USDCAD is breaking the trendline againOnce again, FX_IDC:USDCAD is breaking its medium-term downside resistance line, drawn from the current highest point of this year. If the rate remains above it, we may see a few more bulls stepping in. Let's take a look.
MARKETSCOM:USDCAD
Let us know what you think in the comments below.
Thank you.
75.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
CADUSD trade ideas
USDCAD LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D14 W29 Y25USDCAD LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D14 W29 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
📈 Risk Management Principles
🔑 Core Execution Rules
Max 1% risk per trade — protect your capital, preserve your edge
Set alerts — let price come to your levels, not the other way around
Minimum 1:2 RR — if the reward doesn’t justify the risk, it’s not worth it
Focus on process, not outcomes — the outcome is random, your process is not
🧠 Remember: The edge lies in execution, not prediction. Your strategy is only as good as your discipline to follow it.
🧠 FRGNT Insight of the Day
"The market rewards structure and patience — not emotion or urgency."
Execute like a robot. Manage risk like a pro. Let the chart do the talking.
🏁 Final Words from FRGNT
📌 USDCAD is offering textbook alignment — structure, order flow, and confirmation are all in place.
📌 The opportunity is there — now it’s about how you show up to execute.
🎯 Trade with clarity. Act with conviction. Manage with precision.
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USD/CAD has rejected off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3695
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 1.3740
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.3618
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USD/CAD Institutional Buy Zone – Thief Trading Alert!🔥 USD/CAD "LOONIE BANK HEIST" 🔥 – THIEF TRADING STYLE (BULLISH SNIPER PLAN)
💸 ATTENTION: Market Robbers & Profit Pirates!
"Steal Like a Pro – Escape Before the Cops Arrive!"
🎯 MASTER TRADE PLAN (Based on Thief Trading Tactics):
Entry Zone (Pullback Heist):
📌 Pullback-1: Market Maker Trap Zone (1.35400+) – Wait for retest!
📌 Pullback-2: Institutional Buy Zone (1.33500+) – Confirm bullish momentum!
"Patience = Perfect Heist Timing. Don’t rush—ambush the trend!"
🎯 Profit Target: 1.38100 (or escape earlier if momentum fades).
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route): Nearest 4H Swing Low (wick/close) – Adjust based on risk & lot size!
🚨 SCALPERS’ WARNING:
"Only snipe LONG! Big pockets? Strike now. Small stack? Join swing robbers & trail your SL!"
📉 WHY THIS HEIST? (Bullish Triggers):
Technical + Fundamental alignment (COT, Macro, Sentiment).
Overbought but institutional demand holding strong.
"Bears are trapped—time to rob their stops!"
⚠️ CRITICAL ALERT:
News = Volatility = Police Ambush!
Avoid new trades during high-impact news.
Trailing SL = Your Getaway Car! Lock profits before reversals.
💥 BOOST THIS HEIST!
"Hit 👍, 🔔 Follow, and 🚀 Boost to fuel our next robbery! Let’s drain the banks together!"
🔮 NEXT HEIST COMING SOON… Stay tuned, partner! 🎭💰
USDCAD I Weekly CLS I Model 1 I Targe 50% CLSYo Market Warriors ⚔️
Fresh outlook drop — if you’ve been riding with me, you already know:
🎯My system is 100% mechanical. No emotions. No trend lines. No subjective guessing. Just precision, structure, and sniper entries.
🧠 What’s CLS?
It’s the real smart money. The invisible hand behind $7T/day — banks, algos, central players.
📍Model 1:
HTF bias based on the daily and weekly candles closes,
Wait for CLS candle to be created and manipulated. Switch to correct LTF and spot CIOD. Enter and target 50% of the CLS candle.
For high probability include Dealing Ranges, Weekly Profiles and CLS Timing.
Trading is like a sport. If you consistently practice you can learn it.
“Adapt what is useful. Reject whats useless and add whats is specifically yours.”
David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
💬 Don't hesitate to ask any questions or share your opinions
4 HOUR CONFIRMATION- USDCAD ENTRY UPDATEPrice tapped in our Weekly Demand ideal 👌 for long buys.
Previously i anticipated a trend shift H4 as guide , cmp price just break our int previous high meaning change a in trend as we anticipated
Now waiting for price to drop to our int demand then we rise or the breaker block can hold - major reactions
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has rejected off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.3704
1st Support: 1.3645
1st Resistance: 1.3741
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.36900 zone, USDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.36900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bearish reversal?USD/CAD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3695
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 1.3734
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 1.3639
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish Reversal Zone Approaching🔹 Pair: USDCAD
🔹 Timeframe: H4
🔹 Price: 1.36806
🔹 Bias: Short/SELL Setup Pending
---
💡 Analysis Summary:
USDCAD is approaching a major resistance zone aligned with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from the previous bearish leg.
Structure shows a clear ABC corrective pattern with signs of exhaustion at current levels.
---
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
🔺 Resistance: 1.3720–1.3740 (Potential Reversal Zone)
🔻 Target Zone: 1.3450–1.3500
🔓 Invalidation Above: 1.3760
---
📉 Plan:
Watch for bearish confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, double top, divergence) at resistance before entry.
High RR setup expected if price rejects near 1.3740.
---
🔁 Wait. Confirm. Execute.
🧠 Trade smart, not fast.
📊 More updates coming daily.
Bullish rise?USD/CAD has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.3660
Why we like it:
There is a a pullback support.
Stop loss: 1.3618
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
Take profit: 1.3780
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCAD MARKET OUTLOOK📊 USDCAD Institutional Market Outlook
🔷 Monthly & Weekly Structure – Bearish Bias
A Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG) was formed after a breakaway gap, closing all prior bullish FVGs. This signals strong bearish intent from institutions, with a likely draw toward the next key liquidity level at 1.34210.
Similarly, a Weekly FVG, also formed from a breakaway imbalance, is currently acting as an unmitigated supply zone. Historically, FVGs formed from breakaway moves are not revisited until the market completes its delivery to a main liquidity pool — in this case, the 1.34210 level.
Price is now consolidating below this weekly FVG, reinforcing a continuation bias rather than reversal.
🔹 Daily Structure – Short-Term Countertrend Rally
A bullish Daily FVG has recently formed, suggesting a possible short-term countertrend rally.
However, due to the breakaway nature of the weekly FVG, price is unlikely to reach back up to 1.3760 before continuing its bearish path.
A probable scenario: price may react from daily demand zones, push into a short-term premium area, then resume its decline toward 1.34210.
🌐 Fundamental Confluence
🟥 CAD Weakness:
U.S. tariff policy is placing heavy pressure on the Canadian economy, especially in autos, steel, and oil sectors.
Recent SECO reports and tariff-related projections expect a long-term GDP drag of ~2.1%.
Although oil prices have slightly rebounded, it's not enough to counterbalance the trade and policy headwinds.
🟩 USD Strength:
The U.S. dollar remains supported by global safe haven flows and a resilient macro backdrop.
No significant shift in Fed policy tone has emerged, and the USD continues to benefit from relative strength across multiple pairs.
| Timeframe | Bias | Reason |
| ------------ | ------------------------ | ------------------------------------------------------------------------- |
| Monthly | Bearish | Breakaway FVG + closed bullish zones → draw toward 1.34210 |
| Weekly | Bearish | Consolidation below breakaway supply zone |
| Daily | Short-term bullish | Countertrend move expected into local premium, likely to fail near 1.3760 |
| Fundamentals | Bearish CAD, Bullish USD | Tariff risks + economic divergence
USD/CAD) Down Trand Read The captionSMC trading point update
Technical analysis of USD/CAD (U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar) on the 1-hour timeframe, with a focus on a potential double-top formation at strong resistance, followed by a drop toward support:
---
Analysis Overview
Trend Structure: Downward-sloping channel with lower highs and lower lows.
Confluence Area: The current rally is approaching both the upper channel boundary and a significant horizontal resistance zone (~1.3660–1.3700).
---
Key Technical Elements
1. Resistance & Double-Top Setup
The price nears the resistance zone (yellow) where it previously reversed (noted by red arrows).
A cap-and-float pattern (double/top-like structure) is projected: price pushes higher, hesitates, tests resistance again, then fails—a sign of weakening bullish momentum.
2. EMA 200 Interaction
The 1-hour EMA 200 (blue line at ~1.3635) sits just below current price.
A failure to sustain above this level reinforces the bearish case.
3. RSI Overextension
RSI (14) is around 64–69, indicating near-overbought conditions on this timeframe, suggesting a potential pullback.
4. Price Targets
Initial target: Lower channel boundary near 1.3556 (highlighted support).
Extended target: Beneath to 1.3540, aligning with the broader Demand zone.
---
Proposed Trade Setup
Step Action Level
Entry Short near top of resistance/channel (after double-top confirmation) 1.3680–1.3700
Stop-Loss Above recent high and channel resistance ~1.3720
Take Profit 1 Near EMA 200/lower channel bounce ~1.3556
Take Profit 2 Extended move to demand zone ~1.3540
Estimated Move ~1.15% drop from midday highs –
---
Risk & Event Factors
Scheduled Canadian or U.S. data releases (icons shown) could introduce volatility and disrupt technical patterns.
A breakout above ~1.3720 would invalidate this bearish thesis and shift bias bullish.
Mr SMC Trading point
---
Summary
Expecting a cap-and-float double-top formation at key resistance near 1.3660–1.3700, followed by a trend continuation drop toward 1.3556–1.3540. The bearish setup is supported by a down-channel structure, EMA 200 failure, and overbought RSI conditions.
Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Potential bearish drop?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has rejected off the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 61.8% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 1.3688
1st Support: 1.3599
1st Resistance: 1.3743
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
SDCAD 4H – Compression at Resistance📉📈 USDCAD 4H – Compression at Resistance | Breakout or Rejection?
Price is consolidating near a major supply zone inside a wedge structure.
We're at a key decision point: a clean breakout above 1.3750 = bullish continuation; a rejection and break of minor trendline support = bearish drop back to demand.
🧠 TCB Strategy in play: waiting for breakout confirmation or reversal candle.
Long above 1.3750 → Target 1.3840
Short below 1.3660 → Target 1.3560
🎯 High RRR in both directions.
USD/CAD - Potential TargetsDear Friends in Trading,
How I see it,
PIVOT AREA @ 1.37000 - 1.37208
1) Pair is under fundamental pressure at this time.
2) We need a strong breach above PIVOT area to signal any
chance for broader bullish price action.
Keynote:
1.35775 = Key Demand
I sincerely hope my point of view offers a valued insight.
Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
USDCAD Entering Bullish Trend on 2-Hour Chart – Key LevelsUSDCAD Entering Bullish Trend on 2-Hour Chart – Key Levels and Analysis
The USDCAD pair is showing early signs of a potential bullish trend reversal on the 2-hour chart, as price action has formed a Higher High, indicating a shift in market structure. This pattern suggests that buyers are gradually gaining control, which could lead to further upside momentum if the trend continues. However, in the short term, the pair may still experience some bearish pressure before confirming a full bullish breakout.
Current Market Structure and Bullish Indications
- The formation of a Higher High signals that the downtrend may be weakening, and buyers are stepping in at higher levels.
- If the price holds above recent swing lows, it could confirm the beginning of a new uptrend phase.
- However, traders should remain cautious, as a temporary pullback or consolidation is possible before a sustained upward move.
Key Support Level: 1.35500
On the downside, 1.35500 is a critical support zone. This level has previously acted as both resistance and support, making it a strong area for buyers to defend.
- Bullish Scenario: If the price bounces from 1.35500, it could reinforce the bullish outlook and provide a base for further upward movement.
- Bearish Risk: A decisive break below this level could delay the bullish reversal and lead to a deeper retracement toward 1.35000 or lower.
Upside Targets: 1.37450 & 1.38000
If the bullish momentum strengthens, the next key resistance levels to watch are:
1. 1.37450 – A break above this level could accelerate buying interest.
2. 1.38000 – A major psychological and technical resistance zone where profit-taking may occur.
Short-Term Bearish Possibility Before Bullish Continuation
Despite the bullish signals, the pair may still face short-term bearish pressure due to:
- Profit-taking near resistance levels.
- Potential USD weakness or CAD strength in upcoming sessions.
- Market consolidation before the next directional move.
Trading Strategy & Key Takeaways
- Confirmation Needed: Wait for a strong close above recent highs to confirm the bullish trend.
- Support Watch: A hold above 1.35500 keeps the bullish structure intact.
- Targets: If bullish momentum continues, 1.37450 and 1.38000 are the next key objectives.
- Risk Management: A break below 1.35500 could invalidate the bullish setup, leading to a reassessment of the trend.
Conclusion
The USDCAD is showing early signs of a bullish reversal on the 2-hour chart, but traders should remain cautious of short-term bearish retracements. The critical levels to watch are 1.35500 (support) and 1.37450–1.38000 (resistance targets). A confirmed breakout above resistance could signal a stronger bullish trend, while a breakdown below support may extend the correction phase. Proper risk management and confirmation through price action will be essential for successful trading in this scenario.
USDCAD's Opportunity Bell Is Ringing — Don’t Miss Out!Hey there, my valued friends!
I’ve prepared a fresh USDCAD analysis just for you.
📌 If the 1.37245 level breaks, the next target will be 1.38000.
Every single like you send my way is the biggest motivation behind sharing these analyses.
🙌 Huge thanks to each and every one of you who supports me!
Would you like to add a visual or a catchy headline to boost engagement even more? I can help with that too.