Downloading...
Download

Bitcoin / UST

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Markets

BTCUST trade ideas

Orangeman vs The Federal Reverse: Season 1 (2018–2020)It all started in 2018... 🎬 🧱📈💼 March 21, 2018: Jerome Powell steps in as the new Fed Chair. Almost immediately, the Fed hikes rates from 1.50% to 1.75%, citing a strong U.S. economy. 💬📊🇺🇸 June 13, 2018: Another hike to 2.00%. Powell says the U.S. economy is “in great shape.” But markets? Not so thrilled. 🗣️📉🇺🇸 July 19, 2018: Enter The Orangeman—President Trump publicly attacks the Fed's policy, breaking tradition. He’s “not thrilled” with the hikes. 📉🏦 September 26, 2018: Yet another hike to 2.25%. The Fed stays firm. Trump? Getting louder. ❗😠💬 "I'm not happy with the Fed." – Trump ⚠️📉📉 December 19, 2018: Fourth hike of the year to 2.50%. Markets tank. Rumors swirl: Trump wants Powell gone. 🔥💣👔 Behind the scenes: Trump reportedly explores ways to dismiss Powell. The pressure is on. 📛🇺🇸📉 June 10, 2019: The battle heats up. Trump calls the hikes a “big mistake” and demands rate cuts. ✂️📉📉 July 31, 2019: Powell blinks. The Fed cuts rates by 0.25%—first cut since 2008. Trump tweets: 👎🐦💸 “Powell let us down.” ⬇️📉🔁 September 18, 2019: Second cut. ⚖️🔁🧩 October 30, 2019: Third consecutive cut. The Fed pivots completely. The Orangeman’s influence is undeniable. 🦠🧪📉 March 2020: COVID strikes. The Fed responds with emergency rate cuts. 🌀🧻💸 March 15 & 23, 2020: Rates slashed to near zero. QE infinity unleashed. Powell goes full printer mode. Bitcoin begins to stir... Season 1 closes with markets melting down, a pandemic, and the Fed surrendering to zero rates. But The Orangeman isn’t done... And The Federal Reverse still lurks in the shadows. Next up: tariffs, China, currency wars, and another campaign trail. 🐉💵⚔️ Season 2 is coming. Stay tuned... One tweets. The other tightens. Who controls our future? One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Long
by FX_Professor
3
Diamond Pattern Context (4H BTC Chart)The structure forming from June 27 to July 8 appears to be a diamond top, a reversal pattern often seen after uptrends. Price expanded (broadening left) and then started converging (right side) — classic diamond symmetry. It has developed right at the macro trendline resistance (~109.5K), increasing its reliability. Volume has declined during the right half of the diamond, which is consistent with pattern expectations. ✅ Implications of Diamond Pattern Bearish Bias (Diamond Top): If price breaks below the lower boundary (~107.8K), it confirms the pattern → potential move to 104.5K–102.5K zone. Measured move ≈ height of pattern (109.8K–106K) ≈ 3.8K drop. Invalidation/Bullish Flip: Break and hold above 109.5K with volume would invalidate the bearish diamond. In that case, it flips into a squeeze breakout with upside to 110.8K–111.5K+. 🎯 Conclusion: The diamond top, combined with macro resistance and declining volume, strengthens the bearish breakdown scenario. However, no confirmation yet — remain neutral to bearish unless either: ✅ Clean breakout >109.5K 🔻 Breakdown <107.8K with volume
by MyTradingJournal6th
BTCUSDT 4H Analysis | Apex Decision ZoneStructure & Price Action BTC is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle (red trendlines). Price is squeezing near the apex, suggesting an imminent breakout. Strong defense at ascending channel support (~108K zone) + green trendline. Lower highs indicate sellers still active, but higher lows reflect buyer strength too. Price bounced from previous demand block (green box), now pushing toward resistance. 📊 Indicator Confluence RSI: Curling up from mid-range (~52–55), no divergence, neutral-to-bullish tilt. DMI/ADX: ADX rising slightly, -DI weakening vs +DI → potential trend shift brewing. MACD: Histogram flat; momentum hasn't confirmed either side yet. Wave Trend: Bouncing from mid-line, bullish cross may form if price breaks triangle. Volume: Gradual decline = typical pre-breakout compression. Watch for spike. Stochastic: Flipped bullish from oversold — early bullish bias. 🎯 Summary & Probabilities: BTC is coiling near triangle apex — breakout likely soon. 🔼 Break above 109.4K with volume → 60% chance of move to 110.5K–111.5K. 🔽 Drop below 107.9K → 40% chance of fall to 106.3K–104.4K. Bias: Neutral-to-bullish — confirmation needed.
by MyTradingJournal6th
Is the Fear & Greed Index Becoming a Victim of Its Own Success?I’ve noticed something about the Fear & Greed Index that rarely gets discussed: Its reputation as a “contrarian indicator” may actually dampen market declines. When everyone sees “Extreme Fear” and believes it’s time to buy, the panic doesn’t deepen as it might have in the past—potentially muting major market lows. This creates a feedback loop: The index signals “buy the fear,” Enough traders pile in, The market stabilizes before real capitulation sets in. When a widely-followed counter-indicator becomes common knowledge, it can lose its edge. In today’s markets, these signals may serve more as social safety nets than as true predictors of sentiment extremes. Bottom line: If the “fear” signal stops working, or stops triggering buying, it could be a warning that the market’s safety net is gone. I wonder, is the VIX subject to the same mitigating effect? The Fear & Greed Index has never been truly tested during a long term bear market. But then it may partly be why we have not had one in so long. Would love to hear your thoughts—has anyone else noticed this effect?
by TradeTitan120
BTC-USDT Market Analysis for the Last 24 Hours Hello, crypto enthusiast! 👋 Let’s see what has been happening with Bitcoin over the past 24 hours! 🔍 Price Action Bitcoin dipped slightly during the day, sliding from ~108,970 USDT to a current price of about 108,166 USDT. That’s a decline of roughly 0.7 %—nothing too dramatic for the crypto market! 😉 📰 Hot News • John Bollinger (renowned technical analyst) said that “Bitcoin is close to a breakout”; many analysts remain upbeat despite the small pullback. • South Korea is seeing explosive crypto-market growth: total capitalization has topped $74.8 billion, and daily trading volume has reached $10.7 billion—higher than on the country’s two main stock exchanges! • Fun fact: Korea’s well-known “kimchi premium” means crypto prices there can run about 10 % above global levels due to strong local demand. 🌶️ 📊 Technical View During the last 24 hours BTC traded between $107,393 and $109,048. Volumes were especially heavy from 21:00 to 22:00 on 7 July, when more than 100 million USDT changed hands.
Long
by Midas_Indicator_US_Official
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #121👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indicators. As usual, I’ll walk you through the triggers for the New York futures session. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe As you can see on the 1-hour timeframe, the upward move Bitcoin made yesterday turned out to be a fakeout, and the price is now heading downward. ⚡️ I’m not moving the 108619 line for now. I’ll wait to see if the price reacts to it again in the future, then decide whether to adjust it. ✅ Currently, if the 107853 level breaks, we can enter a short position. We already have volume confirmation, and if this increase in volume continues, we could see a sharp downward move. 📈 Next support levels for Bitcoin in this timeframe are 106586 and 105370, which can be used as targets. ✨ If Bitcoin starts moving upward again, the long trigger remains the 110256 level. A breakout here would mark the beginning of a true uptrend. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Bitcoin dominance continued its downward move today, dropping close to the 65.04 level. 🔼 We’re currently seeing a reaction at this level, suggesting some support. A break below 65.04 could trigger a strong downtrend. 📅 Total2 Analysis This index is still in an uptrend but showing significant weakness. It’s currently sitting on key support at 1.15. ⚡️ A break below this level could give us a short position. Additional support levels are 1.14 and 1.13. For a long position, the only trigger we have right now is 1.17. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Looking at Tether dominance, it’s still hovering around the 4.78 level. After a brief fakeout below, it has returned above that zone. 📊 If this level breaks again, Tether dominance could move down toward 4.72. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
3
Can #BTC reach a new high?📊Can #BTC reach a new high? 🧠We cannot be too optimistic before we break through ATH, because the daily adjustment expectation still exists. ➡️We are currently in a heavy resistance area near 110,000. This is our third test. Regardless of whether we can successfully break through, don’t chase the rise here, because the cost-effectiveness is not high. If you want to go long, you should also wait patiently for the callback to occur before considering it. Or wait for the callback after breaking through ATH before considering it. ➡️If you want to participate in short trading, you can only participate in a small amount with ATH as a defensive point. Or wait for the rebound after breaking through the upward trend support line before participating. 🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬 BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Short
by wolf_king888
BTCUSDT Forming Bullish WaveBTCUSDT is currently setting up a promising bullish wave pattern, showing signs of steady upward momentum that could deliver a healthy 10% to 20% gain in the near term. After a period of consolidation and healthy correction, Bitcoin’s price is starting to push above key resistance levels, indicating strong buying interest and renewed confidence among long-term investors and institutional traders alike. This setup has caught the attention of market participants looking to capitalize on Bitcoin’s next potential leg up. Recent on-chain data and technical indicators show a robust foundation for this bullish wave pattern, with increasing trading volume supporting the upward move. Bitcoin continues to hold above crucial support zones, which adds further confidence for buyers aiming to ride the trend towards its next major psychological levels. The overall sentiment remains positive as Bitcoin’s dominance in the crypto market signals strength, helping to drive capital inflow from altcoins back into the king of crypto. As we know, Bitcoin’s market behavior often sets the tone for the entire crypto ecosystem, so this bullish scenario could spill over into other major altcoins as well. Traders and investors should keep an eye on key resistance zones, potential breakout levels, and any sudden surges in volume that confirm the wave pattern is playing out as expected. Patience and disciplined risk management will be essential to maximizing profits during this phase. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
BTC in a Bearish 60 min movementBTC in a 60-minute bearish move It appears that BTC has already completed the C leg of a 60-minute harmonic pattern near 109680 BTC is forming a larger corrective pattern rather than taking a true direction, thus increasing the chances of completing this pattern before moving up again. Currently, the price is positioned to complete the D leg of the pattern near 105700 I am looking for short-term targets near 107240; 106275 and 105715 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
Short
by KlejdiCuni
1
BTCUSDT | 30-min & 4H Outlook🔍 Structure & Price Action BTC is trading within a rising wedge (blue lines) nearing apex — typical bearish setup. Price is repeatedly getting rejected near macro trendline (~108.8K–109K). 30-min shows clean breakdown from lower wedge support, retesting the zone now. On 4H, BTC is still under key resistance zone between 109.6K–110.4K, previously rejected twice. 🔻 Bearish Signals Multiple Sell signals on both timeframes. Bearish divergence visible in RSI and MACD on 4H. Volume spike on the breakdown → confirming sellers in control. 🔑 Key Levels Support: 107.7K (current zone) → loss opens path to 106.6K, then 104.4K. Resistance: 108.9K–109.4K = confluence of EMA cluster + macro TL + Fib zone. 📊 Indicators (4H) RSI dropping from mid-zone (~48), no bullish momentum DMI shows increasing ADX with -DI over +DI → trend strengthening bearish TSI & Wave Trend both curling down Stochastic in overbought, starting to reverse 🎯 Summary Bias: Bearish below 108.6K Invalidation: Bullish breakout above 109.6K + volume close Setup: Watch for retest and rejection at ~108.4K–108.6K = clean short trigger Next Targets: 107.2K → 106.6K → 104.5K
Short
by MyTradingJournal6th
BITCOIN CRASH INCOMING!!! (Brace Yourself Now???) I am breaking down MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN and the potential completion of the 4th wave on an leading diagonal which might work as an early warning of a crash towards $93k! Wait for the confirmations, and play the market with a proper trading strategy that you have backtested enough to be able to say that you will be long-term profitable. That means make sure your trading system is good enough that you always have an edge and a great enough money management system to make sure that you are giving your edge enough space to play out in the long run and be robust against losing streaks!
Short
by MyCryptoParadise
8
Bitcoin: The night before the plunge? →104,000? Bitcoin fell under pressure from highs, with short-term bearishness but strong long-term fundamental support. 1. Market fundamentals Institutional holdings continue to grow BlackRock Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) exceeds $72 billion in size, dominating the market MicroStrategy holdings increased to 597,000 BTC (about $63 billion), continuing to increase holdings on dips Global Bitcoin ETF Net inflow of $4 billion in June shows strong demand for institutional allocation Policy and regulatory progress The U.S. Treasury Department plans to include Bitcoin in the "strategic reserve assets" to enhance its legal status The SEC will make a ruling on spot ETF option transactions on July 15, which may bring new liquidity The Trump administration plans to impose a 60% tariff on China, and market risk aversion may heat up again On-chain data changes A 14-year dormant address recently transferred 80,009 BTC (about $8.69 billion), triggering concerns about selling The lightning network capacity exceeded 5,000 BTC, and Tether (USDT) completed the lightning network integration II. Technical depth Degree analysis (1) Medium-term trend structure (4-hour level) Rising channel break: After the price peaked at $112,000, it continued to fall below the rising trend line support Range oscillation formation: Currently, $98,000-110,700 constitutes the main trading range, and the middle track support is $104,000 Volume change: The recent decline is accompanied by an increase in trading volume, indicating that the short-term momentum is increasing (2) Short-term trading signals (1-hour level) Double top pattern confirmation: $110,700 was tested twice without breaking, forming a typical reversal structure Moving average system short arrangement: EMA5/10/30 formed a death cross, suppressing price rebound Key support level: ▶ First support: $106,500 (Fibonacci 38.2%) ▶ Second support: $104,000 (psychological barrier + previous low) ▶ Strong support: $98,000 (lower track of the range) III. Trading strategy suggestions 1. Aggressive short position layout Entry range: $109,000-109,500 Stop loss setting: $111,000 (above the previous high) Target: $106,500→$104,000 Technical basis: downward trend line suppression + RSI top divergence 2. Steady retracement of short positions Entry signal: 108,000-108,500 rebound encountered resistance Stop loss setting: $110,000 integer barrier Target: $104,000 (break down to see 98,000) 3. Long defense area Key observation position: 104,000 US dollars (if there is a large volume to stop the decline, you can try long with a light position) Breakthrough signal: Stabilizing 110,700 US dollars will restart the upward trend IV. Multi-dimensional market outlook Short-term (1-2 weeks): Affected by technical suppression and whale movements, it is expected to maintain 104,000-110,700 range fluctuations Focus on the effectiveness of 106,500 support, breaking down will accelerate the test of the lower track of the range Medium-term (Q3 quarter): Institutional continued holdings + Fed rate cut expectations constitute long-term support If it breaks through 112,000 US dollars, it will open up to 120,000-125,000 upside space Risk warning: The SEC option trading ruling on July 15 may cause violent fluctuations Global macroeconomic data (especially CPI) will affect market risk preferences V. Professional trading suggestions ▶ Currently, the "rebound short" strategy is preferred, and stop loss is strictly set ▶ Long-term investors can arrange in batches in the range of 98000-104000 ▶ Pay close attention to: Daily ETF fund flows, changes in on-chain whale addresses (glassnode alert system), US CPI data (released on July 12) Conclusion: Although the short-term technical side is bearish, the long-term fundamental support of Bitcoin remains solid. It is recommended that traders seize the opportunity of range fluctuations, operate flexibly at key support/resistance levels, and wait for new trend signals to be confirmed.
Short
by Crypto_Sniper_btc
BTC up following H1 trend linePlan BTC today: 07 July 2025 Related Information:!!! Bitcoin (BTC) trades slightly below $109,000 at the time of writing on Monday, following its highest weekly close on record. Institutional and corporate demand continues to serve as a key catalyst, with Metaplanet acquiring an additional 2,205 BTC on Monday, while US-listed spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) saw over $769 million in net inflows last week. As market participants assess the latest bullish indicators, focus now shifts to broader macroeconomic developments, including new trade-related headlines and reports suggesting that the administration of US President Donald Trump may extend the current tariff pause until August 1. personal opinion:!!! BTC moves sideways in the trend line, trend line support 108,300 Important price zone to consider :!!! support zone : 108.300 Sustainable trading to beat the market
Long
by JJainy
1