Why This Breakout Feels Like $29K and $48K – Big Moves Ahead?🤔📊 Why This Breakout Feels Like $29K and $48K – Big Moves Ahead? 🚀📈
Hey everyone! It’s Saturday, July 12th , and while the markets take a breather, it’s the perfect moment to zoom out and assess the bigger picture . Are we in for another retail weekend surge?
Let’s break it down 🔍👇
After closely analyzing the charts, one thing becomes clear — this breakout is structurally similar to the previous key breakouts at $29K and $48K. In both historical cases, price surged significantly without immediately retesting the breakout level.
➡️ Back in 2020, price exploded +144% above the yellow level before ever coming back to test it.
➡️ At $48K, a similar move of +49% occurred before signs of exhaustion and a retest emerged.
Fast forward to today: We've just broken above a massive ascending support zone — $114,921–$115K — and the market shows no intention of pulling back yet. This tells us something powerful: Momentum is in control.
💡 According to my technical roadmap, we may not see a retest of $115K anytime soon. Instead, the next target zone lies around $182K–$189K, depending on velocity and sentiment. With halving-to-ATH cycles historically lasting ~550 days, we’re well within that bullish window.
Remember the channel support/last entry right after the Iran-Israel ceasefire on June 23rd? That’s been a defining entry and it’s still playing out beautifully. So we wish for geopolitical stability and peace.
So, while it’s easy to feel left out — don’t short, don’t sulk. This may be our moment to ride the wave long. 🎯📉📈
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
BTCUST trade ideas
$BTC - Much Higher or Much Lower. EoY '26I'm not gonna lie, I drew these lines with my balls. I use them to move my cursor on my computer monitor.
This is not financial advice. This is just how my deep gut instinct likes to draw brushstrokes.
I gave 4 optional trajectories.
These will likely not happen, nor is it likely that the Price Action and Valuation will stay within these lines.
Enjoy and Happy Trading!
Mr. Storm
Bitcoin's Next Target Based on a 210 Days Long ConsolidationAfter each 210 days long consolidation phase Bitcoin advanced 137% on average, from bottom to top, since the November 2022 bear market low. Such an advance would put Bitcoin at a price of $170,000 next.
Now, the 137% is just the average. In one occasion Bitcoin rose 83% while in another occasion total growth amounted to more than 200%. We are counting the rise from the consolidation phase lowest point.
Let's look at some numbers:
» An 83% rise would put Bitcoin just above $135,000.
» A 128% rise would put Bitcoin right at $170,000.
» A 202% rise would put Bitcoin at a price of around $225,000.
~200% is how much Bitcoin grew between late 2023 and early 2024.
How much will Bitcoin grow exactly? We don't know. What we can know for sure is that there is plenty of room available for growth.
We are aiming for at least 100% growth starting from 100K, that is, a target of $200,000. Can be $180,000 just as it can be $220,000. That's the cycle top.
Do you agree with this target?
Leave a comment with your number.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
BTC - Last Chance to Prepare for Potential Flash Crash (Full) Expanding on my previous update - this chart is the zoomed out and expanded look at correction movement and liquidity zones to these lows.
Pathway to these levels is filled with long position stop losses - sell orders leveraged.
Orders triggered will create a cascading chain reaction and this is why we see fast movements and “stop hunts” as they are AKA.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #124👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indicators. As usual, I’ll review the futures triggers for the New York session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour timeframe, as you can see, Bitcoin made a bullish move yesterday after stabilizing above the 109391 level and managed to register a new ATH around the 112000 level.
⭐ The resistance at 111747 has effectively held back further price increases, and the price has reacted to it and entered a corrective phase.
✔️ I believe the correction could continue down to 110256. The next lower support levels are 109391 and 107853.
📈 If you already have a long position open, I recommend holding it. If the 111747 resistance breaks, a strong bullish trend could begin, and having an open position from earlier could have a big positive impact on your account.
🔼 If 111747 is broken, we can consider opening new long positions. If this level breaks, I’ll post a higher timeframe analysis to identify the next major resistance levels.
💥 RSI entering the Overbuy zone and rising volume would provide strong confirmation for this position.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin Dominance is still dropping. Yesterday, after breaking 64.81, it continued its downward move and is now approaching the 64.49 level.
🔍 If this level breaks, the drop could continue further, but in my opinion, after the recent drop, it's time for BTC.D to enter a correction phase.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Total2 has also had a bullish move, breaking through the 1.18 and 1.2 levels, and continues to rise.
🎲 The next resistance is at 1.24, which the price may target. However, I think there’s a high chance of a correction or consolidation phase starting soon.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Looking at Tether Dominance, after the recent drop and the break of 4.72, it reached the 4.63 level and has formed a base there.
✨ If 4.63 breaks, USDT.D could head toward 4.56. In case of a pullback, the first level to watch is 4.72.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
More upside for BitcoinHi traders,
Last week Bitcoin made a small move down before it shot up again.
It looks like this is wave 3 so we could see a small correction down and more upside for this pair.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down on a lower timeframe and a change in orderflow to bullish to trade longs.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's with wave analysis, please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
BTC - Falling Correction = Continuation?BTC has been playing by the rules lately!
Every time Bitcoin forms a falling correction, it turns out to be a bullish continuation pattern — and history might be repeating itself 👀
As shown on the chart:
Previous falling channels (flag/wedge structures) have consistently led to strong bullish impulses.
The current correction also appears to be a falling channel, hinting at another potential bullish leg soon.
As long as the structure holds and no major support is broken, the next target could be a new all-time high.
Let’s see if BTC continues to respect this textbook behavior.
📌 Remember: Falling corrections in an uptrend = healthy continuation!
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BITCOIN Bitcoin and the Potential Move to $136,000 based on my price action +sma+ema advanced strategy.
Current Market Context
Bitcoin (BTC) is trading near all-time highs, recently surpassing $117,000-118000
The market is characterized by strong institutional inflows, robust ETF demand, and bullish technical momentum.
Is a Move to $136,000 Possible?
Analyst and Model Forecasts
Bitwise Asset Management and several market analysts see a 30% rally possible in July, which could push Bitcoin to the $136,000 level. This projection is based on:
Historical post-crisis rallies (average 31% gains after macro/geopolitical shocks).
Institutions buying more BTC than miners can supply.
Global rate cuts increasing liquidity and risk appetite.
Quantitative models and technical forecasters also predict a range between $136,000 and $143,000 as a potential 2025 high, with some models extending targets to $151,000 and beyond.
Other major banks and analysts (e.g., Standard Chartered, Bernstein, Fundstrat) maintain even higher year-end targets ($150,000–$200,000), but $136,000 is seen as a key intermediate technical and psychological level.
Technical Analysis
Bullish momentum is confirmed across short, medium, and long-term timeframes.
Key resistance levels to watch: $120,000 (psychological), $130,000 (round number), and $136,000 (target zone highlighted by several analysts).
Sustained trading above $112,000–$118,000 would support a move toward $130,000–$136,000, especially if ETF inflows and institutional demand remain strong.
Drivers Supporting the $136K Scenario
ETF and Institutional Inflows: Demand from US spot Bitcoin ETFs and corporate treasuries remains robust.
Macro Tailwinds: Expectations of US Federal Reserve rate cuts and a weakening dollar are fueling risk-on sentiment.
Supply Dynamics: The recent Bitcoin halving has reduced miner supply, amplifying the impact of new demand.
Technical Breakouts: Bull flag and breakout patterns suggest further upside, with $136,000 cited as a technical extension target.
Risks and Considerations
Volatility: Bitcoin remains highly volatile; sharp pullbacks are possible even in a strong uptrend.
Regulatory and Macro Risks: Changes in regulatory stance or a major shift in macro conditions could impact the trajectory.
Profit-Taking: Approaching major round numbers like $130,000 or $136,000 could trigger profit-taking and temporary corrections.
Summary Table: Bitcoin 2025 Price Targets
Source/Model 2025 Target Range $136K Move Outlook
Bitwise, Polymarket $136,000 (July 2025) High probability if current trends persist
Coinfomania AI Model Up to $143,440 $136K within model range
Investing Haven $80,840–$151,150 $136K within bullish scenario
Changelly, CoinDCX $100,000–$150,000 $136K is a key resistance
Standard Chartered $120,000–$200,000 $136K as a stepping stone
Conclusion
A move to $136,000 for Bitcoin is considered plausible in 2025 by my market structure advanced strategy , This scenario is supported by strong institutional demand, favorable macro conditions, and bullish technical patterns. However, volatility and macro/regulatory risks remain, so price action should be monitored closely as BTC approaches key resistance levels at 120k and 136k level
#bitcoin #btc
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the 1-hour timeframeBitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the 1-hour timeframe:
🔽 Bearish Target Points (Downside Levels):
First Target: ~116,157.55 USDT
This level is close to the upper edge of the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo), which can act as initial support.
Second Target: ~113,686.49 USDT
This is the deeper pullback level, marked clearly as the main "Target Point" on the chart. It aligns with historical structure and is near the lower part of the cloud.
🧠 Summary:
The chart suggests a potential pullback from the recent all-time high (~118,110 USDT).
If price breaks below 116k, the next major support is ~113.6k.
Traders might look for buy entries at these levels if price action confirms support.
BITCOINAs of July 11, 2025, Bitcoin (BTC) is experiencing a strong bullish surge, reaching new all-time highs:
Current Price: Around $117,786 per BTC, up about 1.55% on the day, with an intraday high near $118,780.
Market Cap: Approximately $2.33 trillion, reflecting significant institutional and retail interest.
Trading Volume: High, with 24-hour volume exceeding $124 billion, indicating robust market activity.
Key Drivers Behind Today’s Bitcoin Rally:
New All-Time High: Bitcoin recently surpassed its previous record, hitting nearly $118,800, fueling bullish momentum.
Massive Short Squeeze: Over $1 billion in short positions were liquidated within 24 hours, including around $570 million in Bitcoin shorts, accelerating the price rally.
ETF Inflows: US spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen substantial inflows (around $50 billion this week), signaling strong institutional demand.
Technical Breakout: Technical indicators show a strong bullish trend, with Bitcoin targeting levels above $126-130K,
Macro Environment: The US dollar is weakening sharply (its worst performance since 1973), boosting risk assets like Bitcoin.
Growing Adoption: Corporate treasury purchases and positive regulatory developments in the US are enhancing investor confidence.
Market Sentiment and Outlook:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is above 70, indicating strong bullish momentum but also suggesting caution for a possible short-term pullback.
The number of Bitcoin wallets holding BTC has increased significantly, showing renewed accumulation by investors.
Technical Outlook Bullish, target $120K+
Bitcoin’s rally today is driven by a powerful combination of technical breakout, institutional buying, short squeeze dynamics, and supportive macroeconomic factors, making it one of the strongest moves in crypto markets this year.
#BTC #BITCOIN
Bitcoin : Missed $100K? Don’t Miss What’s Coming Next!!MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN BINANCE:BTCUSDT continues to show exceptional strength and strong bullish momentum. When we look back at the charts from 2023 and 2024, a clear and reliable pattern stands out. Each time Bitcoin touched the 50 EMA on the weekly chart, it triggered a significant rally that led to new all-time highs. That same setup appears to be forming once again.
MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN tested the 50-week EMA around the $75,000 level and has since bounced with conviction. The price has reclaimed the $100,000 mark and is now challenging previous all-time high resistance. Historically, a successful bounce from this key moving average has not only signaled recovery but also sparked explosive upside moves.
Following this repeating pattern, the current cycle target is positioned at $150,000. A clean breakout above the current resistance zone could act as the trigger that launches Bitcoin into uncharted territory. The technical structure remains bullish, momentum is clearly accelerating, and the overall trend continues to favor the upside.
This moment represents a textbook Buy and HODL opportunity. Technical indicators are aligning, market sentiment is turning increasingly optimistic, and all signs suggest that Bitcoin could be preparing for another historic rally. Stay ready for what could be the next big move.
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DeGRAM | BTCUSD ATH📊 Technical Analysis
● Daily close above the purple 2-month trend-cap and 114.8 k horizontal flips both into support, confirming the grey ascending triangle break.
● Measured move and channel geometry aim at the 125 k supply band; higher-lows keep bulls in control while risk is contained by the 107 k–109 k demand shelf (confluence of mid-line and former wedge top).
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Spot-ETF net inflows (>10 k BTC since 8 Jul) and stable miner balances signal shrinking sell pressure, while softer US CPI has pushed real yields to 3-week lows—reviving crypto bid.
✨ Summary
Long 109–112 k; hold above 114.8 k targets 120 k → 125 k. Invalidate on a daily close below 107 k.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #123👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I’ll go over the trigger levels for the New York futures session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour chart, as you can see, Bitcoin is currently below a resistance zone at 109135 and is approaching this level with strong bullish momentum.
⭐ If the price breaks and stabilizes above this level, we can open a long position. Both the volume and market momentum are confirming this setup well, but the main long trigger remains the breakout of 109135.
📈 If this bullish move turns out to be fake and the price starts heading downward, the first trigger we have for a short position is the 107853 level. A break below this level would give us an entry for a short.
👀 Overall, I think the market has been pretty straightforward lately, and we don’t need complex tools to analyze it. Just these support and resistance levels and simple triggers are sufficient.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Moving on to Bitcoin Dominance, the 65.04 floor has finally broken, and dominance is now trending downward.
💫 The next support ahead is at 64.81, which the price is approaching. We’ll have to see how the market reacts to this level. For now, the trend of dominance in the 1-hour timeframe appears bearish.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Let’s look at Total2. With Bitcoin Dominance dropping and Bitcoin itself moving upward, Total2 has started a strong bullish leg and is heading toward the 1.18 level.
🔑 Many of the altcoins I’ve analyzed have triggered their entries, and as long as Total2 remains bullish, these moves can continue.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now to Tether Dominance. After breaking below the 4.76 level, it has now reached the 4.72 floor.
💥 A break below this floor could confirm continuation of the downtrend, but in my opinion, the price may pause here for some correction and consolidation.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BTC/USDT Chart Analysis (4H)Patterns and Structure:
Bitcoin remains inside a larger converging structure (symmetrical triangle/wedge) visible from the diagonal trendline.
The price has recently broken above the descending resistance trendline but is hovering near the red resistance area (~$109,000–$110,000).
Ichimoku Cloud:
The price is currently above the Ichimoku Cloud, which acts as support (~$107,000–$108,000 area).
The cloud below the price is green, indicating bullish momentum.
Key Areas:
Resistance Area: $109,000–$110,000 (red box). Multiple previous rejections from this area.
Support Zone: $106,000–$107,000 (cloud and trendline support).
Key Lower Support: The green box near $98,000–$100,000, in case of a deeper retracement.
Possible Scenario:
As your blue arrow suggests, if Bitcoin consolidates above the breakout level (~$108,000), a rally towards the next major resistance between $112,000–$114,000 is likely.
Conversely, losing the breakout zone could see BTC return to retest lower support levels around $106,000 or $100,000.
Short-term Outlook:
The trend bias remains bullish as long as BTC stays above ~$107,000.
Monitor price reaction to the red resistance zone for breakout confirmation or potential rejection.
Conclusion:
BTC is showing signs of strength, but the $109,000-$110,000 resistance zone is crucial. A confirmed breakout above this zone could accelerate the move towards the $112,000-$114,000 targets.
Stay tuned for updates and key levels to watch!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
Bitcoin Monthly · New ATH vs 2021, Indicators & MoreLast month Bitcoin produced its highest close ever, $107,146. The last three months all closed green, the close was higher than the open, and this is the fourth green month so far.
Bitcoin tends to produce a period of bullish consolidation before a major move, and this is exactly what we are seeing now. Bitcoin tends to produce a correction before a major bullish move, and this is exactly what happened between January and April. Bitcoin is set to grow.
Past action · consolidation
We already looked at the consolidation period that happens between each major price advance. Since 2022, Bitcoin has been moving sideways for some 200-220 days before each advance. This happened in 2022, 2023, 2024 and also now in 2025.
Looking at it from the monthly timeframe, the consolidation period was capped each time at 7 bars, 214 days. Current consolidation has already been going for more than 215 days. Bitcoin is set to continue growing.
Indicators · MAs, RSI & MACD
Bitcoin is trading above all moving averages. The monthly RSI is very strong, beyond 70.6.
The monthly MACD is moving at all-time high levels, trending up with room available for additional growth.
Chart patterns · candlestick reading
The chart patterns now has no similarities to 2021. Many people were saying that Bitcoin produced a double-top similar to 2021 and was set to move down. I completely disagree with this analysis.
In 2021 both instances when Bitcoin peaked the month ended up closing red. In 2025 the months when Bitcoin peaked the months ended closing green.
The same month the peak was hit in 2021 was followed by bearish action, twice. And of course, the bear market. In 2025 the market has been consolidating for months and trading near its all-time high.
Finally, in 2021 each peak was 7 months apart, 214. In 2025, the last two peaks are 4 months apart, only 120 days.
This difference is good to point out because market conditions are not the same. Not the same market conditions means that Bitcoin is not likely to go into a bear market now, instead, it can produce something difference. The market has only three directions: Down, sideways and up.
Down has been eliminated based on past action.
Sideways is happening now.
Something different only leaves the upside open; Bitcoin is going up.
Namaste.
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Bitcoin’s Final Wave & Time Reversal Zone _ New ATH Loading?Today, I want to analyze Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) on the weekly time frame and answer these questions :
Can Bitcoin create a new All-time High(ATH) or not!?
At what price range can Bitcoin's uptrend end!?
When can we expect the uptrend to end!?
Please stay with me.
Bitcoin appears to have managed to break the Resistance lines , although we saw a fake break a few months ago , and it also appears to have a Hammer Candlestick Pattern in the previous weekly candle , which could signal the completion of Bitcoin's pullback to the Resistance lines(broken).
In terms of time , if we want to analyze the Bitcoin chart and look at Bitcoin's past, in general, the months of June(Average=-0.13%/Median=+2.20%) and especially July(Average=+7.56%/Median=+8.90%) have been among the most productive months for Bitcoin , and the months of August(Average=+1.75%/Median=-8.04%) and September(Average=-3.77%/Median=-4.35%) were the months when Bitcoin had a correction . Technical analysis tools show the end of the upward trend and the beginning of Bitcoin's correction at the Time Reversal Zone(TRZ=June 23 to August 4) .
In terms of Elliott Wave theory , Bitcoin appears to be completing the main wave 5 , as the main wave 3 was extended .
I expect Bitcoin to trend higher(+10%) in the coming weeks and create a new ATH . New ATH could be created in the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and TRZ , and then we can wait for the start of the main correction .
What do you think about Bitcoin’s future movement? Can Bitcoin create a new ATH? When and at what price?
Note: If Bitcoin falls below $100,000, we should expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), weekly time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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