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Bitcoin (BTC): Targeting $120K | Buyers Showing DominanceBitcoin is hovering still in between the old ATH area and the new, entering into a consolidation zone, which might be our breaking point. Last week we saw the buyside dominance, which was backed by big institutions buy orders and short-term traders selling assets, giving us a sign of a potential bullish breakout—that's what we are looking for, a proper breakout from local resistance, which would then send the price towards our first target of $120K. Swallow Academy
Long
by SwallowAcademy
Are You Really Analyzing Or Just Defending your imagination? You might think you're analyzing every time you open a chart. But what if you're just looking for reasons to justify a bad trade? Real analysis is data-based. Justification is emotion-based. Let’s figure out if you're really trading smart or just lying to yourself. Hello✌ Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. 🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin: BINANCE:BTCUSDT is currently testing a strong resistance near the upper boundary of its parallel channel. A breakout to the upside looks likely soon. From this level, I expect at least a 5% gain, with a main target around $114,500. 📈🚀 Now , let's dive into the educational section, 🎯 Analysis or Mental Justification? Many traders, once they’re in a position, stop looking for truth and start looking for confirmation. Instead of reading what the chart actually says, they twist every line and indicator to make it look like their trade still makes sense even when it doesn’t. 🛠 TradingView Tools That Kill Self-Deception TradingView is way more than just a place to slap on some EMAs and MACDs. If used right, it can literally stop you from fooling yourself: Replay Tool – Use this to backtest without future data bias. It trains your brain to analyze based only on the present moment. Multi-Timeframe Layouts – View your idea across multiple timeframes. Confirmation bias collapses fast when you see the same chart from different angles. Volume Profile – This shows where real trading happens, not where you wish it would happen. Community Scripts & Public Indicators – Looking at someone else's logic helps you catch your own blind spots. Idea Journal & Posts – Publish your analysis and compare it with what actually happened. You’ll quickly see how often emotion was driving your trade. 😵‍💫 What Does Justification Even Look Like? It’s when you’re deep in the red but instead of managing your loss, you draw a new trendline… or add a reversed Fibonacci… or tell yourself, “It’s just a correction.” That’s not analysis. That’s emotional defense. 💡 Know the Real Difference Analysis = data-driven, emotion-free. Justification = emotion-driven, data-twisted. 🔂 Why Do You Keep Making the Same Mistake? Because your brain loves to feel right even when it's wrong. Instead of accepting reality, it tries to bend it. So you dig for signals to support your bad position, not question it. 🧠 The Psychology Behind the Trap What you’re feeling is cognitive dissonance. Two thoughts fighting in your head: “This position is failing.” “I don’t want to be wrong.” So your brain builds fake reasons to stay in it. Welcome to the mental loop that kills portfolios. 🎯 How To Break the Cycle Write down why you’re entering any trade before you open it. Only trade what you can explain, not what you hope. Decide your stop-loss level before you enter. If you’re “hoping” for something to turn around, it probably won’t. 🪞Be Brutally Honest With Yourself The real question isn’t “Can you analyze?” It’s “Can you admit you were wrong when it matters?” Every losing trade you hold onto out of ego is a reminder that you chose comfort over skill. ⚠️ What Makes a Pro Trader? A pro doesn’t just win trades. They cut losses fast. They don’t “marry” a position just because they drew a trendline. They survive by respecting truth, not bending it. 🧪 Train Your Brain To See Reality To break the habit of self-justification, you need to rewire your analysis process. Here's how: Before analyzing a chart, review your previous trade honestly. Ask: What made me enter? Strategy or emotion? Replay the chart with TradingView’s tool. If you didn’t know the future, would you still take that trade? Answer those questions and you'll start separating real analysis from self-defense. 👁 Look at the Chart Without Bias If you’re holding a position while analyzing, you’re probably just looking for evidence to stay in. Try this instead: Pick a timeframe where you have no position, and do a clean analysis. No hope. No fear. No money on the line. That’s when real analysis happens. 🔚 Final Note Real analysis hurts because it forces you to face mistakes. But it's also the path to real consistency. Next time you open a chart, ask yourself: “Am I seeking the truth or just a reason to hold on?” One moment of honesty can change your entire trading journey. ✨ Need a little love! We put so much love and time into bringing you useful content & your support truly keeps us going. don’t be shy—drop a comment below. We’d love to hear from you! 💛 Big thanks , Mad Whale 🐋 📜Please remember to do your own research before making any investment decisions. Also, don’t forget to check the disclaimer at the bottom of each post for more details.
Education
by MadWhale
26
Bitcoin will Return all-time high Interestingly Bitcoin (BTC) has not been particularly impressive over the weekend, which has been a somewhat consistent theme of the cryptocurrency market so far in the year 2025. The premier cryptocurrency continues to hover around the $108,000 mark, showing signs of indecision amongst the investors. Resistance zone 111K Support zone 107K The conversation has been about when the Bitcoin price will return to its all-time high. Interestingly, the latest on-chain data shows that investors are becoming increasingly confident in the long-term promise of the flagship cryptocurrency. Hope you can understand all our chart Pattern According the Bitcoin analysis. Thanks for your Support. if you found this analysis share you Opinion in comments I'm Tankful from you.
Long
by MrMartin_11
#BTC Update #4 – July 7, 2025🟠 #BTC Update #4 – July 7, 2025 Bitcoin has been trading inside a supply zone , and its last impulsive move happened right into that area. While it tried to push higher again, I now see signs of rejection. If this rejection holds, the first level I’m watching is $107,850 . Below that, there's a key support around $106,350 . Should this level break, we could see a deeper drop toward $102,650 , where an imbalance zone remains untested. At the moment, short setups look more reasonable than longs but from a risk/reward perspective, I don’t see enough edge to take action yet. So for now, I’m not entering any position and will simply watch BTC’s next move .
by BTCETH2X
Macro view of BTC - why is nobody talking about this?Looking at the weekly BTC chart, there’s a clear long-term resistance that dates back to 2017 and still hasn’t been broken convincingly. There’s plenty of talk this cycle about Bitcoin hitting 150k, just like there was hype around 100k in 2021. In 2021, BTC formed a significant resistance, which was retested and confirmed in late 2024 and early 2025. Now the common line is: “This time is different. We have institutional money.” That’s true to an extent, but market psychology doesn’t change. Profit is profit. And when sentiment turns, even institutional and ETF-driven retail investors will take it. BTC is still considered a speculative asset, and for good reason. It doesn’t generate income or yield — it’s only worth what someone else will pay for it. Right now, BTC appears to be forming a bull flag, but if it can’t push past the 116k to 120k range with strength, I’ll be looking to short it on the way down. If we get a strong breakout and hold above 120k, then, and only then, do I see a path toward a 150k top.
Short
by MachineGunTimbo
7
BTC in DistributionHi everyone. I am going to be moving my trading commentary back to Ideas rather than Minds so I can stay focused during the day, as well as having the added benefit of retrospective analysis. I do not trade BTC but have been tracking the price recently and believe it is gearing up for a big move. The current structure supports a bearish bias based on the Wyckoff Distribution pattern, which the price has been following in a textbook fashion. If this pattern continues, I believe Bitcoin will enter a bearish trend. For the indexes I will try to post ideas for a bullish and bearish bias but for this quick post on Bitcoin, I am going to stick to the bear side. Using Renko (Traditional, $500 window size) as my main chart, you can see the price broke out of a strong uptrend after the peak on May 22 (Buying Climax) and entered a potential distribution pattern. The secondary test (ST) set the lower band of the resistance zone, which the price has been testing and rejecting up until this point. The labels are subjective but what we can confirm is that the price has broken through the bottom range (Sign of Weakness or Spring) but has been unable to break through the top of the range. An upthrust/false breakout above the top of the range would be a key level to go short, as this would take out the last remaining buyers, however the price continuing to stay below the resistance could be a sign of persistent weakness. A rejection here would suggest that we are in Phase C, which is where momentum will build up on the sell side, eventually pushing the price through the bottom of the range and into a bearish trend. Since Renko is the smoothest chart, I am also using range bars (less smooth) and standard candle sticks (most noise) to analyze closer setups. On the range chart (20000R or $200), the price looks to be in an inverse cup and handle pattern, which if it holds would support the idea that we are in Phase C of the distribution pattern and the price will fail to break above the range again. Volume indicates that there is low interest at the upper levels, which resulted in the price moving down in Friday. We could see another push down after another period of low interest at the upper level. Lastly, the 1h candle chart shows that the price has been relatively flat since June 25th and is being supported by a large volume node on the Volume Profile. There was large buying volume at the lower level, so if the price can stay above this node (~$106,700) there is a good chance that it will get pushed above the range, however if sellers are able to push it through this level of high volume, further downside could follow. This is why I would suggest waiting to see if this level holds before entering a trade. A false upside breakout (above $112,000) would be a safe area to go short, as it would be a quality setup with good risk/reward. If the price is in Phase C and cannot break above the range, it would be a less ideal short setup, as the market could make a push to the top of the range at any time to clear out buyers. If this were to happen, I would prefer to wait for more confirmation. To conclude, my idea here is: Short (Solid Line): False breakout above $112,000 (preferred) or below $107,000 (higher risk) Long (Dotted Lines): True breakout above $112,000 (preferred) or reversal $103,000-$98,000 (higher risk) Thank you for reading and let me know what you think. More ideas to come.
Short
by ap769
Bitcoin Tests Range High Again — Will This Time Be the Breakout?Bitcoin is once again at the top of its multi-week range, testing resistance near previous highs. A decisive breakout remains elusive as price struggles to sustain momentum without volume confirmation. Bitcoin is back at a familiar technical level — the top of its long-standing trading range. After a weekend rally that pushed price toward range resistance, BTC now finds itself hovering near the weekly open, raising questions about whether this move will finally lead to a breakout or simply mark another deviation. With historical price action showing repeated failures at this level, all eyes are on volume and confirmation to validate the next directional leg. Key Technical Points: - Range High Resistance Reached Again: BTC testing resistance zone that has capped price for weeks - Weekend Pump, Weekday Fade: Price surged over the weekend but is now settling near the weekly open - Volume Still Lacking: No breakout confirmation without a strong influx in volume The recent price surge in Bitcoin occurred over the weekend — a time when liquidity is typically thinner and institutional volume is reduced. While this move did push BTC back into the upper portion of its range, it’s important to recognize that the price is once again stalling near the range high. This level has historically acted as a firm resistance, and prior attempts to break above it have resulted in deviations followed by re-entries into the range. This time is no different — so far. The current consolidation just below the high suggests the market is undecided, awaiting further confirmation through volume or macro developments. Without a high-time-frame close above the range resistance — and without meaningful volume behind it — the likelihood of this being another deviation remains high. It’s also worth noting that BTC is back near the weekly open, which suggests the weekend rally may lack sustainability. In similar past instances, Monday retracements have confirmed that weekend pumps were driven by thinner liquidity and lacked conviction. Until proven otherwise, this appears to be more of the same. From a structural standpoint, Bitcoin continues to trade within a well-defined horizontal range. This means oscillations between the range low and range high are still valid expectations until a breakout or breakdown occurs. These types of consolidations often persist until a major catalyst, and while the breakout is inevitable, it hasn’t happened yet. Expect Bitcoin to continue ranging between its established high and low unless volume confirms a true breakout. A failure to hold above the current highs may trigger another rotation back toward range support.
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
2
"BTC Pumps from $108,850 to $109,900 – What's Next?"Bitcoin has shown strong bullish momentum, rising from $108,850 to $109,900 in a short time. This move signals renewed buying interest in the market and suggests that Bitcoin may be preparing for a breakout above the $110,000 level. Analysts believe this move is driven by whale accumulation, positive global sentiment around crypto regulations, and technical indicators pointing to a breakout. If BTC holds above $109,900, the next targets could be $110K and $112K. Stay alert — the bulls might be back!
by FeEllinG_LeSs-Traders
BTC/USDT CHART ANALIYSIS !!BTC/USDT You have three circles highlighting repeated price rejections around the $109,000–$110,000 area (red resistance band). A descending trendline connects those high points, creating a sloping resistance. There is a broad support area around $98,000–$100,000 (green area below). The price recently broke above the trendline and is now retesting around that $109,000–$110,000 area. If BTC stays above ~$108,500–$109,000, it could head further towards $112,000–$113,000. A drop below the trendline and back to $107,500 could trap the bulls, leading to a retest of $105,000 or lower support around $100,000. Bullish setup: Entry $108,800–$109,200, target $112,000–$113,000, stop-loss below $107,000. Bearish setup: Short if price rejects $109,500–$110,000, target $105,500, stop-loss above $110,800. Stay alert!
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN Bearish Outlook – July 6, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team. With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum. 🔔 Follow us to never miss a market update. 🚀 Boosts provide strong motivation and drive to the SeoVereign team. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Hello, This is SeoVereign. As of July 6, 2025, I present a bullish outlook on Bitcoin. It has been a while since I last shared a long position perspective. Those of you who have consistently followed SeoVereign’s ideas would know that, until now, most of the entry points have been centered around short positions. We have closely tracked the market, identifying opportunities amid the downtrend. However, after comprehensively analyzing the recent overall market atmosphere, we have come to the conclusion that upward pressure is gradually increasing rather than downward pressure. After reviewing technical indicators and wave structures, we have determined that it is reasonable to consider a buy — in other words, a long position — at this stage. The first target for this idea is set at an average of around 109,500 . This figure is based on a comprehensive judgment that includes the current wave structure, previous key support/resistance zones, and momentum trends. Of course, this target may be flexibly adjusted depending on how the market develops, and if necessary, the rationale will be clearly revised accordingly. As always, we will continue to track this idea and refine our logic based on the real-time developments and structures, further solidifying the grounds for the long bet. Wishing you continued good fortune.
Long
by SeoVereign
Bitcoin BTC Trade Plan: Watching for Breakout or Pullback Entry📊 Currently watching BTC (Bitcoin) as price action remains bullish overall, but we're approaching a key decision point 🎯 💹 Price is pushing higher, but with some signs of exhaustion after the recent rally ⚠️ — and with the weekend approaching, we could either see a continuation higher or a healthy pullback I’m keeping an eye on two potential trade scenarios: 1️⃣ A break and clean retest of the recent high, which could offer a continuation long if momentum follows through 🚀 2️⃣ A retracement into equilibrium — a deeper pullback toward fair value 📉 — which could also present a high-probability long setup if confirmed with structure and reaction 📈 Either way, I’m letting the market reveal its hand and waiting for one of these setups to play out before committing 💡 💬 Not financial advice — always assess your own risk and confirm with your own analysis.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
BTCUSDT short-term analysishi traders Let's have a look at BTC on 4h time frame. RSI (14): Currently at 60.40, suggesting mild bullish momentum but not overbought. RSI Moving Average: Around 50.92, confirming recent upward momentum. MACD bullish cross suggest more upside in a short term. Breakout Confirmation: Price has broken above a recent horizontal resistance (near $109,236), now acting as support. Bullish Continuation Expected Support & Resistance: New Support: $109,236 Resistance to Break: Around $111,742 ✅ Conclusion: This is a bullish breakout trade based on horizontal support/resistance, favorable RSI, and a clear RR setup. The trader anticipates a pullback and continuation toward $111.7K, using a tight stop just below the breakout zone to minimize risk.
Long
by vf_investment
BTC Smart money Bullish don’t be fooled !**BITCOIN MICROSTRUCTURE ANALYSIS: Institutional Accumulation Through Order Flow Divergence** The current BTCUSD market structure presents a compelling case study in institutional accumulation mechanics, utilizing sophisticated order flow analysis to identify smart money positioning ahead of retail market participants. **Technical Infrastructure Analysis** The convergence of multiple analytical frameworks reveals a coordinated accumulation pattern across various timeframes and exchanges. Volume Profile Analysis on the primary chart indicates substantial institutional interest between $108,000-$110,000, with the Point of Control (POC) establishing a robust foundation for directional bias determination. **Order Flow Microstructure Dynamics** The Bitfinex footprint data reveals critical microstructural imbalances that traditional technical analysis often overlooks. The current candle displays a **-4.52 delta** with price resilience at $109,480, indicating aggressive institutional absorption of retail selling pressure. This negative delta combined with price strength represents a classic **Wyckoff accumulation signature** - large participants are utilizing iceberg orders and hidden liquidity pools to build positions without triggering algorithmic momentum systems. **Smart Money Positioning Mechanics** Three key indicators confirm institutional accumulation: 1. **Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) Divergence**: Both spot and perpetual markets showing negative CVD (-95.77K spot, -50.05K perp) while price maintains elevation, indicating off-exchange accumulation through dark pools and cross-trading networks. 1. **Open Interest Expansion**: The increase from 77.89K to 78.75K contracts with minimal funding rate pressure suggests fresh institutional capital rather than retail speculation. 1. **Volume Profile Concentration**: The heatmap reveals 105.85M in trading volume concentrated within the $108K-$110K range, representing systematic accumulation rather than random market activity. **Institutional Arbitrage Mechanics** The funding rate dynamics (0.001783 with periodic negative spikes to -0.000753) indicate sophisticated carry trade positioning. Institutions are likely utilizing the negative funding periods to establish leveraged long positions while simultaneously hedging through spot accumulation, creating a self-reinforcing feedback loop. **Market Microstructure Implications** This accumulation pattern typically precedes **Phase C markup** in Wyckoff methodology, where institutional players transition from absorption to active price discovery. The thin volume profile above $112,000 suggests minimal resistance once the breakout occurs, creating conditions for rapid price expansion toward the $113,600 target. **Risk-Adjusted Positioning Strategy** The confluence of volume profile analysis, order flow dynamics, and institutional positioning indicators supports a high-probability long bias with the following parameters: - **Entry Zone**: $109,000-$109,200 (current accumulation range) - **Risk Management**: Stop loss at $108,200 (below institutional POC) - **Target Sequence**: $110,653 → $112,000 → $113,600 - **Confidence Level**: 90% (upgraded from initial 75% based on footprint confirmation) **Forward-Looking Market Structure** The sophisticated nature of this accumulation pattern suggests institutional preparation for a significant directional move. The combination of hidden liquidity absorption, funding rate arbitrage, and volume profile concentration creates optimal conditions for sustained upward momentum once the $110,000 psychological resistance is cleared. This analysis exemplifies how advanced order flow techniques can provide substantial informational advantages over traditional technical analysis, particularly in identifying institutional positioning ahead of retail market recognition. *Position sizing should remain within 3-5% of total portfolio allocation, with dynamic risk management protocols adjusted based on evolving market microstructure conditions.*
Long
by NorthBayJay
BITCOINBITCOIN , continues to see in flow of liquidity ,investors confidence is high ,institutional adoption could change the layer of demand and supply and set a new bench mark for trading highs and low trading on intraday. feels good to see that my correction video came 100% correct, now the confirmation will be if 108.03-107.89k will hold support. This is a classic retest to broken 4hr descending trendline ,if we adopt it ,then we buying into 111k-113k-116k watch it critically. On a second thought if price adopt the new structure we are selling in 100k-90k and below. trading is logical probability ,keep that in mind that every key level can be broken, manage your risk, back test on your strategy and make sure you are winning. there are many ways to win this market without big grammar. have a blessed new week.
Long
by Shavyfxhub
1
BITCOINBITCOIN , continues to see in flow of liquidity ,investors confidence is high ,institutional adoption could change the layer of demand and supply and set a new bench mark for trading highs and low trading on intraday. feels good to see that my correction video came 100% correct, now the confirmation will be if 108.03-107.89k will hold support. This is a classic retest to broken 4hr descending trendline ,if we adopt it ,then 111k-113k-116k will be watched. on a second thought if price adopt the new structure we are selling in 100k-90k and below. trading is logical probability ,keep that in mind that every key level can be broken, manage your risk, back test on your strategy and make sure you are winning. there are many ways to win this market without big grammar. have a blessed new week.
Long
by Shavyfxhub
1