USD/CAD downhill from here?C$1.3945 was made short work of in April and retested as resistance in May, following a fourth consecutive month in the red. Technically speaking, the scope to explore deeper water is evident on the monthly scale until C$1.3534, followed by another layer of support from C$1.3242.
In view of this, as well as the lack of bullish intent evident from trendline support on the daily chart last week, extended from the low of C$1.2007, a breakout lower here could trigger further downside towards a daily support area between C$1.3550 and C$1.3601.
Written by FP Markets Chief Market Analyst Aaron Hill
CADUSD trade ideas
USDCAD: Long Signal Explained
USDCAD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy USDCAD
Entry Level - 1.3742
Sl - 1.3706
Tp - 1.3809
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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USDCAD Makes Retest At 200 EMA After Bull Trap BreakoutOANDA:USDCAD here on the 1Hr Chart has printed an Ascending Channel and Bears have made a Breakout!
Price currently looks to be on its way to retesting the Breakout of the Channel with the 200 EMA and Upper Bollinger Bands sitting at the Rising Support adding some heavy Bearish Pressure.
Fundamentally, BOC will be releasing GDP m/m ( Gross Domestic Product ) numbers tomorrow morning at 0730 AM CST with analysts forecasting a .3% Increase at .1% with Previous being -0.2%.
USDCAD: Bearish After the News 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD looks bearish after a release of today's fundamental news.
A bearish breakout of a rising channel on a 4h time frame
and a strong selling reaction after its retest provide
a reliable bearish continuation.
I think that the price may drop to 1.3743 support.
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USDCAD Sell- Go for sell only when entry setup given
- Refine entry with smaller SL for better RR, if you know how
- keep looking for sell even if price goes one more up
- later CAD news could trigger the move
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Bearish drop off overlap resistance?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 50% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 1.3861
1st Support: 1.3767
1st Resistance: 1.3912
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USDCAD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSIS ??USDCAD continues to follow the predicted bearish path, currently trading around 1.38300, and still moving gradually toward our target zone of 1.34300. After a strong bearish impulse from the 1.40391 supply zone, price has consistently formed lower highs, confirming selling pressure and market intent. The recent bounce was shallow, and price is respecting previous resistance levels perfectly, validating the bearish continuation setup.
Fundamentally, the Canadian dollar is gaining strength off rising oil prices and improving economic data from Canada, while the US dollar remains under pressure as the market begins pricing in a potential Fed rate cut in the second half of 2025. With softer US economic indicators including lower consumer confidence and slowing GDP growth, the momentum clearly favors CAD in this pair. The divergence in monetary policy outlooks between the Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve adds further downside bias to USDCAD.
Technically, the structure remains bearish, with a clean breakdown below the 1.3900 psychological level and clear rejection at the 1.40300 resistance zone. Market liquidity appears to be shifting below the current price, and with the pair printing consistent lower highs and lower lows, there's significant space toward our target zone near 1.34128. A rejection from the minor pullback zone between 1.38800–1.39000 could provide another entry opportunity for trend continuation traders.
USDCAD remains a high-probability short setup in line with both technical structure and current fundamentals. As long as price stays below the 1.40300 resistance, I expect the bearish trend to continue with increased momentum as we approach summer liquidity shifts. This trade is already deep in profit and aligns with key institutional selling zones, making 1.34300 a realistic and conservative target in the coming weeks.
USDCAD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is rising toward sell entry level at 1.3908, a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibo retracement.
Our take profit is set at 1.3767, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 1.4016, a swing high resistance.
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USDCAD I Daily CLS nested in W/M CLS Hey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument
If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS range, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model.
If you haven't followed me yet, start now.
My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution.
🧩 What is CLS?
CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets.
✅ Understanding the behaviour of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits.
🛡️ Models 1 and 2:
From my posts, you can learn two core execution models.
They are the backbone of how I trade and how my students are trained.
📍 Model 1
is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range.
📍 Model 2
occurs in the specific market sequence when CLS smart money needs to re-accumulate more positions, and we are looking to find a key level around 61.8 fib retracement and target the opposing side of the range.
👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
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AWAIT BOS FIRST!! USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D29 Y25
🔥👀USDCAD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D29 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block
✅HTF 50 EMA
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure to be identified
✅15’ order block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X