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Bitcoin / TetherUS PERPETUAL CONTRACT

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BTCUSDT.P trade ideas

Phemex Analysis #97: What's Next for Bitcoin, After $123k?!Bitcoin ( PHEMEX:BTCUSDT.P ) recently made history by hitting an all-time high of $123,251 on July 14, 2025. However, enthusiasm was quickly tempered as BTC retraced by approximately 6%, dropping sharply to around $115,696 on July 15. Currently, the price has partially recovered and is trading at about $118,200. With the market sentiment at a pivotal juncture following this volatile movement, traders and investors are carefully considering their next steps. Let's dive into several possible scenarios that might unfold in the coming days. Possible Scenarios 1. Bullish Continuation (Breakout Above $123k) If Bitcoin quickly regains bullish momentum, it may retest and surpass its recent high at $123,251. Breaking decisively above this resistance could trigger another strong rally, driven by renewed market optimism and potential institutional inflows. Pro Tips: Entry Strategy: Look to open or add to existing positions upon confirmation of a clear breakout above $123,251, especially if accompanied by high trading volume. Profit Targets: Key resistance zones for profit-taking after a breakout include psychological levels at $128,000, and the significant milestone at $130,000. Risk Management: Use protective stop-loss orders placed below the recent low around $115,000 to manage downside risks effectively. 2. Extended Consolidation (Range-Bound Scenario) Bitcoin could enter a period of price consolidation, fluctuating between support at approximately $115,000 and resistance near $123,000. This scenario often occurs when the market awaits clearer directional cues. Pro Tips: Range Trading: Employ a grid-trading strategy, placing buy orders near support ($115,000–$116,000) and sell orders around resistance ($122,000–$123,000) to maximize profits from short-term volatility. Monitoring Indicators: Keep an eye on declining trading volume, which often signals the potential for an upcoming breakout or breakdown. 3. Bearish Pullback (Correction Scenario) Given the rapid recent surge to all-time highs, a deeper market correction remains possible. If BTC decisively breaks below support at $115,000 with strong selling pressure, further declines towards $107,218 or even $98,132 could ensue, especially if accompanied by negative broader market sentiment. Pro Tips: Short Opportunities: Experienced traders might explore short positions if BTC convincingly breaks below the $115,000 support level. Accumulation Strategy: Long-term investors can strategically accumulate positions around significant lower support levels such as $107,218 and $98,132, provided price stabilization signals are evident. Conclusion Bitcoin is currently at a crucial technical and psychological level after hitting its latest all-time high. Traders should closely monitor the outlined scenarios—particularly watching key resistance at $123,251 and essential support at $115,000. By utilizing disciplined risk management, proactive profit-taking strategies, and careful market analysis, investors can effectively navigate BTC’s ongoing volatility and strategically position themselves for the next significant move. 🔥 Tips: Armed Your Trading Arsenal with advanced tools like multiple watchlists, basket orders, and real-time strategy adjustments at Phemex. Our USDT-based scaled orders give you precise control over your risk, while iceberg orders provide stealthy execution. Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
by Phemex
1
More up📈 Trading Tip – Long Position on Bitcoin (BTC) As of today, Bitcoin is trading around $117,395, after retreating from an intraday high of $120,196. The price action follows a recent rally toward $123,000, followed by a healthy correction to the $116,000 area. Technical Overview: • The resistance zone at $119,000–$120,000 has been broken and could now act as future support. • A potential inverse head and shoulders pattern is forming, suggesting a breakout toward the $160,000 level, if the support at $114,000–$115,000 holds. • On the 4-hour chart: MACD is showing a renewed bullish crossover, and RSI is rising steadily without entering the overbought zone — both supporting further upside toward $125,000–$130,000. 🔹 Suggested Entry: Between $117,000 – $118,000, ideally after confirmation of support near the previous breakout zone. 🔹 Target 1 (TP1): $125,000 🔹 Target 2 (TP2): $130,000–$135,000 (depending on momentum continuation) 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): A confirmed break below $115,000 (preferably on the daily close or with strong sell pressure) ⚙️ Risk Management: Do not risk more than 2–3% of your total capital on this trade. 📅 Watchlist Note: Keep an eye on major economic data (e.g., U.S. CPI or Fed announcements) as they can heavily affect market liquidity and volatility.
Long
by AliQais
1
Bitcoin BTC price analysis📈 Two weeks have passed since the previous analysis of the OKX:BTCUSDT chart, and the market has decided to go with the 1️⃣ scenario. Less than 3% remains to reach $125,000, and the price could easily get there by inertia, but that's a minor detail. CRYPTOCAP:BTC is updating its ATH, and total liquidations on the crypto market over the past 24 hours are “only” $750 million, of which almost $450 million is accounted for by #Bitcoin. Weak, very weak... Previously, longs were liquidated for $2+ billion, and it was reported that the actual amount of liquidations was significantly higher due to the fact that the exchanges' data was not fully disclosed. (For the sake of objectivity, at that time, the lion's share of liquidations was accounted for by altcoins, but now this is not the case). ◆ During this time, Trump introduced new tariffs — the market was “on a roll” — it swallowed it and didn't even notice the news. ◆ Tomorrow, July 15, the US CPI will be announced — the forecast is for inflation to rise from 2.4% to 2.6% (although there are rumors that the situation in the US economy is much worse and this may "come to light" tomorrow). ◆ July 16 - PII announcement - these indicators may act as a “cold shower” to bring the market out of its euphoria. ◆ From July 14 to July 18, the US Congress is considering three key crypto laws, including the GENIUS Act. Major players consider this a powerful driver. Perhaps the current growth has already “played out” and priced in expectations for news. 🪐 And this trading week will end on 18.07 with the start of Mercury retrograde, even the US Congress is postponing all important matters, and you still don't believe in it )) 🖐 Long positions are certainly beneficial, appropriate, and in line with the trend at present, but it is advisable to hedge them with stops, because as mentioned above: the price is rising, and there are few liquidations. During the previous decline in the cryptocurrency market, there were significantly more liquidations of long positions, and they may wish to repeat this. And with the #BTCUSD price correction, there will be a fixation: some will have profits, and some will have losses in stablecoins, which would then be logical to reinvest as capital in altcoins. First in something more voluminous and less risky, and in the last stage, they will pump everything in a row) But until then, we still need to survive and preserve our deposits. So, in your opinion: correction to one of the levels: 1️⃣-$110k 2️⃣-$97k 3️⃣-$90k or is everything written above complete nonsense, and the market growth has only just begun to “take off”?
by P_S_trade
2
BTCUSDT Smart Zone Entry + Take Profit MapThe BTCUSDT chart on both the 1H and 4H timeframes shows a clear consolidation above a high-timeframe support zone with early signs of bullish continuation. This setup outlines a well-defined "Buy Zone," backed by recent demand re-tests, with Take Profit (TP) levels mapped out based on prior highs and price inefficiencies. Buy Zone (Demand Zone): The shaded area on the 1H/4H chart marks a critical support zone between ~$117,800 and $119,300. This range aligns with past consolidation, a 4H EMA cluster, and prior bullish reactions. Entries within this zone offer a high reward-to-risk setup. Support Level: $117,800, the base of the demand zone, is the final line of support. A clean break and close below this level would invalidate the current long bias. Take Profit Levels (TPs): TP1 (~$122,000): Previous local resistance and recent high. TP2 (~$123,300): Upper wick high and liquidity zone. TP3 (~$124,500): Untapped zone from early July, likely liquidity pool. Supporting Indicators: RSI: Recovering from mid-range, showing hidden bullish divergence on lower timeframes. QQE MOD: Flipping from bearish to bullish momentum. ATR: Declining volatility post-drop indicates possible accumulation before breakout. After a sharp pullback, BTC is stabilizing above a demand zone and forming a potential base. As long as price remains above ~$117,800, there's confluence for a continuation higher, with the outlined TP levels offering natural exit points for partial or full profits.
by Kraymer71
1
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) reflects increasing selling!🚨 Bitcoin Market Update 🚨 Bitcoin recently hit an All-Time High (ATH) but is now experiencing a downward correction. Multiple technical indicators suggest continued bearish momentum: 📉 Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) reflects increasing selling pressure. 📊 A bearish engulfing pattern confirms the market is trending lower. 📕 The synthetic order book reveals a heavy concentration of sell orders. 📈 The 50 & 100 SMA are acting as strong resistance levels, keeping price action suppressed below them. 🔍 Key Watch Level: If BTC breaks above the 50 SMA, we could see a potential pump. However, as of now, all confirmations point toward a bearish continuation. 💡 DYOR – Do Your Own Research 🛑 Not Financial Advice
Short
by Peter_Wade
1
Global liquidity downtrend cometh!During this current BTC cycle, major uptrends in global liquidity have corresponded to major uptrends in the market 72ish days later. The last major uptrend in liquidity is about to run its course, pause, and then downtrend. If this relationship holds, we are at or near at least a pause in the local up trend. I have my popcorn ready to see if this plays out. Note: The global liquidity prediction pauses until December 11th and then downtrends, so if we see floating higher prices until that point and then a pause, the relationship would still be valid. Second Note: I will publish the BGL (Bitcoin Global Liquidity) indicator very shortly. Please test it out and DM me if you see any issues or have suggestions. --Da_Prof
Short
by Da_Prof
13
BTCUSDT[BITCOIN]:Price is Likely to be Heading Towards $144,000.Recently, Bitcoin has shown extreme bullish price behaviour, and there’s no sign of bearish influence in the market. After monitoring the price since May 4th, we believe there’s a high possibility of price hitting the 120k region first. This could be followed by a small correction around 105k, where a strong bullish price influence will lead the price to our final target at 140k. Both fundamental and technical factors support this view, but it doesn’t guarantee the price will follow our expectations. Before investing or trading cryptocurrencies, do your own research as they carry significant financial risk. This chart analysis is for educational or secondary purposes only. Good luck and trade safely. If you want to support and encourage us, you can do the following: ❤️ -Like the idea -Comment the idea -Share ;) Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
16
BTCUSDT[BITCOIN]: $150,000 On The Way In Making!Hey there everyone! Bitcoin took a bit of a dip around 105k, but it’s right back at a crucial level now. We’re keeping a close eye on the daily volume and expecting it to soar towards $115,000 before it might take another dip if the buying pressure dries up. We’ve got three targets in mind, and you can set or look at them however you like based on your own analysis and preferences. The crypto market is going to be buzzing with volume, so keep an eye on the news and stay focused on the fundamentals. In the world of cryptocurrencies, fundamentals are more important than technicals, and it’s a whole different ball game compared to forex or gold. Good luck with your trading, and please like and comment on this idea to show us your support. We really appreciate your support throughout our journey, and we’re excited to see it grow and continue. If you’d like us to analyse a specific pair, just let us know! Cheers, Team Setupsfx_❤️
Long
by Setupsfx_
4
DeGRAM | BTCUSD ATH📊 Technical Analysis ● Daily close above the purple 2-month trend-cap and 114.8 k horizontal flips both into support, confirming the grey ascending triangle break. ● Measured move and channel geometry aim at the 125 k supply band; higher-lows keep bulls in control while risk is contained by the 107 k–109 k demand shelf (confluence of mid-line and former wedge top). 💡 Fundamental Analysis ● Spot-ETF net inflows (>10 k BTC since 8 Jul) and stable miner balances signal shrinking sell pressure, while softer US CPI has pushed real yields to 3-week lows—reviving crypto bid. ✨ Summary Long 109–112 k; hold above 114.8 k targets 120 k → 125 k. Invalidate on a daily close below 107 k. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
9
FOMO price increase, create new ATH💎 Update Plan BTC weekend (July 11) Continuously creating a new ATH, preparing to have a short sale? The reinforcement of Bitcoin price around the upper boundary of the previous consolidation area was broken at $ 108,355, which ended on Wednesday. The price has soared to the highest level of the new time of $ 116,868 on Thursday. At the time of writing on Friday, the price is fluctuating above $ 116,600. When BTC entered the price exploration regime and if the trend of increasing continues, the price can expand the momentum to an important psychological level of $ 120,000. Technical analysis angle Our community has continuously chose the trend of increasing as the mainstream for all previous transactions and currently preparing to welcome 120k as forecast. The relative power index (RSI) on the daily chart reaches 71, higher than the excess buying 70, showing a sharp increase. However, traders should be cautious because the ability to adjust the decrease is very high due to over -purchase. Meanwhile, the average divergence dynamic indicator (MACD) has shown a price intersection at the end of June. The indicator also shows that green histograms are increasing on neutral zero, showing that the rising momentum is being strengthened and continues to increase. However, if BTC must be adjusted, the price may extend the decline to search and support around the upper boundary of the unified area that has been broken earlier at $ 108,355. Plan has been constantly accurate in the past 2 months, which is the positive signal of the channel that brings value to the community. Please follow the channel to receive accurate scenarios about gold and BTC ==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading
Long
by Nova-Scalper
4
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #126👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I’ll review the potential triggers for the New York futures session. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe As you can see on the 1-Hour chart, Bitcoin started a bullish move after breaking the 111747 resistance, which continued up to 118494. ✨ Currently, the price is consolidating after reaching that resistance and has formed a range box between 116829 and 118494, fluctuating within this zone. 💥 The RSI oscillator has exited the Overbuy zone and is now near the 50 level. If it drops below 50, there is a possibility of a deeper correction. ⚡️ Confirmation of a deeper correction would come with a close below the 116829 level. The next support areas will be Fibonacci levels, which I have marked on the chart. ✔️ Since the SMA25 has reached the candles and there is no significant momentum yet, we’ll need to wait for the SMA99 to approach the price to see if momentum enters the market. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Looking at Bitcoin Dominance, yesterday it reached the 64.18 support level and managed to bounce back, closing above 64.44. 🔔 Currently, it’s consolidating above 64.81, and if this holds, the trend could turn bullish for now. 📅 Total2 Analysis Total2’s main resistance is at 1.33, but the price was rejected at 1.3 and is now correcting toward 1.26. 🔍 If the correction continues, the 0.382 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels would be reasonable areas to watch. If the upward move resumes, the next target will be 1.33. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Tether Dominance has had a steep drop from 4.72 and has now reached 4.36. If support holds at this level, we could see a correction back toward Fibonacci zones. 🎲 A break below 4.36 would confirm continuation of the downtrend.
Long
by tradecitypro
1
Breakout vs Fakeout: How to Spot the DifferenceHello, Traders! 🖖🏻 There’s probably no phrase that triggers more mixed emotions in crypto trading than: “Looks like we’re breaking out!”. Because let’s be honest…For every clean breakout that follows through with momentum… …there’s a fakeout waiting to trap overconfident entries. So, how do you tell the difference? Let’s break it down! 🧱 What Is a Breakout? A breakout occurs when the price moves decisively beyond a key level, such as support, resistance, a trendline, or a range boundary, and holds. What makes it a REAL breakout? Volume Expansion: More participants step in as the price moves through the level. Strong Candle Closes: Especially on higher timeframes like 4H or 1D. Follow-Through: The market doesn’t just poke above the level. It builds on it. No Immediate Rejection: You don’t see a sharp wick straight back below. Example from BTC (2021): Look back at January to February 2021. BTC had been stuck under the $42K–$43K resistance for weeks. Every push got sold off, until it didn’t. When the breakout finally came, it was clean. The massive daily candle closed right through the level. Volume exploded. And there wasn’t even a polite little retest, price just launched straight toward $58K, leaving anyone waiting for a pullback completely behind. Pure trend breakout energy. Everything lined up: the context, the volume, the structure — textbook 🤌🏻 🪤 What Is a Fakeout? A fakeout, on the other hand, looks like a breakout… until it isn’t. The price briefly moves beyond a key level, but then snaps back inside the range, often trapping late buyers (or sellers) and triggering stop-losses. Common Signs of a FAKEOUT: Low or Declining Volume (at the breakout moment). Quick Rejection with a Long Wick (especially on intraday charts). Failure to Hold Above the Level on Retest. Divergence Between Timeframes: For example, a 15M breakout that looks strong while the 4H still shows consolidation. Classic BTC example: This one was sneaky! After BTC hit its all-time high around $65K, the market started looking shaky. Price tried to recover by pushing back into the $58K–$60K zone, a pretty critical level at the time. It looked like a breakout attempt… but something was off. No real volume. No strong candle closes. And then, BOOM, hard rejection. The price popped just enough above resistance to lure in breakout traders (and probably clear out some stop-losses)… then completely reversed. And not just a minor pullback, this fakeout basically triggered the entire leg down toward $30K. Classic liquidity grab. The kind of move that looks like strength for a second… until it absolutely isn’t. 🕵️‍♂️ Key Differences: Breakout vs Fakeout (Checklist) 🧠 What Causes Fakeouts in Crypto? Honestly, fakeouts aren’t some kind of accident. They’re almost baked into how crypto markets work. Part of it comes down to simple liquidity hunting. The market knows exactly where traders tend to place their stop losses, right above resistance or just below support. Price often spikes into those zones, triggers stops, fills larger orders for bigger players… and then reverses completely. Another reason? A lack of real conviction. Sometimes, it’s mostly retail traders chasing a move. Price pokes above a key level, but there just isn’t enough momentum to sustain it. Without bigger buyers or sellers stepping in, the move collapses right back. And let’s be honest. When everyone on Crypto Twitter is watching the exact same level, fakeouts become almost inevitable. The more obvious the setup, the more likely it gets front-run, faded, or manipulated. Plus, a huge mistake? People ignore the higher timeframe context. A breakout on the 15-minute chart might feel exciting… but if the 1D or 4H is still clearly in a downtrend, that breakout is fighting against the bigger picture. No surprise it fails. Fakeouts happen because the market’s job is to make most people wrong, at least for a moment. 🧭 Final Thought Breakouts and fakeouts are part of the same game: they involve both liquidity and psychology. The market rewards patience, context, and waiting for confirmation. Sometimes, missing the first candle can save you from being a liability to someone else. So, next time an asset “breaks out,” take a second look. Is it really moving with force? Or is it just another trap waiting to be sprung? What’s the last fakeout that caught you off guard? Drop your story in the comments. Let’s compare lessons learned!
Education
by WhiteBIT
6