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Canadian Dollar / U.S. Dollar

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Bearish continuation?The Loonie (USD/CAD) has rejected off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 1.3732 1st Support: 1.3431 1st Resistance: 1.3974 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
USD/CAD 15-Minute Time Frame (15TF) Technical & Fundamental AnalUSD/CAD 15-Minute Time Frame (15TF) Technical & Fundamental Analysis Last week, we highlighted potential bullish momentum building in USD/CAD. That narrative continues to develop, supported by the latest economic data. The U.S. Core PCE Price Index came in at 0.2%, slightly higher than the previous 0.1%, indicating persistent inflationary pressure that could keep the USD supported. On the other hand, Canada’s GDP contracted by -0.1%, a significant drop from the previous 0.2% growth, weighing on the CAD. Technical Outlook: Following the price rejection near 1.37500, USD/CAD entered an accumulation phase around 1.3680–1.3690, signaling smart money building long positions. After accumulating buy orders and sweeping liquidity below the key level at 1.36750, price has broken above a minor resistance zone, indicating bullish intent. A visible manipulation pattern within a liquidity pocket further supports this move. We now anticipate a continuation higher from a key re-entry zone around recent breakout structure. 📊 Trade Setup 📍 Area of Interest (AOI): 1.36770 (Buy Limit Order) 🛡 Stop-Loss: 1.36570 (Below liquidity zone) 🎯 Take Profit: 1.37280 (Next key resistance / ~1:2.5 RR) This trade aligns with institutional behavior — accumulation, liquidity grab, and break of structure — suggesting a bullish continuation as long as price respects the recent breakout zone. 📌 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always wait for proper confirmation before executing trades. Manage risk wisely and trade what you see—not what you feel.
Long
by RebornFXTrader
USDCAD – Long Bias LiveUSDCAD – Long Bias Live 🔹 Entered long near market open at ~1.36780 🎯 Target: 1.37112 (previous swing area highlighted) ⏳ Expect to hold into next London/New York session After a sharp spike up into the yellow zone (~1.37283) and subsequent retrace, price has found support around 1.36780 (lower white curve). I’m anticipating a bounce back up toward the red resistance band at 1.37112 (former swing level). • Entry: ~1.36780 support • Target: 1.37112 resistance • Timeframe: 15 min chart, swing through today’s London open All setups can be replayed on TradingView for confirmation. ⚠️ Not financial advice—always trade with proper risk management! #USDCAD #Forex #TradingView #PriceAction #SwingTrade
Long
by GlobalHorns
Is it too late for a TACO trade on USD/CAD? USD/CAD jumped nearly 900 pips on Monday after President Donald Trump announced he is “terminating” trade negotiations with Canada. But the surge didn’t stick. Within hours, the pair gave up most of its gains, slipping back below the 1.3700 breakout level. There’s been no reversal from Trump — not yet. But price action suggests the market might be front-running one. Traders have seen this before: the “TACO” setup — Trump Always Chickens Out. In that context, traders may be cautious about chasing the spike without confirmation that the trade breakdown will be long-lasting. The USD/CAD trade now hinges on updates from Trump for more TACO setups. If USD/CAD stays below 1.3700, the focus shifts back to 1.3628 and possibly lower. Below that, the long-term structure suggests a broader range between 1.3500 and 1.3770.
by BlackBull_Markets
USDCAD Trade Plan 26/06/2025Dear Traders, 🧠 USD/CAD Technical Analysis – June 26, 2025 On the 4H chart, we observe a confirmed breakout from the descending trendline, followed by a correction. Price is now retracing toward the demand zone between 1.3635 – 1.3610, which is expected to act as support. ✅ Support Zone: 1.3635 – 1.3610 📌 Resistance Zone: 1.3885 – 1.3925 🎯 Final Target: 1.4020 🛡 Stop Loss: Below 1.3515 ⚖ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1 : 3.17 The structure of higher lows along with the broken trendline confirms a bullish bias. A confirmation candle in the demand zone may offer a solid long entry opportunity. Regards, Alireza!
Long
by alirezak
USDCAD RT of Supply Zone then ShortPrice has retraced back into a key supply zone just under the June High. We are now watching for strong bearish price action (PA) to confirm a potential short entry from this area. Key Zone to Watch: Supply Zone: 1.3756 – 1.3796 Optimistic stops can be placed above the zone if strong rejection occurs Plan: Seek bearish PA within the highlighted supply zone Wait for confirmation via a bearish candle close Enter below the trigger candle once setup forms Targets: Target 1: 1.3622 Extended Target / June Low: 1.3543 If no rejection occurs and price breaks above the zone with conviction, the setup becomes invalid and we reassess. Execution will be reactive, not predictive — we trade confirmation, not speculation.
Short
by SKA_CAPITAL
Should we keep an eye on it?!Hello friends.. This week we should be more on the chart, because most of the charts are in an attractive range for trading. What our team sees is that the chart (US Dollar to Canadian Dollar) has hit a good range that we previously identified in the daily time frame and has managed to change the trend from a bearish to an upward trend. In the 4-hour time frame, the price shows us the trend change. Now we have to wait and look for a buy trade in the specified range. The target for this trade can also be 1.3924. It should be noted that as long as the price does not break the swing low (the line at the bottom) with the candle body, the trend remains upward. So this week you can put this chart on your watch list. You can follow our page to see more analysis.
Long
by Mahdi_norozi
2
When Charts Lie: How Fundamentals Rescued My Forex TradingEvery trader knows the frustration: your analysis is technically flawless, but the market moves against you. I learned this brutally in Q1 2024 when my USD/CAD short—backed by textbook bearish divergence and order block rejection—got steamrolled by a 190-pip rally after Canada’s surprise oil export announcement. The Blind Spot in Pure Technicals Price action traders often dismiss fundamentals as "noise," but three scenarios consistently break chart-based systems: Policy Surprises (SNB removing EUR/CHF floor) Geopolitical Shocks (Rubles during Ukraine invasion) Structural Shifts (BOJ abandoning YCC) These events share one trait: they change the market’s fundamental DNA, invalidating historical patterns. A Practical Filter I need to train myself to do something like this: To overlay two fundamental checks before technical entries: Central Bank Calendar No trades 12 hours before scheduled meetings Monitor yield spreads (10YR US vs. DE) Commodity Links AUD/USD: Iron ore inventories USD/CAD: WTI backwardation Case Study: April 2024 GBP/USD Technicals suggested continuation above 1.2700 Fundamental red flag: UK real wages shrinking Outcome: False breakout, 140-pip drop Your Turn Try this today: On your next trade, ask: Is there scheduled event risk? Does this align with rate expectations? Are commodities/equities confirming? The goal isn’t perfection—it’s avoiding obvious mismatches. For me, I read my own words on what should be done, and most probably, I won't do it. I think the above is too much. I believe there must be an easier way to merge Technical and Fundamental Analysis.
Education
by TheInvestor_Diary
USDCAD Strongest long-term Sell in the market right now.At the beginning of the year (January 15, see chart below), we made an unpopular bearish call at the time, hinting that the USDCAD pair was approaching its Resistance Zone, hence a multi-year Top was in order: As you can see, the moment the price hit that Resistance Zone, it got instantly rejected and a new Bearish Leg started, which has extended up to this day. This time we view this on the 1M time-frame where the Support levels are more clearly illustrated. More particularly, the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) poses as the first one, in fact it has been holding since September 2022. Our Target is still located at 1.26000, which is marginally above the 0236 Fibonacci level, which has been the 1st Target during both previous Bearish Legs. Also it is where the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line) is headed to, and there are high chances of a long-term bounce there. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
3
USDCAD I Weekly CLS I Model 1I Target 3M CLS LowHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS Footprint, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behavior of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️ 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Short
by David_Perk
21
Lingrid | USDCAD Support Level Bounce OpportunityThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . FX:USDCAD is attempting to stabilize after a sharp drop from the 1.3696 resistance area, approaching the lower boundary of the falling wedge pattern. The price is testing the 1.3600–1.3550 support band, aligned with the blue descending trendline and historical pivot zones. A bullish rebound here could push the pair back toward 1.3696, while failure to hold exposes 1.3500 and lower. 📈 Key Levels Buy zone: 1.3550–1.3600 Sell trigger: breakdown below 1.3550 Target: 1.3696 Buy trigger: breakout and retest of 1.3625–1.3650 zone 💡 Risks Bearish momentum continuation toward 1.3500 if bounce fails Weak volume recovery may trap buyers near 1.3620 Rejection near descending red trendline can maintain bearish pressure If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Long
by Lingrid
4
USDCAD Bearish Continuation Setup📉 USDCAD Bearish Continuation Setup 🗓 Published: June 26, 2025 🕒 Timeframes: 4H & 1D 📍 Instrument: USD/CAD 📊 Technical Bias: Bearish 🧠 Analysis Summary USDCAD has recently rejected from the 1.3713–1.3700 resistance zone (highlighted in red/pink box) after a corrective bullish move. This area served as a strong supply zone where price was previously rejected. The price is now forming a clear lower high, and the recent failure to break above 1.3713 confirms short-term bearish control. The structure on both the 4H and Daily charts supports a continuation move lower, aligning with a potential bearish swing leg developing. 📍 Key Levels Level Description 1.3713 Major resistance (top of supply zone) 1.3700 Round number & resistance confirmation 1.3687 Minor S/R flip 1.3666 Short-term support 1.3657 Next target support 1.3617 Key swing low 1.3562 Final target (major support zone) 🔁 Trade Setup Entry Zone: 🔴 Enter on a 15M/1H retracement to 1.3700–1.3713 (ideal R:R) 🔄 or market sell confirmation below 1.3686 Take Profit Targets: ✅ TP1: 1.3657 ✅ TP2: 1.3617 ✅ TP3: 1.3562 Stop Loss: ❌ SL above 1.3730 📦 Confluence Factors Daily & 4H trend turning bearish Bearish engulfing rejection at previous supply Lower high structure building up No major demand zone until 1.356x ⚠️ Risk Note Wait for confirmation before entering, especially on lower timeframes (1H/15M), such as bearish engulfing candles or break–retest of 1.3686 level. Avoid trading if price breaks above 1.3730 – structure would be invalidated. 💬 Let me know in the comments how you’re trading USDCAD today, and don’t forget to set alerts at key zones! 📉 Good luck and manage risk wisely. Rendon1
Short
by Rendon1
1