(BTC/USDT).- Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) .
- Current price testing resistance at $110,489.
- Descending trendline indicates potential bearish pressure.
- Key support levels: $107,466, $105,000, $102,693.
- Potential upside target: $112,500 if resistance breaks.
- Potential downside target: $100,000 if support fails.
BTCUSDT.P trade ideas
BTC-USDT Market Analysis for the Last 24 Hours
Hello, crypto enthusiast! 👋 Let’s see what has been happening with Bitcoin over the past 24 hours!
🔍 Price Action
Bitcoin dipped slightly during the day, sliding from ~108,970 USDT to a current price of about 108,166 USDT. That’s a decline of roughly 0.7 %—nothing too dramatic for the crypto market! 😉
📰 Hot News
• John Bollinger (renowned technical analyst) said that “Bitcoin is close to a breakout”; many analysts remain upbeat despite the small pullback.
• South Korea is seeing explosive crypto-market growth: total capitalization has topped $74.8 billion, and daily trading volume has reached $10.7 billion—higher than on the country’s two main stock exchanges!
• Fun fact: Korea’s well-known “kimchi premium” means crypto prices there can run about 10 % above global levels due to strong local demand. 🌶️
📊 Technical View
During the last 24 hours BTC traded between $107,393 and $109,048. Volumes were especially heavy from 21:00 to 22:00 on 7 July, when more than 100 million USDT changed hands.
BTC Price Prediction Price breaks down from inside the channel and turns bullish from a point between 106500 (very high probability) and 102500 (low probability).
Volume Weighted Average Price
Classical Technical Analysis
Rising Wedge Formation
Elliot Wave - Correction Wave
Pitchfan
Harmonic - Potential Bullish Gartley
Smart Money Concept
ICT
Bitcoin: The night before the plunge? →104,000?
Bitcoin fell under pressure from highs, with short-term bearishness but strong long-term fundamental support.
1. Market fundamentals
Institutional holdings continue to grow
BlackRock Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) exceeds $72 billion in size, dominating the market
MicroStrategy holdings increased to 597,000 BTC (about $63 billion), continuing to increase holdings on dips
Global Bitcoin ETF Net inflow of $4 billion in June shows strong demand for institutional allocation
Policy and regulatory progress
The U.S. Treasury Department plans to include Bitcoin in the "strategic reserve assets" to enhance its legal status
The SEC will make a ruling on spot ETF option transactions on July 15, which may bring new liquidity
The Trump administration plans to impose a 60% tariff on China, and market risk aversion may heat up again
On-chain data changes
A 14-year dormant address recently transferred 80,009 BTC (about $8.69 billion), triggering concerns about selling
The lightning network capacity exceeded 5,000 BTC, and Tether (USDT) completed the lightning network integration
II. Technical depth Degree analysis
(1) Medium-term trend structure (4-hour level)
Rising channel break: After the price peaked at $112,000, it continued to fall below the rising trend line support
Range oscillation formation: Currently, $98,000-110,700 constitutes the main trading range, and the middle track support is $104,000
Volume change: The recent decline is accompanied by an increase in trading volume, indicating that the short-term momentum is increasing
(2) Short-term trading signals (1-hour level)
Double top pattern confirmation: $110,700 was tested twice without breaking, forming a typical reversal structure
Moving average system short arrangement: EMA5/10/30 formed a death cross, suppressing price rebound
Key support level:
▶ First support: $106,500 (Fibonacci 38.2%)
▶ Second support: $104,000 (psychological barrier + previous low)
▶ Strong support: $98,000 (lower track of the range)
III. Trading strategy suggestions
1. Aggressive short position layout
Entry range: $109,000-109,500
Stop loss setting: $111,000 (above the previous high)
Target: $106,500→$104,000
Technical basis: downward trend line suppression + RSI top divergence
2. Steady retracement of short positions
Entry signal: 108,000-108,500 rebound encountered resistance
Stop loss setting: $110,000 integer barrier
Target: $104,000 (break down to see 98,000)
3. Long defense area
Key observation position: 104,000 US dollars (if there is a large volume to stop the decline, you can try long with a light position)
Breakthrough signal: Stabilizing 110,700 US dollars will restart the upward trend
IV. Multi-dimensional market outlook
Short-term (1-2 weeks):
Affected by technical suppression and whale movements, it is expected to maintain 104,000-110,700 range fluctuations
Focus on the effectiveness of 106,500 support, breaking down will accelerate the test of the lower track of the range
Medium-term (Q3 quarter):
Institutional continued holdings + Fed rate cut expectations constitute long-term support
If it breaks through 112,000 US dollars, it will open up to 120,000-125,000 upside space
Risk warning:
The SEC option trading ruling on July 15 may cause violent fluctuations
Global macroeconomic data (especially CPI) will affect market risk preferences
V. Professional trading suggestions
▶ Currently, the "rebound short" strategy is preferred, and stop loss is strictly set
▶ Long-term investors can arrange in batches in the range of 98000-104000
▶ Pay close attention to:
Daily ETF fund flows, changes in on-chain whale addresses (glassnode alert system), US CPI data (released on July 12)
Conclusion: Although the short-term technical side is bearish, the long-term fundamental support of Bitcoin remains solid. It is recommended that traders seize the opportunity of range fluctuations, operate flexibly at key support/resistance levels, and wait for new trend signals to be confirmed.
BTC Forming Higher Highs & Lows | Watch the Wedge Breakout📈 BTC Forming Higher Highs & Lows | Watch the Wedge Breakout 📉
In the uptrend that started around $100K, Bitcoin is forming higher highs and higher lows on the 4H timeframe, which is in line with Dow Theory. Based on the orange lines I’ve drawn, it seems we are moving inside a rising wedge pattern.
🟠 Key Observations:
Breakout from either side of the wedge can trigger a trade, but I personally won’t enter based solely on the wedge.
If BTC breaks upwards, I’ll hold my existing long, not looking to short — because the mid and long-term trend is still bullish.
📌 New Trigger Level: The previously important level of $110,246.8 is now less relevant for me. The market has already rejected from $109,953.16, so that’s my new key level.
👉 I’ve placed a stop-buy order at $109,953.16 based on the 1H chart.
💣 Short Liquidation Zone (Updated):
Now ranges between $110,640 to $111,320
If you're looking to trade momentum:
RSI above 70 on 4H, or
Above 76.23 on 1H = potential trigger for long entries
👉 I'm planning to open a long position above $109,953.16 using a stop-buy order, with the help of the order book in the exchange.
⚠️ Currently, I don’t have a high-confidence stop-loss level — I’ll update as I see clearer price action.
🧠 Pro Tip:
Do everything you can to catch a BTC long position. If you understand risk management and position sizing, don’t be afraid of stop-losses — they’re part of the game.
If you're unsure what proper risk/money management is, go learn it now, or you will definitely get liquidated someday.
BTC analyses
Bitcoin has hit its own support level and choke point in the 4-hour timeframe, which could be a signal for further correction.
But dynamic support has held its own.
We will wait until the US market opens.
And enter when we see a break and see a signal.
Note: I am bullish on Bitcoin as long as it is above 183,200.
#BTC Update #4 – July 7, 2025🟠 #BTC Update #4 – July 7, 2025
Bitcoin has been trading inside a supply zone , and its last impulsive move happened right into that area. While it tried to push higher again, I now see signs of rejection.
If this rejection holds, the first level I’m watching is $107,850 . Below that, there's a key support around $106,350 . Should this level break, we could see a deeper drop toward $102,650 , where an imbalance zone remains untested.
At the moment, short setups look more reasonable than longs but from a risk/reward perspective, I don’t see enough edge to take action yet. So for now, I’m not entering any position and will simply watch BTC’s next move .
BTC 4HWe are in a week where volatility is expected to increase in BTC. A movement like the one on the screen may occur. Definitely use stops during this period. We are in a period when it is very difficult to analyze the market. We have become a market that moves with a lot of news. The market will surprise investors before the bull comes. Therefore, pay more attention to your stops than ever.
BTC in DistributionHi everyone. I am going to be moving my trading commentary back to Ideas rather than Minds so I can stay focused during the day, as well as having the added benefit of retrospective analysis. I do not trade BTC but have been tracking the price recently and believe it is gearing up for a big move. The current structure supports a bearish bias based on the Wyckoff Distribution pattern, which the price has been following in a textbook fashion. If this pattern continues, I believe Bitcoin will enter a bearish trend.
For the indexes I will try to post ideas for a bullish and bearish bias but for this quick post on Bitcoin, I am going to stick to the bear side.
Using Renko (Traditional, $500 window size) as my main chart, you can see the price broke out of a strong uptrend after the peak on May 22 (Buying Climax) and entered a potential distribution pattern. The secondary test (ST) set the lower band of the resistance zone, which the price has been testing and rejecting up until this point.
The labels are subjective but what we can confirm is that the price has broken through the bottom range (Sign of Weakness or Spring) but has been unable to break through the top of the range. An upthrust/false breakout above the top of the range would be a key level to go short, as this would take out the last remaining buyers, however the price continuing to stay below the resistance could be a sign of persistent weakness.
A rejection here would suggest that we are in Phase C, which is where momentum will build up on the sell side, eventually pushing the price through the bottom of the range and into a bearish trend.
Since Renko is the smoothest chart, I am also using range bars (less smooth) and standard candle sticks (most noise) to analyze closer setups.
On the range chart (20000R or $200), the price looks to be in an inverse cup and handle pattern, which if it holds would support the idea that we are in Phase C of the distribution pattern and the price will fail to break above the range again. Volume indicates that there is low interest at the upper levels, which resulted in the price moving down in Friday. We could see another push down after another period of low interest at the upper level.
Lastly, the 1h candle chart shows that the price has been relatively flat since June 25th and is being supported by a large volume node on the Volume Profile. There was large buying volume at the lower level, so if the price can stay above this node (~$106,700) there is a good chance that it will get pushed above the range, however if sellers are able to push it through this level of high volume, further downside could follow. This is why I would suggest waiting to see if this level holds before entering a trade. A false upside breakout (above $112,000) would be a safe area to go short, as it would be a quality setup with good risk/reward.
If the price is in Phase C and cannot break above the range, it would be a less ideal short setup, as the market could make a push to the top of the range at any time to clear out buyers. If this were to happen, I would prefer to wait for more confirmation.
To conclude, my idea here is:
Short (Solid Line): False breakout above $112,000 (preferred) or below $107,000 (higher risk)
Long (Dotted Lines): True breakout above $112,000 (preferred) or reversal $103,000-$98,000 (higher risk)
Thank you for reading and let me know what you think. More ideas to come.
Long opportunity in BTC/USDT.PSThe 107963.44 level has already been broken. So we need to wait to retest the same level.
Reasons : -
1. 30 MIN BOS Breakout.
2. it retested the fibonocci 0.611 level.
Entry : 107963.44
TP : 109065.90
SL : 107415.57
Disclaimer : I'm not recommending to take this entry. Do with your analysis too.
"BTC Pumps from $108,850 to $109,900 – What's Next?"Bitcoin has shown strong bullish momentum, rising from $108,850 to $109,900 in a short time. This move signals renewed buying interest in the market and suggests that Bitcoin may be preparing for a breakout above the $110,000 level.
Analysts believe this move is driven by whale accumulation, positive global sentiment around crypto regulations, and technical indicators pointing to a breakout. If BTC holds above $109,900, the next targets could be $110K and $112K.
Stay alert — the bulls might be back!
BTC/USDT CHART ANALIYSIS !!BTC/USDT
You have three circles highlighting repeated price rejections around the $109,000–$110,000 area (red resistance band).
A descending trendline connects those high points, creating a sloping resistance.
There is a broad support area around $98,000–$100,000 (green area below).
The price recently broke above the trendline and is now retesting around that $109,000–$110,000 area.
If BTC stays above ~$108,500–$109,000, it could head further towards $112,000–$113,000.
A drop below the trendline and back to $107,500 could trap the bulls, leading to a retest of $105,000 or lower support around $100,000.
Bullish setup: Entry $108,800–$109,200, target $112,000–$113,000, stop-loss below $107,000.
Bearish setup: Short if price rejects $109,500–$110,000, target $105,500, stop-loss above $110,800.
Stay alert!
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN Bearish Outlook – July 6, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
🔔 Follow us to never miss a market update.
🚀 Boosts provide strong motivation and drive to the SeoVereign team.
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Hello,
This is SeoVereign.
As of July 6, 2025, I present a bullish outlook on Bitcoin.
It has been a while since I last shared a long position perspective.
Those of you who have consistently followed SeoVereign’s ideas would know that, until now, most of the entry points have been centered around short positions. We have closely tracked the market, identifying opportunities amid the downtrend.
However, after comprehensively analyzing the recent overall market atmosphere, we have come to the conclusion that upward pressure is gradually increasing rather than downward pressure. After reviewing technical indicators and wave structures, we have determined that it is reasonable to consider a buy — in other words, a long position — at this stage.
The first target for this idea is set at an average of around 109,500 . This figure is based on a comprehensive judgment that includes the current wave structure, previous key support/resistance zones, and momentum trends. Of course, this target may be flexibly adjusted depending on how the market develops, and if necessary, the rationale will be clearly revised accordingly.
As always, we will continue to track this idea and refine our logic based on the real-time developments and structures, further solidifying the grounds for the long bet.
Wishing you continued good fortune.
BTCUSDT short-term analysishi traders
Let's have a look at BTC on 4h time frame.
RSI (14): Currently at 60.40, suggesting mild bullish momentum but not overbought.
RSI Moving Average: Around 50.92, confirming recent upward momentum.
MACD bullish cross suggest more upside in a short term.
Breakout Confirmation: Price has broken above a recent horizontal resistance (near $109,236), now acting as support.
Bullish Continuation Expected
Support & Resistance:
New Support: $109,236
Resistance to Break: Around $111,742
✅ Conclusion:
This is a bullish breakout trade based on horizontal support/resistance, favorable RSI, and a clear RR setup. The trader anticipates a pullback and continuation toward $111.7K, using a tight stop just below the breakout zone to minimize risk.
BTC Smart money Bullish don’t be fooled !**BITCOIN MICROSTRUCTURE ANALYSIS: Institutional Accumulation Through Order Flow Divergence**
The current BTCUSD market structure presents a compelling case study in institutional accumulation mechanics, utilizing sophisticated order flow analysis to identify smart money positioning ahead of retail market participants.
**Technical Infrastructure Analysis**
The convergence of multiple analytical frameworks reveals a coordinated accumulation pattern across various timeframes and exchanges. Volume Profile Analysis on the primary chart indicates substantial institutional interest between $108,000-$110,000, with the Point of Control (POC) establishing a robust foundation for directional bias determination.
**Order Flow Microstructure Dynamics**
The Bitfinex footprint data reveals critical microstructural imbalances that traditional technical analysis often overlooks. The current candle displays a **-4.52 delta** with price resilience at $109,480, indicating aggressive institutional absorption of retail selling pressure. This negative delta combined with price strength represents a classic **Wyckoff accumulation signature** - large participants are utilizing iceberg orders and hidden liquidity pools to build positions without triggering algorithmic momentum systems.
**Smart Money Positioning Mechanics**
Three key indicators confirm institutional accumulation:
1. **Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) Divergence**: Both spot and perpetual markets showing negative CVD (-95.77K spot, -50.05K perp) while price maintains elevation, indicating off-exchange accumulation through dark pools and cross-trading networks.
1. **Open Interest Expansion**: The increase from 77.89K to 78.75K contracts with minimal funding rate pressure suggests fresh institutional capital rather than retail speculation.
1. **Volume Profile Concentration**: The heatmap reveals 105.85M in trading volume concentrated within the $108K-$110K range, representing systematic accumulation rather than random market activity.
**Institutional Arbitrage Mechanics**
The funding rate dynamics (0.001783 with periodic negative spikes to -0.000753) indicate sophisticated carry trade positioning. Institutions are likely utilizing the negative funding periods to establish leveraged long positions while simultaneously hedging through spot accumulation, creating a self-reinforcing feedback loop.
**Market Microstructure Implications**
This accumulation pattern typically precedes **Phase C markup** in Wyckoff methodology, where institutional players transition from absorption to active price discovery. The thin volume profile above $112,000 suggests minimal resistance once the breakout occurs, creating conditions for rapid price expansion toward the $113,600 target.
**Risk-Adjusted Positioning Strategy**
The confluence of volume profile analysis, order flow dynamics, and institutional positioning indicators supports a high-probability long bias with the following parameters:
- **Entry Zone**: $109,000-$109,200 (current accumulation range)
- **Risk Management**: Stop loss at $108,200 (below institutional POC)
- **Target Sequence**: $110,653 → $112,000 → $113,600
- **Confidence Level**: 90% (upgraded from initial 75% based on footprint confirmation)
**Forward-Looking Market Structure**
The sophisticated nature of this accumulation pattern suggests institutional preparation for a significant directional move. The combination of hidden liquidity absorption, funding rate arbitrage, and volume profile concentration creates optimal conditions for sustained upward momentum once the $110,000 psychological resistance is cleared.
This analysis exemplifies how advanced order flow techniques can provide substantial informational advantages over traditional technical analysis, particularly in identifying institutional positioning ahead of retail market recognition.
*Position sizing should remain within 3-5% of total portfolio allocation, with dynamic risk management protocols adjusted based on evolving market microstructure conditions.*
BITCOINBITCOIN , continues to see in flow of liquidity ,investors confidence is high ,institutional adoption could change the layer of demand and supply and set a new bench mark for trading highs and low trading on intraday.
feels good to see that my correction video came 100% correct, now the confirmation will be if 108.03-107.89k will hold support. This is a classic retest to broken 4hr descending trendline ,if we adopt it ,then we buying into 111k-113k-116k watch it critically.
On a second thought if price adopt the new structure we are selling in 100k-90k and below.
trading is logical probability ,keep that in mind that every key level can be broken, manage your risk, back test on your strategy and make sure you are winning.
there are many ways to win this market without big grammar.
have a blessed new week.
BITCOINBITCOIN , continues to see in flow of liquidity ,investors confidence is high ,institutional adoption could change the layer of demand and supply and set a new bench mark for trading highs and low trading on intraday.
feels good to see that my correction video came 100% correct, now the confirmation will be if 108.03-107.89k will hold support. This is a classic retest to broken 4hr descending trendline ,if we adopt it ,then 111k-113k-116k will be watched.
on a second thought if price adopt the new structure we are selling in 100k-90k and below.
trading is logical probability ,keep that in mind that every key level can be broken, manage your risk, back test on your strategy and make sure you are winning.
there are many ways to win this market without big grammar.
have a blessed new week.