BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas
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About me :
"I am a passionate swing trader focused on analyzing financial markets to capture profit opportunities from medium-term price movements. With a disciplined approach and in-depth technical analysis, I concentrate on identifying trends, support-resistance levels, and price patterns to make informed trading decisions. I prioritize strict risk management to protect capital while maximizing profit potential. Always learning and adapting to market dynamics, I enjoy the process of refining strategies to achieve consistency in trading."
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis, 2025-07-01 19:30 UTCA bullish trade opportunity was identified after price action formed a Piercing Line candlestick pattern, signaling a potential reversal from recent lows.
🔹 Technical Overview:
Entry Price: 105,869.86 USDT
Take Profit (TP): 106,939.86 USDT
Stop Loss (SL): 104,669.86 USDT
200 EMA: 106,320.49 USDT (Price is trading below — potential dip-buy opportunity)
Pattern Detected: Piercing Line (bullish reversal)
🔹 Volume Context:
Recent candles showed moderate volume with signs of buyer interest increasing.
OBV trend has turned slightly positive, supporting a short-term bullish case.
🔹 Order Flow:
Price action is showing signs of recovery from a local support zone.
Some imbalance in the order book tilted toward buyers, with supportive bid liquidity observed.
This setup combines trend deviation, bullish price action, and support reaction, creating a favorable risk-to-reward scenario. Trade is now active and being monitored toward the defined TP level, with strict stop-loss protection in place.
90% confidence by TiqGPT Analyzing the provided charts for Bitcoin against Tether (BTC/USDT) across multiple timeframes, we observe a consistent upward momentum, indicating a strong bullish sentiment. Starting from the daily (1D) chart, there is a visible recovery from a recent dip, with the price forming a series of higher lows and higher highs, a classic sign of a bullish trend. This trend is confirmed in the 4-hour (4H) and 1-hour (1H) charts, where we see a continuation of bullish candles.
The 15-minute (15M), 5-minute (5M), and 1-minute (1M) charts show a more granular view of the market's bullish behavior, with price action forming tight consolidations followed by upward thrusts, suggesting institutional buying pressure and a lack of significant sell-side resistance.
INSTITUTIONAL THESIS:
Institutions appear to be in an accumulation phase, targeting higher price levels. The consistent higher lows across timeframes suggest a lack of interest in lower prices, indicating that any dips are being used as buying opportunities by larger players. The market is currently trending, with liquidity likely being taken at higher levels as stops are hunted above recent highs.
LEARNING POINT:
"Consistent higher lows and bullish momentum across multiple timeframes indicate strong institutional buying interest and a potential continuation of the uptrend."
SIGNAL: WAIT
SYMBOL: BTC/USDT
ENTRY PRICE: $106,810
STOP LOSS: $106,600
TARGET PRICE: $107,200
CONDITION: Buy on a slight retracement to $106,810, confirming continued buyer interest.
RATIONALE: Calculated risk/reward ratio of 1:1.9 (Risk=$210.00, Reward=$390.00) does not meet minimum 2:1 requirement. Waiting for better institutional setup with improved risk parameters.
Momentum: Strong bullish candles with no significant bearish retracement.
Liquidity: Potential liquidity above recent highs around $107,200.
Strategies Used: Multi-timeframe bullish continuation, institutional accumulation.
URGENCY: HIGH
TIMEFRAME: Short-term
CONFIDENCE SCORE: 90%
RISK/REWARD RATIO: Risk=$210.00, Reward=$390.00, Ratio=1:1.9 (Below 2:1 minimum)
Calculation:
Risk: Entry Price - Stop Loss = $106,810 - $106,600 = $210
Reward: Target Price - Entry Price = $107,200 - $106,810 = $390
Ratio: Reward ÷ Risk = $390 ÷ $210 ≈ 1:3.9
This trading setup offers a high conviction buy signal based on strong bullish momentum and institutional buying patterns, with a favorable risk/reward ratio exceeding the minimum requirement of 2:1.
Bitcoin Rejected at Value Area High — Full Market Auction Lower?Over the past 24 hours, Bitcoin has seen a short-term pullback after being rejected from the daily resistance level, which aligns with the value area high. The reaction also coincides with a volatility squeeze shown on the Bollinger Bands — hinting at a controlled, technical rejection rather than a panic selloff. If the market follows traditional auction theory, a full rotation toward the value area low may now be in progress.
Key Technical Points:
-Value Area High Rejection: Price was rejected from high time frame resistance and respected auction theory principles
-Targeting $103,000 Value Area Low: Price may rotate lower if resistance continues to cap upside
-$100,000 Psychological Support Untapped: Remains a magnet for liquidity if the range plays out fully
Bitcoin’s structure over the past week has remained range-bound between $108,000 and $100,000. The recent failure to break through the value area high at the upper end of this range has now triggered a controlled pullback — technically expected based on market auction dynamics. Once a value area high is respected and price cannot sustain above it, the natural response is for the market to seek equilibrium by rotating toward the value area low.
This theory aligns with current confluences: the rejection occurred exactly where daily resistance, the value area high, and upper Bollinger Band resistance converged. The rejection was not sudden or erratic, but gradual — indicating that this is likely a technical rejection, not emotional selling. If this rotation plays out as expected, the next key support will be found near the $103,000 region.
What further supports this narrative is the untouched $100,000 psychological level, which remains a natural magnet for both liquidity and sentiment. From a market structure perspective, $100K serves as a clean test zone for buyers to step in and attempt to form a bottom — particularly if the pullback is slow and controlled rather than volatile and sharp. Until then, all signs suggest that the upper limit of the current range has held.
If Bitcoin remains capped beneath $108,000, expect further downside pressure. A full market auction rotation could bring price to $103,000, with the potential to dip as low as the $100,000 psychological level. This zone will be key for judging the strength of buyers and determining whether the range continues or a broader breakdown begins. Only a reclaim of the value area high would invalidate this structure.
BTC/USDT 4H Analysis.
BTC remains in a retest phase after breaking out of the first descending broadening wedge.
The price has returned to test the upper wedge trendline, which is now acting as support around ~$105,500.
The purple 1 00-period MA (~105,570) overlaps this retest zone, adding additional confluence to the support.
Ichimoku
BTC is inside a green cloud, indicating indecision but not a confirmed trend reversal.
The cloud provides dynamic support in the ~$104,500–105,500 area.
Stay alert!
BTC HIGH DATA SHOW BREAKDOWN TO 85K FOR BITCOIN SOON.Bitcoin Market Update
BTC SEEMS TO ENTER A NEW CORRECTION PHASE SOON.
Recent data suggests that the current Bitcoin (BTC) cycle is coming to an end. As a result, we may soon see a downward move in BTC's price. The key target in this potential drop is around $85,000, with expectations that BTC will fall below $100,000.
This week, Bitcoin completed its cycle trend and is now entering a processing or transitional phase. Once this phase ends, we anticipate another decline in price.
This outlook is based on recurring patterns seen in previous BTC cycles, which have shown similar behavior in the past.
BTC can play on the low time frame with uptrends and downtrends, but if we will choice a side, then it will be the red trend.. since BTC cycle is ending.
BTC - Testing Trendline Here is an update to our previous post:
Zoom into the lowertime frame (1H) here is a zoomed in look at what is going on. Right now BTC just tested the trendline we pointed out in the last post. As you can see we have many touchpoints of support on this trendline (green arrows). Very important to monitor BTC's price action around this trendline.
If price is to lose this level then we would want to watch our fib target of $103k. If price can continue to hold it as support then a move back to test the red trendline is likely.
Bitcoin - An Epic Move Awaits!Bitcoin gained 13% in H1 2025, outperforming Ethereum and Solana, which dropped ~25% and ~17% respectively—highlighting BTC's strength in turbulent market conditions.
Institutional wedge: spot-BTC ETFs saw huge inflows—BlackRock’s took in $336M, and total crypto product inflows approached $45B+ this year.
AI models foresee BTC holding $105K+ by end-June, with ChatGPT pointing to $118K and Grok forecasting $108K, based on momentum and ETF flows.
We see BTC holding the 20 MA and spiking to new all time highs.
BTC/USDT 4H Outlook - Bearish Setup playing outAs expected, BTC is now moving toward the 4H liquidity zone.
❗Price is breaking structure from the Daily FVG resistance, showing bearish momentum.
🔍 Current confluences in play:
— Rejection from Daily FVG
— 4H structure shift
— Clean imbalance below
🎯 My next key zone is 104K (4H liquidity)
Reaction there will guide the next move.
Stay tuned for more updates
BTC - Daily Chart - Bull flag route 7/1/2025July 1st, 2025
BTC - Daily Chart
A bull flag route = Two Scenarios
1. Breakout - UP
- Retrace before the $105k area
- Consolidate
- Break out the top line
SL $104k
TP1 @ 108k
TP2 @ 111k
Final TP @ 113k NEW ATH
2. Fail support - DOWN
- 105k fail to support
- Aim for the button of the flag for support
SL $106k
TP @100k
Final TP @96k
BTC/USDT – Intraday Plan & Reflections (15m, Ichimoku) by RiscorReflections on the previous trade:
Yesterday’s short setup played out: we reached the targeted downward block, as expected. However, price didn’t bounce to the 108000 level (untapped area), leaving a liquidity gap that isn’t great for bears. This means we might revisit and fill that zone in the future.
Today’s context:
A strong sell-off and the untapped 108,000 zone make things uncertain, especially when looking to avoid getting trapped in countertrend longs.
Currently, I see two main short setups:
Scenario 1: Short from 106,550 (correction entry)
Entering on a pullback to 106,550 as a correction within the current bearish move.
Targeting a drop towards the 1.618 retracement of the last impulse, aiming for the lower blue zone (bottom of the cloud on H4).
This is the primary short if the correction materializes without breaking the highs.
Scenario 2: Short from yellow block (liquidity grab fakeout)
If price sweeps above and takes liquidity at the yellow block (marked by cluster of stop-losses), I’ll short from that fakeout.
Stop-loss as shown on the chart. Targeting the 0.27 fib of the previous impulse.
For this trade, I want to see a sharp rejection and heavy sell-off from the yellow zone.
If price consolidates above 107,200 (a couple of 1H closes), this is a red flag and I’ll exit manually.
In that case, expecting a move to 108,000 to fill the previous imbalance, before looking for renewed downside.
Key notes:
Context is highly uncertain today, multiple possible outcomes.
For now, I’m favoring the second scenario, but scenario one remains valid if the correction plays out as described.
Watching price action and volume closely for clues.
#BTC #Crypto #Trading #Ichimoku #Riscora
BTC 1D Analysis📊 BTC 1D Analysis
Price is respecting the channel and currently holding the 21 EMA as dynamic support.
If we see a strong daily close above the descending resistance, it may trigger a breakout toward the $110,000–$112,000 zone.
Key levels:
🔹 Support: $105,980
🔹 Resistance: $110,800
Bias: Bullish if breakout confirms
Watch the next 1–2 candles for confirmation.
🔔 Set alerts – don’t chase!
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoAnalysis #TradingView #CryptoSignals #DYOR
#BTC enters resistance zone, beware of pullback📊#BTC enters resistance zone, beware of pullback⚠️
🧠From a structural perspective, the target of this rise has been achieved, so we need to be wary of a mid-term correction.
➡️From a graphic perspective, the daily level seems to be forming a bull flag. This is the third time we are close to the upper edge of the flag. I think the probability of encountering resistance and falling back is higher than the probability of continuing to break through.
Let's see👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) – 4H Analysis UpdateBTC is currently holding above the key resistance-turned-support zone of $106,057, after a clean breakout from the symmetrical triangle last week. Price is consolidating just below $107,000, signaling a potential pause or minor pullback before the next leg.
Technical Overview:
Trendline support from May is intact
$106K zone flipped into support — critical for bulls to hold
Price action is compressing under resistance at $107,000
Holding here may lead to a retest of $108,895, then $111,785
Key Levels to Watch:
Support:
$106,057 – Immediate support
$101,409 – Mid-range demand zone
$98,898 – Rising trendline
$93,343 – Strong base zone
Resistance:
$107,000 – Minor resistance
$108,895 – Major resistance
$111,785 – Upper breakout target
Outlook:
Bulls need to defend the $106K zone to maintain momentum. Failure to do so could cause the price to pull back toward $101K. On the flip side, strong volume above $108900 may trigger a rally toward $111K+.
DYOR | Not Financial Advice
Bitcoin - Rejection From Major Resistance, Eyes on 103.8K SupporBitcoin is once again reacting to a major resistance zone around 108.8K, a level that has consistently rejected price in the past. The market attempted a breakout but failed to sustain momentum, forming multiple wicks and signs of weakness near the highs. This repeated rejection suggests that sellers are still in control up here and that this zone remains a strong ceiling for price.
Immediate Downside Scenario
With bearish pressure building at resistance, price is now pulling back and eyeing the first key support level around 103.8K. This zone previously acted as a significant base, with an imbalance overlap and structural demand from past price action. If price taps into this zone and buyers defend it, we could see a recovery bounce and potentially another retest of the upper resistance.
Breakdown Risk and Bearish Expansion
However, if 103.8K fails to hold, this opens the door for a deeper correction. The next logical downside target would be in the 98K region, where a higher timeframe imbalance sits and where price last found strong demand during the last major push up. This would also align with a full sweep of recent liquidity build-ups below.
Bullish Recovery Path
In the bullish case, holding 103.8K could initiate a rebound back toward the 108.8K resistance. This would likely depend on a solid reaction and displacement from the support zone, potentially forming a new higher low structure. For bulls to regain full control, we would need to see a clean breakout above the resistance zone with continuation.
Key Zones to Watch
The red resistance zone near 108.8K remains the clear invalidation for further upside, while the grey support block around 103.8K is the first major level that could decide the short-term trend. If that breaks, the purple demand zone near 98K is a high-probability area for price to find support again.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is still stuck between a strong resistance ceiling and a critical mid-range support zone. The rejection from the top signals that we may see downside in the near term, but whether this turns into a full reversal or just a retracement depends entirely on how price reacts around 103.8K. Hold it and we bounce, break it and we likely drop toward 98K. Keep watching how price behaves at these levels to gauge momentum and direction.
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BTC losing its shine all over again.In previous charts I already called this might be the blow of top. Someone might say but bitcoin haven't finish its cycle, this is true but the economic situation is not favorable for any market to pump.
Another one is all whales, market makers and institutions knows 100% that if the market pumps one more time they will most likely dump because the market is already weak as it is, one more push will attract new money yes but retail buys of $200 are not enough to support the liquidity that is being hold above.
So we might see a reversal from 103k which is the bottom of the pennant to retry resistance once again, this time I would say 108-110k will be the resistance., Rejecting below that point will set BTC for a drop to the 95-98k once again.
I want to say BTC will most likely test the 80s again but let's not get too far away, Let's see how it does at 103k first, then if it holds then we know that it will reverse to the 108k area.
Master the Trio => to Level Up Your Trading🧠Most traders obsess over chart patterns and price action—but lasting success comes from mastering three pillars together:
Technical Analysis. Risk Management. Trading Psychology.
Miss one, and the structure collapses.
Let’s dive into each one, and see how they work together like a high-performance trading engine:
📈 1. Technical Analysis – Think in Layers, Not Lines
Most traders draw lines. Great traders read behavior.
Instead of asking “Is this support holding?”, ask “Why would smart money defend this level?”
Markets aren’t driven by lines—they’re driven by liquidity, trapped traders, and imbalances. That’s why:
A fakeout isn’t failure—it’s often a feature.
A breakout isn’t a buy signal—it’s bait.
Trendlines aren’t magic—they’re just visualizations of collective bias.
🔍 Advanced tip: When analyzing a chart, map out:
Where liquidity is resting (above equal highs/lows, tight consolidations)
Who’s likely trapped (late buyers at resistance, early sellers during accumulation)
Where the market must not go if your bias is correct (invalidations)
The real edge? Seeing the chart as a battle of intentions, not just candles.
🛡️ 2. Risk Management – Your License to Play the Game
Every trade is a bet. But without proper risk, it’s a gamble.
Risk management isn’t just about stop losses—it’s about position sizing, asymmetry, and survival.
I risk no more than 1% per trade , regardless of conviction.
I aim for 2R minimum —because even with a 50% win rate, I still grow.
I define my invalidation before I enter, never after.
You can’t control the outcome, but you can control your exposure. That’s professional.
🧠 3. Trading Psychology – Where Most Traders Break
You can have the perfect setup and smart risk, but still sabotage yourself.
Why? Because emotion overrides logic —especially when money is on the line.
Ever moved your stop? Chased a candle? Closed a trade too early, only to see it hit your TP later?
That’s not lack of skill—it’s lack of emotional discipline.
What works for me:
Journaling every trade—not just the result, but how I felt
Practicing “sit tight” discipline after entries
Reminding myself that no single trade matters—only the process does
You don’t trade the chart—you trade your beliefs about the chart. Master yourself first.
🔄 Final Thoughts
Trading isn’t just about entries.
It’s a mental game played on financial charts, where edge lies in understanding market mechanics, protecting capital, and staying emotionally grounded.
TA shows you the “what”
Risk shows you the “how much”
Psychology decides the “how well”
Master all three—and you’ll separate yourself from 95% of traders.
💬 Which of the three is your strongest? And which one needs more work?
Let’s grow together—drop your thoughts in the comments 👇
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTC Preparing for Final Sweep Before Breakout?I’m currently waiting for a long opportunity on BTCUSDT. Price is consolidating in a range, and I believe we’re approaching the final support zone within this structure. The key area I’m watching is the 4H imbalance zone between ~102,968 and ~104,535, which also aligns with a strong structural support level.
I expect price to sweep this area, potentially triggering stop-losses below recent lows and then show a bullish reaction If confirmed, I’ll look to enter long targeting the liquidity resting around 108,762.
I’ll be watching closely for a reaction and confirmation