Bitcoin Robust Bullish Structure, Key Entries at 105k & 100k__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
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Bullish momentum confirmed across all timeframes : Structure remains healthy, no behavioral anomalies detected.
Key supports: Main HTF pivot around $98,000–$100,000; first intermediate support zone at $105,000.
Major resistances: Critical area between $109,000 and $112,000, dense pivot and volume profile confluence.
Volumes: Normal to very high depending on TF, no speculative excess; gradual rise hints at possible expansion phase.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator : Strong Buy from daily to 1H, shifting to neutral on shorter timeframes (30min–15min).
ISPD DIV/Mason's line: Predominantly neutral histogram, no overheat or capitulation detected.
Multi-timeframe behavior: Robust underlying structure, increased volatility but no massive selling stress.
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Strategic Summary
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Global bias: Bullish dominance as long as $98k–$100k holds.
Opportunity zones: Buy on pullback to $105k, swing confirm above $111k with volume/ISPD validation.
Risk / Invalidation: Stop loss below $98k; extra caution on macro/Fed events.
Macro catalysts: Fed/NFP-US (July 2–4), monitor behavior via ISPD DIV (blue to red).
Action plan: Structured and tactical long bias, “no trade” zone before major US releases, immediate stop on support break.
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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
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1D: Bullish momentum, no overheat. Pivot 98–100k = strategic fallback.
12H–6H: Signs remain bullish, no anomalies, intermediate supports at 105–107k.
4H–2H: Positive consolidation, rising volumes; possible accumulation on 105k dips.
1H–30min: Multiple resistances under 110–112k, very high volumes, maintain vigilance for sudden spikes.
15min: Extreme volatility, but no clear seller excess; watch for “trap” formation.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator : Strong Buy on main timeframes, shifting to neutral/buy on 30min/15min (breather zone).
ISPD DIV/Mason's line: No buyer capitulation, overall neutral histogram.
Summary: Bullish cross-timeframe alignment, only macro events may trigger a break.
Key economic calendar
- 07/02: Powell speech – Potential added risk-on boost.
- 07/02: US tariff updates – Possible volatility.
- 07/04: NFP, ISM... High expected volatility.
Action : Heightened caution pre-announcements, validate through volume/ISPD.
On-chain: Dominant HODLing, no dumping, stable institutional volume.
Macro: Fed, inflation, geopolitics under watch.
Tactical: Spot any warning via ISPD or volume cluster.
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Conclusion & risk management
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Strong bullish bias as long as $98k–$100k holds .
Optimal buy on $105k/$100k dips, swing confirm on $111k break .
Outside of US events: strict tactical discipline required .
Absolute invalidation zone: break below $98k (HTF + STH cost-basis) .
Remain vigilant for ISPD red + volume spike / macro headlines .
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