BTCUSDT.P trade ideas
BTC UP OR NO📈 Bitcoin to Reach $113K, With a Breakout Path to $120K – A Professional Outlook
After analyzing the macro trend, technical structure, market sentiment, and on-chain behavior, I strongly believe that Bitcoin is on a clear trajectory toward $113,000, with a potential extension to $120,000 if key resistance is broken.
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🔍 1. Technical Analysis Perspective
Macro Bullish Structure: Since the 2022 bear market bottom, Bitcoin has maintained a consistent higher highs and higher lows pattern, confirming a long-term uptrend.
Fibonacci Extension: The 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the $15.5K bottom to the $69K peak gives a projected target of around $113K.
Historical Fractal Patterns: In previous cycles, Bitcoin has always broken past previous all-time highs by 1.5x to 1.75x, placing this cycle's peak in the $110K–$120K range.
Ascending Triangle Breakout: On the weekly chart, BTC is forming a bullish ascending triangle with the top resistance at ~$73K. A confirmed breakout targets $113K as the next major supply zone.
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🧠 2. Market Psychology & Cycle Timing
Halving Effect: Historically, Bitcoin peaks occur 9–12 months post-halving. The most recent halving was in April 2024, aligning a potential peak by Q1 or Q2 of 2025.
Psychological Resistance Zones: The $100K–$113K range is not only a Fibonacci target but also a powerful psychological barrier. Once breached, FOMO and institutional momentum could push BTC rapidly to $120K.
Retail vs Institutional Flows: Data shows increased ETF inflows and long-term holder accumulation — a classic pre-peak indicator.
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🔗 3. On-Chain and Whale Behavior
Realized Price vs Market Price: BTC market price is well above long-term holder realized price, signaling bull market phase 2 (the steep climb).
Dormant Supply: Over 70% of BTC has not moved in 6+ months, showing strong holder conviction. This reduces sell pressure as price increases.
Whale Accumulation Zones: Whales are heavily positioned around $60K–$65K, and there is minimal sell volume above $100K on major exchanges, opening the path to $113K with low resistance.
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🚀 Conclusion:
> Based on comprehensive technical patterns, market structure, psychological phases, and on-chain behavior, Bitcoin is highly likely to reach $113,000.
If momentum continues and $113K is breached with volume confirmation, a sharp move toward $120,000 becomes not only possible — but likely.
BTCUSDT: Positive CDV Divergence for Potential Long Setups• Market Overview: Bitcoin currently sits at a pivotal point. Although the price movement has been somewhat indecisive, we’re watching closely for signs of bullish momentum.
• CDV Divergence Focus: Our attention is on a potential positive Cumulative Volume Delta (CDV) divergence. This takes shape when the price makes a lower low but CDV registers a higher low (regular bullish divergence), or when the price posts a higher low and CDV shows a lower low (hidden bullish divergence). These patterns can hint at growing buying interest even if price action hasn’t caught up yet.
• Support Zones (Blue Boxes): The highlighted blue zones on the chart signal potential support levels where buyers may step in. These are mapped from prior demand areas or structural support points.
• Trade Setup: Should a confirmed positive CDV divergence appear near or inside one of these blue zones, it could offer a strong case for a long entry. This would suggest that while the price may look weak, buying strength is quietly building underneath.
• Managing Risk: Any long entry must be accompanied by a well-defined invalidation level—typically just below the blue box support or the lowest point of the divergence.
Disclaimer: This is a technical pattern-based analysis intended for informational purposes only. Trading involves risk. Always perform your own due diligence and assess your risk appetite before entering any trades.
break, BTC soon reaches new ATH💎 Update Plan BTC after NFP (July 3)
Notable news about BTC:
Bitcoin (BTC) recovered to $ 109,000 on Wednesday when the US agreement with Vietnam and the increase in global M2 supply of M2 money has promoted an increase in open interest rates (OI), soaring to 689.78 thousand BTC worth about $ 75 billion. The cryptocurrency market in general has increased the price along with BTC, with leading altcoins, Ethereum (ETH), XRP and Solana (SOL) increased by 7%, 3%and 4%respectively.
Bitcoin, the market cryptocurrency market increased by the trade agreement with Vietnam and M2 money supply soared
The cryptocurrency market has recovered on Wednesday, an increase of 2% to regain the market capitalization of $ 3.5 trillion.
Technical analysis angle
First, congratulate the investors who follow the plan when we previously traded according to the model and had a short signal at 108k and took profit and then Long in the 106k area.
Currently, BTC is in wave 5 and is trapped in the Fibonanci area of 2,618 golden ratio around the price of 109k, this is also the threshold of the price of investors who are under pressure before the price area goes to 112k
The 112k region is a psychological area of profit and will appear on the 109k sales situation before the BTC price may rise further in the last 6 months of the year.
Please follow the channel to receive accurate scenarios about gold and BTC /-Teart /-heart
==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
Bitcoin NEW ALL TIME HIGH ? Based on my analytic, bitcoin has possibility to hit the new all time high $113.500 .
If not there is also possibility of going down to 4h OB ( $106.10 0) and up to $113.500 .
Two scenarios possible!!!
First trade
Entry 108.937,7
SL 108.419,4
TP 113.599
Second trade
Entry 106.185,4
SL 104.972,7
TP 113.599
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #117👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
After nearly 20 days of inactivity on this channel, we’re back with our regular analyses. As the first post in this new round, I’ll continue the Bitcoin series and present analysis number 117.
✅As usual, the analysis is done on the 1-hour timeframe to identify potential futures triggers for the New York session.
📰 Before diving into the charts, let’s briefly look at the market fundamentals. Over the past three weeks, we’ve had the news of the conflict between Iran and Israel. Aside from the initial couple of days, it didn’t have a significant impact on the market, and eventually, the market stopped reacting to it. Right now, the two countries have agreed to a ceasefire and seem to be negotiating.
🔍 In my opinion, the market is unlikely to care anymore whether this war continues or not. Whether they reach an agreement or not probably won’t make a big difference to the market.
🔑 The other major event was the Federal Reserve meeting. Everyone was expecting Jerome Powell to provide some clear outlook regarding US monetary policy, but once again, that didn’t happen. Powell didn’t provide any meaningful data.
📊 This uncertainty led to minimal market volatility and prevented any strong legs from forming, with no significant volume entering the market as everyone was waiting for Powell’s remarks. Since that didn’t yield much, the market remains indecisive for now.
💥 We’ll have to wait and see what kind of impactful news comes in the future. Until then, it’s best to remain patient.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour chart, you can see a bullish move that started from the 105370 zone, and with strong buying volume, price broke through 108619 and reached the top of 110256.
✨ Currently, price has only wicked into 110256 and hasn’t shown a decisive reaction to it yet. If it revisits this zone, we’ll be able to observe its real reaction to the supply level.
🔔 The current support zone is 108619, which has already received a bounce, forming a range box between 108619 and 110256.
📈 If the 110256 level breaks, the upward move could continue with another bullish leg.
🔽 For short positions, the first trigger would be a confirmation below 108619. But for a more reliable short, I would wait for the price to form a lower high and a lower low below that zone before entering.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin dominance is currently hovering around a key support at 65.04. A key resistance sits at 65.64, which would be the first trigger for bullish continuation.
⭐ The main breakout level for starting a new bullish trend in dominance would be 65.97. For bearish confirmation, a break below 65.04 would suffice.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Looking at Total2, a range box has formed between 1.15 and 1.17, with price oscillating in between.
🧩 Momentum is currently bullish, and there’s a high chance of breaking above 1.17. If this level is broken, we could see another bullish leg and a long position would be valid.
📉 For shorts, a break below 1.15 would be the first signal, but I personally prefer to wait for a clearer trend change before entering any short positions.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
USDT dominance is also ranging between 4.72 and 4.78, very similar to Total2.
📊 A break below 4.72 would confirm a bearish move, while a break above 4.78 would indicate bullish continuation for dominance.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bullish Momentum Building – Watch for a Sharp Move📈 Bullish Momentum Building – Watch for a Sharp Move
Since the upward move started from $105,363, we've seen a rise in volume alongside the price — a positive sign. If RSI on the 4H timeframe pushes into the overbought zone (above 70), it could trigger a sharp breakout.
Most short positions are likely to get liquidated between $110,880 and $111,320, which may overlap with an RSI breakout and add fuel to the move.
So here's how I'm planning this:
Use a stop-buy order to catch a breakout and enter a long position.
Place your stop-loss around $108,500.
For the entry point, check your exchange’s order book — I’m still not fully convinced $110,246 is the best trigger.
If price drops to around $107,765, it's not a big concern — the structure remains bullish. Ideally, though, we don’t want to go below $108,620.
Don't forget to manage your risk — fakeouts are still possible. And if you get stopped out once, don’t get discouraged. Stay focused — we might be close to a strong move over the next few days.
💬 What’s your plan? Drop your thoughts in the comments — I read all of them! www.coinglass.com
#BTCUSDT: First $120,000 Then $140,000 Swing Move.Bitcoin has accumulated successfully and is currently on the verge of entering the next price zone, which is 120k, followed by 150k. There’s only one entry zone to consider. We’re confident that the price will move as planned, but it’s not guaranteed. Before taking entry, please conduct your own analysis.
If you like our work, please like, comment, and share.
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BTC/USD Fake out before Pump | Bullish Flag formationBTC/USDT (1D) Market Outlook – July 1, 2025
Introduction
BTC is currently consolidating within a bullish flag pattern after printing a swing high at 108.9K and a recent swing low at 98K. The price sits just below a major supply zone.
Context 1: Key Zones
Supply: 104.6K – 112.1K
Demand: 74.4K – 82.5K
Fair Value Gaps (FVG): 3 zones below price, with one near 88–90K
Context 2: Technical Confluence
Liquidation Zone: 106.2K
Golden Pocket (Fib 0.618): 102.1K
Psychological Levels: 105K and 110K
Context 3: Market Structure
Pattern: Bullish flag
Trend (LTF): Sideways/consolidation
Volume Profile: Heavy activity near 105K–110K
Bullish Scenario
Breaks above 106.2K (liq zone)
Pulls back to 102.1K (golden pocket), forms higher low
Retests resistance for continuation
Alt scenario: clean breakout above resistance → ATH retest
Bearish Scenario
Breaks below 106.2K and flag support
Fills FVG, breaks prior low at 98K
Triggers macro downtrend toward 88–90K zone
Summary
BTC is at a decision point inside a bullish flag, facing supply. A break above 106.2K favors upside continuation, while rejection and a lower low could trigger a deeper retracement. Watch key levels closely.
Bitcoin Robust Bullish Structure, Key Entries at 105k & 100k__________________________________________________________________________________
Technical Overview – Summary Points
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Bullish momentum confirmed across all timeframes : Structure remains healthy, no behavioral anomalies detected.
Key supports: Main HTF pivot around $98,000–$100,000; first intermediate support zone at $105,000.
Major resistances: Critical area between $109,000 and $112,000, dense pivot and volume profile confluence.
Volumes: Normal to very high depending on TF, no speculative excess; gradual rise hints at possible expansion phase.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator : Strong Buy from daily to 1H, shifting to neutral on shorter timeframes (30min–15min).
ISPD DIV/Mason's line: Predominantly neutral histogram, no overheat or capitulation detected.
Multi-timeframe behavior: Robust underlying structure, increased volatility but no massive selling stress.
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Strategic Summary
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Global bias: Bullish dominance as long as $98k–$100k holds.
Opportunity zones: Buy on pullback to $105k, swing confirm above $111k with volume/ISPD validation.
Risk / Invalidation: Stop loss below $98k; extra caution on macro/Fed events.
Macro catalysts: Fed/NFP-US (July 2–4), monitor behavior via ISPD DIV (blue to red).
Action plan: Structured and tactical long bias, “no trade” zone before major US releases, immediate stop on support break.
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Multi-Timeframe Analysis
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1D: Bullish momentum, no overheat. Pivot 98–100k = strategic fallback.
12H–6H: Signs remain bullish, no anomalies, intermediate supports at 105–107k.
4H–2H: Positive consolidation, rising volumes; possible accumulation on 105k dips.
1H–30min: Multiple resistances under 110–112k, very high volumes, maintain vigilance for sudden spikes.
15min: Extreme volatility, but no clear seller excess; watch for “trap” formation.
Risk On / Risk Off Indicator : Strong Buy on main timeframes, shifting to neutral/buy on 30min/15min (breather zone).
ISPD DIV/Mason's line: No buyer capitulation, overall neutral histogram.
Summary: Bullish cross-timeframe alignment, only macro events may trigger a break.
Key economic calendar
- 07/02: Powell speech – Potential added risk-on boost.
- 07/02: US tariff updates – Possible volatility.
- 07/04: NFP, ISM... High expected volatility.
Action : Heightened caution pre-announcements, validate through volume/ISPD.
On-chain: Dominant HODLing, no dumping, stable institutional volume.
Macro: Fed, inflation, geopolitics under watch.
Tactical: Spot any warning via ISPD or volume cluster.
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Conclusion & risk management
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Strong bullish bias as long as $98k–$100k holds .
Optimal buy on $105k/$100k dips, swing confirm on $111k break .
Outside of US events: strict tactical discipline required .
Absolute invalidation zone: break below $98k (HTF + STH cost-basis) .
Remain vigilant for ISPD red + volume spike / macro headlines .
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