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BTCUST trade ideas

BTCUSDT 1 Day – Breakout and Retest Completed | Next TargetBTC has officially broken out of the descending parallel channel that dominated price action from mid-May to early July. After a successful breakout, price pulled back for a clean retest of the channel resistance, which has now flipped to support — a classic bullish continuation signal. 🔹 Key Technical Highlights: ✅ Breakout from descending channel structure ✅ Retest of breakout zone confirmed with strong bullish candles 🔼 Current Price: ~$118,971 (as of chart time) 📈 Short-Term Structure: Following a clean higher-low formation with ascending trendline support 🎯 Target Zone: $128,000–$130,000 (next key resistance area) As long as BTC maintains this ascending support line, the momentum remains with the bulls. Any dips toward the trendline may offer good long opportunities with proper risk management. 📌 Watch for: Rejection near the target zone Bullish continuation patterns like flag/pennant on lower timeframes Volume confirmation during breakout attempts Let the trend be your friend. Trade safe! ⚡
Long
by MangoMan4
BitcoinBitcoin/TetherUS (BTC/USDT) Trading Analysis - Jul 15, 2025 Key Observations: Price Movement: Current Price: $117,692.46 24h Change: -2,148.72 (-1.79%) Range: Low of $116,250.00 to High of $119,940.83 The price is currently near the lower end of the day's range, indicating bearish pressure. Support and Resistance: Support Levels: Strong Support: $112,000.00 (marked as S/L) Intermediate Support: $113,500.00 and $110,000.00 Resistance Levels: Immediate Resistance: $119,900.00 Higher Resistance: $120,000.00 and $122,500.00 Profit Levels: The "Profit" section lists potential take-profit targets, with the highest at $135,000.00. The price has recently dipped below the $120,000.00 psychological level, suggesting weakening bullish momentum. Trend Context: The chart spans from June to September, but the current price action (July) shows consolidation after a potential pullback from higher levels. The presence of multiple support levels ($112K–$116K) suggests a critical zone for buyers to defend. Actionable Insights: Bearish Short-Term: The price is below key levels ($119,900–$120,000) and has broken below $118,250.00. A retest of support at $112,000.00 is plausible. Bullish Reversal Signal: If BTC holds above $112,000.00 and reclaims $120,000.00, it could target $122,500.00 or higher. Risk Management: A break below $112,000.00 (S/L) may trigger further downside toward $110,000.00 or lower. Conclusion: The market is currently in a corrective phase. Traders should monitor the $112,000.00 support for potential reversals or breakdowns. A close above $120,000.00 would shift bias to bullish.
Long
by Tdawly_Official
BTC Reloading for Breakout — Watching for 1H MSS Flip BTC has bounced from local support (green zone) and is challenging the descending trendline. The price is now testing the red resistance zone and the upper boundary of the 1H MSS (market structure shift) box. Scenario A (Bullish): — If BTC cleanly breaks the trendline and flips the 1H MSS box into support (with a strong close above), this is a trigger for a scalp long. — Target for the move is the upper green box/previous high area near $122,000. Scenario B (Bearish/Invalidation): — If price is rejected at the red resistance and falls back below the green support box, risk of deeper pullback toward $116,000 increases. BTC has shown resilience by quickly reclaiming support after a sweep lower, indicating strong demand. The market looks to be reloading for another push, with liquidity building up just below resistance. The setup favors a breakout if NY Open brings momentum. The flip of the 1H MSS box would confirm bullish intent. However, caution if the breakout fails — structure remains choppy and a failed breakout can trap late buyers.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
_Bitcoin Update As you all know recently BTC just made a ATH record and aggressive move up panda fam right ? 🚀 Now bitcoin is consolidating or moving sideways in this structure panda fam same time altcoins are moving crazy upwards like altszn 🤯🚀 GOOD NEWS : Bitcoin is forming a possible good bullish structure for continuation pump panda fam, First confirmation will be break on trend resistance and reclaim above NEW ATH. TAKE NOTE : As long as we are inside on the structure its still consider as sideways panda fam or ranging in short undecided directional bias. ✍️
Long
by cryptopandaph
BTC Long London Low 07/16/25Next Monday between 2am-3am EST BTC will have retraced to 116-117k. This is where I will open a long, target 121500k-122k sl 115750. BTC may sweep below this region before monday but I won't play a long until noted. The reason is based on the fact monday london sets the low range of the week and is the highest probable time to enter a swing trade. Price will most likley reach TP by Wednesday. Also The big confluence is the 1.1 B worth of longs placed at 116000.
Long
by NancyPelosis
Bitcoin Full analysis: Buy the dip confirmed, 123240 key__________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Overview – Summary Points __________________________________________________________________________________ Momentum: Very bullish across all timeframes; healthy compression above previous range. Key Supports: 115731–110481 USDT (structural, 1D to 1H). Major Resistances: 123240 USDT (multi-frame pivot). Volume: Normal, no climax or distribution — flows support the dominant bias. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator: Strong bullish HLTF signal; short-term neutral intraday. ISPD DIV: Neutral on all timeframes. Multi-TF Behavior: Bull rally, no excess, no euphoria or capitulation; market holds above key levels. __________________________________________________________________________________ Strategic Summary __________________________________________________________________________________ Global Bias: Strong bullish – MT/LT “buy on dips” confirmed. Opportunities: Progressive buying (117800, 115731 USDT), continuation on breakout >123240. Risk Zones: Possible pullback if clear rejection below 123240, swing invalidation if close <115731-111949. Macro Catalysts: Awaiting FOMC late July, short-term volatility limited. Watch geopolitics, extreme compression. Action Plan: Swing entry: 118300–119000. Stop: 115500. Target: 123200 then 126000+. R/R ≥2.5. Adjust risk management before FOMC. __________________________________________________________________________________ Multi-Timeframe Analysis __________________________________________________________________________________ 1D: Bullish momentum, supports at 105054/107939–110483. Risk On / Risk Off Indicator strong buy, healthy volume, ISPD neutral. 12H: Consolidation below 123240, aligned supports 110481/115731, healthy structure. 6H: Confirmed momentum, continuous compression, no major sell signals. 4H: Rally structure robust, corrections limited and on support. 2H: Key support band 115731–110481, volume supports rebound, possible rotation below 123240. 1H: Rally confirmed, no panic selling detected. 30min/15min: Intraday consolidation, micro-range below resistance, stable volume, Risk On / Risk Off Indicator short-term neutral. Cross-TF summary: CLEAR momentum across all frames, no significant divergence, high-quality HTF supports. Next >123240 breakout likely fast and dynamic. __________________________________________________________________________________ Technical & Fundamental Synthesis __________________________________________________________________________________ Technical Synthesis: Broad bullish confirmation; buy-the-dip valid on 117800/115731, no aggressive downside signal. Swing positions above 118200 to be favored, expect acceleration after clear break of 123240. Stops & Invalidation: Swing stops below 115731/111949. Closing below = increased risk, “off” bias. Fundamentals: Optimal pre-FOMC swing window, US market in wait-and-see mode short term. Neutral/volatile geopolitics, no immediate shocks. On-chain: Heavy accumulation, historic compression, ETF flows strong (but on short pause). Imminent volatility squeeze possible either way. Recommendation: Actively monitor 123240 (breakout above), 115731 (below = increased caution). Adjust stops and sizing, remain highly responsive, especially as FOMC approaches. __________________________________________________________________________________
Long
by Ox_kali
Where Could Bitcoin Make Its Cycle Top? Model and ABCD AlignedWith the breakout above resistance around 110,000, Bitcoin’s rally appears to be back on track. If you've been following our crypto analysis, either here or on our website, you’ll know our target range for this bull cycle is between 135,000 and 150,000, with the top of the range possibly extending further depending on the strength of the final wave. Now, a possible ABCD pattern is forming, with point D potentially landing at either 135,000 or 150,000. A coincidence? Maybe, maybe not. How Did We Arrive at the 135K–150K Target? We based this range on historical halving cycle returns: Halving Year - Return to Cycle Top 2012 - 9,076% 2016 - 2,122% (↓ 4.27x) 2020 - 541% (↓ 3.92x) Two things stand out: Each cycle has shown diminishing returns. The rate of decline appears roughly consistent, dropping by around 4x each time—but slightly less with each cycle. So depending on the multiplier used: If returns fall by 4.27x again → target: 135K If reduced by 4x → target: 140K If reduced by 3.92x → target: 142K If the rate of reduction itself slows (difference of 0.35 between 4.27 and 3.92) → target: 150K While the sample size is too small, we believe the model holds reasonable logic with fundamental backing from various metrics. The chart now shows a possible ABCD pattern: If it becomes a classic AB = CD structure, point D could form near 135K. If it becomes an extended ABCD (with CD = AB × 1.272), then point D could reach just above 150K. These technical targets align closely with our halving model projections, increasing our confidence in the 135K–150K range as a likely top zone for this cycle. Also, please check our earlier post for possible altseason start. A correlation between BTC/ETH and Gold/Silver might give some tips about possible Ether surge.
Long
by ftdsystem
Bitcoin Rush: The Carnival and Concerns Behind $120,000Bitcoin Rush: The Carnival and Concerns Behind $120,000 The Bitcoin market is staging an epic rally - the price has broken through the $120,000 mark, setting a new record high. But behind this jubilation, the market has shown signs of overheating. Market Status: Risks Hidden in the Frenzy Price Performance: Hit a new high of $123,000 on July 15, up nearly 20% this year, with a total market value of $2.2 trillion (the fifth largest asset in the world) Market Sentiment: Fear and Greed Index 72 (extreme greed), but more than 100,000 people were liquidated in 24 hours, with a loss of $510 million Technical Signals: RSI reached 70.9 (overbought zone), and the 30-day unrealized profit and loss ratio reached the 80% percentile Three major rising engines Institutional entry Spot Bitcoin ETF net inflow of $118 million in a single day (BlackRock holds more than 700,000 coins) MicroStra Tegy's holdings value exceeds $50 billion Trump Media Group and other listed companies join the "coin hoarding trend" Regulatory support The U.S. "Cryptocurrency Week" deliberates on three key bills Hong Kong passes the "Stablecoin Ordinance" (effective on August 1) The EU MiCA framework begins to be implemented Macro support The probability of the Fed's September rate cut is 72.3% The weakening of the U.S. dollar + trade protection policies boost risk aversion demand Bitcoin's positioning shifts from "speculative assets" to "digital gold" Key technical signals Breakthrough pattern: daily "three white soldiers" candle + ascending triangle breakthrough, target 128,000-132,000 U.S. dollars Yuan Key position: Support: $116,800 (near term), $112,000 (key) Resistance: $121,500 (short term), $140,000 (long term) Risk signal: H4 chart RSI reaches 77, MACD histogram shrinks Future outlook Short term: If the $112,000 support is maintained, it is expected to challenge $140,000 Risk: Falling below $108,500 may trigger a chain of liquidations Cycle law: Referring to "peaking 550 days after halving", this round of bull market may peak in October Breakout trading strategy (suitable for aggressive traders ） Entry conditions: Price stabilizes above $123,000 with increased trading volume (at least 1.5 times the 20-day average volume) 4-hour chart closes above the previous high for three consecutive positive lines Targets: First target $128,000 (1.618 Fibonacci extension level) Second target $135,000 (psychological barrier + upper channel track) Stop loss setting: Day trading: Falling below the $120,000 round mark Swing trading: Falling below the $116,800 support platform Conclusion: Bitcoin is writing a new chapter in history, but investors need to be wary of "extreme joy leads to sorrow". Remember: when others are fearful, I am greedy, and when others are greedy, I am fearful - this old saying always applies to the crypto market.
by Crypto_Sniper_btc
Bitcoin overall: sideways range, new ATH soonMy previous hypothesis of a sharp correction (scenario 3) looks to be incorrect. I believe the most likely corrective structure is a contracting triangle at this point (scenario 1), and the last leg should be bought for new ATH, however, it is also possible we had the last major low for this correction and new ATH are imminent (scenario 2)—which will be on the table if the indicated line gets taken out. In any case, new ATH should occur shortly!
by Ian_Carsen