BTC #Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 30-minute chartThis Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) 30-minute chart shows price action within a descending parallel channel. Recently, the price broke out above the channel's upper boundary, suggesting a potential bullish breakout. However, the price has slightly pulled back, now retesting the breakout zone near $119,000. Holding above this level may confirm the breakout and lead to further upside, while failure to hold could signal a false breakout and potential return into the channel. Key support and resistance levels are marked around $116,000 and $121,000 respectively.
thanking you
BTCUST trade ideas
#BTC Update #8 – July 21, 2025#BTC Update #8 – July 21, 2025
Bitcoin isn’t moving in a textbook symmetrical triangle, but it’s trading in a similar, tight range, mostly bouncing around the highlighted box area in the chart. It’s attempting a new impulsive leg, but $120,000 remains a key resistance level, having rejected price several times already.
As long as $116,500 holds, there's no major risk for Long bias. However, considering the triangle-like structure, the short-term upside is limited to about 2% for now.
A breakout above the upper edge of this structure, particularly if $123,200 is broken with strong volume — would justify a Long position. Until then, I don’t plan on entering any trades.
The last corrective move has completed, and my next major upside target is $127,900. If further correction occurs, watch for potential support around $115,000, $113,000, and the strong base at $112,000 — though I don’t expect price to fall that low.
Bitcoin Technical AnalysisBTC made a recorded high of 123,218$ on Monday, and made a correction to 116k$ and keep consolidate in the range of 116k$-120k$, at the time of writing this bitcoin is currently trading at 118,224k$.
116k$-117k$ reacting as a strong support zone, if BTC breakdown this support zone the next target of bears is 112k$-110k$.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart currently reads 64, having declined from last week's overbought level of 70. This suggests a cooling in bullish momentum, potentially signaling a pause or reversal in the recent upward trend.
Meanwhile, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is on the verge of forming a bearish crossover on the daily chart. If confirmed, this crossover would act as a sell signal, reinforcing the view of emerging bearish momentum.
However, if BTC closes above the $120,000 on a daily basis, it could extend the recovery toward the fresh all-time high at $123,218 and beyond.
Bitcoin Technical Outlook -2HA symmetrical triangle is forming with declining volume — signaling a likely breakout.
🔼 Break above ~$119.5K → Target: $123K
🔽 Break below ~$116K → Target: $113.5K
⚠️ Await confirmation before entering. Risk management is key.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Technical Outlook – 2H Chart
BTCUSDT BTC/USDT (Bitcoin):
Trend: Strong uptrend.
Current Conditions: Price is near key resistance around $117,000-$121,000 after a sharp rise.
Entry Recommendation: Entry is not recommended at this time. It is better to wait for a correction to the previous support area (e.g., $109,000-$111,000 or $105,000-$108,000) and look for confirmation of a bullish reversal. Entry at current levels is high risk due to the potential for a correction.
Cryptocurrency Futures Market Disclaimer 🚨🚨🚨
Trading cryptocurrency futures involves high risks and is not suitable for all investors.
Cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile, which can lead to significant gains or losses in a short period.
Before engaging in crypto futures trading, consider your risk tolerance, experience, and financial situation.
Risk of Loss: You may lose more than your initial capital due to the leveraged nature of futures. You are fully responsible for any losses incurred.
Market Volatility: Crypto prices can fluctuate significantly due to factors such as market sentiment, regulations, or unforeseen events.
Leverage Risk: The use of leverage can amplify profits but also increases the risk of total loss.
Regulatory Uncertainty: Regulations related to cryptocurrencies vary by jurisdiction and may change, affecting the value or legality of trading.
Technical Risks: Platform disruptions, hacking, or technical issues may result in losses.
This information is not financial, investment, or trading advice. Consult a professional financial advisor before making decisions. We are not liable for any losses or damages arising from cryptocurrency futures trading.
Note: Ensure compliance with local regulations regarding cryptocurrency trading in your region.
thanks for like and follow @ydnldn to have more information outlook and free signal.
About me :
"I am a passionate swing trader focused on analyzing financial markets to capture profit opportunities from medium-term price movements. With a disciplined approach and in-depth technical analysis, I concentrate on identifying trends, support-resistance levels, and price patterns to make informed trading decisions. I prioritize strict risk management to protect capital while maximizing profit potential. Always learning and adapting to market dynamics, I enjoy the process of refining strategies to achieve consistency in trading."
BTC consolidating a short term bearish channelBTC is moving inside a short-term bearish channel right now, even though the bigger trend is still upward. It looks like it's just consolidating for the time being, bouncing between the top and bottom of the channel.
But if it breaks below that lower trendline, we could see a pretty sharp move down—possibly all the way to around $112K , which lines up with the Fibonacci retracement from the last rally. That zone could act as a support.
It might hang out in this range a little longer, but once it breaks down, it’s probably heading toward that level.
Bitcoin Forever Bitcoin's Technical Trajectory: Analysis for Q3-Q4 2025
Breaking New Records: Bitcoin's Path Beyond the July Peak
With Bitcoin currently trading near historical highs after reaching its all-time high of $123,218 in July 2025, we find ourselves in unprecedented territory. This comprehensive technical analysis examines Bitcoin's potential trajectory through the remainder of 2025, leveraging multiple analytical frameworks to identify probable price targets and key levels.
Current Market Context
Bitcoin has experienced a remarkable ascent in 2025, climbing from around $85,000 in January to establish a new all-time high of $123,218 in July. After this peak, we've seen a period of consolidation with price action forming a potential bull flag pattern between $117,000-$120,000. This consolidation phase represents a critical juncture for Bitcoin's next directional move.
The most recent data shows Bitcoin trading around $118,200 in late July, representing a modest pullback of approximately 4% from the all-time high. This shallow retracement suggests underlying strength rather than exhaustion in the primary trend.
RSI Analysis: Healthy Momentum Reset
Despite Bitcoin's extraordinary rise to $123,218 in July, the daily RSI has demonstrated remarkable resilience. After reaching overbought territory (70+) during the July peak, the indicator has now cooled to approximately 42-46, indicating a healthy reset of momentum conditions without surrendering the broader uptrend.
The weekly RSI reading of 46.4 is particularly significant—showing that despite the recent consolidation, Bitcoin maintains substantial momentum capacity before reaching the extreme readings (80+) that typically signal major cycle tops. This technical positioning creates an ideal scenario where momentum has reset while price structure remains intact.
Most notably, the absence of bearish divergences between price and RSI on higher timeframes suggests the current consolidation is likely a pause rather than a reversal in the primary trend.
Wyckoff Analysis: Re-accumulation Before Continuation
The price action following the $123,218 July peak displays classic characteristics of Wyckoff re-accumulation rather than distribution:
The initial decline from the peak represents a "Preliminary Support" (PS) phase
The subsequent trading range between $117,000-$120,000 shows tight price action with decreasing volatility
Volume characteristics show diminishing selling pressure rather than distribution
Recent price action suggests we're approaching the "Spring" phase that typically precedes markup
According to the data, Bitcoin's price action in late July shows decreasing volatility with narrowing price ranges, consistent with the "Cause Building" phase in Wyckoff methodology. This structure indicates institutional accumulation is still occurring at these elevated levels—a powerful sign that smart money anticipates further upside potential. The completion of this re-accumulation pattern projects a move toward the $135,000-$145,000 range in the coming months.
Supply/Demand Zone Analysis: Key Levels Identified
Supply and demand zone analysis reveals critical price levels that will influence Bitcoin's next directional move:
Major demand zone established between $115,000-$117,000 (recent consolidation floor)
Secondary support cluster at $108,000-$110,000 (previous resistance turned support)
Primary resistance at $123,200-$125,000 (all-time high region)
Limited historical supply overhead above $123,218 suggests minimal resistance once this level is breached
The formation of fresh demand zones during the recent consolidation indicates strategic accumulation before the anticipated upward expansion. The neutralization of previous supply zones during the advance to all-time highs has effectively cleared the technical pathway for Bitcoin's next significant move higher.
Volume Analysis: Confirming the Bullish Case
Examination of trading volume during the recent consolidation provides crucial validation for our bullish thesis:
Declining volume during pullbacks indicates diminishing selling pressure
Volume spikes on upward moves suggest accumulation on strength
The Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP) maintains a positive slope, confirming the underlying strength of the trend
The high-volume node has migrated upward in recent weeks, signalling comfort with accumulation at these unprecedented price levels—a powerful indication of market confidence in Bitcoin's valuation. The buying/selling volume differential maintains a positive bias, confirming underlying accumulation despite price consolidation.
Fibonacci Extension Framework: Projecting Targets
With Bitcoin having established a new all-time high at $123,218 in July, we can project potential targets using Fibonacci extensions from the most recent significant swing points:
The 127.2% extension from the June-July rally projects to approximately $132,000
The 161.8% extension suggests potential movement toward $145,000
The 200% extension indicates a possible target of $160,000
These projections align with psychological thresholds that could serve as natural targets in this new price discovery phase.
Elliott Wave Analysis: Extended Fifth Wave Scenario
The current price action suggests we're likely in an extended fifth wave scenario within a larger degree bull cycle:
Primary waves I through III appear complete with the move to $123,218 in July
The current consolidation represents wave IV
Wave V is projected to reach the $140,000-$160,000 range
This wave count suggests potential for continued appreciation toward the $145,000-$160,000 range before a more significant corrective phase begins. The internal structure of the current consolidation displays textbook proportional relationships, further validating our analysis.
Price Projection Timeline
August-September 2025:
Completion of the current consolidation phase with a potential final retest of support in the $115,000-$117,000 range. This would represent the "Last Point of Support" in Wyckoff terminology and provide a final opportunity for institutional accumulation before the next leg up. A decisive break above $125,000 would confirm the end of the consolidation phase.
October 2025:
Renewed momentum pushing Bitcoin toward the $132,000-$140,000 range, potentially coinciding with seasonal strength typically observed in Q4. This phase could see increased institutional participation as year-end positioning begins, with volume expansion confirming the strength of the move.
November-December 2025:
Final wave extension potentially reaching the $145,000-$160,000 range, representing a 20-30% appreciation from current all-time high levels. This phase may exhibit increased volatility and could be followed by a more substantial correction as the extended fifth wave completes.
Key Levels to Monitor
Support Zones:
Primary: $115,000-$117,000 (must hold for bullish scenario)
Secondary: $108,000-$110,000 (previous resistance turned support)
Tertiary: $100,000-$102,000 (psychological and technical support)
Resistance Zones:
Immediate: $123,200-$125,000 (all-time high region)
Target 1: $132,000-$135,000 (127.2% Fibonacci extension)
Target 2: $145,000-$150,000 (161.8% Fibonacci extension)
Target 3: $160,000+ (200% Fibonacci extension)
The Technical Case for New Highs
Despite Bitcoin already achieving unprecedented price levels in July, multiple technical frameworks suggest the potential for continued appreciation:
Historical Precedent: Previous bull cycles have shown Bitcoin capable of extending significantly beyond initial all-time highs before cycle completion
Institutional Adoption: On-chain metrics indicate continued accumulation by large holders despite elevated prices, with exchange outflows remaining positive
Technical Structure: The current consolidation pattern resembles re-accumulation rather than distribution, suggesting the market is preparing for another leg higher
Momentum Characteristics: Current momentum readings have reset from overbought conditions without breaking the underlying trend structure
Strategic Considerations
With Bitcoin having already achieved a new all-time high at $123,218 in July, strategic approaches might include:
Maintaining core positions while implementing trailing stop strategies
Adding to positions during retests of key support levels ($115,000-$117,000)
Considering partial profit-taking at key Fibonacci extension levels
Remaining vigilant for signs of distribution patterns that may emerge at higher levels
Conclusion: The Path to $160,000
The weight of technical evidence suggests Bitcoin has entered a new paradigm of price discovery following its break to all-time highs in July 2025. While the path may include periods of consolidation and volatility, the underlying trend remains firmly bullish with multiple technical frameworks projecting targets in the $145,000-$160,000 range by year-end 2025.
The current consolidation phase represents a healthy reset of momentum conditions rather than a trend reversal, creating an ideal technical foundation for Bitcoin's next major advance. With institutional adoption continuing to grow and technical indicators suggesting ample room for further appreciation, Bitcoin appears well-positioned to achieve new record highs in the coming months.
#BTC Update #7 – July 15, 2025#BTC Update #7 – July 15, 2025
Bitcoin is currently within the consolidation zone where it previously paused during its last upward move. From this zone, it had previously bounced and created a new all-time high. It is now undergoing a correction, and the level it has reached aligns with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement, which is perfectly normal for a first stop in a correction.
If the correction continues, the second stop could be around $114,795, and the third around $113,012. If it reaches these levels, it will have filled at least half of the imbalance created during the previous rally.
Looking at the volume, I anticipate that Bitcoin might start to bounce from this level. If it manages to break above the $122,666 zone, the next target would be around $127,172.
I do not plan to buy Bitcoin here unless I see a high-volume green candle. However, if Bitcoin breaks above the $118,900 level with strong volume, a long position might be considered, as the target would likely shift toward the $127,000 range.
BTC still Holding the Demand Zone, Bitcoin is currently holding the demand zone between $116K and $117K, which also aligns with the retest area of a previously broken trendline—making this zone quite strong. If BTC manages to close above $117.8K on lower timeframes, we could see the beginning of a new uptrend targeting around $130K. However, if this zone fails due to any unexpected news or events, the next key support lies between $111K and $113K.
21/07/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $123,220.24
Last weeks low: $115,718.15
Midpoint: $119,469.19
New BTC ($123,220) & SPX ($6,315) ATH last week! We're really seeing progress being made on all fronts now, bitcoin saw its sixth week of net inflows into BTC ETFs ($2.39B).
The week began strong hitting the new ATH very early and then settled into a tight range to cool off. Altcoins however surged in relation to BTC to break out of HTF downtrends and begin to make up lost ground. One of the beneficiary's of this price movement has been ETH, breaking out from a multi year downtrend against BTC and hitting $3,800 in its USD pair.
For this week I do expect much of the same for BTC as momentum is with altcoins for now. However, as those altcoins reach HTF resistance levels it becomes very important for Bitcoins chop to be accumulation for the next leg up and not distribution for the way down. With so few pullbacks the threat of a sudden correction is present but the probability drops should BTC look to press higher with strong demand.
The ECB Interest rate decision takes place on Thursday but no changes to the 2.15% rate is forecast. In terms of news there are no planned upsets that I can see.
Good luck this week everybody!
Market overview
WHAT HAPPENED?
Last week, after updating the historical maximum, bitcoin went into correction for the first time, after which it went sideways.
At the moment, the $117,300 – $116,300 zone has been retested (strong absorption of sales) and an active reaction from buyers has been received.
Within the current flat, the cumulative delta supports buyers, indicating the absorption of market sales. At the same time, the global wave structure on the 4H chart casts doubt on the last wave of buys, as we’ve rapidly adjusted back to its beginning.
💼 WHAT WILL HAPPEN: OR NOT?
We expect to exit the sideways at $116,000 – $121,000 in an upward direction from the current levels, either through capturing liquidity and testing the pushing volume zone at $115,000.
The target is the last ATH, which is $123,200. A re-correction is possible near $123,200, resulting in a wider flat range of $123,200 to $115,000. If there is a true breakout, we can expect the continuation of the global long trend.
Buy Zones:
~$115,000 (zone of initiating/pushing volumes)
$110,000–$107,000 (accumulated volume)
📰 IMPORTANT DATES
Macroeconomic events this week:
• Tuesday, July 22, 12:30 (UTC) — speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell;
• Wednesday, July 23, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of data on US second-hand housing sales for June;
• Thursday, July 24, 12:15 (UTC) — announcement of the deposit rate for July and the interest rate decision in the Eurozone;
• Thursday, July 24, 12:30 (UTC) — publication of the number of initial applications for unemployment benefits in the United States;
• Thursday, July 24, 12:45 (UTC) — press conference of the European Central Bank;
• Thursday, July 24, 13:45 (UTC) — publication of business activity indices (PMI) in the manufacturing and services sectors of the United States for July;
• Thursday, July 24, 14:00 (UTC) — publication of data on new home sales in the United States for June.
*This post is not a financial recommendation. Make decisions based on your own experience.
#analytics
**BTC/USDT Monthly Analysis: Navigating Key Resistance****Overview:**
On the monthly timeframe, Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting significant strength as it approaches a pivotal historical resistance zone. This multi-year resistance, ranging approximately from **$115,000 to $120,000**, represents a critical inflection point for the asset.
**Key Observations:**
1. **Historical Resistance Test:** The current price action sees BTC challenging a formidable resistance level that has previously acted as a major ceiling. A decisive breakout above this zone, supported by strong volume, would signal a continuation of the bullish trend towards new all-time highs.
2. **RSI Bearish Divergence:** A notable observation on the Monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) is the presence of **bearish divergence**. While price has made higher highs, the RSI has printed lower highs, indicating a potential weakening in bullish momentum. This divergence suggests that the current upward move might be losing steam and could precede a healthy price correction or consolidation phase. This is a crucial cautionary signal for long-term holders and potential new entrants.
**Outlook:**
The bullish macro trend for Bitcoin remains intact, yet the confluence of strong historical resistance and a developing bearish divergence on the monthly RSI warrants caution. Traders should closely monitor for a clear break and sustained close above the $120,000 level to confirm further upside. Conversely, a rejection from this resistance zone could lead to a significant retracement to key support levels.
**Disclaimer:** This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage your risk appropriately.
**M. Kiani**
```ش
14/07/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $119,494.32
Last weeks low: $107,467.52
Midpoint: $113,480.92
NEW BTC ATH!
This is what we've all been waiting for, BTC breaks through resistance at $110,000-112,000 to set a the highest weekly close ever ($119,086). Thanks to a further $2.27B net inflows via BTC ETFs, the passing of the "big beautiful bill" flipping from a more deficit reduction stance by the US to an environment perfectly suited to risk on assets. Things are looking good for Bitcoin.
This week already in the Asia session BTC has broken above the weekly high to hit $123,100. Despite this incredible rally BTC.D has been falling since Thursday of last week. To me this signals altcoins have started to play catch up and we've seen that with ETH breaking $3000 (+14% relative to BTC).
I would like to see BTC consolidating here above the weekly high while altcoin majors break their choppy rangebound environments and shift to a trending environment just as BTC had last week.
There are also major data releases this week:
Tuesday CPI
Wednesday PPI
Thursday Euro CPI
Thursday US Initial Jobless Claims
I do not expect these data releases to have a major effect on the markets in their current state due to the risk appetite we've seen in both crypto and equities, such shallow pullbacks prove the demand is there to absorb and sell-side pressure for now.
Now is an excellent time to back strong projects with great fundamentals that are breaking out from downtrends/ranges in both their USD & BTC pairs, as BTC.D drops alts can print some great returns. Beta plays of ETH & SOL can offer higher returns than the majors themselves in these market conditions too.
Good luck this week everybody!
BTC Era, continue to create new ATH💎 BTC WEEKLY PLAN UPDATE (14 July )
NOTABLE NEWS ABOUT BTC
Bitcoin (BTC) broke above a key milestone on Friday, setting a new all-time high of $119,999 with no signs of slowing down. The technical outlook supports further gains as momentum indicators remain strong and price action is solidly in price discovery mode, with the next potential target at $135.000
Bitcoin’s Next Stop: $135.000
Bitcoin entered price discovery on July 9, and since then, the king of cryptocurrencies has surged toward the $120,000 target—a key psychological level for traders. Early Monday during the Asian session, BTC climbed to a peak of $119,999, marking a new all-time high and the closest the asset has come to this milestone.
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS PERSPECTIVE
Two key momentum indicators on the daily timeframe signal underlying bullish momentum in Bitcoin, suggesting a potential for further upside. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) reads 76, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is flashing green histogram bars above the neutral line.
However, if BTC undergoes a correction, it may extend its pullback to find support near the lower boundary of the Fair Value Gap (FVG) around $115,222.
Derivatives market data shows that $76 million was liquidated over the past 24 hours as BTC surged toward its new high. The long/short ratio, which is considered an indicator of bullish or bearish trader sentiment, is above 1—indicating that more derivative traders are optimistic about Bitcoin and are expecting further gains in the king of cryptocurrencies.
Stay tuned to the channel for updates.
(BTC/USDT) appears to be around $120,000.(BTC/USDT) appears to be around $120,000.
Here's a quick analysis of what the chart suggests:
Timeframe: 1D (Daily)
Current price: ~$111,150
Technical Indicators:
Ascending triangle breakout is indicated.
Ichimoku Cloud shows bullish momentum (price above the cloud).
The breakout is targeting a horizontal resistance zone around $120,000.
✅ Target Zone:
Target Point (based on breakout projection): $120,000 – $124,000
This target aligns with previous resistance levels and technical breakout patterns.
Let me know if you want a more detailed technical breakdown (e.g., support/resistance zones, volume analysis, RSI, etc.).
BTC Roadmap Still Intact Bullish Momentum Building Toward 120KBitcoin Price action continues to validate the bullish roadmap shared in our last BTC post. The market respected the Immediate Buy Back Zone, springing from a demand backed structure into a fresh impulsive leg.
Notably, price has carved a clean 5-wave structure supported by recurring bullish pennants and continuation patterns each breakout driving momentum higher. Our target at 120,151 remains firmly intact, with price action showing healthy structure and controlled pullbacks.
The current setup remains valid as long as price holds above 106,655 and especially 100,941, which now act as structural pivot zones. Any deeper correction into the Demand Area would only serve as a re-accumulation window before the next leg.
Let’s see how price behaves into June. Momentum is aligning with structure.
Share your thoughts, like the post, and drop your setup confirmations on the comment section.
BTC - Topping outWow.. and look at those beautiful harmonic pattern fits! My eyeballs are so pleased with my work! Hehe!
These aggressive monsters like to propagate and fractal…
I met with another wizard of the charts yesterday… forecasted BTC to $5,000 !!! Holy crap!
Are you getting FEARFUL yet? Or still feeling GREEDY?
This is gonna be fun!
Check my linked idea for more insights.