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BTCUSDT.P trade ideas

Bitcoin Fractal, increase to $116k Hi Everyone☕👋 BINANCE:BTCUSDT Been such a long time since I posted. Today I'm looking at BTCUSDT, and I'm looking at the previous all time high cycle and what we were seeing (the pattern aka fractal). Here's why we're likely going a little higher. First correction of -32% Followed by first peak, ATH Correction, then the second peak and the REAL ath. Which is where we likely are: Interesting to note that the previous time, the second ath was NOT THAT MUCH HIGHER. This should be considered to manage expectations in terms of how high we can go. Anything above +6% is a bonus.
Long
by BlockTechEv
19
Just Two Months Left: Navigating Bitcoin and Global ChangesGreetings to everyone reading these lines! Today, I want to share with you not just an analysis, but my personal reflections and feelings about the current situation in the financial and cryptocurrency markets, especially regarding Bitcoin. Many of you already know that I have always been a firm believer in Bitcoin’s market cycles. Right now, we are approaching the final stage of another such cycle-the distribution phase. The past few months have seen considerable turmoil: Trump's election, escalating conflicts between India and Pakistan, Israel and Iran, rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine, and not to mention China’s increasingly assertive geopolitical moves. I can't shake the feeling that the world stands on the threshold of something significant, perhaps serious. I sincerely hope I'm mistaken, but signs of a global conflict or a substantial reset in the world order are undeniably in the air. History shows us that after major upheavals and wars, the world undergoes profound changes. It seems we are nearing such a pivotal moment within the next couple of months. For a long time, I've highlighted September 2025 as a critical point in the current market cycle, and now everything confirms this scenario. In these unstable times, participants in the financial markets face both risks and tremendous opportunities. The distinguishing factor today is the rapid integration of artificial intelligence into all areas of life. I firmly believe that if you don't begin incorporating AI into your activities now, you risk being left behind. Personally, I'm actively integrating artificial intelligence into my professional processes and everyday life, as I see it as inevitable in our near future. Regarding the cryptocurrency market, I'll be frank: the past couple of years have significantly changed it and even somewhat disappointed me. Liquidity has become diluted, and the market has clearly become seasonal, with brief periods of explosive growth followed by long downturns. This has led me to return to trading Forex and gold, where the market is more transparent and predictable. Many crypto projects that seemed promising in 2017 are now nearly forgotten and stagnating. Think of Dash, EOS, Litecoin, ZCash, and others-they haven't disappeared entirely, but they no longer play significant roles in the market. The battle for user attention has become overly aggressive, and competition has devolved into chasing short-lived hype. Nevertheless, there are exceptions, such as Solana—a project that achieved success thanks to a fortunate combination of factors. Yet such projects remain exceedingly rare. Today, I see the most promising and powerful trend as the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA). It doesn’t matter so much which blockchain will be used-the concept itself has already proven effective. While this journey won't be easy, the involvement of giants like BlackRock indicates the trend is sustainable and promising in the long run. Overall, I am confident that financial markets and digital currencies will continue to evolve and grow. However, in about two months, I plan to adopt a bearish stance. Unfortunately, there are few signs of a quick global economic recovery. The world needs significant restructuring and changes-new rules and agreements are inevitable, and the coming year promises many notable events. Ask yourself: Are you ready for these changes? Are you prepared to adapt to new conditions, technologies, and realities? Personally, I'm fully ready, which is why I remain active in the market, continuing to share my thoughts, assist, and engage with each of you. If you have questions, ideas, or proposals for collaboration, I am always open to dialogue and eager for any interaction. I sincerely thank each of you for your support, comments, and attention to my posts. I stay here because I believe in the enormous opportunities available even in the most uncertain times. We have an exciting journey ahead, and I invite you to travel it together with me. Wishing you success, profits, and above all, peace and kindness on our planet. The time of change is already here. Let’s meet it together. Warm regards, Your EXCAVO.
Long
by EXCAVO
52
The $BTC Swing Indicator Signals Low RiskHappy New Year! The indicators that make up the Bitcoin Swing Trade Indicator (BSTI) are bottoming in aggregate. I've been searching for nice daily swing trade indicators and have been swapping them out in the BSTI. Therefore, the BSTI has gone through changes, but it is almost ready for prime time. I'm thinking of changing out one more indicator. The solid ones I'm keeping are the SOPR momentum, money flow, aggregate funding rate (AFR), MACD, RSI, hash rate capitulation, Bollinger band trend, Coinbase premium, plus directional movement, and the transaction fee spike indicators. Besides the AFR, which is neutral, the indicators are signaling generally low risk. --Da_Prof
Long
by Da_Prof
22
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the 1-hour timeframeBitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the 1-hour timeframe: 🔽 Bearish Target Points (Downside Levels): First Target: ~116,157.55 USDT This level is close to the upper edge of the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo), which can act as initial support. Second Target: ~113,686.49 USDT This is the deeper pullback level, marked clearly as the main "Target Point" on the chart. It aligns with historical structure and is near the lower part of the cloud. 🧠 Summary: The chart suggests a potential pullback from the recent all-time high (~118,110 USDT). If price breaks below 116k, the next major support is ~113.6k. Traders might look for buy entries at these levels if price action confirms support.
Short
by RSI_Trading_point
11
Bitcoin Weekly Chart Outlook – Retrace Expected at 125KBased on the Bitcoin weekly chart, I’ve noticed a repeating pattern where Bitcoin tends to reach a short-term top or enters a retracement phase at every $25,000 level — $25K, $50K, $75K, $100K. If this pattern continues, my projection is that Bitcoin could reach its next significant top or retrace zone around $125,000. This level could act as a psychological and technical barrier, attracting profit-taking and triggering a correction. While this is not financial advice, it’s a structure I’m closely watching as the market unfolds. What do you think? Let’s discuss.
Long
by LukmanMutoif
3
BTC AI Prediction Dashboard - 6h Price Path (17.07.25) Prediction made using Crypticorn AI Prediction Dashboard Link in bio BTCUSDT Forecast: Crypticorn AI Prediction Dashboard Projects 6h Price Path (Forward-Only) Forecast timestamp: ~10:30 UTC Timeframe: 15m Prediction horizon: 6 hours Model output: Central estimate (blue line): -119,394 Represents the AI’s best estimate of BTC’s near-term price direction. 80% confidence band (light blue): 118,475 – 119,566 The light blue zone marks the 80% confidence range — the most likely area for price to close 40% confidence band (dark blue): 117,621 – 120,336 The dark blue zone shows the narrower 40% confidence range, where price is expected to stay with higher concentration Volume on signal bar: 121.96 This chart shows a short-term Bitcoin price forecast using AI-generated confidence zones. Candlesticks reflect actual BTC/USDT price action in 15-minute intervals. This helps visualize expected volatility and potential price zones in the short term.
by karansgr
2
Why This Breakout Feels Like $29K and $48K – Big Moves Ahead?🤔📊 Why This Breakout Feels Like $29K and $48K – Big Moves Ahead? 🚀📈 Hey everyone! It’s Saturday, July 12th , and while the markets take a breather, it’s the perfect moment to zoom out and assess the bigger picture . Are we in for another retail weekend surge? Let’s break it down 🔍👇 After closely analyzing the charts, one thing becomes clear — this breakout is structurally similar to the previous key breakouts at $29K and $48K. In both historical cases, price surged significantly without immediately retesting the breakout level. ➡️ Back in 2020, price exploded +144% above the yellow level before ever coming back to test it. ➡️ At $48K, a similar move of +49% occurred before signs of exhaustion and a retest emerged. Fast forward to today: We've just broken above a massive ascending support zone — $114,921–$115K — and the market shows no intention of pulling back yet. This tells us something powerful: Momentum is in control. 💡 According to my technical roadmap, we may not see a retest of $115K anytime soon. Instead, the next target zone lies around $182K–$189K, depending on velocity and sentiment. With halving-to-ATH cycles historically lasting ~550 days, we’re well within that bullish window. Remember the channel support/last entry right after the Iran-Israel ceasefire on June 23rd? That’s been a defining entry and it’s still playing out beautifully. So we wish for geopolitical stability and peace. So, while it’s easy to feel left out — don’t short, don’t sulk. This may be our moment to ride the wave long. 🎯📉📈 One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙 Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
Long
by FX_Professor
1
The price of Bitcoin will once again reach a new high!BTCUSDT continues to show exceptional strength and strong bullish momentum. When we look back at the charts from 2023 and 2024, a clear and reliable pattern stands out. Each time Bitcoin touched the 50 EMA on the weekly chart, it triggered a significant rally that led to new all-time highs. That same setup appears to be forming once again. BITCOIN tested the 50-week EMA around the $75,000 level and has since bounced with conviction. The price has reclaimed the $100,000 mark and is now challenging previous all-time high resistance. Historically, a successful bounce from this key moving average has not only signaled recovery but also sparked explosive upside moves. Following this repeating pattern, the current cycle target is positioned at $150,000. A clean breakout above the current resistance zone could act as the trigger that launches Bitcoin into uncharted territory. The technical structure remains bullish, momentum is clearly accelerating, and the overall trend continues to favor the upside. This moment represents a textbook Buy and HODL opportunity. Technical indicators are aligning, market sentiment is turning increasingly optimistic, and all signs suggest that Bitcoin could be preparing for another historic rally. Stay ready for what could be the next big move.
Long
by HoneySophy
2
Bitcoin Bearish Outlook | Rejection from Key Resistance – TargetBitcoin has recently tested a strong structural resistance zone and showed clear signs of rejection, marked by bearish candlestick formations and declining bullish momentum. This reaction suggests a potential short-term correction, especially as price begins to move away from the resistance with increased bearish pressure. The next area of interest lies around the Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed in the range of [insert your FVG zone, which could act as a magnetic target for price in the coming sessions. Should the price continue its downward move and break below minor support levels, this FVG zone becomes a probable destination.
Short
by Rezaeil
1
BTC Weekly Update -as of Jul14🕰 Timeframe: 📆 Date: 🔎 Market Overview: 💼 Massive Institutional Inflows: ▪️ Over $1.1 billion in net capital inflows have entered spot Bitcoin ETFs in recent days, bringing the total weekly inflows to $2.72 billion so far. ▪️ The total assets under management (AUM) across all Bitcoin ETFs now exceed $150 billion, representing over 6% of Bitcoin’s total market capitalization. ⚖️ Favorable Political and Regulatory Support: ▪️ The ongoing Crypto Week in Congress is reviewing key legislative proposals like the Genius Act and the Clarity for Digital Assets Act, both of which offer promising regulatory clarity for the crypto industry. ▪️ Additionally, former President Trump’s executive order to establish a “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve” signals strong official political support for Bitcoin adoption. 📊 On-Chain & Sentiment Indicators 📦 Exchange Reserves: Bitcoin reserves on centralized exchanges are at their lowest levels in years, suggesting a trend toward long-term holding (HODLing) and reduced selling pressure. 🧠 Fear & Greed Index: The sentiment index remains firmly in the “Greed” zone, even hitting its highest level since May, indicating strong bullish sentiment among retail and institutional investors. 🌀 Whale Activity: Whale wallets continue to show heavy accumulation, with large and steady transfers into private wallets, further supporting a bullish on-chain trend. 📈 Technical Setup 🔵Trend: Ranging upward 🔸 Key Support: 118,000➖ 115,000 🔸 Key Resistance: 125,000➖ 130,000 🔸 Indicators Used: RSI above 70 🧭 Next Week – Key Points 🔹 Watch for the outcomes of Crypto Week legislation in Washington — this will be a key driver for market direction. 🔹Monitor ETF capital inflows — if daily inflows stay above $500M, the bullish trend will likely strengthen. 🔹 Track the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy and the USD outlook, especially in response to inflation or other macroeconomic factors. 🔚 Summary: Final Analysis 📌 After reaching a new all-time high above $122K on July 14, Bitcoin’s bullish trend has strengthened. Strong institutional inflows and political support have reinforced the foundation for growth. ● Key Level Ahead: $125,000 ● Outlook: If price consolidates above resistance, we could see a move toward $135K and beyond. ● Weekly Bias: Bullish, with potential for a pullback before continuation upward. ✅ If you like this analysis, don't forget to like 👍, follow 🧠, and share your thoughts below 💬!
by Apollo_Capital
4
BTC - 0.786 LTF StrugglePlease refer to our previous post: If you look at the predictive fib model we presented in our last post, we are starting to get more accurate developments. Today we just saw another rejection at our 0.786 predictive fib level with a potential reversal doji. That is now 3 touchpoints of resistance right around $120k (which is also inline with the 1.618 extension). Therefore if price starts to decline the predictive price targets to the downside remain in place.
by VIAQUANT
1