside could follow. This is why I would suggest waiting to see if this level holds before entering a trade. A false upside breakout (above $112,000) would be a safe area to go short, as it would be a quality setup with good risk/reward. If the price is in Phase C and cannot break above the range, it would be a less ideal short setup, as the market could make a push to the top of the range at any time to clear out buyers. If this were to happen, I would prefer to wait for more confirmation. To conclude, my idea here is: Short (Solid Line): False breakout above $112,000 (preferred) or below $107,000 (higher risk) Long (Dotted Lines): True breakout above $112,000 (preferred) or reversal $103,000-$98,000 (higher risk) Thank you for reading and let me know what you think. More ideas to come.
Short
by ap769