TSLA WEEKLY CALL SETUP — 07/23/2025
🚀 TSLA WEEKLY CALL SETUP — 07/23/2025
📈 AI Consensus Signals 🔥 Bullish Move Incoming
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🔍 SENTIMENT SNAPSHOT
5 AI Models (Grok, Gemini, Claude, Meta, DeepSeek) =
✅ MODERATE BULLISH BIAS
➡️ Why?
• ✅ RSI Momentum (Daily + Weekly = UP)
• ✅ Bullish VIX sentiment
• ⚠️ Weak volume + neutral options flow
• 🧠 No model signals bearish direction
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🎯 TRADE IDEA — CALL OPTION PLAY
{
"instrument": "TSLA",
"direction": "CALL",
"strike": 380,
"entry_price": 0.88,
"profit_target": 1.76,
"stop_loss": 0.44,
"expiry": "2025-07-25",
"confidence": 65%,
"entry_timing": "Open",
"size": 1 contract
}
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📊 TRADE PLAN
🔹 🔸
🎯 Strike 380 CALL
💵 Entry Price 0.88
🎯 Target 1.76 (2× gain)
🛑 Stop Loss 0.44
📅 Expiry July 25, 2025
📈 Confidence 65%
⏰ Entry Market Open
⚠️ Risk High gamma / low time (2DTE)
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📉 MODEL CONSENSUS
🧠 Grok – Bullish RSI, cautious due to volume
🧠 Gemini – Momentum confirmed, weekly strength
🧠 Claude – RSI + VIX = green light
🧠 Meta – 3 bullish signals, minor risk caution
🧠 DeepSeek – RSI + volatility favorable, careful on size
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💬 Drop a 🟢 if you’re in
📈 Drop a ⚡ if you’re watching this flip
🚀 TSLA 380C looks primed if we break resistance near $376
#TSLA #OptionsTrading #CallOptions #WeeklySetup #AIPowered #MomentumTrade #TeslaTrade #GammaRisk #ZeroDTEReady
TSLA trade ideas
TSLA VolanX Earnings Strategy: Short-Term Bearish Bias (TEST)🧠 VolanX Earnings Strategy: Short-Term Bearish Bias
🎯 Goal:
Capitalize on downside or neutral reaction to earnings with defined risk and IV crush protection.
🔻 Primary Trade: Bear Put Spread
Strategy: Buy Put at ATM, Sell Put at lower strike
Expiration: July 25, 2025
Structure:
Buy 330 Put
Sell 315 Put
Max Risk: Premium paid (e.g., $5–6 per spread)
Max Profit: ~$15 if TSLA closes ≤ 315
Breakeven: ~$325
📈 Why This Works:
Aligns with DSS projection ($317.74 30-day)
Short expiry captures earnings move + IV crush
Profits if stock stays below ~325 post-earnings
🟨 Alternative Trade: Neutral-to-Bearish Iron Condor
If expecting rangebound post-earnings:
Sell 340 Call / Buy 345 Call
Sell 315 Put / Buy 310 Put
Credit: ~$3.50–4.00
Max Risk: ~$1.50–2.00
Profit Zone: 315–340
Best if TSLA volatility collapses and price stays in a channel.
🧨 High-Risk, High-Reward: Put Ratio Backspread
Buy 2x 320 Puts
Sell 1x 330 Put
Cost: Small debit or credit
Profit: If TSLA tanks → big delta gain
Risk: Small near expiry if TSLA closes near 320–330
Use this only if expecting a big bearish surprise.
🔧 Risk Management:
Position size = max 1–2% of account
Avoid holding spreads past Jul 25 if IV collapses
Use alerts around 330 / 325 / 317.5 for exits
🧠 DSS-Backed Tagline:
"With DSS projecting a controlled pullback and flow confirming overhead hedging, we favor bearish verticals and vol crush plays going into earnings."
TESLA: Bearish Continuation is Expected! Here is Why:
The charts are full of distraction, disturbance and are a graveyard of fear and greed which shall not cloud our judgement on the current state of affairs in the TESLA pair price action which suggests a high likelihood of a coming move down.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
CUP AND HANDLE $TSLA TO $515 MINIMUMThe cup and handle is a bullish chart pattern commonly used by traders to spot potential buying opportunities. It features a rounded "cup" formation followed by a slight downward drift forming the "handle." This pattern typically signals a continuation of an upward trend once the handle completes its consolidation phase.
ROBOTAXI BOOM
BUY NOW NASDAQ:TSLL NASDAQ:TSLA
Tesla Shares (TSLA) Drop Following Earnings ReportTesla Shares (TSLA) Drop Following Earnings Report
Yesterday, after the close of the main trading session on the stock market, Tesla released its quarterly earnings report. While both earnings per share (EPS) and gross profit slightly exceeded analysts’ expectations, the results reflected a negative trend driven by declining sales. This decline is being influenced by intensifying competition from Chinese EV manufacturers as well as Elon Musk’s political activity.
According to Elon Musk:
→ The company is facing “a few tough quarters” due to the withdrawal of electric vehicle incentives in the US;
→ The more affordable Tesla model (mass production expected in the second half of 2025) will resemble the Model Y;
→ By the end of next year, Tesla's financials should become "highly compelling".
Tesla’s share price (TSLA) fell by approximately 4.5% in after-hours trading, clearly reflecting the market’s reaction to the report. Today, the stock is likely to open around the $317 level, down from over $330 just the day before.
Technical Analysis of TSLA Stock Chart
In our analysis of TSLA charts dated 2 July and 8 July, we outlined a scenario in which the stock price could form a broad contracting triangle, with its axis around the $317 level.
The new candlesticks that have appeared on the chart since then have reinforced the relevance of this triangle, as the price rebounded from the lower boundary (as indicated by the arrow) and headed towards the upper boundary. However, yesterday’s earnings report disrupted this upward move.
Thus, while the broader stock market is trending higher (with the S&P 500 reaching a historic high yesterday), TSLA may remain "stuck" in a consolidation phase, fluctuating around the $317 level—at least until new fundamental drivers shift market sentiment.
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Cup & HANDLE + Mini Double Bottom: $TSLA to $610 ScenarioI maintain a bullish stance on Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ), supported by a compelling combination of technical patterns and strong fundamental drivers. The current chart setup reveals a Cup and Handle formation complemented by a Mini Double Bottom, both of which are classic bullish continuation patterns. These suggest a potential breakout scenario that could drive NASDAQ:TSLA to $610 by year-end.
Technical Roadmap:
Gap Fill to $408: Anticipated earnings momentum, particularly from the Robotaxi segment, is likely to propel the stock to fill the previous gap at $408.
Consolidation at $450: Following the gap fill, I expect a consolidation phase forming a “box” around the $450 level.
Breakout to $610: A decisive breakout above $450 could trigger a strong rally toward the $610 target.
***Current Key Catalysts Supporting the Bullish Thesis:
Robotaxi Expansion: Tesla’s autonomous driving initiative is gaining traction, with Robotaxi developments expected to significantly boost revenue and margins.
India Market Entry: Tesla’s upcoming launch in India opens access to one of the world’s largest and fastest-growing EV markets.
In-House Chip Development & Dojo 2 Expansion: Continued investment in AI infrastructure and custom silicon enhances Tesla’s competitive edge in autonomy and robotics.
Tesla Diner Launch: The near-completion of Tesla’s themed diner adds to brand visibility and customer engagement.
Global EV Adoption: Tesla continues to benefit from rising EV demand across multiple international markets.
Optimus Robot Hype: Growing interest in Tesla’s humanoid robot project could unlock new revenue streams and investor enthusiasm.
Favorable Macro Trends: A declining interest rate environment supports higher valuations for growth stocks like Tesla.
Institutional Accumulation: Recent trading activity suggests that institutional investors are accumulating shares within the current range.
Grok AI Integration: The integration of Grok AI into Tesla vehicles could enhance user experience and differentiate Tesla’s infotainment ecosystem.
Investment Strategy:
I recommend initiating or increasing exposure to NASDAQ:TSLL (leveraged Tesla ETF) ahead of the upcoming earnings report. This could offer amplified returns if the bullish scenario plays out. Consider accumulating further on any dips, particularly during the consolidation phase around $450.
BUY NOW NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:TSLL
Tesla Stock Returns to the $300 ZoneShortly after reporting earnings, Tesla stock fell more than 9% in the final hours of trading. This new bearish move is mainly due to the company’s earnings per share (EPS) of $0.40, which missed expectations of $0.43, and revenue of $22.5 billion, below the projected $22.74 billion. These figures indicate that Tesla failed to meet market expectations, triggering a sustained downward trend in the stock. This move could extend further unless new catalysts emerge to restore investor confidence.
Downtrend Remains Intact
Recent price action has been clearly bearish and continues to reinforce a downtrend that began forming in late December. So far, there has been no significant bullish correction to challenge this structure, making the bearish pattern the dominant technical setup in the short term.
Technical Indicators
RSI: The indicator remains below the neutral 50 level, suggesting that selling momentum continues to build. If the downward path persists, bearish pressure may grow stronger in upcoming sessions.
MACD: The MACD histogram is currently hovering around the zero line, showing signs of technical indecision. However, if it crosses clearly below zero, it would confirm a more sustained bearish momentum.
Key Levels to Watch:
$356 – Major Resistance:
This level corresponds to the 50% Fibonacci retracement. A break above this zone could threaten the current downtrend.
$320 – Nearby Resistance:
Aligned with the 200-period simple moving average and the 38.2% Fibonacci level, a close above this point could reignite bullish sentiment and trigger a short-term upward move.
$280 – Key Support:
This is a critical support level, aligned with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. A breakdown here could extend the ongoing bearish trend.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
tsla heading higherWith the expansion of robo taxi we will be heading higher soon, don't miss this move. If we pull back a little at earnings that's ok. I don't believe it will go any lower then 315. It should be upside from here. Tsla is not just a car company, its AI, energy, autonomous driving. Its a engineering company that changing the way the world does everything. It will be one of the top stocks for a long time. Easily going to 1000 by next year. That my prediction.
TSLA squeezes into resistance ahead of earnings Tesla is set to report Q2 earnings after the closing bell on Wednesday, covering the quarter ending June 2025.
The stock has been highly volatile this year, amid concerns about tariffs, Elon Musk’s politics (and nazi salutes), and his public clashes with President Donald Trump.
Tesla bulls Wedbush think, “We are at a 'positive crossroads' in the Tesla story,” suggesting that investors will look past the current numbers and focus on Tesla’s long-term AI potential.
Technically, Tesla is now testing a major descending trendline that’s capped every rally since December. The current price action resembles an ascending triangle pattern — a bullish structure — with resistance around $356 and a series of higher lows from May through July. This tightening formation suggests building pressure ahead of the earnings release.
Unpack the Range, How to buy TeslaHello, I’m The Cafe Trader.
As part of our MAG 7 series, I’m going to show you how to find good pricing on TSLA for your long-term portfolio.
There’s a lot of hype surrounding Tesla right now — and for good reason. From a long-term investment standpoint, the future looks promising. But we still want to enter at the right price.
In my previous article, I gave TSLA a strong buy at $210–$220, and there were multiple opportunities in that range. But that was a few months ago. Let’s take a look at what the charts are telling us today.
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🔲 In the Middle of a Big Range
With a range from $212 to $488, Tesla offers plenty of opportunity for traders — but for investors, it can stir up anxiety.
If you’re holding shares around $330+ and considering selling just to break even, here are three reasons you may want to reconsider:
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1. 🚀 Future Prospects
Tesla is packed with upcoming catalysts:
• Grok AI release
• The highly anticipated Model Q
• Megapack energy storage scaling on an industrial level
These innovations, along with strong brand momentum, could drive the stock 2x, 3x, even 5x over the next few years.
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2. 📈 Trending Up
While some may argue we’re forming a double top, a deeper look at the weekly or monthly chart shows no real signs of weakness. If you’re investing — not just trading — you need that longer-term perspective.
Tesla remains in an uptrend with healthy structure and plenty of strength in the larger timeframes.
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3. 🛡️ Learn to Hedge Your Position
Even if we see 20–30% downside from supply zones, there are ways to protect yourself.
Hedging with options — such as buying puts — can reduce downside risk without selling your shares. If done correctly, you can turn a large drawdown into a smaller loss or even a profit on the hedge.
⚠️ Only do this if you understand how options pricing and time decay work.
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🧠 Passive vs. Aggressive Sellers
Today (July 21st), TSLA tapped into a supply zone and rejected quickly — a sign that sellers are still active around $330, while buyers lack confidence to push through.
🔹 Passive Selling
These are quiet, standing orders — often from large sellers who don’t want to move the market. They sell gradually to avoid spooking buyers.
🔹 Aggressive Selling
This is intentional unloading — where sellers push to exit their position quickly, even at the cost of driving the stock down.
What we saw today looked like passive selling — I’ll cover this in more detail in my short-term TSLA article.
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📊 My Buy Zones for TSLA
Fair Price: $296–$310
• $296 is the top of recent buying liquidity
• $310 is the bottom of the current uptrend
• This is where aggressive buyers may show up if sellers ease off
Good Price: $270–$284
• $284 is a strong support level where reinforced buyers have stepped in
• This has been a hot zone and a likely area for long entries to return
Steal Price: $220–$235
• Not marked on the chart, but this zone is high-demand territory
• Even with bad press or short-term issues, this would be a great long-term value buy
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That's All for TSLA Long Term. Follow and stay tuned for a short term analysis.
@thecafetrader
Tesla (TSLA) | Short-Term Compression, Long-Term ExTesla’s daily chart is coiled, with price currently trading at $316, sitting along the 200-day moving average. This looks like a consolidation phase with significant moves building up.
Price Action Snapshot
TSLA sold off last week, rejecting the $335 resistance level before finding footing around $300. The previous range of $280 and $365 is now tightening.
Immediate resistance sits at $335 with a clean breakout above that zone likely triggering momentum back toward the upper range of $365.
The recent drop does not seem like a capitulation move; it's likely institutional redistribution. Smart money is repositioning, not exiting.
Market Is Focused on the Wrong Data
Tesla’s Q2 earnings were objectively weak. Revenue fell 12%, deliveries dropped, and operating margins got clipped.
But this correction isn't all about fundamentals. It is about the market adjusting to a company evolving beyond traditional valuation models.
While most investors are trying to value Tesla like a car company, it’s spending this entire phase retooling itself into an AI and autonomy-first enterprise. That transition doesn't show up in EPS yet (but it will).
The Bigger Picture is Being Missed
The robotaxi rollout in Austin is live. Expansion into California, Phoenix, and Florida is on the roadmap.
Tesla is building a vertically integrated, owner-driven ride-hailing model that could eventually bypass both Uber and legacy OEMs entirely.
Optimus is no longer a lab prototype—it’s moving toward scalable production by 2026.
If Tesla even partially succeeds in general-purpose robotics, it will unlock a Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) that dwarfs the current EV narrative .
Daily Technical Outlook
We’re currently in a bullish compression, with higher lows forming against the resistance area of $365. If $280 holds and the price continues to grind within this wedge, it sets up a volatility breakout scenario.
The breakout level to watch is $335. A daily close above that reopens $365. And beyond that, the resistance level is at $426.
My View
Tesla is compressing, both in price and narrative.
The long game is quietly coming into focus, where the risk/reward skews asymmetrically in favor of the upside.
This daily compression won’t last forever, and when it resolves, the move will likely be outsized.
WXY structure with a double topTesla has been in a uptrend with a corrective structure WXY. I am not sure if the WXY is a part of wave 5 terminal structure or a B wave. However expecting a double top or 78.6 retrace to 425-430 range as a minimum. For this scenario, an impulsive upside move is expected within the next few weeks. However the price needs to move back into the channel next week as a first step.
Next Volatility Period: Around August 21
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#TSLA
We need to see if it is rising along the rising channel.
The key is whether it can rise with support near 311.48 to break out of the downtrend line.
The key is whether it can rise along the short-term uptrend line and break through the short-term downtrend line after passing through this volatility period around July 25.
Therefore, we need to see whether it can rise above the 347.21-382.40 range with support near 311.48.
The next volatility period is expected to be around August 21.
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The important thing is to maintain the price above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
If not, there is a possibility of a long-term downtrend.
Therefore, if it shows support in the 268.07-311.48 range, it is a time to buy.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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TSLA Earnings Play (Bearish Bias)
🚨 TSLA Earnings Play (Bearish Bias) 🚨
Earnings Date: July 23, 2025 (AMC)
🧠 Confidence: 75% Bearish | 🎯 Target Move: -10%
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🔍 Key Takeaways:
• 📉 TTM Revenue Growth: -9.2% → EV demand weakness
• 🧾 Margins Under Pressure: Gross 17.7%, Operating 2.5%, Net 6.4%
• ❌ EPS Beat Rate: Only 25% in last 8 quarters
• 🐻 Options Flow: High put volume at $330 strike
• 🧊 Low Volume Drift: Trading above 20/50MA but losing steam
• 📉 Sector Macro: EV competition + cyclical headwinds
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🧨 Earnings Trade Setup:
{
"instrument": "TSLA",
"direction": "put",
"strike": 300,
"expiry": "2025-07-25",
"entry_price": 2.02,
"confidence": 75,
"profit_target": 6.06,
"stop_loss": 1.01,
"entry_timing": "pre_earnings_close",
"expected_move": 7.1,
"iv_rank": 0.75
}
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🛠️ Trade Details:
Parameter Value
🎯 Strike Price $300 PUT
💰 Premium Paid $2.02
📅 Expiry Date 2025-07-25
🛑 Stop Loss $1.01
🚀 Profit Target $6.06
📏 Size 1 Contract
⏱ Entry Timing Pre-Earnings
📊 IV Rank 75%
🕒 Signal Time 7/23 @ 14:14 EDT
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📈 Strategy Notes:
• 🧯 IV Crush Risk: Exit within 2 hours post-earnings
• 🎲 Risk/Reward: 1:3 setup | Max Loss: $202 | Max Gain: $606+
• 🧭 Volume Weakness & put/call skew signal downside
• 🧩 Macro + Tech + Flow Alignment = Tactical bearish play
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🧠 “Not all dips are worth buying — this might be one to short.”
📢 Drop your thoughts — would you take the trade or fade it?
Don’t Listen to Elon Musk – Tesla Stock Chart Tells the REAL StoTesla Stock Set to Break Records: The Power of Monthly and Weekly Demand Imbalances at $273 and $298. Welcome back, traders! In today’s supply and demand breakdown, we’re diving deep into Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA) — not from the noisy headlines or what Elon Musk just tweeted, but strictly from raw price action, demand imbalances, and the truth on the charts. Forget the fundamentals, forget the hype, because that’s already been priced in.
This is all about supply and demand, price action, and the power of patience.
The $273 Monthly Demand Imbalance: The Big Fish Made Their Move
A few weeks ago, Tesla stock pulled back to a significant monthly demand imbalance at $273. This level wasn’t just any zone—it was carved out by a strong impulsive move made of large-bodied bullish candlesticks, the kind that only institutions and whales create when they're loading up.
What happened next?
Boom. The market reacted exactly as expected, validating that monthly imbalance and setting the stage for higher prices. This is why we always trust the bigger timeframes—they hold the truth of what the smart money is doing.
The $273 Monthly Demand Imbalance: The Big Fish Made Their Move
A few weeks ago, Tesla stock pulled back to a significant monthly demand imbalance at $273. This level wasn’t just any zone—it was carved out by a strong impulsive move made of large-bodied bullish candlesticks, the kind that only institutions and whales create when they're loading up.
What happened next?
Boom. The market reacted exactly as expected, validating that monthly imbalance and setting the stage for higher prices. This is why we always trust the bigger timeframes—they hold the truth of what the smart money is doing.
A to 236 or B killing A to 420Tesla is one of those stocks that is heavily manipulated algorithmically. When we were in an uptrend and needed a little push, a large fractal was created that could break a previously formed structure which should have taken us to $236(A). Interestingly, a very strong symmetrical triangle has emerged, influencing this upward movement, and the final price—due to some mystical reason—seems to be $420(B). It’s also worth noting that this whole move is being influenced by another similar structure whose target is above $600. So, if we analyze everything that’s happening, a 12% drop in sales means nothing compared to what Tesla will gain from robots, restaurants, and robotaxis, which I call RRR
$TSLA either one big flag or massive short setting upHello,
Just some browsing, NASDAQ:TSLA hasn’t had any major moves prior to early May - June IMO. This is on my watch for a short swing setup. This is bull flagging but I see a short here. I’m conflicted. I do see the higher low but we are in a pitchfork and this has been consolidating in this $290-$340 area for about a month and half. There’s also a lower high. Just posting for some free dialogue and open ideas. Talk to me. Let me know what you see and think. We aren’t too far from 200EMA and 200SMA. It’s just curling above the 50 as well. Maybe we consolidate for another week or two? A massive move is brewing here I think. I’m talking $100 in a week up or down soon.
WSL