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BTC 3x Short / Tether

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BTCUSDT.3S trade ideas

BTC/USDT – 4H Liquidity Sweep Likely Before Bullish ReactionBitcoin is showing signs of distribution within a daily FVG range. The recent failure to break above 107,000 with strength suggests a sweep of downside liquidity is likely. 🧩 Key Observations: • Price is still respecting the daily FVG above (imbalance not fully filled). • A visible liquidity pool is sitting below recent 4H lows near 104,000. • Confluence with 4H support zone and lower daily FVG around 102,000. 🎯 What I Expect: • Price to sweep 4H liquidity → tag 104K area • Possible wick or reaction from there • If momentum increases, price could tap into the deeper imbalance around 102K 📌 Setup Bias: Short-term bearish (targeting liquidity grab), then reassessing for long setups near support + FVG convergence. 🧠 This setup is built on smart money principles — liquidity engineering, fair value gap fills, and mitigation. ⸻ Key Levels: • 🔴 Resistance: 107,000–108,000 (Daily FVG top) • ⚫ Target Zone: 104,000 (Liquidity + 4H support) • 🟣 Potential Bounce Zone: 102,000 (Lower Daily FVG)
Short
by ammarsandhu
2
BTCUSDT 4H/1D | Macro Rejection + Event WatchBTC got rejected again at macro trendline (~108.5K) Multiple lower highs → selling pressure confirmed 4H breakdown from compression with volume spike Now hovering near 106.5K — key support 🔻 Below 106.2K = clean short trigger → 104.4K–102.5K ✅ Reclaim above 108.2K flips bias bullish ⚡ Market Context Large treasury interest building (institutional buying signs) Recent $40B options expiry adds volatility at key levels Renewed institutional participation visible across platforms Bias: Bearish below 107.2K. Structure and volume support downside. Watch for July trend confirmation post-event digestion. “Smart trades aren’t lucky — they’re planned.”
by MyTradingJournal6th
Understanding SFP In Trading1. What is a Swing Failure Pattern (SFP)? A Swing Failure Pattern (SFP) occurs when the price temporarily breaks a key swing high or low but fails to continue in that direction, leading to a sharp reversal. This pattern is often driven by liquidity grabs, where price manipulates traders into taking positions before reversing against them. An SFP typically consists of: A false breakout beyond a previous swing high/low. A sharp rejection back within the prior range. A liquidity grab, triggering stop-loss orders and fueling a reversal. SFPs provide powerful trade opportunities, signaling potential reversals and the exhaustion of trends. 2. Understanding Liquidity Grabs & Stop Hunts The financial markets are structured around liquidity. Large institutions and algorithmic traders require liquidity to execute their large orders efficiently. One way they achieve this is by triggering liquidity grabs and stop hunts. Liquidity Grab: Occurs when price moves beyond a key level (e.g., swing high/low), activating orders from breakout traders and stop-losses of trapped traders. Smart money absorbs this liquidity before pushing the price in the opposite direction. Stop Hunt: A deliberate price movement designed to trigger stop-loss orders of retail traders before reversing. Often seen near major support and resistance levels. These events are crucial for understanding SFPs because they explain why false breakouts occur before significant reversals. 3. Why Smart Money Uses SFPs Institutions, market makers, and algorithmic traders use SFPs to: Fill large orders: By grabbing liquidity at key levels, they ensure they can enter large positions without causing excessive price slippage. Manipulate retail traders: Many retail traders place stop-losses at obvious swing points. Smart money exploits this by pushing the price beyond these levels before reversing. Create optimal trade entries: SFPs often align with high-probability reversal zones, allowing smart money to enter positions at better prices. Understanding how institutions operate gives traders an edge in identifying manipulative moves before major price reversals. 4. Market Structure & SFPs Market structure is built upon a series of swing highs and swing lows. Identifying these key points is crucial because they represent areas where liquidity accumulates and where price is likely to react. Swing High (SH): A peak where price makes a temporary high before reversing downward. Swing Low (SL): A trough where price makes a temporary low before reversing upward. Types of Swing Points in Market Structure Higher Highs (HH) & Higher Lows (HL) – Bullish Trend Lower Highs (LH) & Lower Lows (LL) – Bearish Trend Equal Highs & Equal Lows – Range-Bound Market 5. Liquidity Pools: Where Traders Get Trapped Liquidity pools refer to areas where traders' stop-loss orders, pending orders, and breakout entries accumulate. Smart money uses these liquidity zones to execute large orders. Common Liquidity Pool Zones: Above swing highs: Retail traders place breakout buy orders and stop-losses here. Below swing lows: Stop-losses of long positions and breakout sell orders accumulate. Trendline & Range Liquidity: Multiple touches of a trendline encourage traders to enter positions based on trendline support/resistance. Smart money may engineer a fake breakout before reversing price. 6. Identifying Bullish SFPs SFPs can occur in both bullish and bearish market conditions. The key is to identify when a liquidity grab has occurred and whether the rejection is strong enough to confirm a reversal. Bullish SFP (Swing Low Failure in a Downtrend) Price sweeps a key low, triggering stop-losses of long traders. A strong rejection wick forms, pushing price back above the previous low. A shift in order flow (bullish market structure) confirms a potential reversal. Traders look for bullish confirmation, such as a higher low forming after the SFP. Best bullish SFP setups occur: At strong support levels Below previous swing lows with high liquidity After a liquidity grab with momentum confirmation 7. Identifying Bearish SFPs Bearish SFP (Swing High Failure in an Uptrend) Price takes out a key high, triggering stop-losses of short traders. A sharp rejection forms, pushing the price back below the previous high. A bearish shift in order flow confirms downside continuation. Traders look for bearish confirmation, such as a lower high forming after the SFP. Best bearish SFP setups occur: At strong resistance levels Above previous swing highs where liquidity is concentrated With clear rejection wicks and momentum shift 8. How SFPs Signal Reversals SFPs provide early warning signs of trend reversals because they expose areas where liquidity has been exhausted. Once liquidity is taken and the price fails to continue in that direction, it often results in a strong reversal. Key Signs of a Strong SFP Reversal Long wick rejection (indicating absorption of liquidity). Close back inside the previous range (invalidating the breakout). Increased volume on the rejection candle (confirming institutional activity). Break of short-term market structure (trend shifting). Divergences with indicators (e.g., RSI divergence at the SFP). 9. Identifying High-Probability SFPs One of the most critical aspects of a valid SFP is how the price reacts after a liquidity grab. The candle’s wick and close determine whether an SFP is strong or weak. A. Wick Rejections & Candle Closes Key Features of a Strong SFP Wick Rejection Long wick beyond a key swing high/low (indicating a liquidity grab). Candle closes back inside the previous range (invalidating the breakout). Engulfing or pin bar-like structure (showing aggressive rejection). Minimal body size relative to wick length (e.g., wick is 2–3x the body). Bullish SFP (Swing Low Failure) Price sweeps below a key low, triggering stop-losses of buyers. A long wick forms below the low, but the candle closes back above the level. This signals that smart money absorbed liquidity and rejected lower prices. Best bullish SFPs occur at major support zones, previous swing lows, or untested demand areas. Bearish SFP (Swing High Failure) Price sweeps above a key high, triggering stop-losses of short sellers. A long wick forms above the high, but the candle closes back inside the range. This signals that smart money absorbed liquidity and rejected higher prices. Best bearish SFPs occur at resistance levels, previous swing highs, or untested supply areas. ❌ Weak SFPs (Avoid These) ❌ Wick is too small, meaning the liquidity grab wasn’t significant. ❌ Candle closes above the swing high (for a bearish SFP) or below the swing low (for a bullish SFP). ❌ Lack of strong momentum after rejection. B. Volume Confirmation in SFPs Volume plays a crucial role in validating an SFP. Institutional traders execute large orders during liquidity grabs, which often results in spikes in trading volume. How to Use Volume for SFP Confirmation High volume on the rejection wick → Indicates smart money absorption. Low volume on the breakout move → Suggests a lack of real buying/selling pressure. Increasing volume after rejection → Confirms a strong reversal. Spotting Fake SFPs Using Volume If volume is high on the breakout but low on the rejection wick, the move may continue trending rather than reversing. If volume remains low overall, it suggests weak market participation and a higher chance of chop or consolidation instead of a clean reversal. Best tools for volume analysis: Volume Profile (VPVR) Relative Volume (RVOL) Footprint Charts 10. Key Takeaways SFPs are Liquidity Grabs – Price temporarily breaks a key high/low, triggers stop losses, and then reverses, signaling smart money absorption. Wick Rejection & Close Matter – A strong SFP has a long wick beyond a swing point but closes back inside the range, invalidating the breakout. Volume Confirms Validity – High volume on rejection wicks indicates smart money involvement, while low-volume breakouts often fail. Higher Timeframes = Stronger SFPs – 1H, 4H, and Daily SFPs are more reliable than lower timeframe setups, reducing false signals. Confluence Increases Probability – SFPs are most effective when aligned with order blocks, imbalances (FVGs), and major liquidity zones. Optimal Entry Methods Vary – Aggressive entries capitalize on immediate rejection, while confirmation and retracement entries improve accuracy. Proper Stop Loss Placement Prevents Fakeouts – Placing SL just beyond the rejection wick or using structure-based stops reduces premature exits. Take Profit at Key Liquidity Levels – Secure profits at previous swing highs/lows, order blocks, or imbalance zones to maximize returns.
Education
by CandelaCharts
BTC\USD SHORT TRADE SETUP BTC/USDT – Short Trade Setup Breakdown (Technical Outlook Trade Thesis The area between 103,800–105,000 serves as a strong supply zone, and we’re seeing signs of exhaustion in bullish momentum. The setup suggests a high-probability short opportunity with tight confirmation. 🔸 Entry: Positioned at 103,800, just below resistance, to capture early weakness and avoid chasing. 🔸 Risk Level: The resistance at 105,000 is critical — any break and close above may invalidate this setup. 🔸 Targets: 🎯 Target 1: 97,000 – conservative exit at mid-range demand zone 🎯 Target 2: 96,000 – full target near bottom of the descending channel
by Fx_Huzzy
2
BTCUSDT – Multi-Timeframe Analysis | Demand Zone Sweep SetupAnalyzing BTCUSDT using 15m, 1h, 4h, and 1D timeframes. Current structure shows a potential demand zone sweep followed by a reclaim setup. Key confluences include: RSI divergence forming on the 15m and 1h Possible CHoCH on the 15m chart confirming bullish intent Daily structure still intact as long as 106k holds TP1, TP2, and SL levels are marked on the chart. Monitoring closely for bullish confirmation before entry. Trade what you see, not what you feel.
by Omares
1
$BTC Consolidating Before the Next Big Move?CRYPTOCAP:BTC consolidating after a strong bounce! Bitcoin is holding well above the 106K support zone and forming a tight range just below resistance. After a false breakout above 100K, the price is compressing just below key resistance at 108100. This consolidation between 106500 and 108100 looks like a pause, not a top. If BTC breaks 108100, the next targets are 110500 and ATH. Market structure is still bullish. A retest of 106500–105650 is possible before liftoff. Are you positioned for the breakout? If you find my updates helpful, don’t forget to like and follow for more! DYOR, NFA #BitcoinRecovery
Long
by CRYPTOMOJO_TA
do not SHORT Bitcoin with 20XA consolidation range happens when the market trades sideways, in a neutral capacity. This sideways trading is neither bearish nor bullish, thus neutral. The bearish or bullish tendencies can only be defined based on the broader market structure. If the consolidation range develops coming from a major drop, you can say that the market is bearish and the consolidation a bearish consolidation even if the breakout happens to the upside. Once it happens to the upside we can say that a reversal developed but the tendencies were bearish nonetheless. If the consolidation range develops coming from a major rise, you can easy say while being correct that the market is bullish and the consolidation phase a bullish one, because of the bigger structure, previous price action and the chart. Bitcoin is consolidating with bullish tendencies but there is a boundary which we call resistance and another boundary which we call support, this is the trading range. When the market is ranging, this is when margin traders lose the most because the trend remains hidden and money tends to be made when the market is in a clear trend. Whenever the upper boundary gets challenged we get a retrace and a test of support. Whenever the lower boundary gets tested prices recover and move back up. This process gets repeated for as long as it is needed to remove all the weak hands, most of the signals are pure noise. This is the situation in which we find Bitcoin today. Ultra-bullish but sideways and anything can happen short-term. Do not SHORT Bitcoin with 20X. You might end up with some fast and easy profits. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
Short
by MasterAnanda
11
BTC - Consolidation, Manipulation & DistributionMarket Context The current price action unfolds within the broader structure of a bullish leg that began after a sharp reversal near 97,000. This impulsive rally created a clear Fair Value Gap on the 4-hour chart—left behind as price surged upward with minimal resistance. Following this move, the market entered a consolidation phase, forming a range that has now broken to the upside. This kind of breakout often attracts breakout traders, but in this case, the context signals something more calculated. Buy Side Liquidity Sweep Following Consolidation The breakout above the consolidation range led directly into a Buy Side Liquidity Sweep, as price ran the highs just above the marked range. These highs acted as a magnet for liquidity—stop losses from short sellers and buy stops from breakout traders were likely pooled in that area. The quick rejection following this sweep suggests the move was not backed by genuine demand, but rather served the purpose of liquidity collection by larger players. Manipulation and Distribution This is a textbook example of manipulation into liquidity. Price was engineered to move upward into a zone of interest, taking out the Buy Side Liquidity before sharply reversing. The strong rejection signals distribution—institutions likely offloaded positions into the influx of late buyers. This kind of pattern often precedes a larger markdown, particularly when followed by lower timeframe bearish structure breaks. Unfilled Fair Value Gap as a Draw Beneath the price lies an unfilled Fair Value Gap, a zone of imbalance left behind by the earlier impulsive move. These areas often act as magnets for price, especially once liquidity objectives to the upside have been completed. Now that the sweep has occurred and distribution is underway, there is a strong probability that price will begin to seek rebalancing within this Gap. The area between 104,000 and 103,500 stands out as a high-probability target for the next leg down. Execution Insight If you're looking to enter short, it may be wise to wait for confirmation on a lower timeframe—such as a bearish break of structure or an internal Gap forming during the retracement. A 5-minute timeframe can often give early signs of rejection or supply stepping in. Being patient and allowing the market to reveal intent is crucial, especially after liquidity-driven moves like this. Final Thoughts Price doesn’t move randomly—it seeks liquidity and fills inefficiencies. This chart beautifully illustrates that logic, from engineered consolidation to a manipulative sweep, and now potentially toward rebalancing. If you found this breakdown helpful, I’d really appreciate a like—it helps support the work and keeps this kind of content going. Let me know in the comments what you think, or if you’re seeing it differently. I'm always up for a good discussion.
Short
by Louigi_24
198
Bitcoin Mirror Cycle: History Repeats? | 2024–2025 PatternThis chart presents a potential repetition of Bitcoin’s 2024 price cycle (Jan 23 – Aug 5, 2024), projected to mirror itself from September 6, 2024 through Q3–Q4 2025. The hand-drawn arcs suggest a repeating pattern of rounded tops, distribution, correction, and potential accumulation zones. Key support levels are marked near $66,172 and $49,116, indicating where price may retrace before a potential bounce or deeper macro-driven selloff. Technically, the chart hints at a large-scale cyclical structure—a classic market psychology pattern where prior cup-and-handle or double-top formations play out again on a broader timescale. 🌍 Global Context Overlay: War & Geopolitical Tensions: The ongoing risk of conflict escalation (e.g., Iran–Israel, Ukraine–Russia, and potential East Asian tensions) may lead to increased volatility in risk assets like crypto. Wars historically bring uncertainty, which may initially crash speculative markets but later fuel inflationary hedges like Bitcoin. U.S. Elections (Nov 2024): Political instability or leadership changes can impact Federal Reserve policy, regulation, and market sentiment, directly influencing BTC price direction post-election. Recession Fears & Rate Cuts (2025): With central banks expected to pivot towards rate cuts in 2025, liquidity could flow back into risk-on assets, possibly triggering the bounce scenario shown in the latter part of your drawing. If rate cuts come too late, however, a steeper correction into the $49K zone becomes more likely. Global Debt Crisis & De-Dollarization: Growing debt concerns and countries moving away from the USD may boost Bitcoin’s long-term appeal as a non-sovereign store of value, reinforcing the second rally illustrated in your sketch.
by sankalpabiz
2
Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) Market Update – DailyBitcoin remains in a tight range between $110,221.73 (resistance) and $101,546.27 (support). These two levels are the main reference points for initiating high-probability trades. 🔸 Market Context: The primary trend is bullish, so the priority remains on long setups. Short positions should only be considered below $101,546.27 with confirmation. With the prevailing bullish structure, early entries can be taken with a low-risk trigger at $108,746.08. 🔸 Moving Averages & Momentum: The SMA 7 has caught up with the daily candles, but we haven’t seen a strong reaction yet. If today's candle wicks above the SMA 7, we can more confidently pursue long setups starting tomorrow. Otherwise, we may see a pullback toward the SMA 25, especially given the decreasing volume typical of ranging phases. 🔸 Lower Timeframe Setup (1H/4H): A micro range box can be observed between $108,746 and $106,649.78. If price approaches $108,746 with increasing volume, that can serve as a valid long trigger on intraday timeframes. ⏳ Final Note: Patience is key while BTC trades inside this range. The bullish structure remains intact, and opportunities for long trades are more favorable for now. Wait for clean breakouts or volume-based confirmations before entering new trades. #BTCUSDT #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoUpdate #BTCPrice #CryptoStrategy #BitcoinRange #LongSetup #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
by HoldMyTrade
Bitcoin Faces Resistance Rejection — Bearish Divergence Signals Bitcoin is showing signs of exhaustion as it stalls near a high-timeframe resistance level aligned with the value area high (VAH). Recent price action has formed multiple lower timeframe bearish divergences while testing dynamic resistance. This level has now capped further upside attempts and could trigger a market rotation lower if rejected again. With price consolidating directly beneath this barrier, the probability of a pullback grows stronger, especially if no bullish confirmation breaks the current ceiling. Key Technical Points: - Bearish Divergence Developing: Price is holding below the VAH with a weakening momentum signature - Converging Resistance Zone: Dynamic SR and VAH are aligned at $108,350, now acting as a ceiling - Range-Based Rotation Setup: If rejected, price could rotate down to the point of control and value area low Bitcoin’s current structure is classic range behavior, with price gravitating from low to high and back. At the moment, it’s stalled at the value area high, which represents the upper boundary of the most recent range. This level — around $108,350 — has been tested several times, and now a bearish divergence is forming across key momentum indicators like RSI and MACD. In addition, price is showing multiple rejections against dynamic resistance, forming a pattern of lower highs on lower timeframes. The longer this resistance zone holds, the more likely price will revert to the point of control (POC) — the area with the highest traded volume in the range. If that level doesn’t hold either, a full rotation to the value area low becomes the next probable scenario based on market auction theory. This rotation would represent a complete cycle from value area high acceptance back to value area low rejection, which is common when buying pressure fades and sellers regain control. For now, Bitcoin remains technically vulnerable as long as price stays capped beneath the $108,350 level. Bitcoin’s next move hinges on whether it can reclaim the $108,350 resistance zone with volume. If not, expect a corrective phase that targets the POC first, followed by potential continuation down to the value area low. This bearish setup remains valid until price closes decisively above current resistance.
Short
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
BTC/USDT – Trade Review & New Plan (15m, Ichimoku) by RiscoraYesterday’s short setup didn’t work out as planned — stop-loss was hit as bulls showed strong momentum. However, I still believe that a move to the yellow block (downside liquidity zone) is possible, and the idea remains valid. The main mistake was with the stop placement, not the scenario itself. After taking a loss, I’m more cautious: reducing risk, lowering position size, and entering with less conviction. Bulls were dominant yesterday, so I’m keeping my risk tight on this trade. I’ll take the setup again, but with a more conservative approach. If price breaks and holds above my stop-loss level, it will confirm a shift in sentiment to bullish, and I’ll look to flip my bias accordingly. Key points: Previous short was stopped out — reviewing risk Still see potential for a move to the yellow block Lower risk, smaller size after a loss If price holds above stop, trend flips bullish Let’s see how this plays out. #BTC #Crypto #Trading #Ichimoku #Riscora
Short
by Riscora
2
Bitcoin Short-Term Outlook – Coming Week📈 Bitcoin Short-Term Outlook – Coming Week Currently, Bitcoin is expected to gather liquidity around the $106,000 zone, potentially initiating a move toward the $110,000 resistance level. This area will be crucial in determining the next directional move. 🔍 The market's reaction around $110,000 will be closely monitored, and the analysis will be updated once that level is reached. 📌 Note: This outlook is based on current market conditions and may require adjustments if sentiment or price structure changes.
by armindorri1993
1
BTC - Still StrugglingPlease refer to the last post: We have been monitoring BTC at this red trendline for a potential breakout. In this post we are examining a lower timeframe (6H) to see how this structure is developing. Price tried to rally to the red line, but sellers came in and swiftly pushed price back down. This is looking to be a third rejection at this red trendline so far. Buyers are also fighting on the LTF. We have seen the low/mid $106k levels acting a support. A break below $106k could lead to a drop back to our white trendline. This white trendline was recently established with 2 points of resistance (red arrows) followed by it being flipped into new support with 2 touchpoints (green arrows). Depending on when/if this trendline is tested it could bring BTC anywhere between $103-105k. Will update this post if that does happen. In the meantime our three areas to watch on the lower timeframes. -A break above the red trendline -The midline around $106k continuing to hold -The white trendline being tested
by VIAQUANT
1
BTC/USD Multi-Timeframe Analysis – 1H & 5m🕐 1-Hour Overview: BTC is currently consolidating inside a range-bound structure, showing signs of indecision. Resistance Zone: $105,000 – $106,000 Support Zone: $100,000 – $101,000 The price must break out of this box to define the next major direction. ➡️ A bullish breakout above 106K could lead to $108K+ ⬅️ A breakdown below 100K may trigger downside momentum. ⏱ 5-Minute Execution Zone: The 5m chart shows a rebound from an oversold move, forming higher lows and approaching key resistance. Minor Resistance: $107,000 Key Breakout Level: $107,400 🎯 Trading Scenario: If we get a strong bullish candle closing above $107,400 Then: Entry Long with target near $108,000 Stop Loss: Below recent 5m low – around $106,800 ✅ Strategy Context: Timeframe alignment between HTF and LTF Scalp entry with confirmation Risk managed around structural zones 🔗 Powered by ALIP FX 📌 Follow for more ideas, and smart scalping setups #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #Scalping #PriceAction #ALIPFX
Long
by ALIP_FX
1