BTCUST trade ideas
(BTC/USDT).- Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) .
- Current price testing resistance at $110,489.
- Descending trendline indicates potential bearish pressure.
- Key support levels: $107,466, $105,000, $102,693.
- Potential upside target: $112,500 if resistance breaks.
- Potential downside target: $100,000 if support fails.
BTC-USDT Market Analysis for the Last 24 Hours
Hello, crypto enthusiast! 👋 Let’s see what has been happening with Bitcoin over the past 24 hours!
🔍 Price Action
Bitcoin dipped slightly during the day, sliding from ~108,970 USDT to a current price of about 108,166 USDT. That’s a decline of roughly 0.7 %—nothing too dramatic for the crypto market! 😉
📰 Hot News
• John Bollinger (renowned technical analyst) said that “Bitcoin is close to a breakout”; many analysts remain upbeat despite the small pullback.
• South Korea is seeing explosive crypto-market growth: total capitalization has topped $74.8 billion, and daily trading volume has reached $10.7 billion—higher than on the country’s two main stock exchanges!
• Fun fact: Korea’s well-known “kimchi premium” means crypto prices there can run about 10 % above global levels due to strong local demand. 🌶️
📊 Technical View
During the last 24 hours BTC traded between $107,393 and $109,048. Volumes were especially heavy from 21:00 to 22:00 on 7 July, when more than 100 million USDT changed hands.
BTCUSDT 4H Analysis
BTC is consolidating below the key resistance zone highlighted in red (~$109,000–$110,000).
The price continues to form higher lows, showing bullish pressure despite rejection in the red zone.
The structure resembles an ascending triangle, indicating a potential breakout.
Upside Target: ~$113,500–$114,000 if the price moves above ~$110,000 with strong volumes.
Support Zone: ~$106,000–$106,300 must hold to keep the bullish scenario intact.
If the support breaks, the price could retest ~$102,000–$103,000.
Small Insights: Repeated retests of resistance suggest that bulls are absorbing supply. A strong push above the red zone could trigger a short squeeze.
Stay alert!
Wait for 100k ( read reasons)If you look at my chart you can see the truth, Elliott waves are well marked on the chart, we are now completing the micro wave 2 of the main wave 5, I expect the corrective micro wave 2 to correct the price to Fibonacci 0.78, which is exactly touching the lower descending line of the channel and includes the 100k price range. Wait for the micro wave 1 correction to complete and buy again in the 100k range. I will not open a short position and I advise you to wait for the price correction to 100k.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #121👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin analysis and key crypto indicators. As usual, I’ll walk you through the triggers for the New York futures session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see on the 1-hour timeframe, the upward move Bitcoin made yesterday turned out to be a fakeout, and the price is now heading downward.
⚡️ I’m not moving the 108619 line for now. I’ll wait to see if the price reacts to it again in the future, then decide whether to adjust it.
✅ Currently, if the 107853 level breaks, we can enter a short position. We already have volume confirmation, and if this increase in volume continues, we could see a sharp downward move.
📈 Next support levels for Bitcoin in this timeframe are 106586 and 105370, which can be used as targets.
✨ If Bitcoin starts moving upward again, the long trigger remains the 110256 level. A breakout here would mark the beginning of a true uptrend.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin dominance continued its downward move today, dropping close to the 65.04 level.
🔼 We’re currently seeing a reaction at this level, suggesting some support. A break below 65.04 could trigger a strong downtrend.
📅 Total2 Analysis
This index is still in an uptrend but showing significant weakness. It’s currently sitting on key support at 1.15.
⚡️ A break below this level could give us a short position. Additional support levels are 1.14 and 1.13. For a long position, the only trigger we have right now is 1.17.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Looking at Tether dominance, it’s still hovering around the 4.78 level. After a brief fakeout below, it has returned above that zone.
📊 If this level breaks again, Tether dominance could move down toward 4.72.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Can #BTC reach a new high?📊Can #BTC reach a new high?
🧠We cannot be too optimistic before we break through ATH, because the daily adjustment expectation still exists.
➡️We are currently in a heavy resistance area near 110,000. This is our third test. Regardless of whether we can successfully break through, don’t chase the rise here, because the cost-effectiveness is not high. If you want to go long, you should also wait patiently for the callback to occur before considering it. Or wait for the callback after breaking through ATH before considering it.
➡️If you want to participate in short trading, you can only participate in a small amount with ATH as a defensive point. Or wait for the rebound after breaking through the upward trend support line before participating.
🤜If you like my analysis, please like 💖 and share 💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
BTCUSDT Forming Bullish WaveBTCUSDT is currently setting up a promising bullish wave pattern, showing signs of steady upward momentum that could deliver a healthy 10% to 20% gain in the near term. After a period of consolidation and healthy correction, Bitcoin’s price is starting to push above key resistance levels, indicating strong buying interest and renewed confidence among long-term investors and institutional traders alike. This setup has caught the attention of market participants looking to capitalize on Bitcoin’s next potential leg up.
Recent on-chain data and technical indicators show a robust foundation for this bullish wave pattern, with increasing trading volume supporting the upward move. Bitcoin continues to hold above crucial support zones, which adds further confidence for buyers aiming to ride the trend towards its next major psychological levels. The overall sentiment remains positive as Bitcoin’s dominance in the crypto market signals strength, helping to drive capital inflow from altcoins back into the king of crypto.
As we know, Bitcoin’s market behavior often sets the tone for the entire crypto ecosystem, so this bullish scenario could spill over into other major altcoins as well. Traders and investors should keep an eye on key resistance zones, potential breakout levels, and any sudden surges in volume that confirm the wave pattern is playing out as expected. Patience and disciplined risk management will be essential to maximizing profits during this phase.
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BTC in a Bearish 60 min movementBTC in a 60-minute bearish move
It appears that BTC has already completed the C leg of a 60-minute harmonic pattern near 109680
BTC is forming a larger corrective pattern rather than taking a true direction, thus increasing the chances of completing this pattern before moving up again.
Currently, the price is positioned to complete the D leg of the pattern near 105700
I am looking for short-term targets near 107240; 106275 and 105715
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day
BTCUSDT | 30-min & 4H Outlook🔍 Structure & Price Action
BTC is trading within a rising wedge (blue lines) nearing apex — typical bearish setup.
Price is repeatedly getting rejected near macro trendline (~108.8K–109K).
30-min shows clean breakdown from lower wedge support, retesting the zone now.
On 4H, BTC is still under key resistance zone between 109.6K–110.4K, previously rejected twice.
🔻 Bearish Signals
Multiple Sell signals on both timeframes.
Bearish divergence visible in RSI and MACD on 4H.
Volume spike on the breakdown → confirming sellers in control.
🔑 Key Levels
Support: 107.7K (current zone) → loss opens path to 106.6K, then 104.4K.
Resistance: 108.9K–109.4K = confluence of EMA cluster + macro TL + Fib zone.
📊 Indicators (4H)
RSI dropping from mid-zone (~48), no bullish momentum
DMI shows increasing ADX with -DI over +DI → trend strengthening bearish
TSI & Wave Trend both curling down
Stochastic in overbought, starting to reverse
🎯 Summary
Bias: Bearish below 108.6K
Invalidation: Bullish breakout above 109.6K + volume close
Setup: Watch for retest and rejection at ~108.4K–108.6K = clean short trigger
Next Targets: 107.2K → 106.6K → 104.5K
BTC Price Prediction Price breaks down from inside the channel and turns bullish from a point between 106500 (very high probability) and 102500 (low probability).
Volume Weighted Average Price
Classical Technical Analysis
Rising Wedge Formation
Elliot Wave - Correction Wave
Pitchfan
Harmonic - Potential Bullish Gartley
Smart Money Concept
ICT
BITCOIN CRASH INCOMING!!! (Brace Yourself Now???) I am breaking down MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN and the potential completion of the 4th wave on an leading diagonal which might work as an early warning of a crash towards $93k!
Wait for the confirmations, and play the market with a proper trading strategy that you have backtested enough to be able to say that you will be long-term profitable. That means make sure your trading system is good enough that you always have an edge and a great enough money management system to make sure that you are giving your edge enough space to play out in the long run and be robust against losing streaks!
Bitcoin: The night before the plunge? →104,000?
Bitcoin fell under pressure from highs, with short-term bearishness but strong long-term fundamental support.
1. Market fundamentals
Institutional holdings continue to grow
BlackRock Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) exceeds $72 billion in size, dominating the market
MicroStrategy holdings increased to 597,000 BTC (about $63 billion), continuing to increase holdings on dips
Global Bitcoin ETF Net inflow of $4 billion in June shows strong demand for institutional allocation
Policy and regulatory progress
The U.S. Treasury Department plans to include Bitcoin in the "strategic reserve assets" to enhance its legal status
The SEC will make a ruling on spot ETF option transactions on July 15, which may bring new liquidity
The Trump administration plans to impose a 60% tariff on China, and market risk aversion may heat up again
On-chain data changes
A 14-year dormant address recently transferred 80,009 BTC (about $8.69 billion), triggering concerns about selling
The lightning network capacity exceeded 5,000 BTC, and Tether (USDT) completed the lightning network integration
II. Technical depth Degree analysis
(1) Medium-term trend structure (4-hour level)
Rising channel break: After the price peaked at $112,000, it continued to fall below the rising trend line support
Range oscillation formation: Currently, $98,000-110,700 constitutes the main trading range, and the middle track support is $104,000
Volume change: The recent decline is accompanied by an increase in trading volume, indicating that the short-term momentum is increasing
(2) Short-term trading signals (1-hour level)
Double top pattern confirmation: $110,700 was tested twice without breaking, forming a typical reversal structure
Moving average system short arrangement: EMA5/10/30 formed a death cross, suppressing price rebound
Key support level:
▶ First support: $106,500 (Fibonacci 38.2%)
▶ Second support: $104,000 (psychological barrier + previous low)
▶ Strong support: $98,000 (lower track of the range)
III. Trading strategy suggestions
1. Aggressive short position layout
Entry range: $109,000-109,500
Stop loss setting: $111,000 (above the previous high)
Target: $106,500→$104,000
Technical basis: downward trend line suppression + RSI top divergence
2. Steady retracement of short positions
Entry signal: 108,000-108,500 rebound encountered resistance
Stop loss setting: $110,000 integer barrier
Target: $104,000 (break down to see 98,000)
3. Long defense area
Key observation position: 104,000 US dollars (if there is a large volume to stop the decline, you can try long with a light position)
Breakthrough signal: Stabilizing 110,700 US dollars will restart the upward trend
IV. Multi-dimensional market outlook
Short-term (1-2 weeks):
Affected by technical suppression and whale movements, it is expected to maintain 104,000-110,700 range fluctuations
Focus on the effectiveness of 106,500 support, breaking down will accelerate the test of the lower track of the range
Medium-term (Q3 quarter):
Institutional continued holdings + Fed rate cut expectations constitute long-term support
If it breaks through 112,000 US dollars, it will open up to 120,000-125,000 upside space
Risk warning:
The SEC option trading ruling on July 15 may cause violent fluctuations
Global macroeconomic data (especially CPI) will affect market risk preferences
V. Professional trading suggestions
▶ Currently, the "rebound short" strategy is preferred, and stop loss is strictly set
▶ Long-term investors can arrange in batches in the range of 98000-104000
▶ Pay close attention to:
Daily ETF fund flows, changes in on-chain whale addresses (glassnode alert system), US CPI data (released on July 12)
Conclusion: Although the short-term technical side is bearish, the long-term fundamental support of Bitcoin remains solid. It is recommended that traders seize the opportunity of range fluctuations, operate flexibly at key support/resistance levels, and wait for new trend signals to be confirmed.
BTC up following H1 trend linePlan BTC today: 07 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
Bitcoin (BTC) trades slightly below $109,000 at the time of writing on Monday, following its highest weekly close on record. Institutional and corporate demand continues to serve as a key catalyst, with Metaplanet acquiring an additional 2,205 BTC on Monday, while US-listed spot Bitcoin Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) saw over $769 million in net inflows last week.
As market participants assess the latest bullish indicators, focus now shifts to broader macroeconomic developments, including new trade-related headlines and reports suggesting that the administration of US President Donald Trump may extend the current tariff pause until August 1.
personal opinion:!!!
BTC moves sideways in the trend line, trend line support 108,300
Important price zone to consider :!!!
support zone : 108.300
Sustainable trading to beat the market
How to Trade Smart Money Concepts (SMC)\ How to Trade Smart Money Concepts (SMC)\
\ This article explores the foundation, key tools, and practical insights of Smart Money Concepts — and why it’s worth your attention.\
In today's fast-changing financial landscape, Smart Money Concepts (SMC) has become a popular strategy among modern traders. But what is SMC exactly, and how can it improve your trading decisions? This article breaks it down in a simple, professional way for traders at all levels.
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\ What Are Smart Money Concepts?\
SMC is a trading approach based on the belief that large institutions ("smart money") like banks and hedge funds control most of the market's movements. These institutions often move the market in ways that confuse or trap retail traders. The goal of SMC is to understand and follow the footsteps of these big players.
Instead of relying on simple patterns or indicators, SMC focuses on:
\ - Market structure\
\ - Supply and demand zones\
\ - Liquidity pools\
By aligning your trades with the behavior of smart money, you can position yourself more strategically in the market.
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\ Key SMC Concepts Explained\
\ Order Blocks\
Order blocks are zones on the chart where large institutions have placed significant buy or sell orders. These zones often lead to strong price reactions and act as hidden support or resistance levels. Order blocks are considered more precise than traditional supply and demand areas.
Example: ()
\ Fair Value Gap (FVG)\
A Fair Value Gap occurs when price moves sharply in one direction, leaving a gap or imbalance in the price action. These areas often get filled later and can act as magnets for price.
In a bearish move, the FVG is the gap between the low of the previous candle and the high of the next one. In a bullish move, it's the reverse.
Example: ()
\ Timeframe Consideration\
If you can’t monitor charts during the day, avoid relying on 5–30 minute setups. Consider 4H or daily timeframes for clearer signals and more manageable trading decisions.
\ Liquidity\
Liquidity refers to price zones where lots of pending orders exist. These are usually at obvious highs, lows, or trendlines. Smart money often targets these areas to trigger stop-losses and generate movement.
One common tool to identify liquidity is a "pivot point," which is a candle with a lower low or higher high than its neighbors.
Example: ()
\ Break of Structure (BOS)\
BOS occurs when price breaks above or below a previous high or low, signaling a possible trend continuation.
Example: ()
\ Change of Character (ChoCH)\
ChoCH happens when the market changes direction. For example, if price breaks a higher low in an uptrend, it may signal a reversal.
Example: ()
Combined with BOS: ()
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\ How SMC Compares to Wyckoff\
The idea of "smart money" isn't new. Richard D. Wyckoff, a pioneer in technical analysis, laid the foundation for understanding market cycles driven by institutions. His price cycle theory includes four phases:
\ 1. Accumulation\
Smart money buys while the public is unaware.
\ 2. Markup\
Price rises as smart money pushes the market.
\ 3. Distribution\
Smart money sells into public buying.
\ 4. Markdown\
Price falls as the cycle completes.
SMC borrows from this logic but focuses more on structure and liquidity zones. Still, the core idea is the same: understand what big players are doing, and follow them.
\ For deeper insights into Wyckoff, explore additional resources focused on accumulation/distribution cycles.\
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\ Summary\
Smart Money Concepts give traders a deeper look into market mechanics. By focusing on order blocks, fair value gaps, liquidity, and structure breaks, SMC helps identify high-probability trade setups based on institutional behavior.
It may seem complex at first, but once you understand the basics, SMC can become a powerful tool in your trading strategy. Whether you’re new or experienced, aligning with smart money can improve your edge in the market.
waiting for new ATH this week , btc💎 BTC PLAN UPDATE FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE WEEK (07/07)
NOTABLE BITCOIN NEWS: Focus on 4 key points today
1. Elon Musk – “America Party” to Support Bitcoin
Elon Musk has confirmed that his newly formed political party, the “America Party,” will support Bitcoin, stating that “fiat is hopeless.”
2. Cup-and-Handle Pattern Analysis: Targeting $230K
According to technical analysis by Cointelegraph, BTC is forming a “cup and handle” pattern on the monthly chart, which could lead to a target peak of $230,000 if a breakout continues.
3. BTC Price Holds Steady Around $109K Amid “Crypto Week” and Trade Tensions
Bitcoin is currently trading around $109,000, influenced by “Crypto Week” and concerns over U.S. tariffs.
4. Institutional Inflows Increase, But Market Demand Weakens
According to CoinDesk, institutional investors are still buying BTC, but not enough to offset declining demand in the spot market, negatively affecting short-term market sentiment.
⸻
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS PERSPECTIVE
The short-term trend remains bullish. However, the steep slope of the trend indicates buying pressure is still being contested and unstable.
BTC remains stuck at Fibonacci levels—pay close attention to the resistance zones at 112K and 115K. If these two resistance levels are broken, investors may get the answer to whether BTC can approach the 120K level.
In the short term, both gold and BTC are moving sideways, indicating that market liquidity and investor capital are unstable and being divided across multiple portfolios.
==> This analysis is for reference only. Wishing all investors successful trading!